Boletim MPA 2010 versaoFinal

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






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














            

           

           




            

           

             

             





        

             

           

          



             


            

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
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





          



           



          


            





             

             

             

             

             



             

             

             





           















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
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           
               
          

         

           
         

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           
          


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         
     

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

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
           
          
       

           
            

        



        
          
          
            
              

         
             
             

        
          

          
         
            
           
            

            



          
            

         


            

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      

        

          




             
            


           
             
          

          
           
           
           
               


            

         
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
           
              

             
               
            
          




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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 
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 


        

            
            
          






             

             


           


            



          


1.000.000
900.000
800.000
Produção (t)
700.000
600.000
500.000
400.000
300.000
200.000
100.000
1950
1952
1954
1956
1958
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
0



            
            
           



            

500.000
450.000
400.000
Produção (t)
350.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
150.000
100.000
50.000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0





              
           


        

             

             
             












































 
 


 
 
 






 


 
 
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 
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













           
           


450.000
2009
400.000
2010
Produção (t)
350.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
150.000
100.000
50.000
0
Nordeste
Sul
Norte
Sudeste
Centro-Oeste




             
              
             
            


           
               



200.000
180.000
2009
2010
160.000
Produção (t)
140.000
120.000
100.000
80.000
60.000
40.000
0
SC
PA
BA
CE
RS
AM
SP
MA
RJ
RN
PR
MT
ES
MG
PE
GO
MS
AL
AP
PB
SE
RO
PI
TO
AC
RO
DF
20.000

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
             

             
             

               

            

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
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
             

            
            
          

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
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


           

            




            
              

              
       


          


              






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

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
          


            

                
               




            
          

          

           
             




           
         


        


          
               


            




            

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                
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







          
          


            
            
         

          
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
          


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              


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              


              
             

         

           

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              


         
          
              
             

           



          
             

                

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         
       
            
          

          

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             
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
         
         
          
          



        
            
           
          






            
          


           
            


            


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
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            


          


            

           

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
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

            


              
           

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
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
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                



         
            
           
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             
            

             


             


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             



        
            

           
          






















    

        


         
       
         



          


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

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
         
            
         


          




       
         


          



          
        


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

            

          
         
             

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



          
              
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        



            

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

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

          


      
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        


             

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

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


          
          

          
          
            

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          
            
          
            
            
           



             




              



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

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
          
          

          

            
        
            

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
          

      
  


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                
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


            
       
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           

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

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
      
            

          

           

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

          
            


          
                  

             
         
         
            

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

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




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

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

          
            
        
         
         

             
        
             

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               

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


         
              
              


          


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
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
         
            

          

      
           

           

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

          

      


              
      
      


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

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
           


          
         

           

              


          
            




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               

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
          


              
             

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
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           
          


           
          

             

            


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
           


             


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
            

            

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            
             
             
              



           

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




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



               
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

        

           

             
             
             
             


            



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
         


         

           



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


             
           
          
        
          
              
             

             
          
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
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              

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
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                         
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

         


        

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

         
           



         




         

         
            
          


          
             
            










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 
   
     

 
1
O Brasil, a Argentina, o Paraguai e o Uruguai adotam, desde janeiro de 1995, a
NCM, que tem por base o Sistema Harmonizado (SH), sistema internacional utilizado na
descrição das mercadorias para facilitar o comércio entre os países. Assim, dos oito dígitos que
compõem a NCM, os seis primeiros são formados pelo SH, enquanto o sétimo e oitavo dígitos
correspondem a desdobramentos específicos atribuídos no âmbito do MERCOSUL.
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          


           

         
          

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



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          
             


          
            
          
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         



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          
             
             

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 
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 
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
             
           
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         
           

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              

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
        

         
           
          


              

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
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


         
           
            

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
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

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          

           

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

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
         
              

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
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


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 
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
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           



           
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          


          



          2    
3


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   
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






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           

          
           

         
             
          
            
          

          
 
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
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
               
            
          

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

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

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          




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

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
             
        

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          

         


               
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


             

       

       
            

           
           

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
       
           
            

           
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
           








            
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


         



          
         
         
          
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 
HTTP://WWW.WTO.ORG/ENGLISH/NEWS_E/PRES11_E/PR628_E.HTM 
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       
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        
         
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
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        
          
           
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             

          
         
         
              


         
           

 
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            

               

          


          


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
            
       

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


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

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




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
             



           

 
7
            

            

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
         


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
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             
           

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              
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            
           
             

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




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

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

           
        
        

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
            
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           

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       
      
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          
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
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     


         

            



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


           
        

         
           





          

       
         

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 
 
           
          
        
        
 
           
        
             

          
            
            
             
            




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

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
          


 

            
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          
           

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
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         
           

          

             
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           
         
         

            


           

           




          
            
            
          
         
             

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            

             




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          
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   
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
         
           

           


         

             


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         


            
         

             
            
         
              



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            

             




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           
            


         
       
              
          

            

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
1.           
          

2. 

3.           

        

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
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          

          


            
          


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            
            

           

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
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            

            


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
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         

           



           
            
           

           
           

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
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           
           
   
         
    
  
  
 
       
 

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
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 





 
  

   
     
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 
            
 
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             
           
         
         

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
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         
          

 
    
    
              

           


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           

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
           

        
  

            
          
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  
             
            


      
  
    
 
  

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  

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  
      

 

          
     

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
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
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         
          
        
  
         
         


          



          
           
           
           

 
 


           
 



 

            







 








 
            
           


           
           

         



            

           

         
          
             

         
         


          



         
           
            
             
             
            


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
                


              
           




  



             
            
amelia()
amelia(dados, ts = "ANO", cs = "ESTADO", polytime =
2,
logs = "PROD", lags = "PROD", m = 1000,
empri = 0.1 * nrow(dados),
intercs = TRUE)
dados ts
cs          "ANO" 
"ESTADO"   logs    

m = 1000empri
lags
           "PROD"

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
         

          
         
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
            
              
           
          
           
             

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  
            
           
      intercs     
         


     
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     
         
          
          
           

          


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

             
           

           
           
           





            
  
           


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             





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           



           
         
          


           

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             
 


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



            


          

            
         

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               



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
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         
             

             


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         
           

           
          

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             


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            
           

           




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


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

           
     m = 1000   

         

          

       



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






           
           

              
 

            
    
         
         


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            


               

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           
           

           
           

          


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 
 


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        

         

              
            
           

            

           
            
       


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               

              

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
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           



            
           
           

            

        
    
      
          

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          
              

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
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


           

              




          


         

            

                
         

   
           

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
        


           




            



           

           

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


      



            


          8
        

              
            



       
            

            

Yi = α + βX i + e 
            

               
         

          
          







 
8




           

         

           
              

            



              
            
















250000
200000
Produção (t)
300000
Aquicultura continental
150000
200000
250000
Ração (t)

          







         


            

            



              
            





















80000
75000
65000
70000
Produção (t)
85000
90000
Carcinicultura marinha
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
Ração (t)
               
            






           
             
            


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
           
            

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
          
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            

           
          

             
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           
           
            

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