Analyst Conference
Transcrição
Analyst Conference
Analyst Conference Hans-Georg Frey, Chairman of the Board of Management Dr. Volker Hues, Member of the Board of Management, Finance Frankfurt am Main, March 27, 2014 Inhalt 2 Highlights and Key Figures in 2013 World Material Handling Equipment Market Business Model and strategic Issues Business Development in 2013 and current Business Trend Outlook Highlights and Key Figures in 2013 Highlights in 2013 World material handling equipment market > 1 million units for the first time Record level of incoming orders achieved; net sales slightly higher year on year Decent EBIT generated Large-scale strategic projects completed on schedule and in line with their budgets Research and development expenditures maintained at the preceding year’s high level Dividend unchanged 4 Jungheinrich Group Key Figures in 2013 in € million Incoming orders Net Sales Net income EBIT-ROS in % +5% 2,251 EBIT +1% 2,357 2,270 7.8 2,290 7.5 -3% 176.8 172.4 -5% 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 112.3 106.9 2012 2013 2012 figures adjusted due to the application of the amended version of IAS 19 and various changes in the accounting treatment of interest income and expenses. 5 Dividend Unchanged Despite Marginal Drop in Earnings Dividend per preferred share in € 106 112 107 0.86 0.86 Net income in million € 82 82 0.76 Proposal 0.58 0.55 0.12 2007 -55 2010 2011 2012 2013 2009 2012 figures adjusted due to the application of the amended version of IAS 19 and various changes in the accounting treatment of interest income and expenses. 6 World Material Handling Equipment Market World Material Handling Equipment Market—Volume in thousand units Europe Asia -5% 411 -6% +24% 331 +21% +2% 311 316 267 North America +11% 380 363 401 2006 = 213 315 266 191 +25% 136 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 -3% World 951 +23% +7% 170 +11% 181 201 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 +7% 975 944 2011 2012 1,010 794 Greatest momentum in Q4 2013 2007 8 2010 2013 Source: WITS. World Material Handling Equipment Market Breakdown of Volume by Region Percentage of total market in terms of units 2007 = 951 thousand units 2013 = 1,010 thousand units Asia 28% Europe thereof China 43% thereof China 12% North America 20% 8% thereof Eastern Europe Europe 31% Asia 40% 9% Rest of World 25% thereof Eastern Europe 6% 9% Rest of World North America 20% Central/South America 5% Australia/Africa 4% Central/South America 5% Australia/Africa 4% Source: WITS. 9 World Material Handling Equipment Market Breakdown of Volume by Product Segment in terms of units 2013: 1,009.777 units (2012: 944,405 units) Warehousing equipment 38% (38%) IC engine-powered counterbalanced trucks 46% (46%) 16% (16%) Battery-powered counterbalanced trucks Source: WITS. 10 World Material Handling Equipment Market—Market Structure Comparison Broken Down by Product Segment in 2013 in terms of units Europe China 22% 13% 60% 18% Warehousing equipment 77% Battery-powered counterbalanced trucks 10% IC engine-powered counterbalanced trucks China: Trend towards warehousing equipment; future growth potential for Jungheinrich Source: WITS. 11 Development of the Volume of Major Growth Markets in thousand units +70% 200.3+19% 238.3 -9% 216.7 +14% 248.0 China 118.3 117.9 27.2 +50% 23.0 +4% 24.0 +1% 24.2 +478% 15.3 Russia 3.2 +173% 22.9 -1% 22.6 -17% 18.8 +30% 24.4 Brazil 14.1 8.4 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: WITS. 12 World League Ranking in 2012 (2011) Net sales in million €, including currency effects Ranking in Europe 5,653 Jungheinrich Kion 1 4,726 2 Toyota 3 (5,010) (4,368) 2,2293 1,922 Toyota Raymond BT Industries Cesab Toyota1, 2 (2,116) Linde Still Fenwick OM Still Baoli Voltas Kion Jungheinrich Jungheinrich Sources: Logistik Journal 10/2013; DHF Intralogistik 12/2013. 13 1,712 (1,978) (1,293) Hyster Yale Utilev Crown Hamech Hyster-Yale Crown 1 1 Fiscal year: April to March. 2 Adjusted: Jan. to Dec. 2012. 3 As reported, before changes in accounting principles Business Model and Strategic Issues The Jungheinrich Business Model Serving customers from a single source over a trucks’s entire life cycle: New Truck Business Logistics Systems Mail-Order Business Used Equipment After-Sales Services Customer Full Service Customer Service / Maintenance Spare Parts Supply 15 Financial Services Short-Term Hire Fleet New Truck Business Battery-powered counterbalanced truck (EFG 540-550/S40-S50) consumes up to 20% less energy than its predecessor model Hydrodynamically driven forklifts in diesel (DFG 316320 and DFG 425-435) LPG (TFG 316-320 and TFG 245-435) variants with a payload capacity of up to 3.5 metric tons Front-seat, trilateral stacker (EFX 410-413) achieves a 25% higher handling turnover rate than its predecessor model Auto pallet mover: ERE 225a low-lift truck with automation solution 2014: 20 new products 16 Deliveries by Industry Mechanical, automotive and electrical engineering Logistics 15% 12% Food industry (Production) 6% Chemical industry 4% 48% 1% 14% Retail and wholesale (incl. food distribution) Based on incoming orders in terms of units in 2013. 17 Timber, paper and print industries Other industry sectors Short-Term Hire Fleet Close-knit market coverage Hire periods: generally 1 day to 24 months Targeted degree of capacity utilization: 70% to 80% Inventory in thousand units 30.7 2012 18 +9% 33.6 2013 Used Equipment Marketing of used equipment (leasing, short-term hire fleet and trade-ins) Expansion of the used equipment centre in Dresden Rise in production capacity from 4,500 to some 8,000 trucks p.a. 19 After-Sales Services High market penetration generates service potential (Jungheinrich market penetration: 2013 = 995,000 trucks) Service potential Productionn thousand units ~66,300 units In service Service expiring 57 65 65 55 59 59 67 76 82 81 48 60 76 73 72 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20 Market Penetration—Basis for After-Sales Services ~5,400 employees in the global after-sales service organization (46% of total staff), more than 3,800 after-sales service engineers in the field Market penetration in 2013 995,000 thousand trucks in use worldwide (with focus on Europe) 21 Logistics Systems Jungheinrich—Partner for End-to-End Logistics Solutions Planning and design Forklift trucks Racking and storage equipment Conveyor systems Stacker cranes System integration Maintenance and service 22 Warehouse management systems: Warehouse administration Warehouse control Radio data transmission, terminals & scanners Expansion of the Logistics Systems Business Full acquisition of ISA* and integration of the warehousing and material flow technology software firm into the Jungheinrich Group as of January 1, 2013 and change in commercial name to ‘Jungheinrich Systemlösungen GmbH’ as of January 1, 2014 Establishment of a division dedicated to logistics systems; responsibility: entire Board of Management Under the uniform management of Moosburg-based 'Jungheinrich-Logistiksysteme GmbH' since January 1, 2014 Significant increase in headcount *ISA - Innovative Systemlösungen für die Automation GmbH, Graz (Austria). 23 Mail-Order Business—in Germany, Austria and in the Netherlands Development of net sales in million € 26.0 Main catalogue: 1,000 pages More than 36,000 products 24 2010 +31% 34.0 2011 +12% 38.1 2012 +11% 42,3 2013 Financial Services Original value of contracts on hand in million € 2006 2011 2000 1,332 84.4 12/31/2007 25 1,719 +2% 1,745 2005 2012 2004 Trucks 105.5 109.0 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 in thousand units 2008 Proprietary financial service companies in 7 European countries Financial Services—Principles and Objectives Business policy No ambition to generate its own profits (non-profit centre) Disclosure of all income from financial services in sales New truck business/after-sales services/used equipment Promotion and expansion of new truck business and after-sales services Principle: Every financial service agreement to cover full service and maintenance Sales policy Permanent customer retention Flexible, customized contracts Risk management Matching refinancing (term and interest) Regular creditworthiness checks Quarterly assessment of contractual/residual value risks Transparency and process reliability via Group database Full disclosure on Jungheinrich’s consolidated balance sheet 26 Business Development in 2013 and Current Business Trend Net Sales Slightly up Year on Year; Decent EBIT in € million EBIT Net sales 2,270 2012 +1% 2,290 177 2013 2012 -3% 172 2013 Rise in net sales driven by the short-term The earnings trend benefited above all from hire and used equipment business and after-sales services the growth of the high-margin short-term hire and after-sales services businesses Negative effects of process-induced disruptions when ramping up the production in Degernpoint dealt with 2012 figures adjusted due to the application of the amended version of IAS 19 and various changes in the accounting treatment of interest income and expenses. 28 Breakdown of Net Sales 2013 = €2,290 million (2012 = €2,270 million) by business fields by region New truck business 52% After-sales services 31% Germany 27% (30%) 17% 8% (17%) Rest of World Short-term hire fleet and used equipment 29 (52%) (27%) (53%) (8%) Western Europe 51% 14% (13%) Eastern Europe Incoming Orders and Production—New Truck Business in thousand units Incoming orders +7% Production 78.2 73.2 73.2 +32% 20.7 -1% 72.5 Q4 17.5 15.7 19.0 Q3 18.7 18.8 18.7 19.2 20.1 19.5 2012 2013 Cyclically-driven rise in demand with greatest momentum in Q4 2013 30 17.9 Q2 Q1 17.9 19.9 2012 18.9 18.0 16.6 2013 Production marginally down year on year Intralogistics Segment—Breakdown of Net Sales in million € New truck business 2,288 +1% 2,315 1,230 -1% 1,213 Short-term hire and used equipment Short-term hire fleet & used equipment After-sales services 378 397 make equal contributions to growth After-sales services post continuous 680 2012 31 +5% +4% 705 2013 growth Research & Development and Capital Expenditures in million € Capital Expenditures R&D Expenditures Capex ratio as a percentage of net sales Capitalization ratio 13 3 27 4 91 44.0 78 44.9 2012 2013 Focal points: energy efficiency of drive systems, automation of material handling equipment and processes as well as development of platforms and shared components Capitalization ratio up as planned 2013 2012 Capital expenditures in 2012 and 2013 marked by large-scale strategic projects for the expansion of spare parts logistics and manufacturing capacity Two sales centres completed in Germany 2012 figures adjusted due to the application of the amended version of IAS 19 and various changes in the accounting treatment of interest income and expenses. 32 Strategic Capex Projects Completed on Schedule and in Line with Budgets Spare parts centre in Kaltenkirchen Total capex: approx. €100 million Plant in Qingpu Capex: €35 million Capex: €40 million Plant in Degernpoint Capex: €18 million 33 Financial Situation in 2013: Solid as Before in million € 2013 2012 Change in % Balance sheet total 2,751 2,759 +0 Shareholders’ equity 831 754 +10 Liquid assets and securities 424 555 -24 Cash flows from operating activities 67 128 -48 -154 -183 -16 18.7% 21.6% — Net indebtedness ROCE 2012 figures adjusted due to the application of the amended version of IAS 19 and various changes in the accounting treatment of interest income and expenses. 34 Cash Flows from Operating Activities and Net Debt in million € Net debt Cash flows from operating activities Financial liabilities - liquid assets and securities excl. liabilities from financial services or provisions for pensions) 'Cash' -183 128 12/31/2012 -61 -29 -154 67 12/31/2013 Decline mainly results from redemption of external financing of the short-term hire fleet and the increase in working capital 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 Change caused by capital expenditures on large-scale strategic projects and the increase in working capital 2012 figures adjusted due to the application of the amended version of IAS 19 and various changes in the accounting treatment of interest income and expenses. 35 Working Capital and ROCE in million € Working capital Capital employed as a percentage of net sales 12/31/2012 36 21.6 18.7 21.9 21.0 476 ROCE in % +26 502 818 12/31/2013 +102 920 12/31/2013 12/31/2012 Since 2012, interest-bearing capital includes provisions for pensions and provisions for non-current personnel obligations Equity Ratio increases Jungheinrich Group 27% 30% 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 Intralogistics Segment 42% 47% 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 2012 figures adjusted due to the application of the amended version of IAS 19 and various changes in the accounting treatment of interest income and expenses. 37 Business Trend—Financial Services in milion € Original value of new contracts Original value of contracts on hand 1,719 431 -16 415 Trucks +26 1,745 105.5 109.0 2012 2013 in thousand units 2012 2013 Decline due to increased demand for financial services for used equipment which has a lower value than new trucks 38 Increase of just €26 million reflects the changed vehicle mix Leasing ratios in Italy, the United Kingdom and Norway > 60% Workforce Trend Reflects Strengthening of Sales Organization in full time equivalent (FTE) +53 +25 Other 11,840 Technology +425 Sales 11,261 +76 ISA* 12/31/2012 Expansion in 2013: +579 employees = 5% *As of January 1 2014: Jungheinrich Systemlösungen GmbH. 39 12/31/2013 World Material Handling Equipment Market—2/2014 Growth Rates by Region in terms of units; compared to 2/2013 World Market 147.6 Europe Eastern thousands of units +5% +8% Western 2/2013 2/2014 -14% thereof +27% China +34% Asia North America World 164.9 +10% +12% Source: WITS 2/2014. 40 Development of Business—2/2014 Incoming orders Incoming orders in million € +4% 371 2/2013 384 12,200 2/2014 2/2013 Net sales in million € 326 2/2013 41 +15% in units +7% 13,000 2/2014 Production in units 375 2/2014 10,900 +33% 14,500 2/2013 2/2014 Development of Business—2/2014 Orders on Hand—New Truck Business in million € 366 +5% 383 The order reach is four month 12/31/2013 42 2/28/2014 Outlook Growing with Passion 43 General Economic Situation 2012 2013 Forecast 2014 World 3.2 2.9 3.5 Eurozone -0.6 -0.4 0.9 Germany 0.7 0.4 1.7 China 7.8 7.7 7.3 USA 2.8 1.9 2.8 Brazil 0.9 2.5 1.6 India 5.0 4.9 5.8 Growth rates GDP in % Source: Commerzbank February 2014. 44 World Material Handling Equipment Market in thousand units Europe Asia -5% 411 -6% 331 North America +11% 380 363 401 +2% 2006 = 213 311 316 266 +7% 191 2007 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2007 2011 2012 2013 2014e -3% World +7% 951 975 944 2007 2011 2012 170 +11% 181 201 2007 2011 2012 2013 2014e 1,010 Estimate. 45 2013 2014e Source: WITS. Basic Conditions ■ Improvement of the global economic environment; GDP forecast for the Eurozone: 0.9% growth (after -0.4% in 2013) ■ World market expected to continue growing; European market expected to post positive development ■ Sustained growth in Asia if the Chinese market continues its good recovery ■ Sustained growth of the US market ■ In 2013, by successfully completing its strategic investment projects, Jungheinrich established the prerequisites for benefiting from the positive market trend expected in 2014 (and in subsequent years) 46 Risks ■ Economic stability in Europe ■ Depreciation of currencies in emerging market countries ■ Political situation in Ukraine ■ Growth risks in China 47 Long-Term Strategic Expansion European business Asia Good point of departure thanks to Above-average expansion of business established position outside Europe—focussing on China Optimization of products and processes Singapore as the hub for Asia-Pacific Focus on Eastern Europe—above all on Establishment of business in India Russia “ICE” segment Market launch of the new “converter” generation starting in spring time 2014 Deepen market penetration ICE Logistics systems business Expansion of the logistics systems business Increase of the share of the system equipment market 48 Jungheinrich Group—Outlook for 2014 Incoming orders €2.4 billion - €2.5 billion1 Net sales €2.3 billion - €2.4 billion1 Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) Capital expenditures on tangible assets €85 million - €95 million Research and development expenditures ~ €45 million ROCE 15% and 20% 1 2013 incoming orders: €2.4 billion, net sales: €2.3 billion. 2 2013 EBIT: €172 million. 49 €170 million - €180 million2 60 Years of Passion for Logistics. 50 Disclaimer Since developments cannot be foreseen, the actual business trend may deviate from the expectations based on assumptions and estimates made by Jungheinrich company management. Factors that may lead to such deviations include changes in the economic environment, changes within the material handling equipment sector as well as exchange and interest rate fluctuations. Therefore, no responsibility is taken for forward-looking statements made in this presentation. 51