Bayesian methods for air pollution data

Transcrição

Bayesian methods for air pollution data
EBEB X - 10º Encontro Brasileiro de Estatística
Bayesiana
Bayesian methods for air pollution data
Jorge Alberto Achcar
FMRP-Universidade de São Paulo
Ribeirão Preto,SP
air pollution in China
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air pollution in Mexico City
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NON-HOMOGENEOUS POISSON MODELS WITH
MULTIPLE CHANGE-POINTS
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Some recent work :
ACHCAR, J. A. ; FERNANDEZ-BREMAUNTZ, A. A. ;
RODRIGUES, E. R. ; TZINTZUN, G. . Estimating the number of
ozone peaks in Mexico City using a non-homogeneous Poisson
model. Environmetrics (London) , v. 19, p. 469-485, 2008.
Achcar, Jorge Alberto ; Rodrigues, Eliane R. ; PAULINO, Carlos
Daniel ; Soares, Paulo . Non-homogeneous Poisson models with a
change-point: an application to ozone peaks in Mexico city.
Environmental and Ecological Statistics, p. 001-029, 2009.
ACHCAR, J. A. ; Rodrigues,E.R. ; Ortis-Rodrigues . Estimating the
number of ozone peaks in Mexico city using a non-homogeneous
Poisson model and a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. International
Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, v. 53, p. 01-20, 2009
Achcar, Jorge A. ; Rodrigues, Eliane R. ; Tzintzun, Guadalupe .
Using non-homogeneous Poisson models with multiple changepoints to estimate the number of ozone exceedances in Mexico City.
Environmetrics (London), p. n/a-n/a, 2010.
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BIVARIATE STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS
APPLIED TO AIR POLUTION DATA
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Some recent work in this area:
ACHCAR, J. A. ; ZOZOLOTTO, H. C. ; RODRIGUES, E. R. .
Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Models Applied To Mexico City
Ozone Pollution Data. In: Gaia C. Romano and Alice G. Conti.
(Org.). Air Quality in the 21st Century. 1 ed. New York,USA:
Nova Publishers, 2009, v. 01, p. 0001-0030.
ACHCAR, J. A. ; Rodrigues,E.R. ; TZINTZUN, G. . Using
stochastic volatility models to analyse weekly ozone averages in
Mexico City, Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 2010.
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OTHER APPROACH:MODELLING INTER-OCCURRENCE
TIMES BETWEEN OZONE PEAKS IN MEXICO CITY IN
THE PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE CHANGE-POINTS
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Figure 1
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Figure 2
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Figure 3
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Reference
ACHCAR, J. A. ; Rodrigues,E.R. ; TZINTZUN, G. . Modeling interoccurrence times between ozone peaks in Mexico city in the presence of
multiple change-points.Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, a
aparecer, 2010.
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Water pollution data
Rio Tiête, São Paulo,Brazil
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Predator–prey models: an application for
the plankton dynamics of lake Geneva
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Reference
ACHCAR, J. A. ; COELHO-BARROS,E.A. ; MAZUCHELI, J. . Predator–
prey models: an application for the plankton dynamics of lake Geneva,
Environmental and Ecological Statistics, a aparecer, 2010.
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