Bayesian methods for air pollution data
Transcrição
Bayesian methods for air pollution data
EBEB X - 10º Encontro Brasileiro de Estatística Bayesiana Bayesian methods for air pollution data Jorge Alberto Achcar FMRP-Universidade de São Paulo Ribeirão Preto,SP air pollution in China 1 air pollution in Mexico City 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 NON-HOMOGENEOUS POISSON MODELS WITH MULTIPLE CHANGE-POINTS 30 31 Some recent work : ACHCAR, J. A. ; FERNANDEZ-BREMAUNTZ, A. A. ; RODRIGUES, E. R. ; TZINTZUN, G. . Estimating the number of ozone peaks in Mexico City using a non-homogeneous Poisson model. Environmetrics (London) , v. 19, p. 469-485, 2008. Achcar, Jorge Alberto ; Rodrigues, Eliane R. ; PAULINO, Carlos Daniel ; Soares, Paulo . Non-homogeneous Poisson models with a change-point: an application to ozone peaks in Mexico city. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, p. 001-029, 2009. ACHCAR, J. A. ; Rodrigues,E.R. ; Ortis-Rodrigues . Estimating the number of ozone peaks in Mexico city using a non-homogeneous Poisson model and a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. International Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, v. 53, p. 01-20, 2009 Achcar, Jorge A. ; Rodrigues, Eliane R. ; Tzintzun, Guadalupe . Using non-homogeneous Poisson models with multiple changepoints to estimate the number of ozone exceedances in Mexico City. Environmetrics (London), p. n/a-n/a, 2010. 32 BIVARIATE STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS APPLIED TO AIR POLUTION DATA 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Some recent work in this area: ACHCAR, J. A. ; ZOZOLOTTO, H. C. ; RODRIGUES, E. R. . Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Models Applied To Mexico City Ozone Pollution Data. In: Gaia C. Romano and Alice G. Conti. (Org.). Air Quality in the 21st Century. 1 ed. New York,USA: Nova Publishers, 2009, v. 01, p. 0001-0030. ACHCAR, J. A. ; Rodrigues,E.R. ; TZINTZUN, G. . Using stochastic volatility models to analyse weekly ozone averages in Mexico City, Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 2010. 44 OTHER APPROACH:MODELLING INTER-OCCURRENCE TIMES BETWEEN OZONE PEAKS IN MEXICO CITY IN THE PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE CHANGE-POINTS 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Figure 1 54 55 56 Figure 2 57 58 Figure 3 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 Reference ACHCAR, J. A. ; Rodrigues,E.R. ; TZINTZUN, G. . Modeling interoccurrence times between ozone peaks in Mexico city in the presence of multiple change-points.Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, a aparecer, 2010. 66 Water pollution data Rio Tiête, São Paulo,Brazil 67 Predator–prey models: an application for the plankton dynamics of lake Geneva 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 Reference ACHCAR, J. A. ; COELHO-BARROS,E.A. ; MAZUCHELI, J. . Predator– prey models: an application for the plankton dynamics of lake Geneva, Environmental and Ecological Statistics, a aparecer, 2010. 83