final report V8
Transcrição
final report V8
Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 1 Barriers to competition in the supply of electronic communications networks and services A final report to the European Commission The opinions expressed in this Study are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Commission ©ECSC-EC-EAEC Brussels-Luxemburg 2003 David Lewin David Rogerson Assisted by: Peter Alexiadis Miranda Cole November 2003 CLJ21 Final version Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 2 Executive summary.................................................................................................5 I Introduction .................................................................................................5 II Fixed network services ................................................................................5 III The mobile network services markets ..........................................................7 IV Broadcasting services .................................................................................9 V e-services .................................................................................................11 VI Software supply for ECNS.........................................................................12 VII Policy issues: Separation of the incumbent................................................12 VIII Policy issues: Measures for effective competition ......................................13 1 Introduction .............................................................................................16 1.1 The scope of the study ..............................................................................16 1.2 Our approach to the analysis.....................................................................18 1.3 The basis for our findings ..........................................................................19 2 Fixed network services ...........................................................................21 2.1 The supply chain for fixed network services ...............................................21 2.2 Competition in corporate markets ..............................................................23 2.3 Competition in narrowband fixed services..................................................24 2.4 Mass broadband services – the state of competition ..................................30 2.5 Mass broadband – infrastructure based competition ..................................34 2.6 Mass broadband – service based competition ...........................................40 2.7 Public WLANs ...........................................................................................53 2.8 Infrastructure vs service based competition ...............................................54 2.9 The move to next generation networks ......................................................55 3 Mobile network services .........................................................................59 3.1 Introduction ...............................................................................................59 3.2 Current industry structure and trends.........................................................59 3.3 The value chain for data services ..............................................................61 3.4 Major players and their market shares .......................................................62 3.5 Main market trends....................................................................................64 Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 3 3.6 The impact of consolidation .......................................................................67 3.7 International roaming.................................................................................68 3.8 Spectrum trading.......................................................................................69 3.9 Use of SIMLOCK.......................................................................................69 3.10 MVNO hosting...........................................................................................70 3.11 Access for value added service providers ..................................................70 3.12 Supply conditions for greenfield 3G operators............................................71 3.13 Restrictions on network sharing.................................................................71 3.14 Roll-out conditions for 3G networks ...........................................................72 3.15 The use of walled gardens for data services ..............................................73 3.16 Dominance in the mobile terminal markets ................................................73 3.17 Cost based call termination prices .............................................................74 3.18 The impact of data protection on m-services..............................................75 3.19 Mobile content...........................................................................................76 4 Broadcasting services ............................................................................78 4.1 The broadcasting services value chain ......................................................79 4.2 Potential Barriers to Competition From Rights Acquisition and Exercise.....83 4.3 Consistent Regulatory Treatment of Competing Services ..........................89 4.4 Access to Conditional Access Systems .....................................................92 4.5 Interoperable iTV services and APIs..........................................................94 5 e-services ..............................................................................................107 5.1 The current industry structure..................................................................107 5.2 Corporate e-services ...............................................................................108 5.3 Backbone ISPs........................................................................................109 5.4 Consumer oriented ISPs .........................................................................111 5.5 e-payment issues ....................................................................................113 6 Software supply for ECNS ....................................................................131 6.1 Introduction .............................................................................................131 6.2 Wireless handset operating systems........................................................131 6.3 Wireless middleware ...............................................................................133 6.4 Web services ..........................................................................................134 Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 4 6.5 Browsers for mobile devices....................................................................135 7 Separation of the incumbent ................................................................139 7.1 Options for separation .............................................................................139 7.2 Divestiture of Loopco...............................................................................140 7.3 Divestiture of Netco .................................................................................140 7.4 Divestiture of CATV businesses...............................................................141 7.5 Divestiture of mobile subsidiaries.............................................................146 8 Measures for effective competition......................................................150 8.1 Introduction .............................................................................................150 8.2 Definitions ...............................................................................................150 8.3 Infrastructure-based competition is better ................................................151 8.4 Limitations on infrastructure-based competition .......................................153 8.5 Prospects for infrastructure-based competition ........................................154 8.6 The role of service-based competition .....................................................156 8.7 Maximising infrastructure-based competition ...........................................157 8.8 Increasing infrastructure investment ........................................................158 8.9 Stimulating cross platform competition.....................................................158 8.10 Increasing investment incentives for Altnets.............................................160 Annex A Directives affecting micropayment services.....................................166 The E-money Directive..........................................................................................166 The Electronic Signatures Directive.......................................................................168 The Codified Banking Directive .............................................................................169 The Money Laundering Directive ...........................................................................169 Annex B Glossary .............................................................................................171 Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 5 Executive summary I Introduction This study prepared by Ovum1 looks at barriers to competition in the supply of electronic communications networks and services (ECNS) in the EU. The opinions expressed in this Study are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Commission. The main market areas covered are fixed network services, mobile services, television services, and Internet based services (e-services). The study also looks at the supply of software for 3G mobile services. II Fixed network services No barriers to competition in the corporate market Rivals to the fixed incumbent in the corporate market have won very substantial shares in providing services based on alternative infrastructure in city centres. Compared with other segments of the fixed network services markets there are relatively few barriers to competition. We recommend that the European Commission should take no further action in relation to the corporate sector until it is clear that current measures are failing. Competition in narrowband fixed services Fixed incumbents continue to dominate in the supply of narrowband access and local calls in most member states. This reflects the very substantial barriers to competition which 2 exist in this market . In contrast incumbents face strong and growing service based competition in the long distance calls market. The lack of competition in the narrowband access market has led several NRAs to mandate that the fixed incumbent supply wholesale line rental (WLR) services. For WLR the incumbent rents the narrowband access lines and associated features at the local switch to a rival at a regulated wholesale price. Our analysis indicates that the balance of arguments in favour of mandating WLR service is far from overwhelming. One major objection is that it removes incentives for infrastructure based competition. 1 A team lead by David Lewin and David Rogerson from Ovum and Peter Alexiadis and Miranda Cole, then of Squire, Sanders & Dempsey LLP and now of Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP. 2 In terms of the economies of scope and scale, sunk cost investment and advantages of incumbency enjoyed by the old monopoly operator. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 6 We recommend that Member States investigate further whether WLR is effective in removing barriers to competition or whether it acts to deter infrastructure competition. Infrastructure based competition in broadband services Demand for mass broadband service is growing rapidly. By the end of 2007 we expect 90 million of the 200 million fixed connections in the current EU to operate at broadband speeds3. The level of competition in this sector varies considerably between member states and the EU lags far behind trading rivals like the USA, Japan or Korea in the level of infrastructure based competition4. Given the financial difficulties which major European CATV operators have faced over the past few years we do not expect many of them to expand their geographic footprint substantially from their current coverage. But these operators still offer a powerful source of infrastructure based competition to the fixed incumbent in the broadband markets. A major barrier to competition is the fact that, in five member states, the fixed incumbent still owns a substantial proportion of CATV network facilities. We recommend that the EU and the Member States consider the steps that they can take to ensure that fixed incumbents divest themselves of their CATV businesses At the same time the prospects of infrastructure based competition from new technology networks are mixed. Our research suggests that: • prospects for competition based on fixed wireless access is very limited; but that • there are new prospects for powerline communications (PLC) in which telecommunication signals are carried over the electricity distribution network. Given PLC’s potential as a source of infrastructure based competition we believe it is important to resolve the interference problems which PLC equipment currently faces. State funding of broadband rollout could also affect infrastructure based competition. Virtually all respondents to our study are convinced that guidelines on the application of state funding are being ignored and that this is leading to a distortion of competition. We recommend that the European Commission should investigate these complaints and take appropriate action. Service based competition in mass broadband services Incumbents currently offer three broad types of wholesale products - IP level wholesale DSL service, bitstream DSL service, and unbundled local loops. We recommend that: • SMP operators should be required to offer all three services. 3 Speeds in excess of 128kbit/s. 4 If we count unbundled local loop operators as infrastructure competitors then less then 50% of broadband services are supplied by incumbents in these countries. In the EU the proportion is around 75%. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 7 • SMP operators should be required to offer practical and effective migration paths between the products. This allows service providers to use the three products to build their customer base, reduce risks and so provide “stepping stones” from service based to infrastructure based competition. • SMP operators should be required to provide co-mingling of equipment and costoriented backhaul at an appropriate level of disaggregation to local loop unbundlers. Such measures will help lower the main barrier to local loop unbundling – the large upfront investment required to reach the incumbent’s local loops – and so maintain the rapidly growing proportion of broadband services provided using unbundled local loops5. • Where national regulatory authorities (NRAs) take decisions about prices for these services, incentives for the incumbent and its rivals to rollout broadband infrastructure need to be preserved. If a cost oriented price for a bitstream service is imposed, NRAs will need to take account of investments in other new products which have failed, the asymmetric risks which incumbents face when making sunk investments in new technology products in competitive market places, and the rate of price/performance improvements of new technology components. Detailed analysis can be found in the main report. III The mobile network services markets Industry structure The mobile industry structure is very different from that in the fixed services industry. While the fixed incumbents still provides well over 95% of fixed connections in most Member States, the largest mobile operator typically has a market share of between 40% and 60%. There are three to five 2G operators offering service in all member states with an additional greenfield 3G licensee in many. In 13 of the 15 members states the leading mobile operator (MNO) is a subsidiary of the fixed incumbent. There are in addition a number of independent service providers reselling MNO services and a growing number of aggregators, content providers and applications developers involved in the supply chain for data services. There is a general, but not universal, support for the thesis that we will see consolidation in the EU mobile industry over the next few years as a result of economy of scale effects. However, there is also a general view that the level of infrastructure competition in the supply of mobile network services will remain satisfactory in most EU Member States after consolidation and that competition law provides a satisfactory mechanism for dealing with any competition issues which may arise from consolidation in these Member States. We conclude that: 5 In October 2002, this proportion was at 2.5%. By June 2003, it had reached 4.7%. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 8 • there is no need for the European Commission to institute ex ante EU-wide measures to deal with competition problems arising from consolidation of the mobile industry; and • it is important that NRAs do not intervene to preserve non-viable mobile operators who come to them seeking regulatory relief. Access for MVNOs and value added service providers There are a growing number of calls from independent service providers, MVNOs and value added service providers to gain access to the customers and services of the MNOs on regulated terms. But there are also arguments against introducing such regulation. In particular: • it is important to preserve the current level of infrastructure based competition within the mobile industry, especially given the prospects for consolidation discussed above. Mandatory access for service providers would reduce future investment incentives for mobile operators; • there are strong market incentives for mobile operators to reach satisfactory commercial arrangements with service providers, especially now that spare capacity on 3G networks is becoming available; • it is clear that many mobile operators, especially the smaller operators, are following an open approach to data and Internet services, rather than a walled garden approach; and • a walled garden approach can have value in helping to build user confidence in new data services and in offering consumer protection. Mobile operators can make sure that walled gardens services are easy to use, offer predictable prices and minimise the risk of fraud6. 3G Roll Out There are serious problems of site acquisitions and site sharing, especially for greenfield 3G operators in 3G roll out. However the problems are complex and vary across member states. We can see little merit in preserving restrictions on network sharing. So we recommend that the European Commission should examine whether it is practical for the restrictions on network sharing which exist in many Member States to be removed. Should 3G roll out conditions be relaxed? According to mobile operators roll out conditions are not especially onerous, except in Sweden. Even here it should be possible, given that W-CDMA cell sizes depend on levels of use, to interpret licence conditions flexibly so as to align them with current projections of market demand. Assuming that such a flexible approach is possible, we conclude that there is no case for EU-wide action to modify existing 3G roll-out conditions. 6 A mobile operator which offers only a walled garden approach could reduce the level of competition and will reduce consumer choice. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 9 Regulating the prices of mobile call termination Should mobile operators be subject to requirements for cost orientation and nondiscrimination when charging for their call termination services? The issue of cost orientation is currently the subject of administrative and judicial review in a number of member states. Accordingly, we do not believe that it is appropriate to take a position in relation to this issue. However, we do recommend that the European Commission should: • consider whether it should issue guidance requiring NRAs to ensure that mobile operators charge regulated call termination prices in a non-discriminatory fashion and, in particular, do not discriminate between charges to rivals and charges to their own retail business. • consider what price differences between mobile operators should be allowed when setting a regulated call termination price. For example, should differences in call volumes, which lead to higher unit costs for smaller operators, be reflected in the price differences? • consider to what extent the arguments which lead to regulated prices for 2G mobile voice termination should apply to other services such as SMS call termination, 3G voice call termination and MMS call termination. IV Broadcasting services Potential barriers to competition from rights acquisition and exercise Control of rights to premium content may have a foreclosing effect, particularly where such rights relating to a wide variety of content are held by individual platform operators. The same effect may occur in relation to the licensing of rights to TV programme content with embedded enhanced functionality. We therefore recommend that the European Commission should: • use competition law and its attendant procedures (where appropriate) to limit exclusive rights to TV programme content, particularly where such rights are of broad scope (both in terms of platforms and number and variety of rights) and are of long duration. • consider developing guidelines relating to content rights, based on case law to date. • study further the issues associated with embedded enhanced content to see whether broadcast content and embedded enhanced content should be considered as separate markets. Relationship between channel supply and access to platforms Such relationships are the interface between content and the regulatory regime applying to electronic communication services (ECS). Within the regulatory framework, there is variation in the treatment of substitutability between transmission on cable and satellite platforms. There appears to be more consistency in the treatment of analogue terrestrial Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 10 broadcasting transmission services as complements to these other transmission services. It is not clear how the remedies that might be imposed on a provider of broadcasting transmission services with SMP under the ECNS regulatory framework will operate in practice. For example, it is not clear whether an “access” obligation would effectively confer on content providers a right to access to transmission services, even though they are not otherwise within the scope of the ECNS regime. We recommend that the Commission and the Member States consider carefully the variation between Member States when identifying relevant broadcasting transmission markets and consider the appropriate form of obligations to be imposed on entities found to have SMP in the relevant market(s). Consistent Regulatory Treatment of Competing Services The nature and scope of must carry obligations currently vary widely across Member States. The regulatory framework is unlikely to lead to a review of channel bouquet lineups and pricing decisions currently applied in a number of Member States. The Commission should further investigate the related legal issues to ensure that ‘must carry’obligations remain appropriate and proportionate. The regulatory framework does not apply to services providing or exercising editorial control over content transmitted over the networks. The Television Without Frontiers regime uses the ‘television broadcasting’concept.7 The gaps and overlaps between these concepts and the different impact of each regime is already beginning to open up potential regulatory lacunae. These differences can be seen in relation to the scope of each regime, the underlying jurisdictional basis and the powers conferred on regulators in relation to the different services. The Commission should undertake a comprehensive review of the overlaps of, gaps between, and boundaries of, these regulatory distinctions to ensure that the application of different regulation to different services does not defeat the Community's digital economy aims. Conditional Access Systems Limited regulatory attention has been focussed on interpreting the “fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory” access obligation under the regulatory framework. Any review of the remedy should entail consideration of: • whether an obligation on conditional access systems might provide the most appropriate means to address the regulatory mischief; 7 Defined as the initial transmission of television programmes intended for reception by the public, including communication of programmes between undertakings with a view to their being relayed to the public. It does not include communication services providing items of information or other messages on individual demand such as telecopying, electronic data banks and other similar activities. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 11 • the extent to which other aspects of service provision (e.g., access to transmission services and/ or platforms and the impact of ‘must carry’obligations) impact on the appropriateness and proportionality of remedies; and • whether only ‘broadcasters’should be the beneficiaries of any access obligations. NRAs and the Commission should consider carefully the likely impact of lifting the existing fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory access obligations from providers without SMP and the appropriateness and proportionality of the current and other potential access obligations. Interoperable iTV services The regulatory framework legislation contemplates the possibility of mandating standards for middleware to ensure the interoperability of iTV services (e.g., the ability of interactive content to be ported between platforms with the minimum amount of reauthoring). We have found that authoring tools facilitate the porting of content. However the following factors reduce the portability of content and applications: transmission bandwidth (particularly the return channel), network integration, processing resources (in the set-topbox), different APIs, transaction processing and linguistic and cultural issues. Platform-independent content interchange formats provide enhanced portability through a mechanism for describing applications in a platform-neutral manner (also called “authoring at a high level”). Such an approach separates content and templates, allowing the generation of platform-specific versions on services. Industry estimates that approximately 80% of current iTV applications could be authored using platform-independent languages. The Commission should identify, before July 2004, the relevant market failures, with a view to focussing on whether they relate to standardisation or interoperability. It should also explore the extent to which authoring tools could address such failures. V e-services Competition between e-service suppliers There are no barriers to competition in the supply of global Internet connectivity by backbone Internet Service Providers (ISPs) or in the supply of corporate e-services which warrant regulatory intervention. However, there are problems in the supply of consumer oriented e-services. Independent consumer oriented ISPs are seeking lower, cost oriented, prices for bitstream access and complain about discrimination by fixed incumbents. These ISPs claim that they will exit the market if there is no regulatory intervention. If true, this leads to a difficult choice for NRAs. If they attempt to preserve service competition from such ISPs by setting cost-based prices on a low level, they could significantly reduce further infrastructure investment. The European Commission should investigate claims of discrimination and take appropriate action. The issue of access pricing is dealt with in Section I of this executive summary. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 12 The role of e-payment mechanisms and regulation The primary barrier to the introduction of e-payment services arises from the potential for pre-paid micropayment systems to fall under the onerous and expensive regulations applicable to e-money. The key factor that is accepted in some, but not all, Member States as distinguishing such micropayment mechanisms and e-money is the requirement that the latter be accepted by undertakings other than the issuer of the value. There is currently wide variation in the interpretation of when value is ‘accepted’by a body other than the issuer. The European Commission and national authorities should consider issuing guidance as to the scope of the application of e-money regulation to pre-paid micropayment systems. In the meantime the relevant authorities should also consider guidance relating to: • the appropriate and proportionate mechanisms to separate pre-paid value from issuer funds • the need for redeemability requirements in relation to small value pre-payments • the proportionality and appropriateness of the money laundering requirements. VI Software supply for ECNS Software suppliers will play an increasingly important part in the value chain of the ECNS industry and in particular in the development of 3G mobile services through the supply of: • operating systems and web browsers for mobile terminals; • wireless middleware for mobile network services and, more generally; • web services to enable different software systems to interoperate. There are currently neither competition problems nor requirements for regulatory intervention in these areas. VII Policy issues: Separation of the incumbent Market power within the telecommunications service industry in the EU remains firmly concentrated in the hands of those organisations which formerly provided service on a monopoly basis. However, the incumbent’s various businesses could be established as legally separate entities (legal separation) or as separately owned businesses (divestiture). We have analysed where the costs of separation may be exceeded by the benefits it brings. We find that: • the case for divesting the incumbent’s fixed access network from the rest of its fixed network business and running it as a separate entity is weak. • the case for divesting the fixed network business of the incumbent from its retail business is stronger, but still weak. • there is a strong case for incumbents to divest themselves of their CATV operations . • there is, as yet, no case to require incumbents to divest themselves of their mobile subsidiaries. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 13 VIII Policy issues: Measures for effective competition In trying to enable the growth in public welfare benefits which competition in the ECNS markets can bring, NRAs are constantly faced with the problem of trying to determine the proper relationship between measures designed to promote infrastructure-based competition and measures designed to promote service-based competition: • where it is viable, infrastructure-based competition is better than service based competition. It requires less regulatory intervention and so reduces the scope for regulatory error and the economic costs which such errors generate. It also generates more competitive pressure. Pure service-based competition puts pressure on the incumbent in terms of retail efficiency, customer service innovation and price levels. Infrastructure competition does the same, but creates additional pressures on the incumbent to innovate in network services, to differentiate in terms of products and pricing structures and to improve overall cost efficiency and quality of service. In other words, infrastructure based competition generates dynamic benefits. • unfortunately, infrastructure based competition is not always viable – especially in the supply of fixed network services where there are substantial economies of scale and scope and where the scale of the sunk investment required makes investment risks for new entrants too high. • in these circumstances, it makes sense for NRAs to introduce ex ante measures8 which enable service based competition at the retail level. Measures designed to promote service-based competition tend to have a rapid and visible effect on retail competition in telecommunications. When priced appropriately, they can also provide a stepping stone to infrastructure-based competition. By competing at the service level, entrants can build a customer base and revenues with little investment risk and then migrate the customers to their own facilities. • however, where wholesale prices are set too low measures to promote service based competition can have unintended and damaging consequences. For example, they can undermine infrastructure based competition or, more importantly, they can undermine infrastructure investment in new technology services. Based on this analysis we recommend that NRAs should take account of the following factors in determining the right balance between measures designed to promote infrastructure and service based competition: • the relatively poor prospects for investment in further infrastructure-based competition in fixed services. • the fact that a significant proportion of this competition is currently based on price averaging by the incumbent, both in terms of geography and customer groups. • the need to set regulated prices for new technology services which do not remove the incentives for infrastructure investment by the incumbent and new entrants. 8 Such as mandatory carrier pre-selection and call origination services; requiring wholesale line rental offerings or; supplying DSL access services at regulated prices Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 14 • the need to pursue a consistent long term regulatory policy towards infrastructurebased operators. Given its superiority over service based competition we recommend for implementation 11 measures which are designed to maximise infrastructure based competition without encouraging inefficient investment. We propose two measures to increase infrastructure investment: • regulatory authorities should ensure that they pursue a consistent long term regulatory policy towards infrastructure-based operators. • NRAs should set the prices of inputs which promote service-based competition at levels which preserve incentives for infrastructure investment by incumbents and their infrastructure based rivals, as discussed in Section I. We propose four measures to increase cross platform competition: • the EU and individual Member States should take what steps they can to require fixed incumbents to divest themselves of any remaining interests in CATV network operators. • NRAs and national competition authorities in Member States where the fixed incumbent owns the leading mobile operator, should monitor the possibility of leverage between these two parts of the incumbent’s business closely. Where anti-competitive conduct occurs, they should consider requiring structural separation or divestiture. • NRAs should ensure that the call termination charges of fixed and mobile operators are regulated on a consistent basis . • NRAs or national competition authorities should investigate whether mobile operators are acting in an anti-competitive manner in the pricing of the services which they offer to large corporate customers for the termination of their voice traffic on public networks. Finally we propose five measures to increase cross platform competition: • NRAs should allow the infrastructure-based rivals to the incumbent – whether fixed or mobile – to set call termination charges which allow them to recover the efficiently incurred costs of an operator of their size and topology. • NRAs should make an explicit, but not necessarily quantitative, assessment of the costs and benefits of any regulatory measure which is designed to enable service-based competition. • NRAs should make their current policy on geographical averaging of the fixed incumbent’s retail prices explicit. Then, before allowing the incumbent to geographically de-average prices further, they should consider the likely impact on infrastructure-based competition. • given the relatively low level of infrastructure-based competition in fixed network services in many member states, each NRA should consider whether it should provide explicit entry assistance to infrastructure-based rivals to the fixed incumbent. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 15 • the relevant authorities should ensure that the EU rules on the use of state aid to fund telecommunications investments are implemented rigorously. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 1 16 Introduction 1.1 The scope of the study In February 2003 the European Commission asked Ovum9 to carry out a wide ranging review of barriers to competition in the supply of electronic communications networks and services (“ECNS”) in the EU. We have structured our analysis, and our report, to look at the five broad market areas shown in the value chain diagram of Figure 1.1. As Figure 1.1 shows our study ranges beyond the boundaries of ECNS, into broadcast and Information Society Services and software markets. We consider it important to explore these issues, so as to ensure that we identify barriers to competition in ECNS markets which arise through leverage from related markets. Figure 1.1 The scope of the study CPE supply End users Chapter 6 Fixed network services (Chapter 2) Mobile network services (Chapter 3) TV broadcast Chapters 4 Network software Chapter 7- divestiture by fixed incumbent e-services (Chapter 5) Chapter 8 - Infrastructure v service based competition Content supply The individual chapters cover the following issues: • in Chapter 2, we look at barriers to competition in the supply of fixed network services. We divide our analysis into six main parts: • barriers to competition in the supply of services to the corporate market (Section 2.2). 9 A team lead by David Lewin and David Rogerson from Ovum and Peter Alexiadis and Miranda Cole then of Squire Sanders and now of Gibson, Dunn and Crutcher Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 17 • barriers to competition in the supply of mass market narrow band services (Section 2.3). • barriers to infrastructure-based competition in the supply of mass broadband access (Section 2.5). • barriers to service-based competition in the supply of mass broadband access (Section 2.6). • competition problems associated with the supply of public WLANs (Section 2.7). • competition problems associated with the move to next generation networks (Section 2.9). We also mention briefly the problem of establishing a proper relationship between the service-based and infrastructure-based competition (Section 2.8). This problem is analysed in detail in Chapter 8. • in Chapter 3 we examine barriers to competition in the supply of mobile network services. In particular, we consider the growing importance of data services, the impact this has on supply chains and the potential barriers to competition which then arise. We also discuss the possibility of consolidation in the EU mobile industry as a result of economies of scale in the provision of service and the regulatory issues which this consolidation raises. • Chapter 4 considers barriers to competition in the supply of broadcast services. We consider issues of exclusive content and the balance between content and platform providers. We also raise for discussion the way in which the new regulatory framework defines content, deals with must carry obligations and treats access to conditional access systems. Finally we look in detail at the best way to ensure interoperability for interactive TV services over application programme interfaces • Chapter 5 looks at potential barriers to competition in the various segments of the e-services market. It covers consumer oriented ISPs, backbone ISPs, corporate ISPs and e-payment service providers. It then looks in detail at the regulation of micropayment services and the need to strike a balance between making these services viable and protecting consumers from their misuse • Chapter 6 analyses key software developments which will impact on competition in ECNS markets over the next few years. We look at four main areas: - the development of operating systems for mobile terminals the emergence of wireless middleware the evolution of Web Services the markets for web browsers for PCs and mobile terminals. In the last two chapters of our report we look at two competition problems which affect the ECNS markets more generally: • in Chapter 7 we consider the concentration of market power which currently lies in the hands of the fixed incumbents of most member states and examine the case for requiring the incumbent to divest itself of various businesses Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 18 • In Chapter 8 we look in detail at the problem of establishing the proper relationship between infrastructure-based and service-based competition so as to maximise effective competition in the telecommunications industry (fixed and mobile) as a whole. 1.2 Our approach to the analysis In each of Chapters 2 to 5 we have adopted the same general approach: • to discuss the value chain of supply. See in particular Sections 2.1, 3.2, 3.3, 4.1 and 5.1. • to examine the current state of competition in the supply of services. See in particular Sections 2.3, 2.4, 3.4, and 3.5. • to identify barriers to competition in this supply. These are distributed throughout the text and our recommendations on how to deal with them are highlighted through the use of boxes and italic text. We identify and analyse the main barriers to competition in Sections 2.2 to 2.7 (fixed markets), Sections 3.6 to 3.18 (mobile markets), Sections 4.2 to 4.5 (broadcast markets) and Sections 5.2 to 5.5 (e-services markets). • to consider and, where appropriate, to propose regulatory measures to remove these barriers to competition. All the main measures are set out in, or cross referenced from, Chapter 8. We start our enquiry by looking for barriers to competition in the supply of services to end-users. Where problems arise, we then look further upstream along the value chain. We focus on: • identifying new barriers to competition which are created as result of market developments. This means that there is a focus on barriers to competition in the provision of broadband services. These barriers to competition are covered specifically in Sections 2.5 and 2.6 for the fixed network markets ; • barriers to competition which arise because of consolidation within the industry as players exit or merge with others. We discuss the consolidation of the mobile industry in Section 3.6; • barriers to competition which arise because regulatory initiatives have failed or appear to be failing. Accordingly, we have excluded from our enquiry barriers to competition for which there appear to be successful regulatory remedies such as requirements to supply private partial circuits to enable greater competition in the corporate sector; • barriers to competition which will become significant over the next three years, excluding barriers to competition which it appears might become important beyond 2006. We include a discussion of the competition problems which might arise from the migration to next generation IP networks in Section 2.9. But otherwise we focus on relatively short term issues; • barriers to competition in the provision of transport services. As such, we largely exclude consideration of barriers to competition in the supply of content – Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 19 although Section 4.2 considers the important relationship between content providers and platform operators. The focus of our report is on analysing markets where there are clear competition problems. This means that we pay relatively little attention to markets which are functioning well or to new and fast-changing markets where competition problems have yet to emerge. Many Internet based markets fall into these categories as our analysis in Chapter 5 shows. 1.3 The basis for our findings Our report is based on three main pieces of work : • first we analysed the industry value chains and market developments for the main ECNS market segments – fixed, mobile, TV broadcast and e-services. Based on this analysis, we identified a wide range of possible barriers to competition. • secondly we consulted to gather reactions from interested parties. We presented our analysis in a discussion document which we circulated widely for comment, and held meetings with key parties. • thirdly we investigated certain topics – broadband wholesale pricing, micropayment regulations, APIs, long term retail price control and divestiture of the fixed incumbent - in more detail, carrying out 16 additional interviews as we did so. Overall we carried out over 40 interviews involving over 30 different organisations which included user groups, NRAs, fixed incumbents, CATV operators, other alternative access network operators, ISPs, mobile operators, TV broadcasters and software suppliers. Figure 1.2 lists the organisations which provided inputs to the study. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 20 Figure 1.2 The organisations who contributed to our study NRAs and NRA groups IRG Oftel OPTA Fixed incumbents TDC Telecom Italia BT Deutsche Telekom Kingston Communications Mobile operators Hutchison 3G Orange Vodafone O2 T-Mobile GSM Association ISPs Tiscali AOL CATV operators Telenet UPC Dutch CATV Association ntl Other Alternative network operators e.biscom COLT AT&T Cable and Wireless Software suppliers Microsoft Symbian User groups INTUG TV service providers Open TV DVB AOL Time Warner Turner Broadcasting BSkyB UPC (CATV operator) ntl (CATV operator) Others OECD ECTA EP Star – Finland CEC experts on remedies Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 2 21 Fixed network services 2.1 The supply chain for fixed network services The supply chain for the delivery of fixed network services to end-users is complex. Following full liberalisation of the EU telecommunications markets in 1998, there are now many thousands of service providers and network operators delivering fixed network services to end-users and other service providers across the EU. Figure 2.1 provides a simplified version of these supply chains which attempts to capture the essential features of both narrowband and broadband supply. Figure 2.1 The supply chain for fixed network services End users Incumbent’s access network Indicates direction of delivery of a service LLU Incumbent’s core network facilities ISPs Rival’s access network Access Rival’s core network facilities Network services - incumbent and rivals Resale Resale Narrowband switchless resellers The main characteristics of this supply chain are as follows: • economies of scale in the provision of access networks mean that the fixed incumbent supplies the line connecting most customers to their telecommunications network supplier; • the nature of investment in access networks reinforces this trend. Alternative access network operators must make substantial up-front investment before they can start to build a customer base. Once made this investment is sunk – it cannot be re-used for other purposes. This substantially raises the risk of market entry when compared with the risks faced by incumbents – which in many cases had already made a large proportion of their infrastructure investments while they enjoyed a monopoly Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 22 • incumbents and their rivals use logically separate networks to deliver broadband and narrowband services to end users. But these networks share use of access network components, transmission ducts and transmission capacity to a considerable extent • the main alternative fixed access networks are supplied by companies which specialise in serving the corporate market (e.g., Equant and COLT); by CATV companies (e.g., Telenet, UPC and NTL) which serve the mass markets; and by local access network providers such as NetCologne. There are also broadband satellite operators providing alternative infrastructure; • many alternative access network providers have built their own infrastructure. But some rent unbundled local loops form the fixed incumbent, using either the loop as a whole or, in some cases, the high frequency part of the loop10 to provide broadband access • incumbents dominate in the supply of narrowband access services11. But, as shown in Figure 2.2, they now face substantial competition in the long distance and international calls markets. They also face significant competition in the local calls market in some Member States12. Regulatory initiatives which require incumbent operators to offer cost-based call origination and carrier selection (and preselection) to rivals have had considerable success here. These services entail rivals purchasing core network services13 from the fixed incumbent; • infrastructure competition in the supply of broadband access is stronger than in narrowband access. But it is very variable across the EU. In several member states well over 80% of broadband access services are supplied by the incumbents; in several others the fixed incumbent supplies less than 50%. This variation largely reflects the extent to which the fixed incumbent faces competition from CATV operators • ISPs, like Tiscali and AOL, buy access services at wholesale prices, largely from fixed incumbents; and • switchless resellers buy end-to-end services at wholesale prices, again, largely from the fixed incumbent. 10 Shared access 11 With incumbents supplying over 95% of narrowband lines in most member states 12 Such as Italy. 13 Such as call origination Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 23 Figure 2.2 The market share of incumbents in key narrowband markets Country Market share (outgoing minutes) Belgium Denmark local long distance international Years since full liberalisation na na 52% 6 na na 53% 8 Finland 93% na 54% 8 France 85% 62% 63% 6 Germany 96% 63% 48% 6 Greece 100% 99% 97% 3 Ireland 88% 59% 66% 5 Luxembourg 89% na 72% 3 Netherlands 83% 76% 62% 5 Portugal Spain UK Source: 8 TH na 90% 70% 3 77% 84% 82% 4 76% 48% 30% 11 Implementation Report; information not available for Austria, Italy or Sweden 2.2 Competition in corporate markets Competition in the provision of fixed network services – both narrowband and broadband – to large corporate customers is much stronger than it is in the mass market. It is much easier for service providers to justify direct connection to large corporate sites14 given the substantial revenues that these sites generate. So alternative network operators have built out extensive fibre networks in many city centres and the incumbents in many Member States report market shares significantly below 50% in central business districts. For example, BT, which has faced competition longer than most incumbents in Europe, reports a market share of less than 20% in the City of London. There are problems, however, in that: • operators which specialise in providing services to corporate customers over their own facilities, such as Equant and Colt, generate EBITDA margins in the 5% to 10% range, whilst their incumbent rivals generate margins of approximately 30%. They specify the high cost of connectivity to customer sites as the key reason for their low profitability. There are few incentives for additional investment at such margins and there is little sign of improved margins in the near term in the projections of the financial analyst who follows these companies. • companies which serve the corporate sector have also indicated that it is difficult for them to compete for the business of large multi-site customers, particularly 14 Especially those located in major cities. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 24 those with branch structures, through a single deal15. Our estimates suggest that this set of customers represents between 10% to 15% of the total business market. The ubiquitous incumbent can reach all of the sites of such customers. However, its rivals cannot reach the small or remote sites without either generating a loss or setting an uncompetitive price • until very recently competitive local carriers and ISPs have reported substantial problems in buying partial private circuits (or half circuits) at cost oriented prices and at levels of granularity in terms of bandwidth which match their requirements. Despite these problems, there is a general view among those interviewed for the study that the (relatively) new obligations on incumbent operators to supply partial private circuits, bitstream DSL services and unbundled local loops should address these problems. We recommend that the European Commission should: • review the supply position for partial private circuits to see whether fixed incumbents are now supplying partial private circuits at cost oriented prices in all members states • take no further action in relation to the corporate sector until such time as it is clear that current measures are failing. 2.3 Competition in narrowband fixed services Inspection of Figure 2.2 and analysis of the value chain indicate that: • competition in the long-distance and international narrowband markets of the EU is growing steadily towards satisfactory levels following liberalisation. In the UK the incumbent now holds significantly less than half of this market. Other countries which liberalised more recently are on track to reach a similar position in time. • competition in the local calls market is significantly weaker in virtually all member states than competition in the long-distance markets and • there is relatively little competition in the supply of narrowband access services – especially in the mass markets of consumers and SMEs. • except for the long distance calls markets, incumbents hold market shares of between 80% and 100% • new entrants in the long distance calls market typically pay 60% to 80% of their turnover to incumbents for the use of their networks. Based on our research we see little prospects of any increase in the level of competition in the mass narrowband access market - although we see excellent prospects for CATV operators supplying subscriber access to narrowband call 15 For example, by offering a VPN service or through an outsourcing deal. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 25 services as part of triple play offerings. There are four main barriers to increases in competition here: • there are substantial economies of scale in the provision of access networks which make it difficult for infrastructure based rivals to become cost competitive • the old monopoly operator still has the advantages of incumbency. Entrants must make substantial marketing and sales expenditure to attract customers. Measures which require number portability have lowered the cost of attracting customers but costs remain substantial • the margins on narrowband access services are small or non-existent. Traditionally monopoly operators subsidised line rentals out of call revenues. Even after re-balancing margins on mass narrowband access remain unattractive in most members states • a high proportion of the cost of building an access network is sunk. Once investments are made they cannot be re-used for other purposes. This raises substantially the risks of market entry. Wholesale line rental This analysis has led several EU regulators to impose obligations on the fixed incumbent to supply narrowband lines to rivals on a wholesale basis through a wholesale line rental (WLR) product. This means that the incumbent is required to rent the narrowband access lines, and associated features provided at the local switch, to a rival at a wholesale price. This price may be cost oriented (as in the UK and Ireland) or set on a retail minus basis (as in Denmark). The purchaser then combines WLR with: • a carrier selection service; • cost based call origination and call termination products and • use of its own facilities, to provide a complete narrowband service to the customer. There is considerable disagreement amongst those interviewed during the study in relation to the merits of WLR. Proponents argue that: • the barriers to competition in the supply of narrowband access are permanent and insuperable; • WLR gives all mass market customers a choice of total telephone service packages from different operators rather than simply a choice of long distance operators; and • in the long term, WLR will enable NRAs to lift retail price control on incumbent operators completely. Opponents argue that: • WLR significantly reduces incentives for investment in alternative infrastructure especially by CATV operators who are considering investments in triple play Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 26 offerings. WLR is a national product and is not confined to those areas where there are limited prospects for increased infrastructure-based competition; • WLR is expensive to implement and requires micro regulation to specify the functionality of the WLR products which the incumbent should offer and to ensure adequate access to the OSS of the incumbent. BT, for example, claims to have spent several tens of millions of euros to date in implementing WLR in the UK; • WLR is inefficient in its use of network resources16. As Figure 2.3 shows, a local call from a WLR customer can use up to five times as many switches as an onnet call or 2.5 times as many switches as a call between two interconnected infrastructure operators; • WLR is aimed at a market where prospects are poor and revenues shrinking; and • WLR delivers little in the way of economic benefits. Call prices are already at competitive levels and the scope for greater efficiency in retail activities is limited. For example, we are told that the scope for reducing the costs of billing and debt collection by utilities who do joint billing of gas, electricity and telephony services are small. Given the balance of arguments listed above, we recommend that Member States investigate further whether WLR is effective in removing barriers to competition or whether it acts to deter infrastructure competition. 16 NRAs could overcome this problem by requiring incumbents to offer service providers end to end conveyance over their networks at cost oriented prices. But such an obligation – which is similar to the UNE-P requirement in the USA – would substantially undermine incentives for alternative infrastructure investment e.g. by CATV operators wanting to offer triple play services. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 27 Figure 2.3 The network inefficiencies of WLR - worst case scenario Switches used On net local call Incumbent’s local switch A A Local call between interconnected infrastructure operators Incumbent’s local switch WLR call A Incumbent’s local switch A Rival’s local switch A+B B Incumbent’s trunk switch WLR operator’s switch B C 2A + 2B + C The likely impact of a market decline Another important barrier to competition in narrowband services is the prospects for this market segment. The narrowband fixed services market is starting to contract, after many years of strong growth: • PSTN traffic in Denmark, Finland, Japan and Korea is already falling – typically at 10% to 20% per annum; and • we expect traffic in other Member States to follow this trend shortly. There are a number of explanations for this new trend. The most likely factors include: • the move to DSL access. We believe that much of the recent strong growth in PSTN traffic was generated by Internet dial-up access. This is now rapidly migrating to DSL access; • email is often substituted for fax and, to a lesser extent, for voice calls; and • users are switching from fixed to mobile services for voice calls. This is a relatively small effect so far in the European Union (when compared with the USA) as we discuss further below • users are beginning to switch voice traffic from circuit switched to VoIP based services offered by new entrants. This has had a major impact in Japan where traffic on the fixed circuit switched network fell 20% last year. VoIP services, especially those based on PC to PC communication and presence functions, could have a very substantial impact on voice-traffic in the future. The poor prospects for narrowband services have a number of implications for competition in this sector: Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 28 • falling traffic volumes mean that the incumbent’s fixed costs are recovered from a shrinking number of minutes. This in turn means higher unit costs for incumbents and so higher interconnect prices and lower margins for their rivals. However, falling traffic volumes mean higher unit costs only to the extent to which the size and capacity of the legacy network is maintained. We can expect that incumbents will manage to migrate at least part of their stranded equipment to broadband and mobile markets where traffic and capacity needs are growing; • the incumbent will have spare capacity on its circuit switched network and will probably price to use the spare capacity, while maintaining revenues17. This will put additional competitive pressure on rivals; and • we will not see new entry into this declining market. Such consequences of reduced traffic volumes are not amenable to regulatory intervention and should not be interpreted as an indication of market failure. It is important for NRAs to recognise this and to consider carefully what intervention, if any, is required, if and when hard pressed service providers seek regulatory relief as a result of such changes. Competition between fixed and mobile platforms Given the poor prospects for infrastructure competition in the narrowband fixed markets, and the problems associated with wholesale line rental, we might expect the mobile networks to offer the greatest competition to the fixed incumbent for the supply of basic voice telephony. In this respect a number of points are worth considering: • the evidence of competition between fixed and mobile platforms for basic voice telephony in the EU is mixed. The proportion of mobile only households can be as high as 30% in some member states as shown in Figure 2.4. In general a high proportion of mobile only households reflects limitations on the availability of fixed network services and mobile subscription fills this gap. Only in Finland do we see really strong displacement of fixed line access by mobile subscription. At the same time a recent study18 indicates that there is, as yet, relatively little competition between fixed and mobile networks for voice traffic in the EU with only about 1% of such traffic transferring from the fixed to the mobile network each year • some observers believe that we will see much greater competition between fixed and mobile operators in the EU once the mobile operators start to roll out 3G networks. These will provide approximately four times more capacity for voice calls than existing 2G networks and significant improvements in call quality. Filling them with voice traffic taken from the fixed operators is one way to start earning a 17 For example, by charging a relatively high cost per call and a low or zero cost per minute. 18 Mobile and Internet substitution; Enders Analysis, 11/02. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 29 return on the substantial investments required. It would appear that Hutchison 3G is adopting such a strategy in the EU countries where it is starting operations • call termination charges for fixed operators are regulated at cost based prices while, in most member states, mobile call termination charges are significantly above cost. This generates a transfer of money from the fixed to the mobile industry which should, at least in theory, strengthen the mobile industry’s ability to compete with the fixed network operators • there is much stronger competition between fixed and mobile operators in the USA, where the volume of fixed network long distance minutes is falling at 6% p.a., largely as a result of mobile substitution. This is partly as a result of very different price packaging in the USA and partly as a result of lower premiums over the prices charged by fixed operators for long distance calls. An obvious barrier to such competition in the EU is the fact that the fixed incumbent owns one of the main mobile operators in many Member States. It is clearly not in the interests of such players to increase competition between fixed and mobile networks for voice traffic. In contrast, in the USA, where the main competition is for long distance minutes, five of the six largest mobile operators are independent of long distance carriers or are owned by ILECs19. We analyse this issue in more detail in Chapter 7, where we look at possible divestiture by the incumbent, and in Chapter 8, where we look at measures to increase cross-platform infrastructure competition. 19 The sixth, Sprint PCS, is quoted separately on the US financial markets as a tracker stock. Sprint PCS reports separately from the rest of Sprint on its performance to the investor community. This then leads to changes in the price of the tracker stock. But the shareholder must trade Sprint shares as a whole and cannot trade Sprint PCS tracker stocks on their own. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 30 Figure 2.4 The proportion of mobile only households in the EU 35% 30% % households mobile only Finland 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% 102% % households fixed and/or mobile Source: EU Telecoms Services Indicators 2002 2.4 Mass broadband services – the state of competition Demand for mass broadband fixed network services20 is growing rapidly. By the end of 2003 we expect the number of such services to pass 25 million in the EU and by the end of 2007 to reach 90 million. In comparison there are just under 200 million fixed access lines currently in use in the EU. When considering barriers to competition in this market we need to distinguish between the mass market of consumers and small businesses and the corporate market of large businesses. We consider the mass market below, and the corporate market in Section 2.2. Many of the barriers to competition which exist in the mass market for narrowband services do not exist in the corresponding broadband market. For example: • the broadband market is a relatively new one and many of the advantages of 21 incumbency do not exist; 20 For this report we define as broadband any service offering more than 128kbit/s downstream to the customer. 21 However, remaining advantages include the ownership of a ubiquitous network, a well-known brand name, ownership of a large pre-existing customer base, detailed knowledge of market behaviour and customer characteristics, and massive Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 31 • the European Commission introduced the local loop unbundling Regulation 2887/2000 at the end of 2000. This requires incumbents to offer shared or full use of local loops at cost oriented prices and so helps transfer many of the economy of scale advantages in the provision of access networks from the incumbent to its rivals; and • at the same time, the retail market price for broadband access is several times higher than that for narrowband access. So it is not surprising that the level of competition in the supply of broadband access is higher than in the supply of narrowband access. But our research indicated that there are still significant barriers to competition in the supply of mass broadband services. As the analysis of this section and Sections 2.5 and 2.6 show: • economies of scale make it difficult for alternative infrastructure operators to compete with the fixed incumbent in the supply of broadband access. At the same time the sunk cost nature of the investments required raises the risk of market entry. Only CATV operators, who can exploit economies of scope between the provision of TV and telecommunications services, are in a good position to provide infrastructure based competition to the fixed incumbent in the supply of mass broadband products • incumbents have exploited their first mover advantage over those rivals who must rely on them for input to their own services. In many cases they have delayed local loop unbundling and in some cases offered wholesale DSL products after their retail DSL product. But these advantages are no longer especially relevant. Looking forward the main issues lie elsewhere • the high upfront investment required of local loop unbundlers is the main barrier to competition through local loop unbundling. Figures 2.5 and 2.6 show the supplier position for broadband services at the end of June 2003. investment in access networks, ducts and buildings which the entrant must duplicate to compete on equal terms. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 32 Figure 2.5 The supply of broadband services in the EU at 31/3/03 Country CATV retail using CATV network Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal Spain Sweden UK 330,000 400,000 157,304 63,000 312,707 45,000 0 4,000 0 1,071 842,000 263,000 404,473 156,400 1,098,000 Entrant retail using own facilities (excl CATV) 0 0 13,425 1,000 0 0 1,640 3,000 192,200 250 0 0 0 138,285 8,000 Total 4,076,955 357,800 Entrant retail Entrant retail using ULLs using incumbents wholesale DSL Incumbent retail using its own DSL Total 9,750 5,407 59,790 65,000 62,933 250,000 359 924 154,019 670 170,413 295 9,749 14,095 5,600 38,000 80,761 9,258 9,000 717,000 0 0 196 400,000 10 84 18,526 308,514 118,300 540,000 160,000 551,814 321,645 206,000 1,320,000 3,600,000 0 4,249 975,000 8,290 544,249 90,722 985,053 341,000 550,000 537,750 1,037,982 561,422 344,000 2,412,640 3,895,000 1,999 12,369 1,721,219 10,291 1,556,746 372,543 1,707,789 768,080 2,201,600 809,004 2,239,649 9,658,022 17,141,430 Source: ECTA Scorecard June 2003 We can see that: • the level of competition in the supply of broadband services varies considerably across the EU. In some countries, like France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg and Spain, the incumbent supplies over 80% of broadband services at the retail or wholesale level. But in other countries, like Austria, Greece, Ireland, the Netherlands, Portugal and the UK, the incumbent supplies less than 50% of such broadband services. • the main source of infrastructure competition to the fixed incumbent comes from CATV operators. Across the EU as a whole, CATV operators supplied 26% of broadband services at March 2003. In countries like Austria, the Netherlands, 22 Portugal and the UK, they supplied more than 50% of broadband services . • only a very small proportion of broadband access pipes are supplied in other ways by competitive access providers. Of the 5.9 million broadband connections in October 2002 only 213,000 or 4% fell into this category. The bulk of these are fibre connections supplied to businesses in city centres. Given the financial difficulties which many of these operators face we do not expect this proportion to grow substantially over the next few years. • local loop unbundling is relatively little used but its use is growing rapidly. In October 2002, the European Commission’s eighth implementation report indicated that 2.5% of broadband services were supplied using ULLs. According to ECTA this proportion had grown to 3.4% by March 2003 and to 4.7% by June 2003. 22 Despite passing less than 60% of households in three of these countries - Austria, Portugal and the UK. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 33 • incumbents sell a significant proportion of their broadband DSL services wholesale. Across the EU as a whole, incumbents have sold one wholesale DSL service for every five they have sold retail. Comparison of the statistics produced by ECTA also suggests that the fixed incumbents are strengthening their grip on the mass broadband market. In Q2 of 2003 alternative operators installed 8% more broadband services while incumbents supplied 17% more23. Figure 2.6 The level of infrastructure competition in the supply of broadband 100% Incumbent retail using its own DSL 90% 80% Entrant retail using incumbents wholesale DSL 70% 60% Entrant retail using ULLs 50% 30% Entrant retail using own facilities (excl CATV) 20% CATV retail using CATV network 40% 10% UK Lu xe Ital y m Ne bou r g th er lan ds Po rtu ga l Sp ain Sw ed en Au str Be ia lgi u De m nm ar k Fin lan d Fr an c G er e m an G y re ec e Ire lan d 0% Source: ECTA Scorecard June 2003 In analysing barriers to competition in the supply of mass market broadband access we consider first the prospects for infrastructure based competition to the fixed incumbent (Section 2.5) and then the measures which NRAs might take to promote competition in retail broadband supply by imposing obligations on fixed incumbents to offer wholesale products (Section 2.6). 23 Wholesale and retail Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 34 2.5 Mass broadband – infrastructure based competition The EU versus major trading rivals At the moment, the EU lags behind a number of its main trading rivals in the development of broadband. As Figure 2.7 shows: • the EU lags behind Japan, Korea and the USA in broadband penetration, but is expected to close the gap over the next two years; • price does not appear to be a factor which is suppressing demand in the EU; • the proportion of broadband services supplied by alternative infrastructure suppliers24 in the EU is significantly below that in Japan, Korea and the USA; • the potential for the EU to increase broadband infrastructure competition to the level enjoyed by these trading rivals is limited by the lower proportion of homes passed by CATV networks when compared with the USA or Korea. Even so, statistics from a recently published OECD report25 suggest that take up of broadband cable modems per hundred homes passed is currently much lower in the EU than in the USA, Korea or Japan; and • the great success of unbundled local loops for broadband services in Japan is based on pricing. NTT supplies unbundled local loops at $1-60 per month and cheap dark fibre to rivals. These prices appear to be set based on historic costs, rather than any economically efficient forward looking pricing standard. This leads to prices which are significantly below replacement cost and which remove incentives for further infrastructure investment. We would not recommend such an approach in the EU. Comparisons between countries suggests that there are limits on the extent to which the EU can increase broadband infrastructure competition to match its trading rivals. 26 However, it is clearly important, given the merits of infrastructure competition , that it should attempt to do so. We review the prospects below. 24 We include services provided by unbundled local loops in this category. 25 Broadband and Telephony Services over CATV networks, OECD, August 2003. 26 As discussed in Chapter 8. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 35 Figure 2.7 Comparisons between the EU and major trading rivals Measure EU Japan Korea USA 0.9% 4.0% 10.3% 1.2% 6.8% 10.9% 10.4% 25.5% 32.9% 3.3% 7.6% 13.4% %of broadband services provided by: alternative infrastructure service providers ULL based infrastructure service providers 26% 3% 25% 40% 50% ~0% 57% 3% Total % 28% 65% 50% 60% $20 to$40 1.5% $18 0.7% $25 3.1% $40 to $50 1.5% 47% 27% 70% 97% Broadband penetration/00 population 1/01 1/03 1/05 Retail price of basic DSL service: $ per month % of GDP per head per year Households passed by CATV networks as % all TV households Source: Ovum research; OECD Competition from CATV networks As Figure 2.5 shows, CATV operators currently offer the strongest competition to the fixed incumbent in the supply of broadband services over alternative infrastructure. This competition is possible largely because of the economies of scope which CATV operators enjoy in the “triple play” provision of TV, telephony and fast Internet access27. Moreover, the development of VoIP now offers the prospect for CATV operators to add voice services to broadband Internet access and television services at relatively low cost. Accordingly, we might expect CATV operators to provide strong broadband competition to the incumbent through triple play offerings over the next few years. As Figure 2.8 shows, CATV networks pass more than 50% of households in ten of the fifteen Member States and, in many cases, the proportion of households 28 which subscribe to CATV network services continues to grow . In addition e.biscom has shown that, in the absence of CATV operators, viable infrastructure competition based is possible using other conventional technologies. e.biscom for example uses a mix of optical fibre and unbundled local loops rather than coaxial cable connections to offer triple play services in the major cities of Italy. 27 We define fast Internet access as access at downstream speeds in excess of 128 kbit/s. 28 In contrast to PSTN access lines where demand is stagnant. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 36 Figure 2.8 CATV network reach in the EU Member States Member state Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Sweden UK % homes passed by CATV network 53% 100% 71% 59% 35% 83% na 78% 1% 94% 60% 29% 65% 50% % growth in Subscribers last 4 years 2001 (m) 17% 3% 8% 14% 58% 21% na 42% na 7% 190% 1200% 9% 80% 1.2 3.8 1.1 1.0 3.4 21.8 na 0.6 0.1 6.2 1.1 0.5 2.1 3.6 Source: Ovum estimates based on OECD statistics The prospects for future growth of the CATV operators are mixed. In some countries, like Spain and Portugal, we have seen significant growth in the number of CATV subscribers in the last four years. But this is from a relatively small base. In other countries, like Belgium and the Netherlands, CATV networks are long established and market penetration is high. So the prospects for growth are limited. In other countries, like the UK, financial problems limit the prospects for growth. The financial performance of the two main CATV operators in the UK - NTL and Telewest – are open for inspection. It is clear from such inspection that: • once the CATV network is built, it is possible to generate good profits from supplying bundles of broadband and narrowband services to the mass market. NTL and Telewest both operate at EBITDA margins in excess of 20% and project margins comparable with those generated by incumbents within two to three years; but • the substantial capital investment required to build the networks has so far generated negative returns and is unlikely ever to generate a market rate of return. We conclude from this analysis that: • we will see growth in some member states in both the coverage footprints and subscriber take up for CATV services. • even in countries where financial difficulties limit expansion of the coverage footprint, CATV operators will exert significant competitive pressure on the fixed incumbent. There is a further barrier to future infrastructure based competition from cable networks. In several countries the major part of the CATV infrastructure remains in the ownership of the fixed incumbent. We consider this issue in detail in Chapter 7 of our report. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 37 Competition from new technology networks Are there other possible sources of access network infrastructure competition? Alternative technologies - such as fixed wireless access and use of electricity power lines– are possible options which, if successful, could create strong infrastructure based competition to the fixed incumbent. Our assessment of the prospects of these two technologies are very different: • powerline communications (PLC), in which telecommunications signals are carried over the electricity distribution network from the local transformer to the customer premises, has been a promising but little used technology for 10 years. For many years limited reliability and interference problems have prevented successful mass deployment of PLC. Now the recent liberalisation of the electricity sector, advances in chip technology, and better control over radio interference have combined to generate strong renewed interest in PLC. With 175 million power lines into customer premises29, the potential impact of PLC on infrastructure-based competition is very substantial. • fixed wireless access, like PLC, has a lot of theoretical attractions and may be deployed by fixed incumbents as the lowest cost way of serving rural customers30 with broadband access. But whether fixed wireline access will provide competitive local carriers with the infrastructure they require is highly debatable. A recent Ovum study suggests that the unit costs of fixed wireline access mean that it is simply not cost competitive with ADSL access. Figure 2.9 illustrates. For the moment there is considerable debate about whether the second generation PLC equipment which is now available can safely be deployed or whether it will interfere to an unacceptable degree with existing radio communication services in the 1.6 to 30 MHz bands. The European Commission is leading a consultation process to try to resolve these difficulties and might issue a Recommendation on PLC deployment in future. For the moment however the position is highly uncertain. There are (at least) three possible outcomes: • PLC becomes a major new technology for providing broadband access and offers a powerful new source of infrastructure based competition to the fixed incumbent and the CATV operators. • PLC interference problems continue to restrict deployment. • PLC interference problems are solved but PLC still does not offer viable business models to the power companies and their partners for mass broadband deployment. In many ways the power companies using PLC face similar upfront costs in providing backhaul from electricity substations to a core network as local loop unbundlers face when backhauling from a main distribution frame. As we discuss in Section 2.6 such upfront costs have played a major part in suppressing demand for unbundled local loops. 29 Over 200 million in the enlarged EU. 30 Where local loops are too long to allow use of ADSL. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 38 We conclude that: • given PLC’s potential as a source of infrastructure based competition it is important to resolve the interference problems which PLC equipment currently faces. • uncertainties over the future impact of PLC on infrastructure based competition make it important to consider regulatory measures to strengthen competition in the supply of broadband services in addition to any impact which PLC will have. Figure 2.9 The unit costs of mass broadband technologies Technology Total cost Cost per line Notes DSLAM: $940,000 $205 Approximate costs based on a 9,000-line DSLAM $275 Approximate costs based on a 200-line DSLAM $2,100 Approximate costs based on a 200-line SDH box $510 Approximate costs based on 1,000 customers $1,010 Approximate costs based on 1,000 customers $2,700 Approximate costs based on 1,000 customers Fixed line Large ADSL DSLAM CPE: $100 Small ADSL DSLAM DSLAM: $35,000 CPE: $100 SDH over optical fibre SDH multiplexor: $20,000 CPE: $2,000 Wireless Licence-free FWA Base station: $10,000 CPE: $500 3.5GHz FWA Base station: $35,000 CPE: $1,000 26GHz FWA Base station: $70,000 CPE: $2,000 Source: Ovum Competition through alternative ownership models There is another possible model of supply which involves the use of conventional technologies but novel forms of ownership. Under such models: • a building developer or the community owns the access network which serves a business park, large apartment block or new housing estate; and • this owner allows various service providers to connect to its access network at a point of interconnection and serve the tenants on a competitive basis. Such ownership models exist in a number of EU Member States. We can see no need for regulatory intervention to either promote or constrain such models, providing Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 39 that the tenant has the right to choose his or her service provider (so as not to distort competition). We do not know whether tenants have such rights in all Member States. We recommend that Member States should review the rights of tenants to choose their service provider where a landlord owns the local access network to which wide area network services are connected. Infrastructure competition - the impact of state funding The European Commission recently approved the use of structural and government funds to support broadband rollout in less favoured areas. Such funding is intended to minimise the prospects of a digital divide emerging between the different parts of the EU. In approving such funding, the European Commission set out conditions under which such funds can be applied31. For example: • funds should support programmes which are part of coherent development plans; • funds should be targeted at areas that would “be neglected under free market conditions”; • funding should only be granted where there is a competitive environment and where the incumbent’s tariffs have been fully re-balanced; and • funding should be technology neutral. Despite these guidelines, virtually all respondents to our study remain concerned that state funds will lead, and already are leading, to distortions of competition. They claim that the EU guidelines on use of state funding are being ignored. All support the idea of using government funds to minimise the digital divide between urban and rural communities, as long as: • such funds are used only in areas where market led investment will not take place. Funding in other areas reduces incentives for alternative infrastructure investment. Operators claim that local authorities are already breaching such 32 constraints in places like Dublin, Norwich (UK), Amsterdam and Stockholm; • such funds are used in ways which do not distort competition. Alternative access network operators are concerned that government authorities will issue requests for proposal which, by their size and nature, rule out such operators from making a competitive bid, effectively handing the contract to the incumbent; and 31 Guidelines on Information Society and Telecommunications Infrastructure, March 2003. 32 Where fibre access is planned using State funds Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 40 • government authorities, in selecting successful bidders, take account of dynamic as well as static economic efficiencies33 Current EC guidelines explicitly prohibit34 such considerations. We recommend that the European Commission investigate these complaints further to see if they have substance and, if so, to develop more detailed guidance for Member States to follow on funding of broadband rollout and other ECNS platforms. 2.6 Mass broadband – service based competition Introduction In carrying out their market analysis NRAs will need to consider: • whether infrastructure based competition35 provides sufficient competitive pressure on fixed incumbents so as to maximise the benefits of competitive supply of mass broadband access services; and • if not, what wholesale broadband products a fixed incumbent should supply in order to maximise sustainable and effective competition. It is clear from Figures 2.5 and 2.6 that there is considerable variation in the competitive supply of broadband services at the retail level and that fixed incumbents will need to supply wholesale products under ex-ante regulation in some, but not necessarily all, member states. So in this section we consider how best to resolve these two issues. Market definitions and findings of SMP The answer to the first question is closely linked to the market reviews in which the NRAs are currently involved and in particular the review of the wholesale unbundled access market (Market 11) and wholesale broadband access market (Market 12). It is inappropriate for us to offer any guidance on this review process. But based on our discussions with interviewees in the course of our study we note the following points. First there is considerable debate on the precise definition of sub-markets, especially within Market 12. In particular there is debate on: • the lower limit on the downstream speed of a service before it is excluded from broadband services. Some authorities propose a lower limit of 128kbits/s; others 33 i.e., they should consider the position five years from now. If they choose the incumbent now, will they effectively be opting for a monopoly in perpetuity with all the loss of dynamic efficiency that would entail? 34 e.g., Section 5 on Tendering Processes 35 Supplemented by the activities of local loop unbundlers which Regulation 2887/2000 enables Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 41 256kbit/s. In addition, some operators argue that broadband and narrowband services are, in certain circumstances, in the same market. • whether symmetric and asymmetric broadband services are in the same or different markets. A number of NRAs have ruled that these two service types are in separate markets. • whether symmetric broadband services are in the same market as the wholesale terminating segment of leased lines (Market 13 identified in the Recommendation). • whether broadband access36 and broadband conveyance are in the same or different markets. • whether wholesale services for business and residential customers are in the same or in different markets. • whether there is a single national market for the supply of wholesale products or whether the geographic areas in which CATV operators offer service are in a different market from those areas where they are absent. Secondly the answer to the question of whether the fixed incumbent is considered to have SMP in these markets, once defined, could vary considerably across the EU. • in some Member States, it is reasonably clear that there is a strong case for an SMP finding in relation to Market 12. • in others37, where the fixed incumbent holds less than 50% of the retail broadband market, the case requires careful consideration. Any SMP assessment is complicated by the fact that, while CATV operators in these countries compete vigorously at the retail level, they rarely offer wholesale broadband products. There are a number of reasons put forward by the CATV operators for this lack of wholesale supply: - it is technically more difficult for CATV operators, who run a shared access network, to supply wholesale products than it is for incumbents who operate local loops dedicated to specific customers; - CATV operators believe that they can generate more revenue by selling broadband Internet access on a retail basis alone. Selling wholesale might lead to more customers, but it would weaken their brand and reduce opportunities for cross-selling TV and voice telephony services; and 36 Defined as carriage from the end user to the local exchange or RCU. 37 e.g., Austria, the Netherlands, Portugal and the UK. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS - 42 CATV operators typically only cover a part of a Member State, while potential ISP customers normally offer services nationally38. This lack of national coverage means that a CATV operator would need to sell at prices below the incumbent’s wholesale offering to generate demand. • some argue that the lack of wholesale products from CATV operators means that the incumbent has SMP, even when CATV operators supply the major part of the retail broadband market. Others argue that such a market is contestable and that CATV operators would begin to supply wholesale services if the fixed incumbent raised its price significantly. If contestability is established, the case for ex ante regulation is weaker. • these issues are inherently tied with an assessment of the appropriate manner in which to address self-supply and captive supply in the context of the new regulatory framework. What products should the fixed incumbent offer? If the fixed incumbent is found to have SMP in the wholesale broadband market(s), what services should it be required to offer? Currently incumbents offer three broad types of wholesale product39, as illustrated in Figure 2.109, namely: • IP level wholesale DSL service in which the purchaser buys the incumbent’s retail DSL product at a wholesale price set by the market or by the NRA on a retail minus basis. Normally, the pricing structure and the functionality of this product reflect that of the retail product. The bitstream might be delivered to the ISP via a managed or unmanaged IP network and may or may not be bundled with global Internet connectivity. • bitstream DSL service. The incumbent still provides a DSL service and backhaul40 to the purchaser’s point of presence. However, the purchaser is able to specify the balance between upstream and downstream speed, the contention ratio for the backhaul, and the location of the point of interconnect within the incumbent’s ATM network. Such a product enables the purchaser to differentiate its offering from that of the incumbent and to offer different retail price structures. • unbundled local loops. The purchaser rents the local loop (or uses the high frequency spectrum within the loop) from the incumbent and provides DSL service and backhaul itself. Such a product is currently offered by all operators with SMP in the national interconnect market, under EU Regulation 2000/2887. 38 Although in some cases the length of the local loops may make DSL supply impossible. 39 There are many variants on the three categories described above. 40 We show ATM backhaul in Figure 2.3. But IP/MPLS and Gigabit Ethernet backhaul is also possible. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 43 Which of these product types should an SMP operator be mandated to supply on an ex ante basis? Mandating IP level service NRAs are currently deciding whether to require operators with SMP in relevant markets to supply IP level services. In so doing, they need to consider whether there are grounds, under the new framework, to mandate supply on an ex-ante basis or whether competition law offers adequate remedies to deal with any incumbent who refuses to supply or supplies at a price which creates a margin squeeze on an independent ISP which wants to purchase such a service. Such consideration is required by the guidelines set out in the European Commission’s Recommendation of February 2003. These suggest that NRAs should only introduce ex ante measures where existing competition law remedies are inadequate to deal with a market failure. If NRAs do rely on competition law remedies then it is important that any fines imposed for breach of competition law are proportionate to the gains that the SMP operator has made as a result of the breach. Unless this is the case, competition law is unlikely to be a sufficient constraint on the operator’s behaviour. Figure 2.10 The main wholesale broadband services DSL access PC Backhaul MDF DSL Local loop Splitter ATM DSLAM Managed or unmanaged IP network ISP ULL Bitstream access 1 Bitstream access 2 IP level wholesale Mandating supply of unbundled local loops Incumbents with SMP in a relevant market similar to Market 11 are currently required to supply unbundled local loops. NRAs will need to decide whether to maintain, amend or withdraw this mandate as part of the market review process. However, given the low current level of use of unbundled local loops we need to consider whether more can be done to promote take-up without distorting competition. Our research indicates that the main reason for the poor take-up of unbundled local loops is the high up-front investment required. An unbundler will typically pay €70,000 to Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 44 €100,000 in collocation and backhaul costs before it can start to provide service to any of the customers attached to the main distribution frame in connection with which these costs are incurred. In other words it appears that the natural monopoly in the provision of local loops extends back into the incumbents network – at least from the MDF to the local exchange41. Given that: • each MDF serves 3,000 local loops on average in the EU42; • each DSL service might generate €500 per annum from a consumer or €3000 per annum from a small business; and • each DSL customer might have a three year life before changing supplier, it is vital that the unbundler is able to win to a substantial share of customers if it is to recoup its initial €70,000 to €100,000 expenditure. Such investment is clearly risky and, in today’s post-dotcom climate, few investors are willing to take such risks especially for mass market roll out of broadband services. It is possible that take-up of unbundled local loops will increase if and when investor confidence in the telecommunications sector returns. However, many of those interviewed in the course of our study believe that this problem is permanent. A few respondents, particularly the local loop unbundlers, also argue that unbundled local loop take-up is low because incumbent operators have delayed implementation and raised unbundlers’costs unnecessarily (e.g. by insisting on secure collocation cages rather than allowing co-mingling of equipment). However, there is a general view that such problems can be, and are being, overcome as the NRAs and the operators work their way through the operational problems which entrants face when renting local loops, so as to develop workable reference offers from the incumbents. Despite these problems, the number of unbundled local loops is growing rapidly and our research indicates that there is significant demand to rent local loops from firms wishing to supply end users with substitutes for 2 Mbit/s leased lines. At the same time there are measures which NRAs could take to reduce the upfront cost for such firms. In particular they could: • mandate the option for the local loop unbundler to commingle its equipment with that of the incumbent rather than use secure collocation cages. According to ECTA such commingling, which can significantly reduce collocation costs, is so far mandated in only seven43 of the fifteen member states; • require the incumbent to rent cost oriented backhaul at an appropriate level of disaggregation which matches both the unbundler’s requirements and the 41 But it is very difficult for an NRA to establish the boundary of such monopoly ex ante. It will depend on a wide variety of factors and will probably change over time 42 There is considerable variation in the size of main distribution frames. Many terminate less than 1,000 loops. Others terminate many tens of thousands of loops. Not all of these loops are short enough to be used for broadband service 43 Belgium, France, Ireland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and the UK Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 45 incumbent’s ability to supply in a cost effective quantity. Given the incumbent’s existing transmission capacity between the MDFs and the core network it is highly likely that the incumbent can supply such backhaul at a significantly lower cost than the unbundler. This analysis prompts us to make two recommendations: • that incumbents with SMP in Market 11 be required to offer co-mingling of equipment to local loop unbundlers. • that incumbents with SMP in Market 11 be required to offer cost-oriented backhaul at an appropriate level of disaggregation to local loop unbundlers. Mandating bitstream services The possibility of mandating the provision of bitstream products44 has been a subject of considerable debate. Some operators argue that: • mandating local loop unbundling45 is as far as regulation should go to promote competition in broadband services; • mandating bitstream access will allow purchasers to win substantial broadband revenues whilst the incumbent takes all the investment risk. This, in turn, will reduce the incumbent’s investment incentives, slowing broadband rollout; and • mandatory bitstream access reduces the investment incentives for operators, such as local loop unbundlers and CATV operators, who provide greater infrastructure-based competition than those who buy bitstream access. We take a different view. We believe that: • the incumbent enjoys substantial economies of scale in providing DSL access. For example, it is able to purchase DSLAMs in bulk at prices which are 50% or more below the prices paid by its smaller rivals. Mandatory bitstream allows the purchaser to enjoy these economies of scale also; • bitstream access reduces significantly the upfront investment which the purchaser must make, when compared with local loop unbundling, thereby removing one of the major barriers encountered in relation to local loop unbundling; • bitstream access is significantly better at promoting competition in broadband markets than IP level wholesale services. Bitstream access enables differentiation in terms of quality of service and price when compared to IP level wholesale service; and • the case for bitstream-type services is likely to strengthen in the future. As incumbent operators introduce VDSL access and push the electronics required to provide service closer to the customer, the business case for local loop 44 45 By incumbent operators with SMP in relevant markets. With associated supporting measures. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 46 unbundling becomes weaker46 and the incumbent’s dominance in the access network strengthens. Of course, the arguments about investment incentives are important ones. They disappear, however, if the bitstream product is priced so as to reward the incumbent fully for the risk it is taking. We discuss this point further in the next sub-section. We therefore consider that it would be a reasonable and proportionate NRA response if operators with SMP in the relevant markets were required to offer bitstream DSL access products for which there is reasonable demand and in areas where the incumbent offers retail DSL access. If these suggestions are accepted, they will, in Member States where the incumbent has SMP in the supply of wholesale broadband services, offer a migration path from service-based competition to infrastructure-based competition in which the service provider: • buys IP level wholesale service as Step 1; • buys bitstream service as Step 2; • migrates to unbundled local loops as Step 3; and • finally migrates to building its own access network facilities as Step 4. As a service provider moves from Step 1 to Step 4 along the path: • it moves from service-based to infrastructure-based competition; • it takes more of the investment risk itself; • it pays less to the incumbent for its access components; and • it is able to offer products with greater functional and price differentiation. Supporters of this hierarchy of services argue that, by using this migration path, a service provider can reduce its investment risks substantially. It can build its customer base using Step 1 or Step 2 products and then migrate to Step 3 or Step 4 products once it has established a critical mass of customers in an area. For this approach to work, certain conditions must be met. For example, it is important that: all of Steps 1 to 3 are available to service providers4748. In many Member States, this is not the case; a) 46 As the number of points of presence required for a given level of coverage increases by an order of magnitude and the up-front cost to the local loop unbundler of reaching these points of presence increases by a similar amount 47 And they are available on a long term basis. 48 Service providers should be able to obtain IP level wholesale service using competition law remedies Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 47 b) charges by the incumbent for migrating the service provider’s customers from one step to another are set at the efficiently incurred cost level. Little attention has been paid to this aspect to date; c) incumbents are able to implement the migration between different products without leaving the end-user without service. Several of the respondents to our study have identified this as a major problem; and d) the relative prices of the incumbent’s offerings for Steps 1 to 3 are set correctly. Pricing a lower step product too low deters migration towards infrastructure competition. Pricing it too high restricts competition unnecessarily. To date, against the background of a poor investment climate, there is no clear picture as to how the migration path will work in practice. However, we believe that it is important that such a policy is initiated in order to promote competition over infrastructure in the broadband area. We therefore recommend that NRAs ensure that conditions (a) to (c) set out above are met by the incumbent’s offerings. We discuss pricing further below. The pricing of mandatory wholesale products There is detailed work now going on at the EU and Member State level to consider the most appropriate pricing of wholesale broadband products. So again we do not offer any prescriptive guidance on this subject. But this is clearly an area of great importance to NRAs and operators of all kinds. In the course of our interviews, we spent considerable time discussing this issue. Through these discussions we identified six constraints on the pricing of mandatory wholesale products which we set out below. It is important to note that these six factors constrain pricing; they do not determine prices. In setting prices for mandated wholesale products, we believe that NRAs should be guided by the following six pricing constraints. Constraint 1: the need to maintain pricing relativities. We can think of the three wholesale product types and the corresponding end user DSL service – the four steps of the previous section - as a price and cost stack as shown in Figure 2.11. The NRA could, at least in theory, set mandatory wholesale prices for all three products on either a cost plus or retail minus basis. If it uses the cost plus approach, it will also need to decide how to allocate the common costs across the cost stack. If it uses the retail minus approach it will automatically allocate the common costs to the unbundled local loop component of the stack. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 48 Figure 2.11 The price and cost stack for broadband products Retail price Retail costs IP level wholesale price IP backhaul costs ? ? Bitstream price Common costs ATM backhaul costs ? DSLAM and collocation costs ULL Price ? Local loop costs Constraint 2: the existence of competition law remedies. Service providers can use competition law to lower the incumbent’s wholesale prices. For example, aggrieved service providers might claim that an incumbent is operating a margin squeeze in its pricing of IP level wholesale, and possible bitstream, services. Such action or, if the fines are big enough, the threat of such action, could be enough to put a ceiling on the prices of these products.49 This is an argument for NRAs not to mandate pricing for IP level wholesale products. Constraint 3: unbundled local loop prices are currently set in all Member States at cost oriented levels. The economically efficient pricing standard for unbundled local loops is relatively uncontentious. In contrast with bitstream services, local loops are technologically legacy products for which demand is stable, in which little new investment is required, and which are not subject to rapid technology change. As such, an NRA can establish a price which provides the incumbent with full recovery of 50 its LRICs knowing that it will not affect the incumbent’s future investment behaviour whilst, at the same time, given a reasonable ‘build or buy’signal to entrants wishing to offer access services to customers. Constraint 4: the need to preserve incentives for the incumbent and its rivals to invest in the rollout of broadband infrastructure. This is not a particularly important constraint on bitstream pricing if a retail minus approach is used. The incumbent can then increase the return it earns on its bitstream product investment simply by raising its retail prices and rivals can follow suit. However, the constraint is of vital importance if the NRA decides to adopt a cost oriented approach to bitstream pricing. Here products have two components: 49 Equal to the incumbent’s retail price less its avoided retail costs. 50 More accurately its long run incremental costs plus a mark-up for common costs. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 49 • the local loop for which pricing is relatively straightforward - as set out in Constraint 3. • the new technology component of the product, such as DSLAMs, splitters and ATM backhaul, where another approach is required. A cost oriented price which gives an incumbent (and its infrastructure-based rivals) the right incentives to invest in products based on new technology and new plant will need to take account of: • investments in new products which fail. A significant proportion of new ventures by telecommunication operators fail. The costs of these investments must be recovered from the products which succeed. The NRA should not consider only the rate of return on the successful products. Figure 2.12 illustrates this point for the pharmaceutical industry, where R&D risks are especially high. However, the investment risks of incumbents may be lower than those of comparable new infrastructure operators where incumbents can rely on existing ubiquitous networks, a established brand and user base and where they may succeed in leveraging market power from adjacent markets. • the asymmetric risk which incumbents and new operators face when they invest in new technology products in competitive markets where the sunk investment is a high proportion of the total cost. In such markets additional demand leads to increased prices and capacity in the industry then increases to limit price rises. A decrease in demand however, does not lead to less capacity. Accordingly, prices fall rapidly. This asymmetric pricing behaviour as demand fluctuates means that firms are wary of investing unless they receive a higher price than that which simply recovers cost of supply at expected demand levels. If the incumbent’s broadband wholesale products are price capped at this latter price, the incentives to invest in broadband rollout are limited. At the same time, the incumbent’s rivals are keen to buy inputs from the incumbent rather than to invest in their own infrastructure. • the rate of improvement in the price/performance of new technology components. For example, we have already seen the development of a second generation of DSLAMs with substantially improved price/performance. For an incumbent to invest in a first generation asset, it must be confident that it can recover the purchase price. In a competitive market, the prices it can charge to do this fall over time, as the price/performance of the technology improves. As a result, the incumbent needs to charge prices when the first generation technology is introduced that compensate for the lower prices that it can charge as the asset reaches the end of its life. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 50 Figure 2.12 New product profitability in the pharmaceuticals industry After tax present value in $m (1990 prices) 1200 1000 800 600 400 Average R&D cost 200 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 New products by decile Source: H Grabowski “Price and Profit control, New Competitive Dynamics and the Economics of Innovation in the Pharmaceutical Industry”, in A Towse (editor) “ Industrial policy and the Pharmaceutical Industry", 1995 In a competitive market these effects can lead to a doubling or trebling of a simple LRIC price51 to reach a price level at which the rational incumbent will invest. Setting such a price is clearly challenging. The challenge is even greater if, as seems likely, the market is only partially competitive. For example the incumbent may not be price constrained by the existence of better price/performance technology in these circumstances. So the impact of the last of the three factors listed above is weakened and the premium required over the simple LRIC price to create investment incentives is reduced. In the USA the FCC recognised this point in its recent report and order on the unbundling obligations of the ILECs: “The effect of unbundling on investment incentives is particularly critical in the area of broadband deployment, since incumbent LECs are unlikely to make the enormous investment required if their competitors can share the benefits of the facilities without participating in the risk inherent in such large scale capital 52 investment.” One pragmatic approach to allow for these effects is to shorten asset lives and/or increase the return on capital employed to a level above the incumbent’s weighted average cost of capital. However there is, as far as we know, no accepted rule of 51 Calculated in a risk free scenario where economic and technical depreciation are identical. 52 FCC 03-06 released on 21 August 2003. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 51 thumb for determining the precise percentage changes to these parameters which should be made. Constraint 5: The need to ensure maximum pricing freedom at the retail level. The broadband market is a new one and a key factor in maximising demand is the ability of operators to price at the retail level with the greatest possible freedom. Subject to fact-specific intervention on the basis of competition rules,53 operators need: • to be able to charge different prices at different times. For example, introductory offers may stimulate demand which in turn stimulates production of broadband content. This then increases the value of broadband to customers and allows operators to raise prices without losing them; and • to charge different prices to different customer groups - offering different price packages to high and low volume users, to those who want high bandwidth and to those who are attracted principally by the “always on” characteristic of DSL services. Retail minus pricing constrains such price differentiation more than a cost oriented approach to setting wholesale product prices does. Constraint 6: the need to prevent excessive end user prices in the long term. If prices for wholesale broadband products are set on a retail minus basis and the incumbent has SMP in retail broadband markets, there are no substantial constraints on the incumbent setting monopoly prices in the long term. In such circumstances, the NRA must consider introducing retail price controls. However, if wholesale prices are set on a cost plus basis and there is a sufficient level of competition or a credible threat of market entry, there are strong constraints on the retail prices which the incumbent can charge for broadband services and intrusive retail prices controls are not required. Dynamic pricing for wholesale broadband services A number of NRAs - notably the CTRC in Canada and OPTA in the Netherlands have set dynamic prices for unbundled local loops. Under such schemes, the initial 54 price of unbundled local loops is set at a level significantly below cost and gradually increased, typically over a five year period, until it reaches a cost-based level. Such a scheme represents a straightforward form of entry assistance which promotes the quasi-infrastructure investments which local loop unbundlers must make. Moreover, it does so in a manner which makes it clear that prices will rise. As a result, there should be no significant danger that such an offer will encourage inefficient 53 for example SMP operators will need to ensure that they do not create a margin squeeze for their rivals. They also need to avoid foreclosure through the strategic targeting of discriminatory pricing practices. 54 In the case of the Netherlands, the starting price in 1999 was the historic cost to KPN and the final price the current cost of providing local loops. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 52 entry. In countries where CATV competition is weak, NRAs might justify this measure on the grounds that it promotes quasi-infrastructure-based competition and the dynamic benefits which such competition generates (as described in Section 8.3). Does such a measure work? There is some evidence to suggest it might. Figure 2.13 indicates that there is a reasonable correlation between the price currently charged for ULLs and the current take up of ULLs55 . The Netherlands, excluded from the trend line, is an outlier where the current ULL prices are high by EU standards, but so too is ULL take-up. One possible explanation for this outlying position is that use of dynamic pricing has stimulated ULL take up. However, we advise caution in interpreting this situation. The data do not correspond to the same point in time; Japanese take-up is probably influenced strongly by the supply of cheap dark fibre backhaul by NTT; there are also many other factors which might influence take up in the EU. At the same time, OPTA’s measures were introduced when the market was in its infancy and may not be appropriate in today’s market conditions. However, the evidence available from the Dutch situation does suggest that the idea is worth exploring further. Figure 2.13 LLU prices v take-up 45.00% 40.00% Jap % of DSL using ULLs 35.00% 30.00% y = -0.03x + 0.397; R squared = 0.82 25.00% 20.00% Fin NL (excluded from the regression line) . Dk 15.00% 10.00% It 5.00% D A S F B 0.00% 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 E 12.0 P UK 14.0 16.0 Monthly rental for ULL ($) 55 We have excluded Ireland from this plot because the market there is still at a very early stage of development. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 53 2.7 Public WLANs Public WLAN services are currently an area of considerable interest in supplier activity. They also provide functionality which powerful fixed and/or mobile operators might wish to integrate with mobile services. So we consider them in this chapter. Demand for private WLANs is strong. Organisations of all type, and even consumers, benefit from use of private WLANs to avoid the cost and inconvenience of cabling. But demand for public WLANs (often referred to as Wi-Fi) is still far from certain. The appeal of public WLAN services is clear. In theory end users can establish high bandwidth connections to IP networks at a wide range of “hotspots” such as cafes, railways stations, hotels and airports. They can then use their laptop PCs or PDAs to access the Internet, emails and corporate network services. But in practice the market is highly fragmented. Different hotspots are operated by different service providers; no single service provider offers widespread coverage; and roaming between the public WLANs is limited and very variable in its functionality. Right now countries like the USA, Japan and Korea lead in the rollout of public WLAN. EU member states, with the notable exception of Sweden, are lagging behind. Ovum forecasts, as shown in Figure 2.14, that revenues from public WLAN services in the EU will grow to around €0.5 billion per year by 2008. This compares with total current annual telecommunications revenues in the EU of around €300 billion. Figure 2.14 Ovum forecasts of global public WLAN service revenues The attitude of mobile operators towards public WLANs is mixed. Many of them see such services as a threat to their future 3G services and revenues and some have Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 54 lobbied the authorities to place restrictions on public WLAN services; others have launched public WLAN services themselves. Some observers also suggest that, in member states where the fixed incumbent owns the major mobile operator: • the supply of public WLANs will be less competitive because two of the obvious suppliers of such services are in common ownership; and • the incentives for discriminatory deals between the fixed incumbent and its mobile subsidiary in the development of services which integrate public WLAN services with mobile services are substantial. Given the likely scale of public WLAN services over the next five years and the current embryonic state of the market we believe that it would be premature for regulatory authorities to intervene in this market. We are concerned about the scope for discriminatory deals between the fixed incumbent and its mobile subsidiary. We discuss this point further in Chapter 7. 2.8 Infrastructure vs service based competition Many of those interviewed in the course of our study raised the issue of what kind of competition is possible in each of the main segments of the ECNS market. In combination they made five main points: • infrastructure based competition is inherently superior to service based competition where it is viable. In particular infrastructure based competition gives incentives for the fixed incumbent to innovate in network technologies, product functionality and pricing packages which do not exist when the incumbent faces only service based competition; • the experiences of the last five years suggest that there are significant limitations on where infrastructure based competition is viable, especially in the delivery of fixed network services; • in markets where infrastructure based competition is not viable it makes sense to introduce measures designed to promote service based competition; • such measures can provide a stepping stone to infrastructure based competition in that they enable a service provider to build a customer base and revenues from services constructed by renting network components from the incumbent before migrating customers to its own facilities. Such a process lowers the entry risks for service providers; and • such measures can also undermine incentives for infrastructure based competition and, if priced wrongly, even remove incentives for investment by both the incumbent and its rivals in new infrastructure and technology upgrades. These points are highly relevant in the fixed network services markets but they apply more widely to ECNS markets as a whole. Accordingly, we consider them in detail in a separate chapter – Chapter 8. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 55 2.9 The move to next generation networks There is now strong consensus that the next decade will see a gradual move from circuit switched to next generation IP networks across the developed world. This transition should lead to networks which can, at lower unit costs, deliver a wide range of multimedia, broadband data, and voice services. This migration has begun. EU incumbent operators, such as BT and Telecom Italia, have now largely replaced their trunk circuit switched network with next generation switches using ATM and/or IP technologies. The pace of the migration, the nature of the applications which will run on next generation networks, and the way in which operators will charge for these services, at either the retail or wholesale level, is far from certain. However, it is reasonable to expect that, within a few years, the markets will develop to a point where a substantial proportion of traffic is generated by sites connected directly to a next generation network. It is also hard to predict what level of competition will develop in the supply of these next generation networks. In the period prior to the dot.com crash, large numbers of potential entrants developed business plans to launch next generation networks. We might reasonably expect, as investor confidence returns and incumbents offer a range of broadband access products at the wholesale level, that we will see significant competition in the supply of next generation networks. The principles set out in Figure 2.15 below are based on such a competitive scenario. These developments prompt us to ask two important questions: • what are the regulatory issues which need to be resolved now in relation to Next Generation Networks and which issues can be left to future studies when the form of Next Generation Networks developments will be clearer? • do NRAs need to set out guidelines now, along the lines of Figure 2.15, relating to the regulation of next generation networks, so that operators can invest with confidence? Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 56 Figure 2.15 Possible principles for regulating next generation network services 1. NRAs should forebear from regulation of innovative new services until there is clear evidence that such forbearance is harmful to the development of competition 2. NRAs should not prohibit any operator from exercising first mover advantage on innovative next generation network services 3. NRAs should allow all operators, including incumbents, considerable freedom in setting the retail prices for next generation network services – both in terms of bundling and low initial prices. 4. Incumbent operators should not be required to offer unbundled services from their next generation networks unless and until there is substantial demand for such products. 5. When incumbent operators are required to offer next generation network services at the wholesale level at regulated prices, NRAs should take full account of demand uncertainties and technology risks in setting the price of supply. In general, those interviewed as part of our study believe that: • the issues raised in our study on Next Generation Networks are very important and will require study at some point; but • that it is too early in the development of Next Generation Networks for us to try to address these issues now. Based on these findings, we recommend that the European Commission should monitor closely the regulatory issues which arise as a result of use of Next Generation Networks. The following issues are of special importance: • what is the likely pace of implementation of next generation networks within the core networks and access networks of incumbent operators in the EU? Such migration is now starting to gather pace for both fixed and mobile operators. It is important that regulatory authorities in the EU understand the speed of this migration. • to what extent will the incumbent’s use of IP networks for Internet access raise the cost of its rivals in a manner which reduces competition without compensating cost efficiency and/or public welfare gains? We highlight this issue in Section 5.4 of our report. • to what extent will the migration to next generation networks create new control points? As the recent Devoteam report56 points out, the architecture of next generation networks means that there are new control points such as the ability to 56 Regulatory Implication of the Introduction of Next Generation Networks and other New Developments in Electronic Communications, European Commission, May 2003. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 57 bundle service offerings, access to APIs and interoperability of soft switches through which a dominant operator can exercise market power. It would clearly be damaging to regulate on an ex ante basis to prevent abuse of this power while the technology is in an embryonic stage. However, it is important to identify the control points and monitor their use by powerful players. • is there a need for NRAs to impose new interoperability conditions on next generation network operators beyond the basic set which applied to traditional circuit switched networks? This issue relates back to the control point issue set out above. • where, if at all, in the next generation hierarchy should interconnection be made mandatory? The use of softswitches to control calls and deliver applications will generate a new set of issues for NRAs to tackle. In particular it is important to consider how an operator with SMP would supply each of the wholesale services listed in the European Commission’s Recommendation57 using a next generation network and where interfaces with other networks are required. • for which next generation services is ex ante regulation required in the short term? The logic behind European Commission’s Recommendation suggests that any voice call termination service offered by next generation networks may be regulated on an ex ante basis. • what form should such ex-ante regulation take and which of Articles 9 to 13 of the Access and Interconnect Directive are appropriate? In particular is cost orientation required? • how should any regulated cost oriented prices, such as call termination charges, be calculated for a next generation network? There are a number of challenges here: - the cost structure of next generation networks is uncertain. But we do know it will be characterised by a much higher proportion of fixed costs than for a circuit switched network and that the variable costs which are attributable to voice are likely to be small; - the cost of carrying a voice call through the network will depend upon the quality of service which is provided. In a circuit switched network there is one basic level of quality of service. But in a next generation network there is a range of quality of service levels which are possible, each with different cost implications; and - the link between the duration of the call and the costs generated is less clear cut in a next generation network than in a traditional circuit switched network. • should the cost of voice call termination for a fixed incumbent be established as a blended average of the unit cost of circuit switched call termination and the unit cost of next generation network call termination? The principle of technology neutrality suggests that market definitions are based on services and not underlying network technologies. This in turn suggests that a fixed incumbent 57 Commission Recommendation 2003/311/EC. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 58 which terminates (say) 50% of its call on a next generation network and the other 50% on its legacy circuit switched network, should have its call termination service regulated at a price which reflects the unit costs averaged across the networks. This averaging would help to deal with a possible rise in unit cost on the circuit switched network as call volumes on this network fall. • how do NRAs apply the principle of non-discrimination to a next generation network? Given the various quality of services which next generation networks offer there is, prima face, a case for interconnect agreements with and between next generation networks which specify quality of service levels. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 3 59 Mobile network services 3.1 Introduction This chapter examines barriers to competition in the supply of mobile network services: • in Sections 3.2 to 3.5 we start by looking at the current structure of the industry and the market trends which the industry faces. In particular, we consider the growing importance of data services, the impact this has on supply chains and the potential barriers to competition which then arise; • in Sections 3.6 to 3.19 we then go on to examine the various barriers to competition which we identified through our analysis. 3.2 Current industry structure and trends The industry structure in mobile markets in the EU varies between voice and data services, as shown in Figure 3.1. In most Member States: • the industry is based around three to five competing network operators; and • the mobile operators have spent the last few years of the 1990s integrating forward in the supply chain, buying up independent service providers and independent mobile phone retailers so that now very few are left and the industry structure is concentrated. Figure 3.1 Industry structure in EU mobile markets Content Provision Application developers Content providers Content Aggregation Network Operations Service Provision Retail Mobile network operators Portals Independents MVNOs voice data Source: Ovum 2003 Some of the operators have also bought operators outside their home country in an effort to reap economies of scale. Vodafone has carried this off most successfully – it now has holdings in an operator in most of the EU Member State markets. The other main players who have attempted this horizontal integration are T-Mobile, FT/Orange, O2, and KPN. See Figure 3.2. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 60 Figure 3.2 International positions of operators in Europe Operator Group Main countries of current operations in Europe Vodafone Belgium, France. Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, UK Orange Austria, Belgium, Denmark, France, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, UK T-Mobile Austria, Germany, Netherlands, UK O2 Germany, Ireland, Netherlands, UK KPN Belgium, Germany, Netherlands, TeliaSonera Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden Over the last decade there have been repeated attempts in different countries to set up mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs)58 who buy wholesale airtime and retail it to their subscribers. Examples include Netsystem and Sense Communications in Norway, Talkline in Germany and Carphone Warehouse in the UK with its Value Telecom brand. These have largely failed because of high charges for wholesale airtime and difficulties in dealing with operators which led the small MVNOs to run out of money before agreement was reached. Today, the only truly successful MVNO in Europe is Virgin Mobile, which is, in any event, run as a joint venture between Virgin and T-Mobile in the UK.59 It has over 2 million subscribers in the UK market. However, even here there are problems, in that the two owners are suing each other, each trying to force the other to sell its share of the venture. As the mobile industry started to develop data services in the late 1990s it expanded to include application developers, content providers and content aggregators. At first, the mobile operators thought that they could take on many of these functions themselves and started integrating backwards up the value chain. However, over the last two years, they have retreated from this position. Most run their own portals but prefer to deal with a community of application developers and content providers. They also provide access to third party portals through their WAP services. Over the last three years, there have been a number of new 3G licences issued. As a result, many EU Member States will see one completely new operator enter the market during 2003 or 2004. Although this will reduce concentration in the industry slightly, it will not fundamentally change industry structure (not least because many commentators expect a number of the smaller 2G operators to exit the market or form alliances of some nature with entering 3G operators in the medium term). 58 We define MVNOs to include enhanced service providers such as Virgin Mobile. 59 We note that we understand that Virgin’s recent attempts to conclude other joint ventures in other countries appear to have stalled. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 61 3.3 The value chain for data services The value chain for the delivery of data services is longer and more complicated than the value chain with which the mobile industry is familiar. Figure 3.1 illustrates. It is also different from that for fixed network broadband services. Mobile operators are trying to differentiate their data services from simple high-speed Internet access by also providing a wide range of content services. There are some major differences between the value chains for serving the consumer market and the business market in relation to data services. The consumer value chain At present, most of the effort is going into developing and launching consumer broadband services. The basic consumer value chain is: • a wide array of content providers. These range from large media companies such as Sky, through film companies to the highly fragmented ring-tone providers and – in fact – any web content; • a large number of application developers, who sell their applications to the network operators either outright, or on a hosted basis. These range from developers of mobile games through to those providing email and personal information management. The mobile operators are also active in this area for applications built around messaging, such as instant messaging, picture messaging and chat services; • content aggregators, including: - the mobile operators themselves who are mostly running their own mobile portals (e.g. Vodafone’s Live) as walled gardens; - some existing portals which are offering mobile versions as part of their “triple play” strategy, e.g., MSN, Virgin and AOL; - third party aggregators who are selling some content on a hosted basis mostly to smaller mobile operators; • the mobile network operators; • service providers. The mobile network operators mostly take on this role themselves, although there is increasing interest in the possibility of data MVNOs from companies involved in web content (e.g., Uboot.com); and • the retailers. In addition to this basic value chain, additional players are involved in new areas of activity, notably: • m-commerce – here there are additional players such as payment processors and banking networks; and • wireless marketing – here there are also additional players including wholesale SMS providers and mobile advertising networks such as 24/7. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 62 The business value chain For business data services the value chains are simpler because most of the content is located within the business (email, intranet, business applications) or on the Internet. However, there is a lot of development from the major enterprise software vendors (e.g., Microsoft, Oracle, SAP) to make corporate applications work properly over mobile networks. There are also developments in the area of service provision. Many of the large IT service companies – like IBM and EDS - now provide mobile services as part of larger deals that they have with their clients for supplying, integrating and supporting business applications. 3.4 Major players and their market shares Voice services The biggest market in the mobile industry is that for retail voice services, accounting for some 85% of industry revenues across the EU. Supply in this market is concentrated in the leading one or two operators, who account for 70 to 90% market share (by subscriber numbers) in most countries. This is often the incumbents’mobile subsidiary and the local Vodafone company. The remaining operators typically hold 10 to 20% share each. Figure 3.3 illustrates. When looking across countries we can see that the geographic expansion of the major operators means that the industry is also becoming concentrated at a European-level, with Vodafone accounting for around 30% of voice traffic and other groups active across parts of Europe (excluding Telefonica and TIM here) accounting for 43% of such traffic. See Figure 3.4. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 63 Figure 3.3 Share of voice traffic of operators in EU Member States Operator share December '02 Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland UK 1 45% 54% 46% 63% 49% 43% 41% 57% 47% 42% 69% 48% 56% 47% 63% 27% 2 30% 30% 28% 29% 36% 37% 29% 40% 34% 27% 31% 29% 25% 38% 20% 25% 3 20% 16% 14% 8% 15% 12% 29% 3% 19% 12% 23% 19% 16% 17% 25% 4 5% 5 13% 8% 1% 0% 11% 24% 9% Top 2 operators 75% 84% 74% 92% 85% 80% 70% 97% 81% 68% 100% 77% 80% 84% 83% 51% Source Ovum 2003 Figure 3.4 European share of voice traffic of major mobile operator groups Group Vodafone Orange T-Mobile TIM O2 Telefonica KPN Subscribers Dec 02 (m) 88 50 40 28 19 19 13 Total Europe Share 29% 17% 14% 9% 6% 6% 4% 300 Source Ovum 2003 Narrowband data Retail narrowband data60 currently accounts for some 15% of mobile industry revenues in Europe. This is dominated by SMS, which constitutes approximately 90 to 95% of narrowband data revenues. The remaining revenues come from business use of GPRS for email and Internet access. Picture messaging is expected to expand data revenues, but the service is too new for the effects to be quantifiable. 60 Services offering data speeds of less that 64 kbit/s. Includes GPRS and SMS. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 64 Shares of narrowband data traffic broadly reflect those of voice, with only minor differences where an operator prefers to concentrate on particular segments (e.g., Europolitan in Sweden focuses more on the business segment). Broadband data The market for broadband mobile data services61 in Europe will start during 2003, with tens of launches of third generation UMTS networks based on W-CDMA expected before the end of the year. However, at present it is in a fledgling state and its share of the industry’s total revenue is negligible. Equipment and software supply Generally, the equipment and software vendors supplying the players who deliver services are regarded as being in a competitive market. However, Nokia’s position in the European mobile markets is noteworthy. Its market share of mobile devices in Europe is between 60% and 70%. It has been active in building the industry structure for data services, setting up a large community of developers (Forum Nokia) and a content aggregation service (Club Nokia). This is seen as a threatening move by some operators, who worry that their data service business could be undermined by it. Nokia insists that its only interest is to seed the market. 3.5 Main market trends Overall The number of mobile subscribers has started to saturate at between 70% and 90% of the population in most Member States. The big drive for operators now is to increase ARPU, through data services. However, many forecasters are projecting CAGR for revenues per user at only a few % per year. This changes the market conditions substantially, increasing pressure for lower unit costs. Voice Ovum expects voice ARPU to remain flat over the next five years. Declining call termination revenues will be roughly offset by increased retail minutes and revenues (and even an increase in retail prices). There are 30% more mobile connections than PSTN lines in Europe, but mobile originated voice still represents a small share of total voice traffic. Traffic seems to be stabilising at about 15% of the total – at least in the UK. See Figure 2.2. Some mobile operators are experiencing congestion in densely populated areas. Spectrum trading between GSM operators could ease this. Many operators want to 61 Services offering data speeds of 64 kbit/s or more. Includes W-CDMA and EDGE. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 65 use W-CDMA for voice capacity relief but cannot plan for this as the handset vendors are not planning to launch cheap voice-centric W-CDMA phones in the next two years. Mobile operators are interested in generating revenue growth by attracting voice traffic from the fixed network. On most GSM networks the business case for this is uncertain because of the extra capital expenditure needed. Many operators will wait until their W-CDMA network is launched before exploring this opportunity. There is concern that the launch of W-CDMA networks will increase voice capacity too much, leading to a collapse in voice traffic prices. Narrowband data Narrowband data has seen huge growth over the last few years with the rise of SMS. Figure 3.4A illustrates. It shows how the growth of SMS has outstripped voice traffic in the UK over the last four years with the ratio of SMS messages to voice minutes increasing from 1 to 10 to 1 to 3. Figure 3.4A The relative growth of SMS and voice traffic in the UK 60000 35% 30% 50000 25% 40000 20% 30000 15% 20000 10% 10000 SMS meesages (m) Mobile voice mins (m) SMS to voice mins (%) 5% 0 0% 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 Source: Oftel market statistics The number of services is now broadening and such services are the catalyst for significant change in the industry: • SMS dominates narrowband data revenues and continues to show rapid growth. It is developing into a sophisticated market with a variety of billing arrangements (premium and reverse billing), the use of special short codes for special SMS services and a supply chain that includes wholesale SMS providers. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 66 • MMS was launched in Europe during 2002. The market is embryonic, but is showing promising signs. We expect a sophisticated market to emerge with time. • WAP services had a very bad start in 2001 but we understand that they are quietly picking up in popularity and usage, as operators get better at providing portals and users become more familiar with the services. • GPRS access to corporate data is currently a small market, serving people with laptops and PDAs, but it is growing gradually, as GPRS networks are stabilising, coverage is improving and roaming is becoming more reliable. • Most operators are developing, usually in collaboration with specialist content providers, new narrowband services, including Instant messaging, chat, locationbased enhancements to WAP services, games downloads and on-line games. Narrowband data operators are starting to take greater control of the appearance and packaging of their services, by specifying their own phone software. Vodafone Live and Orange SPV are the best examples, but we expect other operators to follow. Broadband data Broadband data services on mobile networks will become a feature of the European landscape during 2003, with the launch of 3G W-CDMA networks. However, following the collapse of the tech sector “bubble”, the vision of broadband multi-media services carried on W-CDMA has lost credibility. In this environment, operators have sought to delay their 3G launch. Some have even surrendered their licences. Efforts are being made to improve the business case, including network sharing arrangements, to minimise capex, and testing EDGE (the GSM upgrade) for complementary coverage in some areas. There is a shortage of reliable and independent information on the progress of 3G WCDMA, but we understand that it is limited. Operators are continuing to acquire sites as fast as possible. However, Nokia and Ericsson (who account for around 70% of the W-CDMA infrastructure market) have shipped only 10,000 to 15,000 base stations each world-wide. We understand that most operators are buying Asian equipment, since it is already developed and that European suppliers are missing a major opportunity here. Most operators will launch W-CDMA with a fairly small coverage area, and then build out the network over a period first to meet their regulated coverage requirement and to meet coverage and capacity demand. All operators will rely on dual-mode working where phones roam onto a GSM network when outside W-CDMA coverage. There is growing speculation that GSM was the last technology that will be rolled out on a national scale. Operators will depend on EDGE for broad coverage for high bandwidth services. While W-CDMA is in its difficult launch phase there is plenty of noise from substitute technologies also offering broadband wireless data services, including public WLAN and so-called “4G”technologies, such as those offered by Flarion and Arraycom. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 67 Although there is no standardisation yet, the level of interest in 4G is rising because it appears to promise much higher bandwidths at lower levels of capex than 3G. A number of European players are considering running trials during 2003/4. To do this, they may need to “borrow” some of their 3G spectrum. There are already trials running, notably in Australia, Korea and the US. 3.6 The impact of consolidation There is general, but not universal, support for the thesis that there will be significant consolidation in the EU mobile industry over the next five years. This thesis is driven by a view of the economies of scale which are inherent in the industry. These are of two types: • economies of scale within a country are important. Small operators have substantially higher costs per subscriber than large ones and find it hard to generate profits. Figure 3.5 illustrates. This makes them take-over targets for larger operators in the same country. • economies of scale between countries are more debatable and more difficult to realise. Mobile operators with a number of country-specific subsidiaries (e.g., Vodafone, Orange, T-Mobile) may have a significant cost advantage over other operators with only a single operating unit (e.g., Bouygues, Wind). New applications such as multimedia messaging are developed once and then localised. Accordingly, the development costs are spread over four or five operating units. This may make single operator unit businesses vulnerable to take-over. Greenfield 3G licensees are particularly vulnerable, when compared with existing 2G licensees holding a 3G licence. A 2G operator migrating to 3G has a number of advantages over a pure 3G licensee: • there are substantial economies of scope between 2G and 3G networks; • customer acquisition costs are lower. The 2G operator only has to migrate customers from 2G to 3G. The 3G licensee has to acquire them from scratch; and • the 2G operator can roll out network faster and more cheaply by using existing 2G resources (sites, distribution channels and skilled staff). Accordingly, we may see 3G licensees combining with small 2G operators and/or surrendering/ selling their licence. Within this changing industry structure there is a general view that: • the level of infrastructure competition in the supply of mobile network services will remain satisfactory in most EU Member States – even after consolidation – with three or more viable mobile operators competing; • competition law, including forward-looking undertakings imposed in the context of merger reviews, provides a satisfactory mechanism for dealing with any competition issues which may arise from consolidation in these Member States; Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 68 • there are a few small Member States, such as Ireland, where consolidation may well lead to the creation of a duopoly. In such countries, special measures may be required to preserve an adequate level of retail competition. Based on this analysis, we conclude that: • there is no need for the European Commission to institute ex ante EU-wide measures to deal with competition problems arising from consolidation of the mobile industry; and • it is important that NRAs do not intervene to preserve non-viable mobile operators who come to them seeking regulatory relief. Figure 3.5 Economy of scale effects – EU mobile operators 60% 50% 40% EBITDA % 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% -10% -20% Market share Source Ovum 2003 3.7 International roaming The continuing high level of retail prices of international roaming service remains a feature of the mobile markets in the EU. We have seen some moves to cut prices by multinational mobile operators such as Vodafone, T-Mobile and Orange. But still prices remain high. Ovum’s own calculation suggests that charges are typically four to six times the network costs of carrying the call whilst, in comparison, retail mark-ups on domestic mobile calls are typically in the 50% to 80% range. INTUG also carried out studies to compare the prices charged for carrying a call from Country A to Country B for a domestic subscriber and for a visitor using a roaming service. The differences in price were very substantial. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 69 DG Comp of the European Commission is currently investigating whether the prices charged for international roaming services are excessive and whether their high level reflects anti competitive conduct by the operators. The investigators are expected to publish their findings shortly. Only one of the respondents to our study - INTUG – raised this issue. But this does not mean that the issue is unimportant. Given our sample: • we would not expect the various operators and service providers interviewed to raise the matter. • NRAs often see the problem as a trans-national issue which is already under investigation by the European Commission. So they see no need to comment. 3.8 Spectrum trading There is considerable interest among mobile operators in the idea of spectrum trading and strong theoretical arguments in favour of introducing it. However, those responding to our study hold a wide variety of views in relation to the best approach to spectrum trading. No clear pattern emerges. We understand that DG InfoSoc has already commissioned a study to look at this matter in detail. We, therefore, make no recommendations on this issue. However we point to the following issues raised by our consultation: • prevention of spectrum hoarding; • dealing with windfall gains; • the appropriate restrictions on cross use of spectrum; • the criteria for defining eligible traders; • dealing with the potential skewing effects on competition; and • the impact of spectrum trading on barriers to entry, exit and expansion by mobile operators. 3.9 Use of SIMLOCK In our study we raised the issue of whether mobile operators lock-in customers through use of long contract periods and SIMLOCK and so create barriers to competition. It is clear from the responses we received that this is not a current problem and that no regulatory intervention is required. Given the substantial handset subsidies which exist in the EU there is a good case for permitting mobile operators to SIMLOCK terminals in relation to which such subsidies exist – both for commercial reasons and to protect end-users against fraud and theft. In almost all cases, the period of SIMLOCK is less then the minimum contract period. In effect, the SIMLOCK process is simply a way of enforcing the minimum contractual term. At the same time, contract periods – typically 12 months for packages involving Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 70 subsidised handsets - are generally considered reasonable. The danger is that the SIMLOCK may be extended, to operate as a barrier to churn. 3.10 MVNO hosting Stakeholders were asked whether there was a case for regulatory intervention to enable MVNOs to negotiate satisfactory supply terms from their host mobile operator. The Hong Kong regulator, OFTA, has imposed such requirements. Based on the responses that we received, our analysis is as follows: • mandatory hosting would require mobile operators to offer wholesale service at regulated prices. This reduces the incentive for infrastructure investment and the likely level of future infrastructure competition between mobile operators; • it is important to preserve the current levels of infrastructure competition in the mobile industry as much as possible – particularly given the prospects for consolidation over the next five years; • with the introduction of 3G networks, there are strong market incentives for mobile operators to reach satisfactory commercial arrangements with MVNOs. MVNOs who offer new services, content, applications and marketing approaches to specific market segments are, at least in theory, an excellent way for mobile operators to diversify the range of services offered on their 3G networks, fill them with traffic more quickly, and earn a return on their investments; • even if these market incentives fail to produce satisfactory agreements with MVNOs, it is too early in the development of 3G services for regulators to intervene; and • it is difficult to develop a common regulatory approach to MVNOs, given their different treatment across the Member States in 3G licence conditions. Some countries, like Ireland, have explicit conditions dealing with MVNOs; others, like Italy, prohibit MVNOs. Any attempt to change these conditions is likely to face a legal challenge. Based on this analysis, we conclude that the case for mandating mobile operators to host MVNOs is weak. We recommend that the European Commission does nothing in the immediate future to require mobile operators to host MVNOs, subject to the extent to which future consolidation suggests that the level of infrastructure-based competition may become insufficient. 3.11 Access for value added service providers Should NRAs require mobile operators to provide access to Value Added Service (“VAS”) providers? Our analysis, taking into account the views of respondents, follows • many of the arguments which apply to MVNOs apply with equal force to VAS providers seeking access to the mobile operators’facilities Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 71 • there is a requirement in most Member States for mobile operators to supply location information to VAS providers62; • mobile operators argue that they have strong commercial incentives to open up their networks to VAS providers as a way of increasing their revenue streams. At the moment they are competing with each other to attract them onto their networks; and • mobile operators have another incentive to work with VAS providers. They are under competitive pressure from mobile terminal suppliers (like Nokia) who have formed direct links with VAS providers (as discussed in Section 7.3). This increases the commercial incentives for mobile operators to enter into agreements with VAS providers. Based on this analysis, we conclude that there is no requirement for regulatory action to mandate agreements between mobile operators and VAS providers. 3.12 Supply conditions for greenfield 3G operators Some respondents to our study raised concerns about the terms of roaming agreements with 2G operators. In addition, they expressed concern in relation to obtaining access to the existing sites of 2G operators. The problem, in both contexts, appears to relate to the terms of access, rather than an outright refusal to provide access. For example, 2G operators are willing to site-share, but only at a price that is significantly in excess of the estimates of cost made by those entities seeking access. There are also major problems for all 3G licences in obtaining the required number of base station sites to roll-out their 3G networks. Environmental and health issues make new site acquisition difficult for all. For example, some local authorities have made it clear that they will only consider joint applications for site-build. The coordinated roll-out which is needed to make such joint applications is difficult to achieve, especially for operators who are attempting to gain first mover advantage through early roll-out. There are significant problems for site acquisition and sharing, especially for greenfield 3G operators. However, the problems are complex and vary by Member State. It is difficult to envisage an appropriate general regulatory remedy. 3.13 Restrictions on network sharing Mobile operators responding to our study hold mixed views on the extent to which they want to use network sharing. They agree that: 62 It is important to note that data protection legislation requires prior notice and consent before location data can be processed and transmitted to a 3rd party. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 72 • in the long term, they all want to provide their own infrastructure. This gives them much greater control over the nature of the services they can offer; and • network sharing can significantly reduce investment costs during 3G roll-out. With these general findings in mind we can see little merit in preserving restrictions on network sharing given that: • sharing is mandatory in some circumstances anyway - to minimise environmental impact; • lifting restrictions on network sharing does not force mobile operators to share; • mobile operators have strong incentives to build their own infrastructure in the long term; and • lifting restrictions reduces costs during 3G roll out and may also reduce the probability of industry consolidation (as discussed in Section 3.6). We recommend that the European Commission should examine whether it is practical for the restrictions on network sharing which exist in many Member States to be removed. 3.14 Roll-out conditions for 3G networks In our study, we asked whether the roll-out conditions imposed on 3G licensees constitute a barrier to competition. The argument behind the question was as follows: • 3G licences were drafted, and operators bid for licences, at a time when demand forecasts for 3G were far higher than they are now; • these conditions may now constitute a barrier to competition. Licensees must either meet the conditions by risking substantial investments or effectively surrender their licences; • conditions should be relaxed so that operators can be free to invest in response to market demand; and • this is the only way to maximise investment in 3G infrastructure and competition in 3G services. Our subsequent investigations suggest that this argument has little substance because: • in virtually all Member States, except Sweden, mobile operators tell us that the roll-out conditions are not especially onerous. For example, in France, mobile operators are only required to cover 70% of the population within 10 years. • there is only a problem in Sweden, where the auction for 3G licences was evaluated largely on the speed with which bidders proposed to roll out their 3G networks. However, even in relation to Sweden, the severity of the obligations can be reduced. The use of W-CDMA technology means that cell sizes “breathe”. A fully loaded cell has a radius of less than 1km, but a lightly loaded cell has a radius of up to 20km. Accordingly, there is scope to interpret the Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 73 coverage conditions flexibly and align the roll-out conditions which are specified in the licence to match the current projections of market demand. Assuming that such a flexible approach is possible, we conclude that there is no case for EU-wide action to modify existing 3G roll-out conditions. 3.15 The use of walled gardens for data services Many operators offer data services by providing access to a walled garden portal. In many cases, users are able to enter a URL to escape and use other parts of the Internet. However, in some cases (e.g., Orange’s all-you-can-eat WAP access package) users are barred from general surfing unless they pay additional charges. Where an operator has specified the mobile phone software it is easier for it to set up these restrictions. Clearly, such practices can shut out third party service providers. Accordingly, we investigated whether regulation is needed in response to these restrictions. On the basis of the comments that we received on during our study, we have made the following analysis. • it is clear that many mobile operators, especially the smaller operators, are following an open approach to data and Internet services, rather than a walled garden approach. For example, Radiolinja, in Finland, and Bouygues, in France, have adapted an open approach (while their main rivals have implemented a walled garden approach); • the walled garden approach has value in helping to build user confidence in new data services and in offering consumer protection. Mobile operators can make sure that walled gardens services are easy to use, offer predictable prices and minimise the risk of fraud; • given the level of mobile retail service competition, there are strong incentives for mobile operators to move beyond the walled garden approach, if that is what endusers want; and • regulatory intervention on walled garden issues now could harm the development of embryonic data services. Based on this analysis, we recommend that NRAs should forbear from regulatory intervention on this issue. 3.16 Dominance in the mobile terminal markets Nokia has an important market position in the supply of mobile handsets in the EU (with a 60% to 70% market share) and a major supplier of mobile network equipment. It is, therefore, theoretically possible for Nokia to leverage its position in the handset market by ensuring that its network equipment works better with its own handsets than it does with those of other suppliers. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 74 Our enquiries indicate that this concern is without substance. There is no evidence from those who responded to our study that Nokia is in any way attempting such leveraging. There is also a strong view that Nokia’s dominance of the EU terminal and network equipment markets is now under threat from Korean and Japanese suppliers. 3.17 Cost based call termination prices Several of those responding to our study raised, unprompted, the issue of cost based call termination prices for mobile operators. They argue that: • mobile call termination rates in the EU are significantly above cost; • there are no adequate market mechanisms to force these rates to cost-oriented levels; • mobile operators discriminate in the way that they charge for call termination, in that they apply one rate to themselves and another much higher rate to rivals; and • these market failures constitute major barriers to effective competition – both within the mobile industry and in competition between fixed and mobile operators. They point to the following competition problems: • fixed operators are unable to compete with mobile operators on equal terms for voice traffic. Mobile operators can subsidise their retail prices for outbound calls from the supernormal profits they generate on call termination. Fixed operators cannot; • fixed operators cannot compete with mobile operators to deliver voice traffic from a corporate network to mobile terminals. A mobile operator typically offers the corporate customer one rate for such termination, whilst charging its fixed rivals a significantly higher rate; and • large mobile operators offer on-net retail prices which are below the call termination charge that they offer other operators. As such, they argue that the large mobile operator discriminates in favour of its own retail business and against its rivals in the supply of a product in relation to which, according to European Commission analysis, it is dominant. In addition, low on-net prices are one of the ways in which mobile operators differentiate themselves, and low onnet prices give large mobile operators, with higher subscriber populations, an competitive advantage over their smaller rivals. Applying the non-discrimination requirements to narrow the gap between off-net and on-net retail call prices would reduce this competitive advantage. Recent regulatory analyses by the European Commission and the UK’s Competition Commission support these arguments. In addition, the European Commission is currently conducting an investigation into the pricing practices of KPN in relation to its corporate VPN (fixed and mobile) services. Finally, we note that Oftel has just initiated a case under Chapter II of the Competition Act to investigate the second of the three problems listed above. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 75 The issue of whether mobile call termination prices should be cost oriented is currently the subject of administrative and judicial review in a number of member states. So we do not believe that it is appropriate to take a position in relation to this issue. But we do recommend that the European Commission should: • consider whether it should issue guidance requiring NRAs to ensure that mobile operators charge regulated call termination prices in a non-discriminatory fashion and, in particular, do not discriminate between charges to rivals and charges to their own retail business • consider what price differences between mobile operators should be allowed when setting a regulated call termination price. For example, should differences in call volumes, which lead to higher unit costs for smaller operators, be reflected in the price differences? There are strong arguments that they should so as to enable small 2G operators and greenfield 3G operators to compete with the large incumbent mobile operators on more equal terms. We discuss this issue further under Measure 7 of Chapter 8 • consider to what extent the arguments which lead to regulated prices for 2G mobile voice termination should apply to other services such as SMS call termination, 3G voice call termination and MMS call termination. 3.18 The impact of data protection on m-services There are a number of elements of the Data Protection Directive63 that have the potential to create a competitive disadvantage for new entrant providers of ECS. The impact of this Directive is felt across the ECS industry but it has particular relevance in the mobile sector. Accordingly, we assess this potential impact here. Article 13(2) permits entities that obtain electronic contact details (for electronic mail) for their customers in the context of a sale of a product or a service to use these electronic contact details for direct marketing of their own similar products or services, subject to the customers’rights to object (i.e., customers must ‘opt out’). Recital 41 sets out some of the policy background, noting that it was considered to be reasonable, within the context of an existing customer relationship, to allow the use of electronic contact details for the offering of similar product or services by the same company. New entrants responding to our study have characterized the right of existing operators to use contact data acquired from such past transactions to market new services as skewing the playing field in favour of existing operators to the acquisition of customers for new services. However, it does not appear to us that the ability to use such contract details alone, not matched with other information concerning matters including service usage patterns, for example, constitutes a 63 Directive 2002/58/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 12 July 2002 concerning the processing of personal data and the protection of privacy in the electronic communications sector. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 76 competitive barrier. Such contact details can be obtained elsewhere, relatively cheaply, by new entrants. Article 6(3) permits providers of publicly available ECSs to process traffic data to the extent and for the duration necessary for the provision of value added services (i.e., any service which requires the processing of traffic or other location data beyond what it necessary for the transmission of a communication or the billing thereof). Similarly, Article 9(1) essentially provides that location data other than traffic data can only be processed for use in the provision of value added services if the ECS provider seeks the express consent of the user or subscriber to the transmission of such data to the third party value added service provider. Recital 32 makes it clear that where traffic or other location data must be forwarded from an ECS provider to the value added service provider for the provision of a value added service, the subscriber or user must be ‘fully informed’of this forwarding before giving their consent to the processing of such data. The practical difficulties of obtaining such informed consent where the user or subscriber is using a mobile handset are perceived as operating as a practical barrier for independent value added service providers. The industry is currently attempting to develop schemes to address such practical issues. However, to the extent that such practical difficulties persist, it would appear that access to such processed data by value added service providers that are not affiliated to ECS providers is more difficult than for ECS providers self-supplying value added services. The Study Team understands that the industry is currently working to produce practical solutions to address the potential for competitive disadvantage that Article 6(3) and 9(1) might represent for mobile value added service providers that are not affiliated to ECS providers processing traffic data (and location data other than traffic data). Accordingly, it makes no recommendations. 3.19 Mobile content A number of mobile operators have entered into arrangements to acquire the exclusive 3G rights to premium content. For example, T-Mobile has the rights to the Bundesliga and H3G has the right to the FA Premier League in the UK, Seria A in Italy and ice hockey in Sweden. Respondents to our study have indicated that they believe that sports rights are important in driving early adoption for 3G. All of our respondents have indicated that, at the moment, it appears that such rights are being acquired through ‘highest bidder wins’contests. There appears to be no evidence that rights holders are currently placing weight on the size of the bidding mobile operators’subscriber bases (i.e., ‘eyeballs’controlled). As such, it does not appear that ‘incumbency’currently provides an advantage in this respect. However a number of respondents believe that such a development might occur in future. At the same time the mobile operators with the largest subscriber base or those with the greatest financial strength are also in a position to make higher bids. The respondents to our study noted that the content for 3G market is so embryonic that it is virtually impossible to anticipate how it will develop during the life of the current arrangements. No mobile operator has any certainty that the exclusive rights that it has acquired will actually make any difference at all to take up or ARPU, Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 77 irrespective of the amount of market research that it may conduct. Our respondents have noted that they are expecting quite different dynamics for non-sport content. In particular, they expect that games will be very fragmented, and might fragment across the competing platforms in a manner that reflects the target demographics of each operator (leaving aside the technical issues associated with multiple game compatibility for the operating systems). One respondent has indicated that it believes that 3G data services will not be ‘mobile Internet’. It expects that web browsing will only account for a relatively small proportion of traffic (when compared to anticipated peer-to-peer messaging traffic flows, for example). However, another uses an Internet content analogy to describe mobile data services (to argue that rights to mobile content are not analogous to broadcasting rights). It would appear that the views in this respect reflect the varying business plans and target demographics. While it is too early to identify mobile-specific issues relating to premium content, the Commission should monitor rights acquisition, to ensure that such arrangements do not become barriers to competition. The Study Team’s discussion of potential barriers constituted by rights acquisition and exercise in the broadcasting context is also relevant in the mobile context. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 4 78 Broadcasting services This chapter reviews competition in broadcasting-related markets of the European Union to identify potential barriers to competition. Our discussions with industry indicate that there are concerns relating to four key potential barriers to competition: • exclusive rights to content, both in terms of the potential foreclosing effect of such rights on new platform operators when such rights are held by existing operators and in terms of the relationship between rights holders and platform operators, where a particular rights holder is not vertically-integrated with the particular platform operator; • the potential for the scope and effect of the existing regulatory structures for different types of services to skew the basis on which different but competing services are able to compete; • the regulation of CAS, and the need to ensure that appropriate and proportionate regulation is imposed, rather than maintained on the basis of a presumption of proportionality and appropriateness; and • the need to ensure that regulatory measures intended to facilitate the development of, and access to, iTV and other e-Europe services are directed at doing so. In order to better understand the origins of these concerns, we first briefly describe the broadcasting value chain, and follow it with a discussion which focuses on these concerns, as illustrated by the following individual sets of issues: • exclusive rights to content and the balancing of the rights of rights holders and platform operators; • the impact of “must carry” obligations on the relationship between program providers and platform operators; • the changes in the types of content that can be provided, whether driven by the ‘converging’environment or other factors, and the need to ensure that regulation does not delay or skew the development of such changes; • the implications of variation in the number of competitive platforms; • the role, and appropriate regulation, of conditional access systems; and • the need for thorough analysis and assessment of perceived competitive problems that relate to consumer access to interoperable iTV services, to portable content authoring and to access to APIs, to ensure that regulatory measures are proportionate and appropriate. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 79 4.1 The broadcasting services value chain The broadcasting sector is characterised by multiple, complex relationships between entities at different levels of the value chain. There are essentially three general layers or categories, which depend on the nature of the relationships between the entities in the broadcasting value chain: (a) a wholesale market for ‘rights’; (b) wholesale markets for access to network and/or platform infrastructure (including ‘technical services’); and (c) a retail ‘broadcasting services’market. Additional elements can be identified in a number of different broadcasting services business models, including advertising and the potential need for a ‘return-path’(particularly in an interactive environment). The value chain is illustrated in Figure 4.1 below: Figure 4.1 The value chain for TV broadcast services Wholesale Provision of Content At the top of the value chain, there is at least one broad market for the production and supply of content for television. Within this broader market, there are a number of Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 80 different ‘types’of content that are provided as television programming in most Member States,64 namely: • ‘premium’films • ‘premium’sports • non-premium programming for television • interactive programmes or features, often complimentary and linked to other programming. This content is turned into ‘channels’by channel providers, through the acquisition and packaging of programming to appeal to consumers.65 Channel providers purchase programmes either from independent producers or produce them internally (or through related entities).66 Most films are licensed from the major studios, but some are commissioned or produced by channel providers. Sports rights are generally licensed from the relevant rights holder. The dynamics of acquiring licences to rights for sports that are ‘listed’under the measures implementing the TWF Directive differ, since no channel provider can acquire exclusive live rights to such events. Content tends to be exclusive to a single channel in each geographic market (and is protected by the terms of the licence to each channel provider). The rights for sport and films are often referable to a ‘window’for broadcast (e.g., rights to broadcast during a match, highlights immediately following the match or the right to broadcast a film immediately following its theatre run). As a result of the exclusivity associated with most programming, channels are strongly differentiated (i.e., no two channels carry the same programming). In turn, channel providers aim to differentiate their channels on the basis that the more attractive the channel, the greater the price that can be charged (at both the wholesale and retail levels), reducing the ability of other channels to constrain pricing behaviour. 64 In certain circumstances, each might constitute ‘markets’or ‘sub-markets’in their own right. 65 In the context of advertiser-supported TV, it also typically involves the insertion of advertising (for which the channel supplier earns advertising revenue). Rarely, the channel supplier may leave ‘availability’for advertising to be inserted by distributors. 66 In this respect, it appears that it is audience demand, more than the quotas in the Television Without Frontiers Directive (the “TWF Directive”) that drives local content. There is currently a debate as to the role and purpose of such quotas and possible unintended effects on the market (e.g., some suggest that they operate as barriers to entry for new entrant broadcasters unable to fund the more expensive “productions”) and their future role in an increasingly multi-channel specialist environment. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 81 Relationships Between Channel Providers and Platform Operators Channel providers either distribute channels on their own account67 or supply them to network or platform operators for distribution. The relationships between channel providers and network or platform operators can be complex. Increasingly, network and platform operators control or have a stake in at least one channel provider. In the analogue distribution environment this has led to some concerns about discrimination in favour of, or undue preference shown to, channel providers related to the platform or network operators. In the digital environment, there is, inherently, greater capacity. However, a number of services that are already being and will in the future be provided on digital networks require greater capacity. It is not yet clear how these two factors will impact on the competing commercial incentives of network or platform operators: namely, to carry as much high quality content as possible and to ensure capacity for innovative services. The second, related, factor that can affect such relationships is the contractual terms on which channels controlled by a vertically integrated channel provider and distributor are provided to competing distributors. There have been concerns, expressed in a number of Member States, about the extent to which such vertically integrated entities use deep discounting and other discounting practices that could produce a price squeeze. The third relevant factor is the ‘must carry’obligation. This obligation is imposed on entities providing networks used for the distribution of radio or television broadcasts to the public where a significant number of the end-users of the networks use it as their principal means to receive such broadcasts. It essentially requires such entities to carry designated channels and services. The new Universal Services Directive permits Member States to determine appropriate remuneration for the carriage of such channels and services. Retail Supply Free-to-air distribution is available to viewers with the appropriate reception equipment, without subscription.68 Historically, free-to-air distribution has been analogue. However, the number of digital distribution platforms is slowly growing. PayTV distribution supplies channels to viewers who, through a subscription contract, are authorised and have the appropriate equipment to receive them. It typically entails the retailing to subscribers of offerings (or ‘bundles’) of ‘basic’and ‘premium’ channels. In most Member States, bundles of ‘basic’channels are offered, consisting 67 e.g. the analogue free-to-air model or other model based on vertical integration with a platform or network operator or some pay TV channel providers that are not vertically-integrated, notably Canal+ outside France. 68 Some Member States have published ‘target dates’for analogue switch-off, predicated on a specified level of digital penetration (e.g., between 2006 and 2010, if 95% digital penetration). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 82 of between twenty and sixty-five basic channels. These offerings are cheaper than premium channels. Premium channels are also available, often bundled, and often ‘themed’. In a number of Member States, the pricing of such premium channels varies by reference to the number of premium channels taken by a subscriber. The retail distribution markets appear to operate differently across the Member States. For example: • the French market has been characterised as a single market including both digital terrestrial and payTV, whether by cable or satellite; • the German market has historically been identified as having separate terrestrial and cable markets; • the United Kingdom has been characterised as having a digital broadcasting sector in which terrestrial TV and other forms of audio-visual entertainment are seen as close substitutes for television distributed over cable and satellite platforms; and • Italy has been found to have separate markets for the provision of digital terrestrial services and digital satellite services. By and large, these differences appear to reflect the extent of inter-platform competition and the respective timing and maturity of the introduction and development of each platform in each geographic market. The pervasive trend with digital programming is to incorporate ‘interactive’elements into programmes. There are currently two basic types of interactive services: digital data services that include services that are essentially digital Teletext (e.g., walled gardens containing text based on web pages that has been reauthored for TV screens), transaction services (e.g., pizza delivery), games and voting (including ‘participate at home’functionality for game shows or competitions). In addition, there are enhanced TV services, in which clicking on icons takes you to a linked page or video and/ or audio stream (e.g., ‘change the camera angle’functionality for sporting events, ‘select the story’functionality for news). Currently, most network or platform operators provide such functionality using additional transmission channels and a return path (the latter may run over another network or platform). There is increasingly heavy cross-promotion of enhanced TV services by its providers, both on channels that have the embedded links and on other channels that they supply. As such, it may be necessary for the Commission to revisit whether retail broadcasting services and such interactive services continue to fall into different markets.69 69 See, for example, paragraph 4.1.1.3 in BiB Case No IV/36.539, 98/C 322/05 and paragraph 30 in BSkyB/ Kirch Pay TV Case No COMP/JV.37. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 83 4.2 Potential Barriers to Competition From Rights Acquisition and Exercise As noted above, the link between content, particularly premium content, and the ECS relevant market for broadcasting transmission services will become increasingly important as Member States implement the new EU framework. A number of the respondents to our study have raised concerns about the potential foreclosing effect of the control of rights to premium content. For example, concerns were expressed about platform operators with agreements conferring rights to a large volume and wide variety of such rights and the advantages held by some platform operators as a result of their greater scale (i.e., in any ‘bidding’environment or “bidding market” scenario). In relation to non-broadcasting rights to premium content (e.g., UMTS and Internet rights), a number of respondents to our study highlighted the scale advantages conferred on entities with large existing customer bases (e.g., large numbers of ‘eyeballs’) in acquiring rights, both in terms of the ability to pay for content and as a result of the desire of holders of certain types of content to maximise the number of ‘eyeballs’to which they have access. However, other respondents noted that it appears to them that the acquisition of such rights is highly competitive, as competing platform operators attempt to acquire content that they believe will help stimulate platform migration by early adopters. They also note that most of such negotiations are with rights holders that are in extremely powerful negotiating positions, and that most such contracts have a relatively short term. Rights to Premium Content Movie Rights There have been a number of instances in which there have been concerns that payTV operators (initially Kirch) have, through exclusive licensing arrangements with Hollywood studios (or distributors), accumulated ‘libraries’of premium films that give them an unassailable position in relation to the onward supply of such films.70 For example, Canal+ has been described as enjoying a “de facto monopoly position on premium films for payTV”in various geographic markets.71 Concerns that the merger would create or strengthen a dominant position in the market for the acquisition of exclusive rights for premium films were expressed by the Commission in relation to the recent merger of Spain’s Via Digital and Sogecable, as a result of the Commission’s analysis of that case before its referral to the Spanish authorities. The Spanish Competition Court’s opinion in relation to this merger considered that the merger should be subject to a range of conditions, including one restricting the term 70 BSkyB/ Kirch Pay TV Case No COMP/JV.37 at para. 47 ff and Bertelsmann/ CLT Case No IV/M.779 at para. 33. 71 Vivendi/ Canal+/Seagram Case No IV/M.2050 at para. 40. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 84 for which it acquires first and second window television broadcasting rights from “major studios” to a maximum period of one year. It remains to be seen how matters like rights to premium or “must have”content affect assessments of the market power of vertically-integrated platform operators/broadcasters in the context of analyses of the provision of wholesale broadcasting transmission services under the new ECNS framework. In January 2003, the Commission’s DG Competition opened an investigation into the sale of TV rights to films by Hollywood studios to European payTV operators. The Commission is concerned that the current contracts stifle competition between studios and that long-term exclusive agreements (particularly where one payTV operator is a party to many such agreements) prevent entry into the payTV market. The inquiry is considering clauses dealing with duration (generally five years), exclusivity and payment terms, including terms requiring payTV operators to match payments made to one studio to those paid to its rivals (so called “most favoured nation” clauses), escalator payments of 3 per cent per annum, “blockbuster” clauses (which set payTV prices by reference to box office receipts) and additional fees tied to subscriber growth. The Commission has indicated that it is concerned that these clauses have the effect of facilitating collusion between studios in setting prices and terms. The investigation follows a complaint by the French satellite platform broadcaster TPS about arrangements between several studios and Canal Satellite. Canal Plus has filed a separate complaint in relation to TPS’arrangements with TF1 and M6. Sports Rights In June 2002, DG Competition closed its investigation into the sale of TV rights to the Champions’League, after UEFA revised its policy for selling media rights to the Champions League. The new UEFA rules permit the clubs to sell their matches individually if UEFA has not sold the rights to their Tuesday night matches; ensure that all rights will be offered to the market (including Internet and UMTS rights); permit the exploitation of deferred TV rights; entail splitting the media rights into 14 smaller packages (some of which are co-exploited by UEFA and individual clubs); and limit the term for which rights contracts will be awarded to three years. It also appears that the Commission’s current FA Premier League investigation is considering the impact of the control over Premier League media rights exercised by the FAPL, the extent of rights retained by the clubs, the number of games currently broadcast, the effect of the term of the exclusive contracts for rights and the potential for accumulation of a large number of such exclusive, long-term rights to foreclose market entry by other entities. It is anticipated that the investigation will be concluded this year. Interactive and other related Content A number of respondents to our study noted issues associated with so called ‘interactive’elements in programming. In particular, they referred to enhanced TV services (with embedded icons that allow end-users to ‘click through’to a linked page or video and/ or audio stream) and branding. Interactive services are usually heavily Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 85 promoted both on the particular channel with the embedded link and on other channels provided by the rights holder. In a number of Member States (e.g., Italy and the United Kingdom) there are rights holders that are required to provide their programmes or channels to other platform operators. However, they are not required: • to provide linked interactive services • to remove the links to such services • to provide so-called “clean feed”, allowing the replacement of such services with other interactive services developed or provided by the competing platform operator. Anecdotal evidence suggests that these practices have a significant impact on enduser perception of the competing platform operator and on the ability of competing platform operators to develop and provide their own enhanced TV services (even though such competing operators use infrastructure that is better equipped to provide return-path based services). Based on this analysis we recommend that: • close attention is paid in future to exclusive rights to broadcasting content, particularly where such rights are of broad scope (both in terms of platforms and number and variety of rights) and of long duration; • competition law processes are used for such scrutiny; • the European Commission considers the development of guidelines based on competition case law to date (as described above); and • the issues identified above associated with embedded interactive content be the subject of further study. The extent to which such services are promoted with and within conventional broadcasting services is such that the approach taken in BiB and similar cases, considering interactive services and broadcasting services separately, may warrant reconsideration. Channel Supply and Access to Platforms/ Networks As noted above, the relationships between channel providers and network and/or platform operators are complex. In essence, they are the commercial point at which the channel providers’view that platform operators provide them with transmission services and the platform operators’view that channel providers provide them with content intersect most directly. The relationship has been characterised by the Commission, in a series of merger reviews, as the provision of broadcasting transmission services to channel suppliers. It has been considered in assessments of the extent to which the different ‘means of transmission’are substitutable to meet the requirements of broadcasters (channel suppliers). There has been variation in relation to such substitutability between cases relating to different Member States. For example, in the early German case MSG Media it was found that cable and satellite transmission or Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 86 transponder capacity were not substitutes.72 Similarly, in Nordic Satellite Distribution, transponder capacity was found to be in a stand-alone market. These cases should be contrasted with the approaches taken in relation to the United Kingdom (i.e., Sky/BSB and BiB/Open) and France (i.e., TPS). It should also be noted that, in the more recent German cable mergers (Blackstone/ CDPQ/ Kabel Nordrhein-Westfalen and Blackstone/ CDPQ/ Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg), it was acknowledged that the rapid changes occurring in the competitive environment might mean that the market for transmission capacity might now encompass an aggregate of all available platforms.73 The characterisation of the relationship as the provision of broadcasting transmission services is also reflected in the new electronic communications framework, through the inclusion of a relevant market defined in the Commission’s Relevant Markets Recommendation74 as ‘broadcasting transmission services and distribution networks in so far as they provide the means to deliver broadcast content to end users’. However, the impact of this approach, when combined with the treatment of ‘broadcasting platforms’as ECNs, under the new ECNS framework is unclear. For example, the range of obligations that might be imposed on any provider of wholesale broadcasting transmission services found to have SMP includes an “access” obligation. It is far from clear what “access” will mean in this context. Content providers are expressly not providers of ECSs and are, therefore, on the face of the regime, outside its scope. However, the conferral of ‘access’rights on content providers could be seen as essentially conferring on them at least some of the benefits of the regime (without the attendant obligations). While it seems unlikely that the policy imperative for conferring access rights on providers of ECSs currently apply to content providers, it is not clear what form any “access” obligation might take in this context. It would appear to be important for the Commission and the NRAs to consider this matter, both to avoid the implementation of the ECNS regime with unintended effects and to ensure that NRAs are able to use the access remedy (when it is appropriate and proportionate to do so). 72 It is, in this context, important to note the effect of the particular legal and regulatory conditions that existed (e.g., the control by building owners over the final cable connections to viewers and the restrictions on installation of multiple satellite receivers on multi-dwelling residential properties). 73 For example, construction of multiple networks providing the final cable connections to viewers. See, further, Communication from the Commission to the council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions on the transition from analogue to digital broadcasting (from digital ‘switchover’to analogue ‘switch-off’SEC(2003)992. 74 Commission Recommendation of 11/02/2003 on Relevant Product and Service Markets within the electronic communications sector susceptible to ex ante regulation in accordance with Directive 2002/21/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council on a common regulatory framework for electronic communications networks and services. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 87 The alternative characterisation of the relationship is to view the content as the ‘asset’which the platform or network provider seeks the right to use. In view of the current position under Community law, it appears that it would be difficult to base an access request on an ‘essential facilities’case, to compel a rights holder to license such rights. While it may not be the case that a platform provider would have to demonstrate that it requires access to provide a “new product”, the platform provider would have to show that the rights holder occupies a dominant position, that the rights holder possesses a facility that is essential for the supply of certain services, that the rights holder has refused to grant non-discriminatory access (without an objectively justifiable reason) and that the rights are acquired in an upstream market as a necessary input for supply in a downstream market.75 Clearly, this would not be an easy case to sustain. However, we note that the Commission’s current investigation into the agreements between Hollywood studios and payTV operators may raise issues about the rights (particularly premium content rights) held by payTV operators in the context of their access to transmission services required for retail distribution. In particular, there may be significant issues relating to foreclosure, non-discriminatory access and transparency. These issues are most starkly relevant in a geographic market in which at least one payTV rights holder is vertically-integrated with a distribution platform. For example, the Sky ratecards were given by Sky as non-statutory undertakings, in 1996, to meet concerns of the DG OFT about competition in the market for wholesale payTV. More recently, the OFT considered potential breaches of Chapters I and II of the Competition Act by Sky (finding dominance on particular markets but not the alleged margin squeeze). It appears to the Study Team that the ECNS regulatory framework, because it applies to “broadcasting transmission services”, raises the very real possibility that content providers will be able to acquire ‘access’to transmission services in the same way that providers of ECSs may acquire access. We, therefore, recommend that the Commission takes the necessary steps to ensure that the balance between the competing rights of ECNS providers and rights holders is maintained. The Impact of the Number of Platforms There is real doubt in a number of the smaller Member States that DTT platforms will be deployed. In such circumstances, there is a risk that some Member States may have a single digital network or platform that is capable of distributing digital broadcasting content. Clearly, if a Member State were to have a single digital platform (without multiple providers using such a platform), regulators will need to consider the access obligations that may be warranted or appropriate (e.g., in view of 75 The final element might be found to be unnecessary in the IMS case, which is currently before the Court of First Instance. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 88 the availability of spectrum, technical characteristics of the network) in such a situation.76 In a number of Member States, the commercial provision of ADSL-based delivery of broadcast (or narrowcast) content is being considered, and a number of pilot schemes have been successfully tested. However, in recent transactions, concerns have been expressed about the potential loss of the competitive opportunity represented by such an alternative platform. For example, in the Via Digital and Sogecable merger, the Commission was concerned that the interest that Telefónica would acquire in the merged entity would affect its development of payTV over ADSL through project Imagenio. The entry of such new platforms may offset the absence of DTT networks in some Member States, as long as they are not controlled by entities that already have an interest in existing platforms (e.g., fixed incumbents with an interest in the cable or satellite platform).77 It is also worth noting the consolidation that is beginning to happen across the Member States, essentially removing or reducing competition between multiple platforms using the same technology (e.g., Telepui and Stream in Italy and Sogecable and Via Digital in Spain). The Study Team recommends that the Commission monitor the development of digital platforms to ensure that it is aware of the number and capability of such platforms in each Member State, and considers the implications of reductions in the number, and concentration in relation to the ownership, of such platforms. Short term gains from allowing investors with the ability to invest in multiple platforms to do so might be overborne in the medium to long term by market parallelism designed to erect entry barriers, to maintain margins through exploitation of externalities or to ensure that new more efficient services that might cannibalise revenues from inefficient services do not develop. It is imperative to ensure that the implications for infrastructure-based competition are carefully considered in the context of forward-looking reviews conducted in relation to the approval of transactions that permit entities to acquire interests in multiple platforms, and that the regulatory trade-offs introduced to counteract the loss of alternative platforms are carefully considered. 76 For example, Directive 95/47 was drafted to reflect the possibility that only a single pay TV platform might develop in each Member State. As such, it imposed the “fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory access” obligation on all CAS providers, rather than those with a degree of market power. 77 In fact, there is a concern that sustainable DTT entry may not occur in some Member States in which there have been strong analogue pay TV platforms. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 89 4.3 Consistent Regulatory Treatment of Competing Services Must Carry Obligations The nature and scope of must carry obligations vary across the Member States. The inclusion of Article 31 of the new Universal Service Directive might go some way towards harmonising the approaches taken. However, it is unlikely to lead to the review of the measures empowering media authorities to approve changes to bouquet line-ups and pricing that currently exist in a number of Member States. It might also skew the commercial arrangements between channel providers providing channels with must carry status and platform operators. It should also be noted that the growth of “must offer” or “must have” content, and the role of such content in multi-channel environment is not addressed by Article 31. Such content could become increasingly more significant than “must carry”. In addition, there are a number of features of Article 31 that should be noted, namely: • the obligation may be imposed on undertakings under a Member State’s jurisdiction providing ECNS used for the distribution of broadcasts - this formulation does not address the difficulties that have already arisen in relation to jurisdiction over undertakings providing broadcasting channels and services over satellite platforms; • the ‘broadcast channels’and ‘services’concepts are not defined in the Universal Service Directive. Given that the terms do not reflect the terms used in either the TWF or Information Society Directives or elsewhere in the ECNS Directives, there appears to be the potential for differing interpretations (and implementation) across the Member States; • the potential scope for the imposition of must carry obligations on networks used as the principal means by which a significant number of end-users receive radio and television broadcasts is broad. While the inclusion of this concept was intended to be forward-looking, technology-neutral and to protect cultural interests, when combined with the undefined ‘broadcast’concept it may have the unintended effect of providing scope for the extension of must carry rights across a broad range of content and multiple platforms in a manner that stretches the public policy justifications for such obligations. As a practical matter, it may become increasingly difficult to gather the empirical data necessary to determine whether ‘a significant number’of end-users use one means or another for their reception, or to identify which is the ‘principal’means used when end-users take advantage of multiple means; • there appears to be a disconnect between the types of network providers which must be considered in the context of determining non-discriminatory remuneration (e.g., potentially all undertakings providing ECNs) and the undertakings which may be obliged to carry must carry channels (e.g., operators of ECNs relied on by a significant number of end-users as their principal means of receiving broadcasts); and Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 90 • it does not appear that Article 31 will impact on the powers of media authorities (including local authorities) in a number of Member States to improve the channel line up, and pricing, of ‘basic’service packages. As such, the potential for increasingly diverging powers to control bouquets offered is preserved.78 Regulators might also consider whether must carry-type obligations in their current form will continue to be appropriate in the future, in a ‘digital’multi-platform environment, where much of the content currently benefiting from must carry status might become ‘must have’content for platform operators.79 In this context, we note, for example, that subscriber numbers for Sky’s Irish operations grew significantly when it started to carry BBC1 and BBC2 and, subsequently, RTE. In a digital environment, with the potential for the supply of a greater volume and range of content, there will be strong commercial incentives for platform operators to carry high quality content, particularly where rights to such content are exclusive. It is these and similar dynamics that drive the imposition of “must offer” requirements. Industry remains concerned about the potential for ambiguity and inconsistent implementation across Member States in relation to the applicability, scope, nature and form of must carry obligations to skew inter-platform competition, and to perpetuate a distinction between entities that ‘have’and entities that do not ‘have’ must carry status. That distinction becomes increasingly difficult to justify in the digital environment. The Study Team recommends that the Commission considers whether the output from its current study relating to must carry issues addresses the issues raised above. Varying Regimes for Different Services A number of respondents to our study have raised concerns as to the appropriateness of applying differing specific regulatory regimes to services in the converging digital environment, and whether this will be appropriate, sustainable or reflective of the reality of the market. From 25 July 2003, the following types of services will be regulated in different ways under distinct regulatory regimes: • ECSs – a service normally provided for remuneration which consists wholly or mainly in the conveyance of signals on ECNs, including transmission services in networks used for broadcasting but expressly excluding services providing or exercising editorial control over content transmitted using ECSs, and which also 78 It is clear, of course, that the Commission’s position that provision of retail broadcasting services to end-users is not an ECS further dilutes any incentive (and, perhaps, remit) to consider whether such national measures amount to must carry measures. 79 It is clear, however, that some must carry content, with lower viewer numbers and, accordingly higher opportunity costs, is unlikely to benefit for the commercial need for ‘attractive’must carry content (e.g., the UK Parliament channel). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 91 does not include information society services which do not consist wholly or mainly in the conveyance of signals on ECNs; • information society services – any service normally provided for remuneration, at a distance, by electronic means and at the individual request of a recipient of services, and which includes services like video-on-demand; and • television broadcasting – initial transmission of television programmes intended for reception by the public, including the communication of programmes between undertakings with a view to their being relayed to the public. It does not include communication services providing items of information or other messages on individual demand such as telecopying, electronic data banks and other similar activities. The gaps and overlaps between, and ambiguities in relation to the boundaries between, these concepts and the significantly different impact of the application of one regime or another, is already beginning to open up the potential for regulatory lacunae. For example, the Commission has taken the view that the ECS concept does not include the delivery of retail ‘broadcasting’services or end-user access to networks for the receipt of such services. The impact of this interpretation is to empower regulators to monitor consumer protection issues and elements of consumer contracts in relation to telephony and Internet services provided over cable networks, but arguably not in relation to broadcasting services provided over the same platform. This may reflect the fact that telecommunications regulation has historically recognised the concept of “end-user access to networks”, while broadcasting regulation does not, and illustrates the inherent conflict between the historic approaches to communications infrastructure and (broadcasting) content regulation. In addition, when read with the TWF Directive, the exclusion of retail broadcasting services from the ECS regime (i.e., leaving it to the Member States to regulate such services) may have the effect of continuing to permit Member States to retain existing unharmonised and, in some cases, heavy regulation of retail broadcasting over terrestrial and cable platforms, while applying the country of origin principle to satellite platform-based retail broadcasting. As a result, terrestrial and cable broadcasting platforms may continue to bear the costs (monetary and otherwise) of such regulation. As such, it may have a skewing effect on the market, inhibiting the ability of terrestrial and cable platform operators to compete effectively. In addition, the definitions may mean that ‘modularised’80 content is regulated differently, depending on the particular digital modules put together to form a service. The form and structure of content is evolving in the digital environment. It is 80 Increasingly, content is being produced as digital ‘modules’that can be put together for different platforms, as required (e.g., the audio and video modules for television, perhaps with the addition of text and interactive modules, the audio module for radio, an enhanced text module with the audio and video and interactive modules for the Internet). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 92 anticipated that this trend will continue, with content increasingly being produced in this manner. At the same time, content is increasingly being delivered over platforms other than those with which it is traditionally associated. It is, and will increasingly be, provided over alternative, competing or complementary, platforms. The study team recommends that the Commission undertakes a comprehensive review of the overlaps of, gaps between and boundaries of, these regulatory distinctions Given the digital economy aims of the Community, such a review appears necessary to ensure that the application of overlapping and possibly inconsistent regulation does not defeat such aims. 4.4 Access to Conditional Access Systems Conditional access systems (“CAS”) are essentially technical systems that ensure that only viewers authorised to acquire a service (whether as part of a subscription or on demand) are able to do so, including authorisation signals (i.e., entitlement control messages, entitlement management messages and verification) in the data stream and provide message processing services (e.g., decryption and unscrambling). They also prevent unauthorised signals from corrupting the decoder population. The conditional access system is integrated in the set-top box (“STB”), as illustrated in Figure 4.2 below. All operators of conditional access services who provide access services to digital television and radio services and whose access services are depended on by broadcasters to reach any group of potential viewers or listeners are currently (and will continue to be) required to offer to all broadcasters, on a fair, reasonable and nondiscriminatory basis, technical services enabling such broadcasters’digitallytransmitted services to be received by those authorised by means of decoders administered by the service operators. Article 6 of the Access Directive permits the review and revision of these obligations in relation to operators that do not have SMP and to amend the obligations imposed on those entities with SMP, through a market analysis conducted under Article 16 of the Framework Directive. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 93 Figure 4.2 The architecture of STBs, showing CAS and API There are two issues that flow from the regime (with the potential for review) described above: • what does the ‘fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory’obligation actually entail; and • should this ‘remedy’be revised, as permitted by the new electronic communications regulatory regime. With the exception of relatively recent review in the United Kingdom, prompted by the terms of access to SSSL’s CAS, there has been little regulatory attention to interpreting the fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory test. Oftel has taken the view that such terms are those which would be most likely to maximise efficient use of the CAS, maximising entry to the platform and choice to the consumer, and reflecting the willingness of a rational customer to pay for the service. It has gone on to take the view that a conditional access service provider would be ‘expected to recover their costs and make reasonable, but not excessive profits’. Finally, Oftel has taken the view that different terms can be offered to different customers (reflecting the different values that they might place on the service), only if such differentiation does not have a significant adverse effect on competition. In its view, permitting new players to join the platform ‘at a discount’when it would have been uneconomic for them to join on more typical terms will be pro-competitive. The new electronic communications framework permits the review and amendment or withdrawal of the “fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory terms” obligation. As such, NRAs may be permitted to consider whether this remains the appropriate ‘remedy’. In considering this issue, they might wish to consider whether: Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 94 • an access obligation in relation to CAS is actually the appropriate manner in which to address the perceived regulatory mischief (i.e., whether it is really access to the CAS, rather than, for example, APIs and authorising tools, that is the regulatory concern); • they share Oftel’s view in relation to the nature and effect of the current obligation; • other access obligations in the Access Directive would be more appropriate (bearing in mind that such obligations can only be imposed on entities with significant market power in the provision of CAS (i.e., there is no power under the new regime to redefine the scope of the CAS ‘market’)); • the obligation in relation to CAS might become more ‘real’for those systems which are currently closed, if they are subjected to access obligations relating to their transmission services under the new regime (e.g., cable systems); • the debate surrounding the extension of this remedy to “must carry”that arose in the course of the adoption of the new ECNS regime; and • in a ‘converging’environment, the benefit of access should only extend to broadcasters, or whether other providers of interactive services should benefit from the same or another form of access. It should also be remembered that the standardisation powers set out in Article 17 of the Framework Directive provide a mechanism for identifying standards and/or specifications to serve as a basis for encouraging the harmonised provision of associated facilities (which include CAS), where the perceived regulatory problem relates to standards and/or specifications. It is important that regulators consider the likely impact of: (i) lifting the fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory access obligation off operators without SMP; and (ii) changing the nature of the access obligation itself. 4.5 Interoperable iTV services and APIs A number of respondents to our study have indicated that industry remains concerned that the existing regulatory framework applied to CAS may be extended to APIs without a thorough analysis and assessment of perceived competitive problems that relate to ensuring interoperability of iTV services. Accordingly, the Commission has asked us to consider whether the development of common authoring tools can address perceived barriers to the development and delivery of interactive television, or iTV, and whether this would reduce the need to consider mandating API standards or imposing API access obligations. In particular, we have been asked to consider the links between such authoring tools, interoperability and access. The European institutions have recently re-emphasized the importance that is placed on developing Information Society services and other e-services, and ensuring that they are available to as many European citizens, over the broadest range of platforms Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 95 and using the widest variety of end user terminals as is possible.81 In this light, this chapter briefly describes the types and forms of iTV content to which that term refers, before identifying the potential barrier to competition, otherwise characterised as an interoperability issue, that we consider to be relevant to authoring tools (i.e., portability of content/ applications). In doing so, we will seek to draw out each factor that impacts on cross-platform portability of iTV services. It concludes by assessing the extent to which the development and adoption of common authoring formats might facilitate porting. What is iTV? We have considered the types of services that should be encompassed in an examination of the potential role of authoring tools in relation to the development and delivery of iTV. In essence, this chapter focuses on interactive services that are designed specifically for TV, both: • enhanced TV services (based on the programmed or cyclical downloading of data associated with signals from a linear TV service), including services providing viewers with the ability to bet on the video content, choose camera angles or ‘play-at-home’quiz games. A return path may or may not be required;82 and • non-TV-related or ‘interactive’services (e.g., banking, shopping and games).83 81 See, inter alia, the “Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions on Barriers to widespread access to new services and applications of the information society through open platforms in digital television and third generation mobile communications”, 9 July 2003, COM(2003)410 final. 82 Enhanced television consists of the transmission of the televised programme along with related complementary information. This information can be any combination of texts, images, sound and/ or video sequences, and is usually linked to the course of the programme. As such, it is valid for a limited duration (defined by the programme broadcaster). The video stream may not be interrupted by accessing complementary information, in that information continues to be displayed as a ‘vignette’or in the background (where the complementary information is embedded in the video image) or the viewer may have to quit the programme in order to access to complementary information. Enhanced television relies on local interaction between the user and the application temporarily residing in the receiver, rather than a return channel. 83 Non-related TV services also involve the broadcast of textual information, sound, images and video destined for TV reception, but does not necessarily imply the presence of, or any links to, a continuous stream of video images. These applications generally require an interaction channel, usually via integrated modem communication (over the PSTN or a bi-directional cable network). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 96 The chapter does not expressly consider VoD or NVoD, because such services currently operate essentially as advanced pay-per-view services (allowing viewers to choose both the programme and the viewing time). Nor does it consider Internet access services accessed via TV sets, entailing “full screen” Internet browsing using a keyboard and Internet-specific software. However, we note that such services must be considered in developing medium-term iTV policy, to ensure that the service and platform convergence that they represent is not hampered by policy decisions. Finally, we note that the production and delivery of, and consumer demand for, iTV content and applications is currently embryonic at best across the Member States. In addition, it does not appear that there is a significant amount of pent up demand for such services. A Statistical Research Institute survey performed in the second half of 2002 indicated that 72% of the consumers surveyed did not want iTV services, with very similar results among those have currently have, and those who do not have, such services.84 Potential barriers to competition in the supply of iTV services Much of the current debate about APIs and their potential to function as barriers to the supply of iTV services centres on whether STBs, containing APIs, are “interoperable”. The interoperability concept appears to be being used in a number of senses in this debate, including: • the ability to be able to run an application or service on any appropriately configured delivery platform; • compatibility across interactive digital services and applications that require consumer-side middleware to support them; • the operation of receiving equipment between networks (supporting delivery platforms); and • the ability of networks to inter-work with other networks. Broadly speaking, it appears that the concept is being used to embrace two distinct ‘families’of interpretability issues related to the development of iTV services, namely: • content/ application - the ability of content/ application producers to author once and to then port the content/ application between networks (or varying capabilities) with the minimum amount of reauthoring possible and the reciprocal ability of consumers to access content so authored;85 and 84 Quoted in “ITV Standards: The Interoperability Challenge”, Patrick Griffis, Nov- Dec 2002, at www.studio-systems.com/Broadcasting/NovDec2002/ITV%20Standards/94.htm. 85 In this respect, Recital 31 of the Framework Directive refers to interoperability of digital iTV services at the consumer level, in order to ensure the free flow of information, media pluralism and cultural diversity. It goes on to provide that it is desirable for consumers to have the capability of receiving, regardless of the transmission mode, all digital iTV services. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 97 • network/ equipment – the ability of all receivers (STBs) to be successfully used on all or most multiple networks and delivery platforms. It is clear that authoring tools do not provide effective mechanisms to facilitate the compatibility of all receivers with all platforms. As such, they will in no way facilitate consumers switching between platforms (or operators) without being required to acquire terminal equipment (i.e., STBs) that is compatible with the platform to which they are switching.86 Equally, it is clear that authoring tools have the ability to facilitate the cross-platform availability of iTV services, Information Society services and other e-services, ensuring that they are available to as many European citizens, over the broadest range of platforms and using the widest variety of end user terminals, as is possible. The adoption of a standardised API (whether mandated or on a voluntary basis) would address both the content/ application and network/ equipment families of interoperability issues identified above. However, the Commission may only mandate a standard,87 under Article 17(3) of the Framework Directive, to “the extent strictly necessary to ensure [interoperability of services] and to ensure freedom of choice for users.” The balance of this chapter considers the potential role of authoring tools in facilitating the production of interoperable iTV services, in an effort to provide guidance as to the extent to which it is ‘strictly necessary’to mandate an API standard to ensure service interoperability. Issues associated with the porting of content/ applications The fundamental issue in relation to the production of, and receipt of, iTV content and applications is whether they can be made portable across platforms (i.e., can they be authored in a manner that ensures that they are compatible with, and run on, at least the vast majority of platforms (including their middleware). A number of factors tend to reduce the extent to which content and applications can be ported, namely: • transmission bandwidth (particularly the return channel); • network integration; • computational (or ‘processing’) resources in the STB; • different APIs in the STBs; • transaction processing; and • linguistic and cultural issues. 86 Article 17 of the Framework Directive is directed at these issues. 87 It would appear that the existing variety of standards in the installed bases of STBs across the Member States would render it difficult to permit standardisation by individual Member States, without infringing the single market principles enshrined in the Treaty. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 98 This section describes each of these issues and reflects estimates of portion of authoring costs that industry have indicated that they would attribute to each of these issues. Transmission Bandwidth There are significant differences in (down-link) transmission capacity between networks. In general, satellite tends to have the largest available capacity; terrestrial has considerably less (due to both a smaller number of available channels and lower transmission capacity per channel). In the UK, for example, Freeview carries 27 TV channels, 4 interactive services and 12 radio channels. Sky carries 331 TV channels, 182 interactive services and 67 radio channels. As such, the balance between providing services on TV channels (which can be locally stored on the STB for access to a limited interactive experience) and interactive channels differs between platforms (in addition to the clear raw capacity-related distinctions). Resizing content/ applications requires reworking of code, graphics and data to adjust to the amount of available bandwidth, particularly when downsizing. There are also not insignificant differences in the return paths. Cable STBs (with cable modems) give a relatively high bandwidth, always-on connection. Satellite and terrestrial STBs have used telecommunications modems, to date, providing a relatively low bandwidth, dial-up connection. The characteristics of the different return paths require content reauthoring to allow for the speed and availability differences between platforms. Even more reauthoring is required to adapt services to run without any return path (e.g., through storage of functionality that has some interactive characteristics on the STB). It is useful to consider the different approaches required for the different return paths by reference to an example, i.e. a pay-for-play gaming application. Platforms without a return path can provide such services only using ‘pre-paid’credits stored on the STB (credited by the operator in response to a call from the consumer requesting crediting) and paid for either in advance or billed on the next periodic bill. Platforms with dial-up return paths could use the narrowband return path, with explicit authorisation from the consumer to do so. Platforms with an always on return path can interact with the consumer in real-time, requiring and obtaining consumer authorisation at the outset. Adjusting content/ applications for this wide range of alternatives requires significant adjustments to code, graphics and data. The BBC has noted that cross-platform divergence is more a result of the different technical capabilities of the different platforms than of the divergence in APIs.88 88 BBC R&D White Paper “Delivering Interactive DTV services to multiple target platforms”, R. Bradbury, R. Cartwright and T. Steele, January 2003. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 99 Network integration The dynamic function of a number of iTV applications, including current news headlines, weekly game shows with a ‘play at home’element, seasonal sports coverage and services leading to the delivery of goods (including pizzas etc), uses network infrastructure to access information necessary to trigger interactive elements. Porting such applications requires integration work with the operator’s head-end equipment and servers. The costs of reauthoring content/ applications to address such integration issues clearly vary on a case-by-case basis. However, Open TV has indicated to us that its own experience with porting dynamic data indicates that infrastructure-related porting costs alone frequently amount to 20% of the original application cost. Computational/ processing resources In the initial stages of DTV deployment, STBs with mid-range processing capacity were deployed, at least in part to manage costs while volumes increased and economies of scale in production developed. However, the range of STBs is increasingly diversifying, from basic “zapper” STBs with little functionality to high-end STBs (some incorporating sophisticated functionality like PVRs). The processing capabilities of a selection of currently available STBs is set out in Figure 4.2, below. Figure 4.2 Processing Capacity of STBs. STB Processor RAM ROM Zapper 30 MHz+ 1-2 MB 1-2 MB MHEG-5 50 MHz+ 4 MB 2 MB OpenTV 50 MHz+ 4-8 MB 4 MB MediaHighway 50 MHz+ 4-8 MB 4 MB MHP Interactive Broadcast Profile 80-130 MHz+ 8-16 MB 8 MB MHP Internet Access Profile 150-200 MHz+ 16-32 MB 16 MB A white paper produced by Philips, Sony, Panasonic and Nokia89 states that, when comparing like with like, the bill-of-materials90 cost difference between MHP 89 “The Costs of MHP in television receivers”, Philips, Sony, Panasonic, Nokia, undated. 90 The bill-of-materials figures in the paper include, in addition to the costs of building STBs with additional processing capability, the total costs of all components. It should also be noted that the white paper (and the numbers that it contains) reflects the technical characteristics (in terms of processor, RAM and ROM) set out in 3.4, Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 100 Interactive and Open TV/ MediaHighway Interactive was approximately €17 in 2001, €4 in 2003 and would reverse (in MHP Interactive’s favour) to be €4 in 2004.91 It goes on to indicate a bill-of-materials differential between MHP Interactive and a basic MHEG-5 zapper box of approximately €55 in 2001, €37 in 2003 and €34 in 2004.92 The authors anticipate that memory and processor cost reductions will be the main drivers for the cost reductions for all STBs. However, we note that the white paper makes no provision for the costs of the intellectual property right licences required. These costs are as yet unknown,93 as the relevant patent pool is not yet operating. The processing resources of an STB have a direct impact on the type and number of applications that can run on the platform of which it is part. However, such resources can not be ‘remotely’upgraded. Upgrade requires physical modification or replacement of the STB. The likely costs of such switching out are described above. APIs In most cases, an API is effectively an operating system that incorporates both a basic operating system and an application interface. In providing the interface between the operating system and the applications running over it, an API enables, limits and controls the iTV services that run over the platform of which it forms part. Content and application producers must have access to the specifications of an API and the authoring tools that are compatible with that API to be able to produce content/ applications that will run on that API. To the best of our knowledge, content/ application producers are not currently experiencing difficulties in gaining access to the largely proprietary specifications of APIs, to the extent that access is required to author content/ applications.94 Nor have we seen evidence that the terms and conditions on which such access is provided above, and include the cost of 56 kbps modems for the MHP and Open TV/ MediaHighway STBs. 91 The (unsubsidised) retail cost differences were anticipated to be a multiple of three of these figures. 92 Again, the (unsubsidised) retail differences were anticipated to be a multiple of three of these figures. 93 At this stage, the only agreed element is the $1 ceiling for each STB on the Java components. 94 It appears that Article 18 of the Framework Directive provides a clear policy support for the adoption and use of ‘open’APIs. However, the ‘open’concept is not defined. While the APIs currently in use are proprietary (at least in part), it does not appear that access to the rights necessary for authoring is restricted. In this context, Article 18.2 requires API providers to make available the necessary authoring tools. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 101 operate as barriers to competition. 95 Given that demand for iTV services is a function of the content/ applications available, API rights holders (i.e., middleware producers) do not have an incentive to restrict the availability of API specifications (at least those elements necessary for authoring).96 There are currently at least seven APIs in use in Europe. The major deployed APIs, as at March 2003, are set out in Figure 4.3. These APIs are not compatible, in that STBs with one API cannot operate on another platform and services written for one platform cannot run on others without a degree of reauthoring. There is significant disagreement within the industry in relation to the portion of the total cost of reauthoring content that can be attributed to the use of different APIs. The breadth of the range of values attributed was highlighted at the October 2002 meeting of the DVB Commercial Module: Open TV, NDS and others estimated attributable reauthoring costs to be in the range of 5 to 15% of total porting cost. Philips, IRT and others estimated the costs to be almost 100%. Disagreement of this magnitude must reflect, inter alia, consideration of fundamentally different types of content/ applications (e.g., content originally authored to be portable, as opposed to transaction-based content written specifically for a particular platform).97 In addition, the higher estimates may also reflect the incorporation of costs related to the STB (rather than to the API itself). 95 As such, it does not appear to us that there are issues relating to access, in most Member States, that warrant the extension of the ‘fair, reasonable and nondiscriminatory’access standard to operators of APIs, under Article 5(1)(b) of the Access Directive. 96 We note that Oxera reached a similar conclusion at page 27 of their February 2003 report “Study on Interoperability, Service Diversity and Business Models in Digital Broadcasting Markets”. 97 In this respect, it is clear that the adoption of authoring tools or formats for new content will have no impact on (and will not facilitate) the portability of existing content authored without using such tools. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 102 Figure 4.3 APIs currently in use API Platform Liberate UPC (Austria, The Netherlands, Scandinavia), ntl, Telewest MediaHighway Canal+ (Belgium, The Netherlands), Canal Satellite (France, Spain), Canal Digital, Le Bouquet, Numericable, Tele+, Telenor Avidi MHP YLE, Helsinki Television Open TV Noos, TPS, UPC (France), FTC, Stream, AUNA, Casema/ Mediakabel, Comhem, Senda, TeleDanmark, Via Digital, Sky, Cablecom Betanova Premiere MHEG-5 Freeview Microsoft TV TV Cabo Transaction processing In relation to transaction-based applications (e.g., banking applications), platform operators typically process transactions in relation to purchaser identification and verification and delivery information. Any application using the platform’s resources for such purposes must be adjusted to work with the platform’s database system and the relevant transaction (and billing) model(s). In addition, given the sensitivity of such applications in relation to a broad range of matters including data protection, transaction security and fiscal regulation, extensive (and expensive) testing is required. The costs of porting transaction processing applications vary enormously. As such, it is essentially meaningless to generalise in relation to such costs. However, we note that a number of application providers have indicated that these costs can actually exceed the total cost of developing the application for the original platform. Linguistic and cultural issues There are a number of linguistic and cultural issues that must be taken into account when porting content/ applications. At a minimum, there are often translation requirements. These may also require graphics, audio and text layout revisions, to reflect the fact that messages in different languages require different amounts of space (and time). For example, German requires more space than English. Broadcasters and network operators also impose ‘look and feel’requirements that serve not only to provide consistency and branding, but also to differentiate content/ applications from those offered by competing operators. ‘Reskinning’content/ applications to address these issues (i.e., changing its appearance while preserving functionality) usually involves some reauthoring of code and not insignificant work on textual and graphical characteristics. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 103 In addition, there are cultural differences that render particular content/ applications more or less relevant (e.g., the Commonwealth Games is relevant, at least to some, in the United Kingdom, but is completely irrelevant in France). Authoring Tools The adoption of platform-independent content interchange formats appears to have the potential to provide a mechanism for describing applications in a platform-neutral manner. This is sometimes also characterised as authoring at a high level. Such a high level approach was adopted in the development of HTML and Adobe’s PDF (i.e., formats suitable for describing the intended consumer experience via a set of platform-independent elements including buttons, menus, formatted text, images, tuners, key press and stream events and audio/ visual streams). There are a number of current initiatives for the creation of standardised data interchange formats supported by XML (an open standard that allows users to precisely specify the content and structure of documents). XML is a text-based metalanguage that is human readable and can be easily transported using standard protocols (including Internet protocols) over broadcast and return paths. It uses ‘tags’ to identify data elements (with the tags potentially defined for each document, as appropriate). XML frequently uses Document Type Definitions (“DTDs”), carrying a description of its format. Such DTDs can be used by independent groups of people to interchange data, and to ensure that data to be interchanged is properly structured. DTDs are a convenient way of packaging service descriptions as files or network transactions, thereby providing a clear separation between content and design. As such, services can be described in a purely abstract manner. When XML is used in conjunction with cascading style sheets, presentation of content can be controlled. The use of different style sheets allows a document to be presented in a number of ways, without changing the document itself. A publication engine manages the dependencies between content and templates. Content and templates are bound together, to automatically generate platform-specific versions of services, with platform-specific components. Design templates are expressed as abstract components (e.g., position, size and colour scheme). Simple components (e.g., text and bitmaps) map directly to presentable objects on STBs. Composite components (e.g., menus) are collections of simple ones. The publication engine can generate code representing objects available for each platform by mapping the abstract service design to the range of objects available. As a result, the author of a DTD description does not need to know how to code for a particular platform. Instead, he or she relies on a library of pre-built components. Such systems are illustrated in Figure 4.4 below. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 104 Figure 4.4 Building iTV content/ applications A number of XML application formats are currently in use, running on Open TV, MHEG-5, DDE-1, Canal Plus, MHP 1.0 and HTML 4, including formats developed both by middleware providers and platform operators themselves (e.g., Sky’s wtvml solution). Most importantly, there are a number of initiatives to develop documented international standards for a common application format which will work across the widest possible array of standards, including: • the SMPTE DDE-2 ad hoc working group – developing a standard for an interoperable authoring format intended to bridge the gap between declarative and procedural content by semantically defining the intent of the content author using a language neutral methodology (which can be converted to particular delivery standards). • the so-called Portable Content Format sub-group (the “PCF Group”)98 of the MHP Commercial Module – agreed on 16 June 2003 to work to define the commercial requirements for a framework for creating iTV services for MHP and legacy platforms with a minimum of reauthoring, acknowledging that there is likely to be a remaining translation step to convert applications/ content from the authoring format to the native capabilities of the device or network. It further acknowledges that such a format should be, at least in part, transcodable into other formats, as required. Such authoring formats are unlikely to be appropriate for all genres of application. However, we note that there does not appear to be a consensus among industry in relation to identifying those genres for which standardised authoring formats are unlikely to be appropriate. The PCF Group has noted that it needs to identify the genres that would be best described in the new format, and to then consider scripting and other extensions. It has indicated that it believes that the majority of popular 98 The Portable Content Format group was originally called the Common Content Format group. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 105 applications would benefit from the development of a portable format, but that arcade style switch games, EPGs and other applications that are “written to the metal” of a particular platform would not. However, we note that there is some disagreement among industry players as to the types of content that are amenable to authoring in a common format. For example, other sources have indicated that they believe that EPGs would in fact be candidates for common format authoring. During interviews held for this study, industry participants estimated that approximately 80% of current iTV applications could be completely authored using such a platform-independent language. Of the remaining 20%, sources consulted during this study anticipate that some elements of the applications could be authored using a common format. Barriers to porting and authoring tools Clearly, common authoring formats cannot address all of the issues reducing the portability of content. In particular, they do not assist in any way in relation to those ‘barriers to porting’resulting from: • transmission bandwidth; • network integration (with the head-end equipment and servers on each platform); • processing capacity (of STBs); • tailoring transaction processing functionality to, and integrating with, each platform; or • the need to adjust services to reflect linguistic and cultural differences. In addition, the adoption of common authoring formats will not reduce the cost of reauthoring content/ applications that have already been developed on a bespoke basis for one particular platform. However, we note that: • the component style of authoring of content/ applications that lies at the core of mark-up languages and their platform-neutral output facilitates easier porting of the integration-related issues set out above; and • the network infrastructure and cultural and linguistic issues would also not be addressable by the adoption of a standard API across all networks (whether voluntarily or mandated). However, it does appear that they have the potential to provide a means of addressing the portability issues (of those that can be addressed) in relation to approximately 80% of iTV content/ applications. As such, common authoring tools appear to have the potential to facilitate both the development and provision of Information Society services and other e-services, for as many European citizens, over the broadest range of platforms and using the widest variety of end user terminals as is possible. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 106 The Study Team recommends that the Commission should : • form a view, before July 2004, of the relevant market failures (if any) at particular points in the broadcasting value chain, with particular focus on whether they relate to reauthoring, standardisation or interoperability; • explore fully the extent to which authoring tool-based obligations alone can address the perceived barriers to competition. It would also be appropriate to simultaneously consider the extent to which the published specifications under Article 17 are ensuring the necessary degree of interoperability; and • mandate standards or access (beyond the non-imperative language of Article 18(2)) only if these two measures prove insufficient. Before taking any such steps, the Commission should consider whether other, less intrusive, remedies, including more specific transparency (and publication) remedies, could address perceived barriers to competition. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 5 107 e-services 5.1 The current industry structure There are six main components of the e-services supply industry: • Consumer oriented ISPs who provide access, email, home page and content to residential and small business users. Consumer oriented ISPs/portals include Wanadoo, AOL, T-Online, BTopenworld, and Tiscali. ISPs in this category vary considerably in the extent to which they deliver their own content to customers. Some offer simple portals, search engines and starter packs; others, like AOL, heavily invest in and promote their content. • Backbone ISPs who provide IP transport and global Internet connectivity to smaller ISPs. In Europe these are often vertically integrated with web hosting service providers and buy global Internet connectivity from other backbone ISPs like AT&T, Genuity, C&W, UUNet etc. • Web hosting SPs. These companies host web sites for large and small businesses. They run consumer facing applications such as e-shopping and ecustomer support for large corporates and serve closed user groups (CUGs) of SMEs. Major companies here include Equant, BT Ignite, C&W, and T- Systems. These companies have expertise in operating call centres and standardised, high volume e-services. • Managed application SPs who supply large corporates and CUGs of large corporates and SMEs with back office applications such as HR, accounting, supply chain management and CRM. These applications require more tailoring and account management than those offered by the web hosting SPs. Large IT services companies like IBM Global Services, CSC and EDS dominate this sector. • e-payments SPs. These SPs are orthogonal to the other SPs in the e-services industry. They include the major credit card organisations and specialised multipayment services like Bibit. • Managed technology SPs supply and manage the hardware, middleware and software required by the managed applications SPs. These companies are often the IT infrastructure outsourcing departments of the major IT services companies. They also include software suppliers like Microsoft. Figure 5.1 shows the value chain. We consider the first five segments of the eservices industry in this chapter and discuss the sixth in Chapter 6. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 108 Figure 5.1 The value chain for the e-services industry Consumers Consumer ISPs Businesses e-pay SPs Web hosting SPs ASPs Managed technology and backbone ISPs 5.2 Corporate e-services Web hosting and managed application service providers supply the corporate market with the bulk of their e-services. These service providers offer both online delivery and management of business application services and infrastructure services. They include services that have been developed to use the Internet to deliver a centrally managed service that is accessed online by many customers (one-to-many). They also include more traditional managed services that are being updated by IT service companies to embrace the Internet as a service delivery channel (one-to-one). The liberalisation of the telecommunications markets in Europe and the advent of the Internet saw a surge in the provision of such e-services by both telecommunications incumbents and new web-based service providers. From the beginning, most of these new markets have been relatively competitive, with plenty of choice for end-users, price-based competition and, relatively speaking, low barriers to entry. However, with the collapse of investor confidence in telecoms, investment has reduced significantly and the industry is currently going through a significant consolidation phase. E-services in these segments vary from managed services like web-hosting, online security services and online storage services to application services and business process outsourcing (“BPO”). These services can either be provided in a standardised, scaleable way to many end-users or customised to suit the process requirements of each customer individually. The variety of service propositions is illustrated by Figure 5.2. It is clear from this diagram that there is strong competition here between the major telecoms operators – who are strongest in offering high volume services- and the IT service companies – who are good at offering tailored applications. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 109 Figure 5.2 corporate e-service products and providers Accenture CSC EDS Unisys SAP Oracle IBM Global Services HP T-Systems BT Ignite Managed services Microsoft NTT Verio Application services WorldCom Service offering Business process outsourcing Content services Volume solution Premium solution Type of business model Source: Ovum This analysis suggests that there is strong competition in the provision of corporate eservices and no major barriers to competition requiring regulatory intervention. Those interviewed for our study agree. 5.3 Backbone ISPs Backbone ISPs provide other e-services players with global Internet connectivity. This market segment has been particularly hard hit by the downturn in the market, significant over-capacity and by resulting pressure on prices. As a result, many backbone ISPs are in financial difficulties. A number of carriers in the related carriers’ carrier markets have gone out of business over the last couple of years. However, this has not necessarily resulted in a reduction in capacity in the industry because ownership reverts to the providers of the – often leased – assets. Figure 5.3 illustrates the dramatic excess capacity for international bandwidth in Western Europe. The graph gives an indication of available excess capacity in the market. The fully upgraded capacity line largely represents fibre that has already been rolled out, but has not been ‘lit’. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 110 Figure 5.3 Pan Western Europe: supply versus demand 1,000,000 100,000 Gbit/s 10,000 1,000 100 10 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Beginning of year End user traffic Bandwidth supply Fully upgraded existing and planned supply Source: Ovum The emerging market structure sees the remaining telecommunications carriers evolving into data/ IP carriers, capitalising on their strengths in providing simple, standard online services (‘utility computing’) for the volume market (e.g., hosted storage, security and messaging services) in addition to providing international connectivity. Clearly, the excess capacity in this market limits the possibility of entry and projected market revenues are not expected to generate a significant return on the original investments. Despite these difficulties, those responding to our study inquires believe that this market is, and will remain, competitive and that regulatory intervention would be harmful rather than helpful. For example ISPA, in the recent paper on the subject, concluded that: “Internet networks continue to develop in response to market forces. Unnecessary regulation would involve significant costs, both directly and in terms of its effect on investment in global, European and national Internet capacity and connectivity.“ One issue which has been the subject of considerable debate over recent years is the US-centric nature of the Internet. Some governments and operators, especially from the Asia Pacific region, argue that the terms on which their operators buy Internet connectivity from US backbone ISPs are unfair and effectively transfer welfare from the Asia Pacific region to the USA. The available evidence suggests that such problems have all but disappeared, at least as far as the EU is concerned. The development of local content and Internet exchanges within the EU, the use of mirrored sites, and the global built out of networks into the EU by backbone ISPs Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 111 have all led to a much more equal balance of Internet traffic across the Atlantic over recent years. We conclude that: • the market for Internet connectivity in the EU is and will remain competitive;99 and • there is no need for regulatory intervention in this market. 5.4 Consumer oriented ISPs Respondents have indicated that there are competition problems in the supply of consumer oriented Internet services in that: • the original business models of these service providers relied to a large extent on revenues from advertising, e-business commissions and content supply. These revenue streams have largely failed to materialise and the consumer oriented ISP currently relies heavily on access revenues; • initially these ISPs generated most of their access revenues by taking a share of the dial-up Internet access revenues paid by the user to the fixed network operator. However this source of revenue is now shrinking, as high usage consumers switch from PSTN dialup access to DSL access; • independent ISPs (i.e., those which are not subsidiaries of access network operators such as fixed incumbents and CATV operators) are likely to disappear unless: - they can quickly start to make money from content; and - they can make a reasonable profit on the resale of DSL services. The prospects for independent consumer oriented ISPs making money from content appear to be poor, currently. They depend on: • whether consumers will pay for content accessed over the Internet. This is still uncertain; and • whether these ISPs have access to viable micro payment mechanisms. Credit card payment is not especially effective for transactions of less than 10 Euros. In addition, many Internet users are reluctant to use their credit cards. In addition, the access network operators who provide the obvious micro payment mechanisms are competitors of these independent ISPs. The margin which independent consumer oriented ISPs make from reselling of DSL services depends on the wholesale products that are available and their pricing. ISPs 99 The competitiveness of Internet connectivity has recently been acknowledged by the Commission in its Recommendation on Relevant Product and Service Markets within the electronic communications sector susceptible to ex ante regulation in accordance with Directive 2002/21/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council on a common regulatory framework for electronic communication networks and services. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 112 claim that wholesale DSL priced on a retail minus basis does not provide an adequate margin but that bitstream DSL priced on a cost plus basis does offer such margin. NRAs face a difficult choice here. If they try to preserve competition from independent consumer oriented ISPs by setting cost based prices, they could significantly reduce further investment in broadband infrastructure. In selecting the appropriate regulatory response, NRAs will need to weigh: • the economic value that competition between such ISPs and those affiliated to the access network operators brings against • the reduction in basic infrastructure investment and competition which a costbased pricing rule on DSL bitstream access might create. It is difficult to estimate technology and demand uncertainties correctly. These risks however have to be taken into account when setting cost based prices for products like DSL bitstream. These issues are discussed in Section 2.6 (Constraint 4). The policy decision relating to the regulatory support to be provided to independent consumer oriented ISPs could be an important one in determining the future level of infrastructure competition within Member States. So we recommend that the European Commission studies it in more detail with the aim of developing guidance for NRAs – perhaps in conjunction with the ERG. Our investigation also highlights two other barriers to competition which consumer oriented ISPs face: • many small service providers are deterred from web hosting from fear of being sued by Hollywood studios and other IPR holders. The EU has acknowledged the need for action through a “notice and take down”mechanism whereby a service provider who takes down offending content when notified is protected from prosecution. However, there is still a need to prescribe the process in detail (whether or not in the manner that it has been specified in the USA); and • there are problems of discrimination by incumbents, between the manner in which they treat their own consumer oriented ISPs and those of rivals. Given the large market share of the consumer ISPs owned by the incumbents, as set out in Figure 5.4, there is clearly a need for regulatory diligence. To maximise competition, it is important that NRAs ensure that incumbents, as the main access network operators, interact with their own ISPs and independent ISPs in a non-discrimination fashion. It would appear that this may not have always occurred: - in the supply of dial-up access in some countries the ISP affiliated to the fixed incumbent launched retail products where the charges are set on a flat monthly basis without its rivals being able to buy flat rate Internet access call origination (FRIACO) products on equivalent wholesale terms - ISPs have also complained that incumbents discriminate in favour of their own ISPs in relation to the provision of Internet connectivity. According to one CLEC, incumbent operators discriminate between third party ISPs and Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 113 their own downstream ISPs. They configure their own service offerings so that Internet traffic is handed over to the incumbent’s IP backbone at a point as close to the originating customer as possible. However, they provide unaffiliated ISPs only with a higher cost access solution which involves use of circuit switched networks and ATM backhaul. As a result, this CLEC claims that its costs are significantly higher than those of the incumbent’s affiliated ISP. We recommend that the European Commission should: • review the need to issue detailed guidance on “notice and takedown”procedures to ISPs; and • continue to investigate the complaints of discrimination in access provision which independent ISPs bring against incumbents. Figure 5.4 The market share of the incumbent’s consumer ISP subsidiary Incumbent Subsidiary Market share Deutsche Telekom T- Online` 55% France Telecom Wanadoo 43% Telefonica Terra 41% BT Openworld 22% Source: Ovum 5.5 e-payment issues Most e-commerce payments are currently made through financial services institutions regulated under banking legislation. E-commerce uses card-based methods of payment (e.g., credit cards, debit cards, charge cards). These methods of payment 100 are suitable for reasonably large value payments, over €10, for example. The market for the supply of such payment services is reasonably competitive and there are no major issues requiring regulatory intervention on competition grounds. However, there are practical problems: • in some countries, consumers are reluctant to use credit cards or debits cards for making payments online; and • for low value transactions, such as micro payments for web content, credit cards are not cost effective. 100 This value changes depending on typical usage of payment cards. US consumers regularly use credit cards for transactions of a few dollars, whereas German usage of cards is much less common. Other cultural factors are also relevant, such as attitudes to security, trust and cash alternatives. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 114 5.5.1 Micropayment systems We have considered, in more depth, the regulatory problems that have been encountered in the development and delivery of effective micropayments systems. The remainder of this chapter: • briefly describes how the different micropayments systems work, including the transaction types and supply chain; • identifies the key existing regulatory instruments that potentially apply to micropayments systems; • identifies the extent to and manner in which such regulatory instruments regulate elements of particular forms of micropayments systems; • discusses the manner and extent to which the application of such instruments appears to affect the operation of micropayment mechanisms; and • raises some proposals relating to the scope and application of such regulatory instruments to micropayments. What are micropayments? A micropayment is a low-value electronic purchase. There is some variation in relation to the quantum of micropayments. However, market evidence suggests that, in most Member States, the value at which transaction costs render credit card and other macropayments systems inappropriate is approximately €10. This level is higher than that found in the United States, where credit and debit cards are routinely used for transactions of $5 value or less. The Study Team has adopted the range shown in Figure 5.5, reflecting the views expressed by industry and analysts. Figure 5.5 A definition of micropayments Macro Micro €0 €1 €10 €100 €000 Source: WirelessInternet@Ovum Micropayments are made for ad hoc digital and physical content. Although the concept of a micropayment was conceived in the fixed Internet world, micropayments are quickly becoming important in the evolving wireless Internet services market. This is illustrated by the various types of content that can be purchased wirelessly with micropayments. Figure 5.6 lists key content types. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 115 Figure 5.6 Key content types Digital content Ringtones Icons Gaming services MP3 files Premium information (such as real time stock quotes) Location-specific information (such as a taxi locator) Physical content Ticketing services (for the movies, the theatre and so on) Vending machines (‘dial-a-coke’type services) Retailer co-operative services (Starbucks, McDonalds and so on) Methods of payment A variety of payment methods exist to enable micropayment transactions, including: • metered payments • optimised card payments • e-cash • pre-paid value. These alternative methods are generally used in the contexts shown in Figure 5.7. Figure 5.7 The domain of different payment methods Payment method Level of current deployment Best suited for physical or digital content? Best suited for micro or macro payments? Metered Medium Both Both Optimised card payments High Physical Macro E-cash Low Digital Micro Pre paid value Medium high Digital Micro Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 116 Metered payments A metered payment is one which is charged directly to a customer bill, such as a telephone bill. Metered payments exploit existing payment infrastructures to bill the consumer for purchased goods and services. Metered payments can be supported by anyone who has a billing relationship in place with the consumer. Optimised card payments In the fixed-Internet world, the most obvious method of e-payment has been the credit card. However, debit and credit cards do not provide an economic payment mechanism for micropayments, given the cost (both relative and absolute) to merchants represented by the charges imposed on the merchants for each transaction. Today, there are several enhancements available to traditional credit card payments that are also significant. • Virtual cards. A virtual card is a piece of thin-client software that is embedded in a desktop, mobile phone or other electronic device. A personal identification number (PIN) is used to link the consumers identity to the virtual card. The buyer’s card details are held securely by the issuing bank for the virtual card, rather than on the buyer’s device. The issuing bank verifies the PIN and thus the identity of the buyer, and subsequently authorises payment to the merchant. • Wallets. A wallet is an application that stores payment information (such as credit card details), applications, virtual cards, data or links to remote functionality in a desktop PC, a mobile phone, a smart card or an online server. Such information typically includes the name and billing address of the buyer, plus details of one or more methods of payment. Wallets were inspired by the time-consuming entry of identical billing information into multiple websites. Wallets may be stored on the device itself, or they may be network-based and securely accessed from the device.101 E-cash E-cash, also known as an electronic purse, is an attempt to create ubiquitous, cash-like capabilities in an online payment method. It was conceived for high-volume, low-value transactions such as micropayments. The concept of e-cash is similar to prepaid solutions, but differs in that: • e-cash is widely exchangeable, whereas prepaid solutions are reserved for a restricted range of purchases • e-cash can always be converted back into physical cash or be deposited back into a bank account. Prepaid anticipates payment for something, and it is difficult to get your money back once you have made the initial investment. E-cash has failed to gain wide acceptance, either in the physical world (typically based on smart cards) or in the fixed-Internet community. 101 See, for example, http://www.mobiletransaction.org/documents.html for further details. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 117 Pre-paid value Pre-paid value is stored on prepaid cards issued by mobile operators. Purchases made against such value exploits the existing pre-payment mechanism to bill consumers for purchased goods and services. Given the relatively low average value on prepaid cards,102 pre-paid value is best suited for micropayments. The different players in the value chain The emergence of micropayments has created new roles. In the view of the Study Team, a division between service providers and solution vendors (associated with the various mechanisms identified above) is beginning to emerge, as shown in Figure 5.8 below. Figure 5.8 The value chain for micropayment services Technology enabler Payment solution vendor Payment Service Provider Payer Payee Source: Ovum Technology enablers Companies such as Encorus and iPin are specialist providers for electronic payment solutions. Given how little has been launched, it is too early to see clear leaders in the field. Some service providers are moving towards this area including, for instance, Paybox. Payment solution vendors Vendors are already on the market trying to sell different solutions for electronic payment. As yet, there is no single solution which has established itself as the market leader. However, much effort is going towards the creation of a common approach. 102 The Study Team understands that the average pre-paid value currently maintained by customers is between € 10 and 15. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 118 Payment service providers (PSPs) The area that is drawing most of the commercial speculation is the payment service provider (PSP) area. There is still uncertainty as to who is set to become the primary PSP(s). The PSP adds value with services that include: • security • transaction aggregation • currency exchange • billing • account consolidation. Hosted service providers that have the competence and experience to become PSPs are developing products for the wireless Internet. Mobile service providers with skills in security, billing and transaction aggregation services are well positioned. 5.5.2 Key players in the micropayment value chain As Figure 5.9 below illustrates, mobile phone companies are becoming the leading mobile PSPs (e.g., i-Mode and Vodafone). They appear to be better positioned in Europe than financial players such as Visa. Market evidence suggests that many banks and other financial services organisations have effectively abandoned the provision of micropayment transaction services. There have been a number of relatively high profile ‘failures’in the provision of such services by financial institutions (e.g., Mondex and Visa Cash). A small number of systems continue to operate successfully, primarily for larger value transactions (e.g., Proton). It may be that the transaction costs (including those imposed on third parties accepting stored value as consideration) of such systems could be lowered, so that they could move more effectively into the micropayment space. Other specialist players, such as Paybox, are starting to concentrate on being solutions vendors and are moving away from service provision. Paypal, now part of the Ebay group, is a leader in terms of breadth of service functionality and service provision, though mostly in relation to the fixed Internet. Although ASPs or ISPs could decide to become payment solution vendors, it appears that there is more opportunity for them to leverage their expertise in application development and integration to support back-office processes. Creating seamless links between customer-facing applications and back-office settlement systems is difficult, but an ASP/ISP with experience and expertise in developing and supporting this functionality will be well positioned to do so. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 119 Figure 5.9 Key players in the micropayments services sector Followers Leaders High PayPal Vodafone Level of service provision Visa Service focus i-Mode MobiPay paybox IBM Enablers Encorus iPin Low Low High Breadth of functionality Source: Ovum Micropayment market development Micropayment mechanisms in the fixed Internet environment have not been a success to date. However, they are much better positioned to succeed in the wireless space, not least because consumers are accustomed to paying for wireless data services (the best example being the success of SMS). Most observers believe that this is because consumers are more appreciative of the contextual manner in which they require the use of ‘mobile’ services. Specifically, when a consumer is ‘mobile’, they are more willing to pay for the value inherent in just-in-time delivery. The wireless Internet is a new playing field, and most of its current customers are early adopters. Consumers (as well as business users) are not used to receiving free services over their mobile handsets, and they are particularly receptive to paying for premium content delivered on a just-in-time basis. In terms of acceptance and adoption, industry data suggests that wireless micropayments have made significant progress in the last year. The success of wireless micropayments may also have an impact on payment methods over the fixed Internet. Wireless micropayments may provide a ‘back door’for the emergence of a ubiquitous micropayment scheme for the fixed Internet. (e.g., Vodafone’s m-Pay Bill permits the billing of purchases over the fixed Internet to the customer’s mobile bill). It does not appear that it will be difficult to create an incentive for third-party content providers to join a micropayment mechanism. There are two main incentives: Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 120 • most content providers have grown from the print media industry. Many have had success in moving their business to an online format. Micropayment mechanisms represent a means to derive real revenues from such offerings. • the immediate impact to the bottom line. Some PSPs with a pay-per-use model pay their third-party content partners on a monthly basis. The resultant revenues, improving bottom line performance, can have a rapid and significant impact. It is too early to say how the market will evolve. Most ECS providers are closely examining the regulatory implications of offering payment services. Banks are also looking for signs of increased competition for a share of the ‘customer wallet’. 5.5.3 Micro-payments - the key regulatory instruments There are a number of key regulatory instruments that potentially apply to various providers of micropayment systems and aspects of particular micropayments systems, including: • the E-money Directive;103 • the Electronic Signatures Directive;104 • the Money Laundering Directive.105 We summarise, in Annex A, the key provisions of each of these instruments. Other instruments, including those relating to tax and consumer protection, may impact on the design and operation of micropayments but do not do so in any manner that is particular to micropayments (when compared to any other payment type). As such, these issues are not addressed in the analysis of this chapter. 5.5.4 Micro-payments - the scope of the E-money regime The key current regulatory issues arising from the legal framework governing the provision of micropayment systems are centred on the scope and appropriate interpretation of the “electronic money”concept. The E-money Directive only applies to stored value that is stored on an electronic device (including cards containing chips) and is accepted by 103 Directive 2000/46/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 18 September 2000 on the taking up, pursuit of and prudential supervision of the business of electronic money institutions. In addition, Directive 2000/12/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 March 2000 relating to the taking up and pursuit of the business of credit institutions, as amended by Directive 2000/28/EC, might also apply to micropayment system providers that are e-money institutions. 104 Directive 1999/93/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 December 1999 on a Community framework for electronic signatures. 105 Council Directive 91/308/EEC of 10 June 1991 on prevention of the use of the financial system for the purpose of money laundering, as amended by Directive 2001/97/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 4 December 2001. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 121 undertakings other than the issuer of the value. Only pre-payment mechanisms are covered by the E-money Directive. As such, the following types of micropayment mechanisms will not fall within the scope of the E-money Directive, namely: • systems that do not involve storage on an electronic device of monetary value (e.g., post-paid systems which do not entail the storage of value and other “metered payment”systems, as described in section 5.5.1, above); • systems in which only the issuer of the monetary value accepts the value as a means of payment. The practical effect of the application of e-money regulation to mobile payment systems might well lead to the differential treatment of pre-paid and post-paid customers (to the detriment of the services made available to consumers who are pre-paid customers) despite the fact that both mobile subscribers and operators might have an interest in ensuring that the same set of services can be made available to both categories of customers. Does pre-payment to ECS providers constitute “electronic money”? The real issues, for ECS providers at least, are the extent to which and context in which the E-money Directive applies to prepaid systems. More particularly, these issues stem from the regulatory implications of the characterisation of pre-paid systems as “electronic money”. It is essential that the inherent differences between such payment systems that are only accepted by the issuers of value and those that are accepted by a range of third parties are acknowledged and reflected in their regulatory treatment. The value “trade off” between a ubiquitous micropayments system with relatively high transaction costs (including regulatory costs) such as Proton and the smaller user base of a ‘closed’system with potentially lower costs (such as pre-paid cards for mobile calls) is a commercial matter for the entities establishing such systems. Regulatory uncertainty and excessive costs imposed by legislation should not become factors to be considered in such decisions. There are a number of issues that have arisen from various elements in the definition of electronic money that are the source of uncertainty and inconsistency (in either implementation or application) in this respect: • what constitutes “acceptance” by an undertaking other than its issuer. More particularly: - is it appropriate to consider arrangements between the ultimate suppliers of products and services and the entity entering into transactions with consumers when identifying the entity that accepts stored value; - should the nature of a service or product acquired be relevant in determining whether stored value is accepted by an entity other than the issuer; - should the nature of the deliver mechanism for products or services acquired be relevant in determining whether stored value is accepted by an entity other than the issuer; and • the points at which, and methodology by which the distinction between electronic money and credit transfers within a closed accounting system should be drawn. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 122 When is value accepted by an undertaking other than the issuer? A crucial issue for ECS providers currently operating or seeking to operate pre-paid micropayment systems is the circumstances in which the system will be found to create monetary value that is only accepted by the issuer, and not by third parties. Unfortunately, the E-money Directive itself gives little assistance in relation to the legislative intent behind the scope of the concept “accepted as means of payment by undertakings other than the issuer”. As such, it is not clear how arrangements under which the issuer of the value is the only entity that accepts the value, even though a third party provides the product or service sought, are to be assessed. There are essentially three models under which customers can acquire access to third-party services using a fixed or mobile ECS: • the ECS provider buys (i.e., acquires “title”itself) the good or service from the thirdparty and resells it to its customers; • the ECS provider has an arrangement of some form with the third party provider under which the ECS provider accepts payment and, accordingly, the risk on behalf of the third party provider; or • the ECS provider provides connectivity to the consumer to enable them to request supply from the third party itself, the third party takes the risk of non-payment and bad debt, and accepts payment itself. It appears, contractually, that, in the first instance, the prepaid value is accepted by only the issuer. As such, it does not constitute electronic money. In contrast, the third approach would appear to constitute electronic money, where a third party service or product provider accepts the stored value as payment. The relationships between service providers and suppliers A key issue in the regulation of micro payments services is the relationships between the entity entering into transactions with consumers (the service providers) and the ultimate producers and suppliers of products and services. The uncertainty as to the scope of Article 1(3)(b)(iii) is centred on arrangements under which the ECS provider has an arrangement with the third party provider under which the ECS provider accepts payment (and risk) on behalf of the third party provider (i.e., the second scenario described above). There are a number of interpretations open to consideration. More particularly, the following alternative approaches have been adopted or considered to date across the Member States: • Approach 1: that payments made to the ECS provider in relation to which it bears the risk are payments (using the monetary value stored on the device) to the issuer of the value. As such, they are not electronic money; • Approach 2: that payments made to the ECS provider for digital services that are supplied using the same ECS as that used to request the services are payments for the supply of a single ECS supplied by the ECS provider (i.e., the issuer of the stored monetary value). As such, they are not electronic money; • Approach 3: that payments made to the ECS provider for either digital services that are supplied using a different ECS than that used to request the services or for Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 123 products are payments for a separate and distinct service. The ‘flow of value’between the ECS provider, the customer and the third party supplier is considered to constitute the issue of electronic money. The first approach, on one hand, and the second and third approaches, on the other, are based on diametrically opposed interpretations of the meaning of “accepting payment”. Approach 1 The first approach looks only at the identity of the entity receiving payment from the stored value device. It takes no account of the nature or form of the arrangements that may be in place between that entity and the third party content or product producer, of the service or product supplied or of the ultimate means of supply. In essence, it focuses only on the direct payment relationship between the service (or product) acquirer and the entity receiving payment from him or her. Arguably, this approach is entirely appropriate, since the identity of the ultimate supplier could be considered to be irrelevant in relation to electronic money regulation that is expressly intended to facilitate the creation and use of an electronic surrogate for coins and banknotes (i.e., an alternative to legal tender). Once the value has been accepted in payment, subsequent revenue flows between entities in the supply chain, and the nature of the contractual relationships governing related arrangements between the entity accepting payment from the purchaser and the third party (e.g., the nature of the arrangements between the ECS provider and the third party supplier) are, arguably, irrelevant. The appropriateness of making a clean regulatory break between the acceptance of the electronic money and value transfers elsewhere in the supply chain is supported by three elements: • there is no direct payment obligation between the customer and the ultimate producer or supplier of the product or service; • the amount paid by the customer for a product or service is different to, and is not necessarily directly related to, the amount received by the ultimate producer or supplier; and • the ultimate producer or supplier is usually unaware of whether the sum that it receives in payment from the entity below it in the distribution chain relates to a service or product that was paid for using stored value or was post-paid. However, this approach could facilitate the circumvention of the regulation of electronic money by allowing entities issuing stored value (including ECS providers) to enter into arrangements with any third party provider under which anything could be acquired. The Study Team notes that the potential scale and breadth of such arrangements, and their resulting potential impact on prudential policy, are constrained where the issuer of the value must assess and assume the risk inherent in stored value transactions relating to the particular products or services. It appears that a workable solution might be to make it clear that the “acceptance” concept refers to the principal in the transaction with the consumer. Where the ECS provider is merely a billing agent for the ultimate principal in such transactions, rather than acting as the principal in relation to the consumer-facing transaction, it would not be “accepting”the value. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 124 Approach 2 The second and third approaches essentially presuppose that it is necessary and appropriate to consider both the nature of the service for which payment is made and its delivery mechanism in identifying the entity that has ‘accepted’the stored value. It is not entirely clear to the Study Team why either prudential or consumer protection policy requires the ‘reading in’of these elements to the definition of electronic money. More particularly, the second approach identified introduces the following three additional elements into the circumstances in which electronically stored value will not be regulated as electronic money: • a temporal requirement that the service(s) acquired be acquired virtually simultaneously with the originating request for provision from the customer; • a requirement that the value is only used to acquire digital services that are capable of delivery over the same form of ECS as the originating request for provision (i.e., excluding other services and all forms of products); and • a requirement that the service(s) acquired are delivered over the same ECS as the originating request. These additional elements are clearly not part of the expressly defined electronic money concept. The approach appears to hinge on the view that, in relation to digital ECSs (and the content that might be inherent to such services) provided in the prescribed manner, the stored value does not constitute a payment instrument (i.e., an alternative to legal tender). It appears to amount to a pragmatic attempt to differentiate between value paid in respect of ECSs provided by ECS providers (i.e., their core business), on the one hand, and value used for other products and services in relation to which there is no connection with the business of the ECS provider (other than as a payment mechanism), on the other. This approach arguably reduces the potential for circumvention of electronic money regulation through the widespread entry into arrangements with third party providers of products and non-ECS services by ECS providers (discussed above). As such, it could be seen as an attempt to identify the circumstances in which an ECS provider is most likely to be acting as a principal in transactions with consumers. However, it relies on an underlying assumption that is technology-determinant, in that it would clearly preclude the provision of content or sophisticated ECSs across multiple delivery platforms where the ultimate delivery platform differs from that used to initiate the supply transaction. Approach 3 The third approach described above represents an extension of the second, in that it ‘looks behind’the relationships that might exist between the ECS provider and third party service or product providers. However, in doing so it is virtually writing out of the electronic money definition the relevance of the issuance and acceptance of the stored value. It focuses on the transfer of value, whatever form it might take, between a range of entities. It does not acknowledge that the quantum of the value transferred at different points in the distribution chain will almost certainly differ or that the billing mechanism adopted (i.e., pre-paid or post-paid) may be opaque to the third party provider. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 125 Credit transfers vs value circulating as bearer instruments The Commission itself has raised an alternative view of the appropriate regulatory characterisation of arrangements under which the issuer of stored value accepts payment (and risk) on behalf of a third party provider, in the course its current review of the existing regulatory structure for retail payment instruments. This review appears to be focused on instruments that are provided and used as alternatives to legal tender. Of most relevance, in the present context, the working document distinguishes between specific purpose payment instruments which, inherently, have limited usability (e.g., can only be used to pay for goods purchased from a particular retailer) and those that are true general-purpose payment instruments.106 The working document sets out a view in relation to “pre-paid and post-paid small value accounts used for third party payment services” that can be summarised as follows: the E-money Directive applies to pre-paid systems where the monetary value issued circulates on a bearer instrument. Systems that operate as micropayment systems that are in reality credit transfers in a centralised account system, rather than real bearer instruments, do not constitute electronic money. Conclusions We believe that the scope of Article 1(3)(b)(iii) should be clarified. In particular, it would be helpful to: • define the ‘accepted by undertakings other than the issuer’concept, to ensure that it is not interpreted in a manner than brings specific purpose instruments and credit transfers within closed systems within its scope; • distinguish between acceptance of payments by entities as agent or principal, ensuring that the development of innovative payment mechanisms that do not constitute general purpose payment instruments is not hampered; • review existing approaches to the implementation of Article 1(3)(b)(iii) to ensure that they are not technologically prescriptive and do not, in effect, favour ECS platform operators over other entities that may operate multiple-platform payment mechanisms; and • review existing measures against the characteristics that are essential for a functional micropayment mechanism (e.g., that it be automated, secure and simple for the customer), to ensure that regulation is not rendering micropayment mechanisms unworkable. The working document suggests that the Commission may not be minded to provide a 107 “literal interpretation” of the electronic money concept. An alternative would be to provide guiding principles. It would appear to be appropriate for the Commission’s ongoing 106 The Meeting Document concerning a New legal Framework for Payments in the Internal Market. MARKT/4013/2003. 107 Annex 1 to the Meeting Document concerning a New legal Framework for Payments in the Internal Market. MARKT/4013/2003. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 126 deliberations concerning the appropriate course to take into account the extent to which existing practice in many Member States currently does not reflect the ”bearer instrument” interpretation (summarised above) of the status of existing pre-paid micropayment systems. 5.5.5 Implications of applying the E-money regime There are a number of regulatory obligations imposed under the applicable instruments that apply to entities found to be issuers of electronic money, whether as EMIs or as credit institutions, that impose not insignificant burdens on such entities, including: • the requirement to structurally separate EMI activities from the remainder of such entities’other business activities; • the requirement to keep funds related to EMI activities (e.g., stored value) within the structurally separate entity conducting EMI activities; • the imposition of the prescribed minimum funding for the EMI entity; • the imposition of the investment restrictions in the E-money Directive on the EMI entity (see Annex A); • the requirement that pre-paid sums be redeemable; • the reduction in the likelihood that the preconditions for a waiver under the E-money Directive will be met (see Annex A); • the compliance with supervisory costs of the EMI and credit institution regimes; and • the taking of steps to adequately identify customers engaging in non-face-to-face transactions, to meet the requirements of the Money Laundering Directive. To the extent that the “electronic money”concept is implemented in an over-inclusive manner, issuers of funds that are held in a form that does not represent a bearer instrument are subject to such obligations. Separation of electronic money There are a number of quite significant practical difficulties that arise from the requirement that liability referable to issued value be stored separately, particularly in light of the proportion of the mobile ECS customers across the Member States that are pre-paid customers.108 In jurisdictions in which the use of value on pre-paid cards for services other than basic voice services is considered to be electronic money, mobile ECS providers are unable to use stored value made through prepayment in the ordinary course of their business. In any instances this removes a large portion of potential cash flow from the ordinary course of an operator’s business. It should be recalled that the requirement to keep electronic money stored value separate to all other funds can effectively require the separation of all pre-paid value, including that 108 There are no pre-paid billing systems in Finland. However, the proportion of prepaid mobile customers in the other Member States ranges between 60 and 90% of the total customer base. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 127 which is not electronic money, because of the potential for stored value to be used for any purpose, at the choice of the customer. For example, a customer can elect to use any proportion (or all) of stored value for voice services, for PRS, for digital content delivered over the same ECS connection over which it was requested, for digital content delivered over an ECS connection other than that over which it was requested or for physical goods. At the time that the customer buys the prepaid card on which the value is stored it does not identify the purpose for which the stored value will be used. We understand from industry that consumer surveys indicate that there would be very strong resistance from customers to any attempt to require them to specify in advance the intended use of stored value, to acquire different pre-paid cards for different purposes or to acquire cards which themselves limit the services (and products) with respect to which particular value can be used.109 In addition, any attempt to introduce any such distinctions would undermine the utility of prepaid mechanisms as simple, flexible and consumer-friendly billing systems. These issues raise a real practical problem for ECS providers. One approach would be to treat all stored value as electronic money in the first place, only reclassifying funds that are not electronic money when they are used and it becomes clear that they are not electronic money. Alternatively, such operators could treat all funds as ordinary non-electronic money until they are used and it becomes clear that they are electronic money. In either case, the ‘trigger’that allows the appropriate classification of funds is the use of the funds. However, electronic money regulation is expressed to apply as and when the value is stored. Any pragmatic departure from classifying pre-paid value as it is stored amounts to a departure from, and a potential breach of, electronic money regulation. However, any attempt to impose electronic money regulation on the basis of assumptions as to the future use of stored value is essentially artificial. We believe that the resolution of many of these problems will be assisted by the clarification of, and the provision of Member State implementation guidance in relation to, the appropriate scope of “electronic money”. However, while such clarification is being achieved, consideration should be given to, and guidance provided in relation to, the appropriate and proportionate manner in which liability derived from pre-paid value issued as part of a micropayment mechanism should be separated from other issuer funds. Separation of EMI activities The characterisation of value stored on pre-paid billing mechanisms operated by ECS providers as electronic money requires that the billing activities related to EMI activities be structurally separated from other activities that are not closely related financial and nonfinancial (including operational and other functions ancillary to issuance) services. This clearly requires separation from the core business activities of ECS providers (e.g., the 109 In this context, we note that any technological solution permitting consumers to alter the “split”of value would require a means to communicate such alteration to the value issuer, to allow the value issuer to move the related liability into or out of its emoney accounts. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 128 provision of ECSs to customers). As such, it undermines a number of the key efficiency drivers that would otherwise be behind the provision of billing mechanisms by ECS providers. The minimum funding level The minimum funding requirement effectively requires ongoing access to potentially quite significant funds in circumstances where the quantum of such funds is calculated by reference to purchases of goods or services which the ECS provider has either supplied itself or has elected to assume the risk that supply would be effected by entities of its own choosing. As such, the prudential risks that justify the imposition of such a requirement - in relation to stored value that is truly a bearer instrument to protect against the risk that value will not be ‘honoured’by the issuer when it the customer seeks to redeem it - are not present. It would appear that the obligation is unnecessary is such circumstances, particularly where only the issuer itself (e.g., the ECS provider) is the entity accepting the value stored in the first instance. Investment restrictions The investment restrictions are imposed on EMIs to ensure that they are sufficiently and appropriately financially stable. It is not clear that these are necessary or appropriate in the context of pre-paid micropayment mechanisms operated by ECS providers, given the ancillary nature of such micropayment mechanisms to the core business of ECS providers (with the effect that any entity established to hold liability for stored value will not be used as an investment vehicle for anything other than the liability held) and the current uncertainty in relation to identifying when funds actually become electronic money. The prudential policy grounds behind such a requirement are clear. However, it is not clear that ECS providers, given their prudential profiles, warrant this additional level of supervision. It is also not clear that there are real consumer protection grounds for imposing this requirement, in light of the comfort that the financial position of ECS providers should provide to consumers in relation to the security of the small sums that they store in pre-paid mechanisms. We believe that many of the problems associated with separation of EMI, minimum funding levels and investment restrictions will be resolved by the clarification of, and the provision of guidance in relation to, the appropriate scope of “electronic money”, as generally accepted bearer funds. Redeemability Article 3 of the E-money Directive requires electronic money to be redeemable, at the request of the bearer. Many of the ECS-related prepayment systems are not redeemable or were not designed to be redeemable. In view of the average quantum that customers Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 129 maintain110 and the flexibility that they have to determine the amount that they add to their pre-paid stored value, it is not clear that redeemability attracts quite the consumer protection premium as it does in relation to larger sums. The requirement that pre-paid funds be redeemable has required (and will require) some redesigning of ECS-related prepaid systems in circumstances in which it is far from clear that such functionality is required by or of significant value to customers. We believe that issues resulting from the redeemability requirement will be resolved by the clarification of, and the provision of guidance in relation to, the appropriate scope of “electronic money”, as generally accepted bearer funds. In addition, we note that the potentially overly broad scope of the redeemability requirement itself could be viewed as a source of the money laundering concerns that are the subject of regulation (discussed below). Allowing funds to be non-redeemable could address concerns that micropayment prepayment mechanisms could be used to launder funds. Waiver Article 8 of the E-money Directive permits authorities to waive application of some or all of the provisions of the e-money Directive. The pre-conditions for such a waiver require that electronic money liabilities not exceed €5 million in the ordinary course (or €6 million in any circumstances). Any approach to identifying whether stored value is electronic money that is over-inclusive (e.g., treats all pre-paid liabilities as electronic money unless and until it is used for another purpose) virtually guarantees that the activities of ECS providers in relation to their pre-paid customers will not meet the quantum pre-conditions for waiver. In addition to considering the quantum of the waiver pre-condition described above, and its appropriateness in the context of an inclusive interpretation of the electronic money concept, the Commission might also consider whether it is appropriate to maintain the current criteria for identifying the electronic money ‘closed user groups’that are eligible for waiver. Such eligibility is currently restricted to physical connections or financial or business relationships evidenced by marketing or distribution schemes. In an ECS environment, there are other business relationships between various players in the value chain that are at least as close as those found in relation to financial or business relationships. The Study Team can see no prudential nor consumer protection basis for not treating such relationships in a similar fashion. 110 We understand that the average pre-paid quantum across Europe is currently less than €15.00. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 130 The potentially broad application of the “electronic money”concept (to all stored value, until it is used for a purpose that precludes the treatment of such value as e-money) exacerbates the potential inadequacy of the quantum pre-condition for the grant of waivers. As such, the appropriateness of the quantum would be assisted by the clarification of the appropriate scope of the “electronic money”concept, as generally accepted bearer funds. In addition, the scope of the eligible financial or business relationships should be reconsidered, in light of the growing development of electronic and other ‘virtual’business relationships. Customer identification for money laundering purposes The customer identification obligations that have been imposed under the national implementation of the Money Laundering Directive in all Member States, particularly in relation to non-face-to-face transactions, are quite onerous. When one considers that micropayments are, inherently, extremely small value transactions and the limitations that result from limits imposed on maximum value that can be held on (or added to) an ECS pre-paid balance at any time operate as a further constraint on the possible quantum of transactions. As such, it is difficult to see how ECS pre-paid mechanisms could be used as an effective money laundering avenue. Such an opportunity would be further constrained if pre-paid funds accepted only by the value issuer (i.e., not third parties) were non-redeemable (currently not permitted by Article 3 of the Emoney Directive). We believe that the current application of the Money Laundering Directive to micropayments should be reviewed, to consider its proportionality and appropriateness. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 6 131 Software supply for ECNS 6.1 Introduction As part of our study we considered whether it appears that any new developments in the supply of software to the ECNS industry will give rise to barriers to competition in the next two to three years. Rather than look across the whole of this complex industry, we have examined four developments which we judge will do most to change the ECNS industry over the next three years. These are: • the development of operating systems for mobile terminals; • the emergence of wireless middleware; • the evolution of Web Services; and • the markets for web browsers for PCs and mobile terminals. So the analysis takes a forward looking perspective in which we focus on software developments which will affect competition in the supply of 3G mobile services. Our findings are based on a combination of Ovum research and responses to our discussions documents – notably from Microsoft and Symbian. 6.2 Wireless handset operating systems We are about to see an explosion in the demand for 3G mobile terminals. This prompts us to ask three questions about the operating systems which these terminals will use: • what operating system or systems will the terminals use? • will any one supplier be able to leverage its dominant position in other markets to dominate the supply of mobile terminal operating systems? • if there is multiple supply of operating systems will this create interoperability problems for applications developers and/or service providers? What operating systems will the terminals use? There are currently at least five mobile terminal operating systems available: • the Palm operating system; • Microsoft’s Pocket PC aimed at PDAs; • Microsoft’s Smartphone OS aimed at more basic phones; • the Symbian operating system which is supported by all the main handset manufacturers; and • a Korean standard operating system supported by Samsung and LG Telecom. We are likely to see the number of operating systems reduce in the next two to three years. Most observers do not expect the Palm operating system to be a serious Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 132 contender in the marketplace, given the limited commercial backing which it will receive. In addition, observers expect the Microsoft Pocket PC operating system to be aimed at specialist niches within the corporate market. This leaves three main operating systems competing in the mainstream 3G terminal market: • the Symbian operating system; • Microsoft’s Smartphone operating system; and • the Korean standard operating system. Will any one supplier dominate? In any market where Microsoft is one of the main suppliers it is inevitable that questions about dominance will arise. However, none of those who responded to our study believe that there are grounds for concern about Microsoft leveraging its dominance in the desktop market to become dominant in the mobile operating system market. It is possible, of course, that Microsoft’s Smartphone operating system will eventually dominate the mobile market. However, our respondents have indicated that they believe that any such dominance will be the result of delivering the best product, rather than as a result of leveraging any pre-existing power in an adjacent market. The prospects for a lengthy and evenly balanced struggle for market share in this marketplace look good: • Microsoft has strong profit streams and global brand. At the same time, it sees mobile devices as an important marketplace in which it must become a serious player; • Symbian is backed by the leading European terminal suppliers and is confident that it can win a substantial share of the market. In particular, it believes that its licensing model is superior to that of Microsoft. Unlike Microsoft, Symbian licenses elements of its operating system to manufacturers and does not mandate inclusion of unwanted components. This gives the manufacturer more control over the features it offers and, for example, allows it to build low cost, low feature terminals more easily; and • the Korean terminal suppliers are beginning to challenge Nokia’s dominance in the EU mobile terminal market. They also have considerable expertise in supplying 3G type terminals to the Korean market, developed over the last two years. In addition, the software industry, which is inclined to avoid regulation as a matter of principle, has learnt a lot from the recent anti-trust cases against Microsoft. It tells us that it is likely to alert the competition authorities to any potential anti-competitive practices by Microsoft at an early date in future. Are interoperability problems likely to arise? The existence of three competing mobile operating systems suppliers will inevitably raise the costs of applications developers, who will need to port their software on to three platforms rather than on to a single dominant operating system. However, we Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 133 understand that these costs are modest and that the benefits generated by competing operating systems will outweigh them substantially. Based on the analysis set out above we conclude that: • the competitive rivalry between mobile operating systems suppliers will generate significant benefits; • the interoperability problems which a multiplicity of operating systems creates are minor; and • there is no need for any regulatory intervention in the supply of these products. 6.3 Wireless middleware Wireless middleware software is designed to hide the complexity of delivering services to different types of mobile terminals by translating between network protocols, application protocols, user interface standards, security implementations and so on. Accordingly, wireless middleware should help operators, service providers and enterprises to deliver sophisticated data services cost-effectively. However, the development of such middleware could have a significant effect on the balance of power within the 3G services industry. Mobile network operators and terminal suppliers are currently fighting for control over the value added services which will use mobile networks – especially 3G mobile networks. Microsoft, Nokia and Qualcomm have promoted their middleware platforms heavily in recent years. In particular, they have launched major developer programmes and seeded multiple content portals either directly or via partners. For example, Club Nokia – Nokia’s end-user portal – has long worried mobile operators by allowing users to download free content from the Internet to their mobile terminals via a PC, thereby bypassing their mobile operator’s network. As fixed and wireless Internet standards converge, it becomes easier for mobile terminal suppliers to compete on their own terms, just by offering web content. A highly intelligent terminal capable of full access to the Internet only requires an Internet gateway at the operator end. In this case, the end-user is able to by-pass any control that the operator might want to exert and can, for example, use competing web-based messaging services. This is the same situation as in the fixed network services market. Middleware shifts the balance of power towards the mobile operator by allowing it to deliver multiple services to a wide range of devices. This, in turn, offers content owners the ability to reach a large user population. Wireless middleware also provides third party applications with managed access to the services and enablers offered by the overall service delivery platform. These may include elements such as messaging and alerting, billing and charging, location and personalisation. A mobile operator can use wireless middleware to provide content owners with valuable infrastructure services, such as content adaptation and synchronisation. Content owners can also add value to their offerings by “wrapping” them with other enablers. All of this makes it more likely that they will want a direct interface with the operator, Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 134 rather than to offer standalone web content, accessible via a bit transport mechanism provided by the mobile operator. Those who responded to our study on this subject agree with this analysis. However, none of them believe that there are any competition problems which warrant regulatory attention. Even if middleware eventually enables mobile operators to provide the only attractive mechanism for value added service providers and content providers, there is still a perception of strong competition between these operators, which should ensure that market failures do not occur. We conclude that the development of middleware does not raise serious barriers to competition and does not require regulatory intervention. 6.4 Web services Definition Web Services (“WS”) are essentially a mechanism for integrating software systems. They are: • a packaging technology which is both simple and universally agreed; • accessible over the Internet without needing technology tied to any vendor’s platform; and • a technology which allows applications and systems to be connected together, independently of programming languages, hardware platforms, execution models and program locations. The software which sits “behind” a WS could be an Enterprise Java application or component; a COBOL transaction; or a Visual Basic program. What makes WSs technology exciting is that it can add value to many existing integration scenarios. In other words, it acts as a “universal glue”. As such, the potential economic benefits from WS are very substantial. If an enterprise can use the same type of glue for the bulk of its integration requirements, then internal applications, trading partner applications, online services and rented applications can all be brought together to serve the needs of the business better. So while wireless middleware enables inter-working between different mobile terminals on the one-hand and different mobile network services on the other, web services are much more general mechanisms for integrating a wide range of software systems and allowing them to inter-operate over any kind of telecommunications networks. Current position WSs are already supplied by major players such as Microsoft (with .NET), IBM, Sun and HP as well as a large number of small start-up companies. They are a rare example of a development where there is broad industry support for all the major players for: Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 135 • the core WSs standards – SOAP, WSDL and UDDI; and • the formation of the WSs Interoperability Organisation (WS-I). However, there is still a long way to go before WS can deliver its potentially substantial benefits. There are two main dangers: • we will see fragmentation in the implementation of the standards; and • the infrastructure requirements will prove too complex. At the moment, however, the development of WS is in the best commercial interests of all the major players. Likely impact on competition There are good prospects that WSs will substantially increase competition in the eservices and software industries. There are three main competition effects: • software infrastructure product vendors will compete with service providers (through provision of hosted WS infrastructure services) and with application vendors (through provision of business process management and WS software); • business application software vendors will compete with service providers (through provision of application services) and infrastructure vendors (through provision of business process management and WS technologies); and • on-line service providers will compete with systems integrators (through esourcing initiatives); with application vendors (through application service provision); and with software infrastructure product vendors (through provision of hosted WS infrastructure). Conclusion Those who responded to our study on this point agree with the analysis set out above. We therefore conclude that: • Web Services have the potential both to increase competition in the ECNS and adjacent markets and to deliver substantial benefits to end-users; and • regulatory intervention is not justified - although Member State governments could, through their own procurement policies, play an important demand side role in stimulating the growth of Web Services. 6.5 Browsers for mobile devices Description An Internet Browser interprets HTML, the programming language of the Internet, into the words and graphics that the end-user sees when viewing a web page. The most common browser is Microsoft's Internet Explorer, which controls approximately 80% Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 136 of the market. Netscape's Navigator is a distant second. Together, browsers and portals111 define the way in which on-line services are accessed and delivered to endusers. Microsoft’s domination of desktop browsers Microsoft has used its dominant position in the desktop systems market to become dominant in the supply of desktop browsers. Browsers for fixed Internet navigation first emerged in the mid 1990s. Netscape (formerly Mosaic) developed its Navigator browser in 1994, and a year later it commanded an 80% market share. However, with the launch of Windows 95, and a web browser of its own (Internet Explorer, or “IE”) in August 1995, Microsoft began to challenge Netscape. For a while, IE played catch-up to Netscape, as the latter continually introduced new features. However, IE had one major advantage. Unlike Netscape, IE was free of charge and bundled with Windows 95. Slowly but inexorably, IE gained market share. Across several generations of browsers, IE caught up technologically with Netscape. By late 1999, the market share situation had reversed and Microsoft had 80% of the browser market. Eventually, the US Department of Justice forced Microsoft to break apart its bundled software and make its APIs more transparent. However, the damage was done by that point. Microsoft currently dominates the market for PC web browsers and will do so for the foreseeable future. AOL acquired Netscape in 1999. Will Microsoft dominate browsers for mobile terminals? Will Microsoft go on to dominate the market for wireless browsers? Does it matter if it does so? There are currently four major types of wireless browser implementation in circulation: • pure WAP implementations, which implement the WAP Forum's protocol stack and interpret content specified using wireless mark-up language (WML); • Openwave's platform. Phone.com's UP.Browser is the most deployed wireless browser in North America; • i-Mode. This service, deployed by NTT DoCoMo in Japan, is probably the most widely talked-about subject in the wireless Internet space. Its architecture is similar to that of WAP, with which is competes; and • Microsoft's Mobile Explorer. This is a suite of web-access technologies based around a wireless browser, and specifically designed for deployment on SIM smartcards in feature phones and smartphones. These different browsers do not interoperate well. They take a “lowest common denominator” approach to ensuring interoperability across the many different devices which might use a mobile network. In practice, this means that wireless web 111 A Web site that is commonly used as a gateway to other Web sites. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 137 applications and content lack richness, with crude user interfaces and a general lack of interactivity. Such low level interoperability does not currently matter much, given the limited processing power, storage and memory which are available in today’s mobile terminals. Today’s microbrowsers do not carry out any local processing of data beyond display, because there is not enough storage space, processing power and memory to use the extensive XML libraries that are required. However, as capabilities slowly increase, more complex web service should become possible which involve collaboration between both network components and device components to create applications that run across multiple device platforms. Realistically, consumer applications based on WSs will not become a reality for mass market mobile devices within the time horizon of this study. The required bandwidth will not reach the necessary speeds for three to five years and, with storage space and processing power at a premium, device vendors are more likely to earmark resources for their own purposes. The position is rather different in the corporate market, where extensive use of Web Services within the next three years is a definite possibility, especially where more powerful computing devices are used in conjunction with a wireless LAN providing higher bandwidth. Indeed, Microsoft is to release a version of its .NET framework for Web Services that is aimed at mobile devices running Microsoft operating systems112. Microsoft’s wireless device operating systems are almost unique in that they are already capable of rendering full WAP/XML on the device. 112 The .NET Compact Framework. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 138 Based on this analysis and on the views of those interviewed for our study, we conclude that: • the development of high functionality web browsers for mobile device is still at an early stage; • there is no clear evidence that any one of the four browsers listed above will become a de facto standard (except those used on computer devices which use WLANs. Here we expect Microsoft to dominate through leverage of its power in the corporate market); • Microsoft does not have dominance in the mobile operating systems market (or any other segment of the mobile market) in the same way that the US Courts have found that it does in the desktop market. Accordingly, it is not in a position to dominate the mobile browser market through leverage of dominance in an adjacent market; • it is unclear whether the emergence of a de facto standard wireless browser, rather than interoperability between competing browsers is best from a public welfare perspective; • it should be possible to limit the opportunities which any dominant wireless browser supplier has to leverage dominance from this market into other, adjacent, markets (rather as the US Department of Justice has limited Microsoft in the PC browser market); and • there do not appear to be any market failures that would warrant the intervention by Governments or regulatory authorities in relation to the development of wireless browsers in the near future. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 7 139 Separation of the incumbent 7.1 Options for separation Market power within the telecommunications service industry in the EU remains firmly concentrated in the hands of those organisations which formerly provided service on a monopoly basis. For example: • in all but two Member States, the leading mobile operator is a subsidiary of the fixed incumbent • in virtually all Member States, the fixed incumbent still supplies more than 90% of fixed narrowband access lines • in a number of Member States, the fixed incumbent owns or has a substantial interest in the largest CATV network in the country. Accordingly, it is necessary to consider whether this concentration of market power represents a barrier to competition and, if so, what might be done to remove it. There are two possible remedies: • structural separation, also known as legal separation, in which the incumbent’s businesses are split and run as separate entities with separately audited accounts, but common ownership • separation of ownership, also referred to as divestiture, in which the incumbent’s businesses are split and operated under separate ownership. There are four main practical applications of these two remedies: • separation of the fixed incumbent’s business113 from the rest of the incumbent’s fixed operations (to create Loopco and Netco) • separation of the fixed incumbent into Netco (network activities) and Servco (retail activities) • separation of the fixed incumbent’s CATV businesses from its mainstream telecommunications business • separation of the fixed incumbent’s mobile subsidiary. We analyse each of these possibilities below, drawing on the findings of the market analysis of Chapter 2 (where we analyse barriers to competition in the supply of fixed network services) and Chapter 3 (which looks at barriers to competition in the supply of mobile services). We have deliberately looked at the options for separation of the incumbent in a separate chapter because we believe that analysis of this problem benefits from a consistent and comparative approach. 113 The network from the customer premises to the main distribution frame. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 140 7.2 Divestiture of Loopco Rivals to the fixed incumbent in countries such as Italy, Portugal and the UK have all suggested that the fixed incumbent’s access network should be structurally separated from the rest of its core business and run under separate ownership as Loopco. Proponents of such separation argue that it removes barriers to local loop unbundling since, following divestiture, Loopco no longer has an incentive to discriminate between customers. However, there are strong economic arguments against such separation. In particular: • separation increases the cost of contracting and bargaining between the separated entities. These costs are measured both in monetary terms and in terms of the speed at which the separated organisations can respond to changing market and technological conditions; and • separation means that it is difficult to co-ordinate investment. This is especially important as the fixed network industry starts to migrate to next generation networks. Substantial co-ordination of investment will be required between Loopco and Netco. Opponents of such separation also argue that it will not solve the problem of low take up of unbundled local loops. As we discuss in Chapter 2, the main reason for the lack of local loop unbundling is the large fixed costs of backhaul and collocation. Similarly, we cannot see a good case for legal separation. Such separation may improve the transparency of the transfer price between Loopco and Netco. However, legal separation does nothing to establish a market price for Loopco products, since the owner is indifferent as to whether it makes profits from Loopco or Netco. At the same time, the costs of separation are high. Many systems and procedures, which currently operate across the Loopco/Netco boundary, would need to be reengineered. We conclude that the case for both mandatory divestiture and legal separation is weak. 7.3 Divestiture of Netco Several incumbents have looked at the possibility of splitting themselves into a separately owned Netco (which provides network services) and a Servco (which provides retail services). All of them declined to pursue the idea. Divestiture of Netco makes regulation of the incumbent’s network services simpler because Netco no longer has incentives to discriminate between customers. However, such separation does not remove the need for the price regulation of network services. More importantly for the fixed incumbent, and for public welfare, effective migration to next generation networks requires substantial co-ordination of investment activities between: • the retail business which will define, implement and sell next generation network products and; • the network business which will deliver the access and infrastructure required by these products. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 141 Such co-ordination is very difficult to achieve if the two businesses are separately owned entities. These arguments have led incumbents to organise internally using a network/retail split but to keep these operating divisions in common ownership. The case for legal separation is somewhat stronger here, because the cost of separation is lower. The operational split between Netco and Servco is much clearer than that between the Loopco and Netco (see Section 7.2). Deciding whether to require legal separation essentially requires that a view be taken as to whether the additional transparency offered by legal separation is worth the effort when compared with accounting separation. We conclude that the case for mandatory divestiture of Netco is weak and the case for legal separation marginal. 7.4 Divestiture of CATV businesses The case for divestiture The theoretical case for requiring fixed incumbents to divest themselves of their CATV businesses is much stronger than the case for divestiture of Loopco or Netco. There are six main arguments: • these CATV businesses are based on network infrastructure which is separate from the incumbent’s main telecommunications network and are usually run as separate businesses. As a result, the economic objections to Loopco and Netco divestiture in terms of increased contracting and co-ordinating costs do not apply, or apply in a much weaker form • most Member States’CATV networks cover a substantial proportion of the population and, accordingly, have the potential to provide powerful infrastructure competition to the fixed incumbent. See Figure 7.1 • even in countries where they are in financial difficulties it is clear that, when sunk costs are excluded, CATV operators can generate EBITDA margins which are comparable with those of fixed incumbents. In the UK, for example, NTL and Telewest both operate at EBITDA margins in excess of 20% and project margins comparable with those generated by incumbents within two to three years • the development of VoIP technology should make the CATV operators’triple play offering of TV services, fast Internet access and voice telephony increasingly 114 viable. Outside the UK and Spain, CATV operators offer broadband Internet access and voice telephony over the same co-axial cable. However, acquisition of these services requires two modems – a relatively cheap modem (less than €100) for broadband and a relatively expensive modem (around €400) for voice. ETSI has recently approved a standard for a packet modem which provides voice telephony and broadband access in one. As a result, CATV operators expect to 114 Where Siamese pair technology is used for the final drop to the customer. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 142 begin using the new equipment in commercial services within 12 to 18 months, reducing by 50% to 80% the cost of the necessary end user hardware. • fixed incumbents which own CATV networks do not have incentives to upgrade these networks to deliver triple play offerings. Such upgrades would require scarce capital expenditure to be used to create a major rival to their own core business. This effect is illustrated in Figure 7.2, where the take-up of broadband services by subscribers to CATV networks which are independently owned and those which are owned by the fixed incumbent is compared • divestiture of the fixed incumbent’s CATV assets could lead to stronger TV platform competition. The next generation of DSL products, VDSL, will enable incumbent operators to offer high quality TV services. This application will probably be one of the driving forces for VDSL deployment. Incumbents which own CATV networks have significantly weaker incentives to deploy VDSL services, which potentially cannibalise their CATV business revenues, than incumbents which do not own CATV networks. Figure 7.1 The coverage and size of CATV networks in the EU Member state Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Sweden UK % homes passed by CATV network 53% 100% 71% 59% 35% 83% na 78% 1% 94% 60% 29% 65% 50% % growth in Subscribers last 4 years 2001 (m) 17% 3% 8% 14% 58% 21% na 42% na 7% 190% 1200% 9% 80% 1.2 3.8 1.1 1.0 3.4 21.8 na 0.6 0.1 6.2 1.1 0.5 2.1 3.6 Source: Ovum estimates based on OECD statistics Figure 7.2 Use of CATV networks for broadband Measure for all OECD countries Independent CATV operators CATV operators owned by incumbents CATV subscribers as % of households passed – 2001 56% 50% Cable modems as % of households passed – 2002 11% 3% Source: Ovum estimates based on OECD statistics Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 143 The current position Article 8 of the Competition Directive115 requires incumbent operators to implement legal separation, but not divestiture, of their CATV businesses when the incumbent: • is controlled by the member state or benefits from special rights and • is dominant in a substantial part of the market for public telecommunications network and voice telephony and • operates a CATV network which has been established under special or exclusive rights in the same geographical area. Fixed incumbents continue to own CATV networks in Denmark, Finland, France, Luxembourg and Portugal and until very recently owned them in Germany and Sweden as well. The same situation exists in some of the accession countries. For example, the fixed incumbent, Matav, operates CATV networks which supply around 20% of the 1.6 million CATV subscribers in Hungary. In Denmark, TDC, the fixed incumbent, owns the main CATV network which passes 1.3 million of Denmark’s 2.6 million households and provides service to 0.9 million of them. There is very little overlap with the network of its main rival, TeliaSonera, which passes 0.6 million households and serves 0.2 million of them. Neither operator offers voice telephony over their network. Both offer cable modems. It is interesting to note that while 13% of TeliaSonera subscribers take this service, only 3% of TDC’s subscribers do the same. In Portugal, PT Multimedia, a subsidiary of Portugal Telecom, owns the biggest CATV network which now passes 2.3 million of Portugal’s 5.6 million households. Its main rival is Cabovisao whose network passes 0.7 million homes. PT Multimedia and Cabovisao compete in the same areas for customers. The number of their subscribers has grown rapidly – from 0.4 million in 1997 to 1.1 million in 2001. CATV networks in Sweden pass 65% of the 5 million households there. The market is dominated by ComHem. This company was, until April 2003, owned by Telia. However, the European Commission required Telia to divest itself of ComHem as a condition of its merger with Sonera. ComHem serves 1.4 million of the 2.7 million households passed. Its nearest rival is UPC. Take-up of cable modem service on the UPC network is at 15%, while take-up on the ComHem network is at less than 3%. In France, cable TV networks pass 9 million of the country’s 25 million households. The infrastructure is largely owned by France Telecom through its subsidiary France 116 Telecom Cable , providing the cable network over which the NCNumericable provides services, and through its minority interest in Noos117. The ART recently put 115 Which is essentially a rewording of key elements of the 1995 Cable Directive. 116 Which provides direct retail services. 117 Which uses a mix of its own network and that of France Telecom to provide CATV services. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 144 forward proposals for future development of the CATV sector in France. There are three main scenarios: • consolidation of current plans with groupings around a new entrant who could provide fresh capital • separation of infrastructure and service with a single infrastructure operator providing unified access to all 9 million households for the various CATV service providers • the status quo. In Germany, CATV network penetration is high. CATV networks pass 29.5 million of the 36 million households and there are 22 million subscribers. Historically, Deutsche Telekom dominated the industry. Until 2000, it owned 100% of the Level 3 components of these networks118 and held a minority stake in some Level 4 networks119. In 2000, under Government and EU pressure, it sold off its CATV interests in two of the nine regions, in 2001 it sold its interest in a third region, and in early 2003 it completed the sale of its remaining CATV interests. In comparison with other countries where CATV networks are owned by independent operators, take-up of voice telephony and cable modems is insignificant in Germany. Figure 7.3 illustrates. In our view, there are two main reasons for this. First, there was no incentive for Deutsche Telecom to invest in upgrading the Level 3 networks to enable triple play offerings. The short period since full divestiture is insufficient to assess whether the new owners will make this investment. Secondly, co-ordination of investment and operations is required between the Level 3 and Level 4 operators. Where these are in separate ownership, which remains the case in many areas, there is a further barrier to the development of effective competition to Deutsche Telekom. The prospects for the newly independently CATV networks in Germany providing stronger competition to Deutsche Telecom are, at least in the short term, relatively poor: • many of the Level 4 owners are small local organisation which seek to preserve the local identity of their service offerings • co-ordination of investment and operations between Level 3 and Level 4 operators remains a major problem • the national competition authority has consistently opposed unifying the industry around a single player120 • many observers believe that the current owner of the bulk of the assets, a financial institution, will sell the assets within the next two years, without making 118 Which provide connection from the cable head-end to the local distribution network. 119 Which provide the final access to the subscriber. 120 For example in its attitude towards the attempted purchase of Deutsche Telekom assets by Liberty Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 145 the substantial investments needed to upgrade the networks so that they can provide triple play offerings. Figure 7.3 Take up of voice telephony and cable modem services Country Basic CATV subscribers (m) 2001 Voice telephony subs as % of CATV subs 2001 Cable modem subs as % of CATV network 2002 Germany 21.8 0.1% 0.2% UK 3.6 150% 22% USA 69 2% 16% Source: Ovum estimates based on OECD statistics Conclusion Overall, the public welfare case for requiring incumbents to divest themselves of their CATV network businesses is a strong one and one which commands general support amongst those we talked to during this study. Such separation can be achieved at relatively low cost, to create an alternative infrastructure which can compete strongly with the incumbent in the supply of broadband services and voice telephony. In addition, as Figure 7.4 shows, the countries in which fixed incumbents own substantial CATV network assets are all countries where CATV networks serve a substantial proportion of the population. Figure 7.4 CATV coverage in countries with substantial incumbent ownership Country % of households passed by CATV networks % of CATV networks owned by incumbents (1) Denmark 71% >50% Finland 59% 30% France 35% >50% Germany 83% >70% (2) Portugal 60% >70% Sweden 65% 40% (2) Average 60% >50%- Average – other member states 36% 0% (1) As measured by number of CATV subscribers (2) Until 3/2003 Source: Ovum estimates based on OECD statistics Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 146 We therefore recommend that: • the EU and individual member states consider what steps they can take to ensure that the fixed incumbents divest themselves of their CATV businesses • the European Commission clarify Article 23 of the universal services directive. Article 23 requires that: “undertakings providing telephony services at fixed locations take all reasonable steps to ensure uninterrupted access to emergency services”. CATV operators wishing to offer triple play services are concerned that this clause could be interpreted as a requirement to supply voice telephony over its triple play offering during a power cut. Such an interpretation would substantially reduce the competitive effectiveness of CATV operators, since they would be unable to fulfil this obligation. If Member States are able to require the proposed divestiture, they will need to consider: • whether divestiture should extend to the incumbent’s CATV networks in areas where it already competes with one or more CATV networks operators. In such cases, it is possible that divestiture might reduce competition to the incumbent’s mainstream offering • whether divestiture should apply in countries, like Finland, where both the CATV and the fixed telecommunications industry are highly fragmented. We suggest that such issues are dealt with on a case-by-case basis. 7.5 Divestiture of mobile subsidiaries Figure 7.5 shows that, with the exception of Ireland and the UK the mobile subsidiary of the fixed incumbent is the largest mobile operator in every Member State. Some incumbents, like BT in the UK and Eircom in Ireland, have voluntarily divested themselves of their mobile subsidiaries. But is there a case for mandating such divestiture? There are five main arguments in favour of such divestiture: • divestiture would lead to greater competition in retail mobile service markets. Following divestiture, there are strong incentives for the fixed incumbent to act as an MVNO or independent service provider on one of the mobile operator’s networks. For example, BT has taken this course in the UK • divestiture would increase the prospects for infrastructure competition between fixed and mobile operators for voice traffic. Currently, there is relatively little competition between fixed and mobile networks for voice traffic in the EU. According to one study,121 only about 1% of such traffic transfers from the fixed to 121 Mobile and Internet substitution; Enders Analysis, 11/02. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 147 the mobile network each year. In contrast, there is much stronger competition between fixed and mobile operators in the USA, where the number of fixed network long distance minutes is falling at 6% p.a. – largely as a result of mobile substitution. An obvious barrier to such competition in the EU is the fact that the fixed incumbent owns one of the main mobile operators in many Member States. It is clearly not in the interests of such players to increase competition between fixed and mobile networks for voice traffic. In contrast, in the USA, where the main competition is for long distance minutes, five of the six largest mobile operators are independent of long distance carriers or are owned by ILECs122. • divestiture would increase the level of competition in the provision of public WLAN services. Mobile operators and the fixed incumbent are obvious suppliers of such services. • divestiture would increase the incentives for innovation in the development of integrated fixed and mobile services. Without a substantial mobile subsidiary, a fixed operator concerned about loss of traffic and revenues to mobile operators, is more likely to launch such services in an attempt to reverse or stem this trend. BT is one of the few fixed incumbents in the EU without a mobile subsidiary. It was the first to announce firm plans for a service which provides, through a single subscription, integrated fixed voice telephony, private WLAN and public WLAN service in ‘hotspots’ and mobile phone service elsewhere • divestiture makes regulation of deals between the fixed incumbent and mobile operators more transparent and easier to regulate. The fixed incumbent would no longer have any incentive to discriminate between mobile operators in the supply of service bundles or of network infrastructure e.g., for next generation and 3G networks. In addition, mobile operators would compete on equal terms to supply the fixed incumbent with the inputs needed for services like the BT initiative described above. In addition, the mobile subsidiaries of the fixed incumbents are run as separate businesses operating on separate networks. As a result, the economic objections to Loopco and Netco divestiture do not apply. 122 The sixth, Sprint PCS, is quoted separately on the US financial markets as a tracker stock. Sprint PCS reports separately from the rest of Sprint on its performance to the investor community. This then leads to changes in the price of the tracker stock. But the shareholder must trade Sprint shares as a whole and cannot trade Sprint PCS tracker stocks on their own. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 148 Figure 7.5 The ownership of the mobile operators in the 15 Member States Country Mobile subsidiary of incumbent Market share biggest operator incumbent’s mobile subsidiary Austria Mobilkom 45% 45% Belgium Proximus 54% 54% Denmark TeleDanmark Mobile 44% 44% Finland TeliaSonera 54% 54% France Orange 49% 49% Germany T-Mobile 49% 49% Greece Cosmote 41% 41% Ireland None 56% na Italy TIM 49% 49% Luxembourg PTT GSM 65% 65% Netherlands KPN 41% 41% Portugal TMN 48% 48% Spain Telefonica Moviles 54% 54% Sweden Telia Mobitel 47% 47% UK None 27% na Source: Mobile@Ovum Opponents argue that the benefits of divestiture are not proportionate to the disruption which it would cause. In particular they argue that: • the mobile subsidiaries of the fixed incumbents cannot control the degree of competition between fixed and mobile operators in a Member State. If one of more of the other mobile operators in the country decides to compete aggressively to win voice traffic from the fixed networks, the fixed incumbent’s subsidiary will need to respond. For example, the greenfield 3G mobile operator “3”is now setting prices for voice services in Austria, Italy and the UK which suggests that it is following such a strategy • the impact of divestiture on competition in the public WLAN market will be limited. In any case, this market is currently small and fragmented and future demand is still highly uncertain. For example, Ovum projects an EU public WLAN market worth €0.5 billion Euros in 2008. This compares with a current telecommunications market worth an annual €300 billion • the need for divestiture to ensure that the fixed incumbent does not discriminate between mobile operators is not proven. There are few, if any, complaints at the moment. The move to next generation networks may create new problems. However, at this stage any such suggestions are merely speculative • the impact of divestiture on innovation by the fixed incumbent is equally speculative. We will need to wait several years to see whether divestiture in the UK produces real benefits. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 149 Based on this analysis, we conclude that there is currently no case to require incumbents to divest themselves of their mobile subsidiaries. The case for or against legal separation (as opposed to divestiture) is less clear-cut. Some incumbents, such as France Telecom123 and Telecom Italia, already run their mobile businesses as separate entities. Others do not. There is a case to require legal separation on the grounds that it increases the transparency of deals done between the fixed incumbent and its mobile subsidiary. This case may strengthen if demand for integrated fixed and mobile service packages grows rapidly. However, many argue that such problems can be dealt with through accounting separation as easily as through legal separation. We recommend that NRAs monitor closely the extent to which fixed incumbents and their mobile subsidiaries favour each other to the exclusion of mobile rivals and consider legal separation as a remedy in response to such behaviour. 123 In France Telecom’s case, the ownership is also slightly different. 17% of Orange is owned by private shareholders who trade shares on the stock market. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 8 150 Measures for effective competition 8.1 Introduction In trying to enable the growth in public welfare benefits which competition in the ECNS markets can bring, NRAs are constantly faced with the problem of trying to determine the proper relationship between measures designed to promote infrastructure-based competition and measures designed to promote servicebased competition. Many of the respondents to our study raised this issue unprompted. So in this chapter we: • assess the relative merits of infrastructure-based and service-based competition • look at the factors which restrict the viability of infrastructure-based competition and its future development • consider the role of service-based competition as a complement to infrastructurebased competition • identify the factors which NRAs need to take into account to achieve the right balance between service-based and infrastructure-based competition • recommend 11 measures which are designed to increase effective competition in the ECNS markets of the EU by maximising the opportunities for infrastructurebased competition to develop where it is viable. 8.2 Definitions We do not see infrastructure and service-based competition as clearly delineated categories to which specific forms of competition can be allocated without ambiguity. Instead, we use these terms in our analysis to label the opposite ends of a range of possible competitive positions, as Figure 8.1 illustrates. It shows some of the different ways in which service providers might provision fixed narrowband services in competition with the incumbent, ordered by reference to whether they are closer to pure service-based or pure infrastructure-based competition. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 151 Figure 8.1 The possible ways of competing in the voice telephony market Pure service-based competition Resale of in incumbents end to end services eg UNE-P Wholesale line rental + call origination + carrier selection + call termination Own long haul facilities + call origination + carrier selection + call termination Use of bitstream service to provide voice telephony using VoDSL Use of ULLs to provide voice telephony using VoDSL Pure infrastructurebased competition AltNet (eg CATV operator) offering voice telephony as part of triple play package 8.3 Infrastructure-based competition is better Where it is viable, infrastructure-based competition generates more economic benefits than the same level of service-based competition. Pure service-based competition puts pressure on the incumbent in terms of retail efficiency, customer service innovation and price levels. Infrastructure competition does the same, but creates additional pressures on the incumbent to innovate in network services, to differentiate in terms of products and pricing structures and to improve overall cost efficiency and quality of service. In turn, this additional competition generates increased economic benefits. This theoretical argument commands general support amongst most regulators, operators and analysts. There is also empirical evidence to support it. For example: • the introduction of infrastructure-based competition in the supply of mobile services in the late 1980s and early 1990s led to much faster take-up of mobile services, creating clear economic benefits across the EU • broadband take up is generally higher in those member states where the CATV operator offers strong competition to the incumbent, as Figure 8.2 illustrates124. This figure suggests that incumbent’s roll-out mass broadband services more rapidly in countries where they face strong competition. 124 We have excluded Ireland from this analysis given the very early stages of development of the broadband markets there. The % market non-incumbent includes broadband services based on ULLs. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 152 Figure 8.2 Infrastructure-based competition and broadband take up Broadband services per 100 population 10.0 B 9.0 S DK NL 8.0 US 7.0 Jap A 6.0 SF 5.0 D E 4.0 F 2.0 P UK 3.0 I L 1.0 0.0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% % market non incumbent This argument does not imply that service based competition should not co-exist with infrastructure based competition. It is, for example, clear that competition between service providers, as well as infrastructure based competition, has played an important role in the development of mobile markets in many member states. Infrastructure-based competition generates dynamic economic benefits. The existence of infrastructure-based rivals to the incumbent (which we refer to from now on as AltNets) gives incumbents incentives to roll out new services, to innovate in products and prices and to invest in new technologies to become more cost efficient at the network level. From a public welfare perspective, such incentives are extremely important in an industry like telecommunications which is characterised by rapid technological improvements. The incumbent does not have the same incentives when it faces only service-based competition. It is important that NRAs take account of these dynamic effects when making regulatory decisions and especially when taking pricing decisions which send “build or buy” signals to entrants. Most NRAs set prices at levels which maximise static allocative efficiency125 Raising regulated prices from this level would lead to: • weaker incentives for cost efficiency by the incumbent, and/or supra-normal profits if it were to increase it’s efficiency 125 eg by setting prices to recover the long-run incremental costs of an efficient operator with an appropriate mark-ups for common costs. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 153 • greater investment by entrants, who build infrastructure which they would have rented if prices had been lower126 But raising prices could also lead to more infrastructure-based competition and the dynamics benefits which this brings. In circumstances where infrastructure-based entry is unlikely pricing based on static allocative efficiency is the correct procedure. But in cases where infrastructure-based entry is possible and may be even more where preservation of infrastructure-based competition is an issue, then it is important to consider the dynamic as well as static allocative effects. Infrastructure based competition also requires less regulatory intervention than service based competition. Pure infrastructure based competition may require regulation of interconnect conditions of network operators with SMP and of the call termination charges of individual networks. But it does not require NRAs to set the prices at which network operators should supply service providers with inputs. This is usually the case for service based competition. So with infrastructure based competition there is less scope for regulatory error and for the distortions to investment patterns which such errors bring. 8.4 Limitations on infrastructure-based competition Unfortunately, infrastructure-based competition is not always viable, as experience in the EU over the last ten years has demonstrated. It would seem that the cost structures of cellular mobile networks, which require relatively modest investment in radio access networks to create a minimum coverage network, allow strong infrastructure competition in the supply of mobile services. In contrast, infrastructurebased competition in the supply of fixed network services is much more limited. Why? There are two main possible explanations. First, there are substantial economies of scale and scope in providing the fixed access network - when compared with the radio access networks of the mobile operators. These create a natural monopoly in the supply of certain access network components and services. The boundaries of this natural monopoly are uncertain: • the requirement on the fixed incumbent to rent its local loops at cost oriented prices was a measure based on the assumption that there was a natural monopoly in the “final mile”of the fixed network. The market reaction to local loop unbundling, as described in Chapter 2, suggests that this natural monopoly 127 may extend further into the fixed network 126 There are of course limits to how much more the entrant would invest as the price is increased. These limits are determined largely by the extent to which the entrant believes it can make money in the market through its own infrastructure investment. 127 ie the high cost of backhaul and collocation make the use of unbundled local loops unattractive for most service providers Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 154 • the boundaries to any natural monopoly may well change over time, as new technologies change the economics of fixed access network supply. If there are natural monopolies in the provision of fixed network services regulatory authorities need to shift the focus of their enquiries from: “How do we get more competition?” to “What kind of competition is possible?” Secondly, it is possible that the investment risks for Altnets are too high. Organisations are not willing to make the scale of investment required to reach the point where the AltNet’s unit costs are competitive with those of the incumbent, given that: • the required investment, once made, is sunk and cannot be used for other purposes. • there are substantial uncertainties in relation to customer demand and the time required to build a customer base and, accordingly, the positive cash flow required to earn a return on the investment. In these circumstances, measures designed to promote service-based competition can, at least in theory, lead to infrastructure-based competition in the long-term. By competing at the service level, entrants can build a customer base and revenues with little investment risk and then migrate the customers to their own facilities. This is an attractive idea, but it has potential dangers. An NRA might attempt to implement this “stepping stone to infrastructure-based competition” concept by setting low wholesale prices to encourage service-based competition. However, if it sets these prices too low, it runs the danger that it will kill infrastructure investment incentives. We set out, in Section 2.6 (Constraint 4), a discussion of the factors which an NRA needs to take into account when setting prices for bitstream access and other new technology wholesale products so as to avoid such dangers. 8.5 Prospects for infrastructure-based competition Infrastructure-based competition in fixed network services exists where operators have found ways: • to overcome the economy of scale advantages of the fixed incumbent. For example, CATV operators provide infrastructure-based competition in the supply of broadband and voice telephony services because they can exploit the substantial economies of scope which follow the supply of TV services. • to exploit high profit niches which exist when the incumbent supplies services at prices which are averaged over different customer types and geographic areas. This is one of the reasons, but by not means the only one, for the existence of companies which provide telecommunication services to large corporate customers. Such firms focus on providing large bundles of services to sites Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 155 clustered together in city centres and avoid serving low spending customers in rural or suburban areas. The prospects for increased infrastructure-based competition to the fixed incumbent are not especially good, because: • the operators that specialise in providing services to corporate customers, such as Equant and Colt, generate EBITDA margins in the 5% to 10% range, whilst their incumbent rivals generate margins of approximately 30%. There are few incentives for additional investment at such margins and there is little sign of improved margins in the near term in the projections of the financial analyst who follows these companies. • the biggest of the CATV operators – companies like UPC, Telewest and ntl – have all gone through financial difficulties recently. They have undergone substantial financial restructuring which has effectively written off much of the debt incurred in building their network or in upgrading them for telecommunications purposes. Now that this restructuring is complete, they generate reasonable margins which enable them to compete vigorously with the incumbent within the existing footprint of their networks. However, the prospects for their expanding this footprint into new areas are limited – at least in the short to medium term • it is possible that new technologies such as fixed wireless access and powerline will lead to substantial increases in infrastructure-based competition. But prospects here are mixed: - on the one hand competitive fixed wireless access for narrowband services has failed in the EU while the unit costs of fixed wireless access for broadband services are typically two to four times those of DSL services - on the other there is now considerable renewed interest in the deployment of powerline technologies. Various companies throughout the EU have attempted commercial deployment of powerline technology for the past 10 years. So far they have encountered technical and regulatory problems which have prevented mass deployment. But now a second generation of powerline communications equipment has, once more, raised interest in this technology and there are new initiatives to remove barriers to its deployment. Current levels of investment in alternative infrastructure are probably at an all time low, following reaction to the “irrational exuberance” of the investment in telecommunications in the years leading up to 2001. We can expect to see modest increases over the next few years, but it is unlikely that we will again see investment plans on the scale of those made in 1999 (at the time of the last EU review of telecommunications competition). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 156 8.6 The role of service-based competition It makes sense for NRAs to introduce ex ante measures which enable service-based competition at the retail level where infrastructure-based competition is not viable. For example: • EU-wide requirements for fixed incumbents to offer carrier pre-selection and call origination services have boosted service-based competition in the narrowband calls markets • in some Member States, NRAs require the incumbent to offer wholesale line rental so as to generate retail competition for complete narrowband service packages • in some Member States, NRAs require the fixed incumbent to supply DSL access at regulated wholesale prices, so as to enable retail competition in broadband access services between ISPs. The first of these measures has had a considerable impact, leading to vigorous competition in the narrowband calls market and forcing fixed incumbents to rebalance narrowband prices to more economically efficient levels. Measures designed to promote service-based competition tend to have a rapid and visible effect on retail competition in telecommunications. They might also provide a stepping stone to infrastructure-based competition, as discussed in the previous section. As such, they are an attractive option for NRAs. However, such measures can also act as a roadblock – both to infrastructure-based competition and to infrastructure investment overall. For example: • the introduction of carrier pre-selection requirements has reduced incentives for CATV operators to invest in voice telephony services. CATV operators may escape SMP designation. But the existence of offers from other service based competitors based on carrier pre-selection reduces the incentive for CATV operators to invest in voice telephony services; and • a requirement that fixed incumbents offer bitstream services at prices based on simple LRIC would, as we described in Section 2.6 (Constraint 4) , reduce substantially the incentives for investment in broadband rollout. Accordingly, NRAs face a difficult task in achieving and maintaining the right balance between infrastructure and service-based competition. Where do they implement measures designed to promote service-based competition and where do they adopt measures to promote infrastructure-based competition? Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 157 On the basis of the analysis set out above, we believe that NRAs should take account of seven main factors when answering such a question: a) the inherent superiority of infrastructure-based competition where it is viable and the need to take account of the dynamic economic benefits which infrastructurebased competition brings b) the need to take account of the tendency for a natural monopoly to exist in the supply of fixed access network components and services, even when the extent of this natural monopoly is unclear and/or changes over time c) the need to set regulated prices for new technology services which do not remove the incentives for infrastructure investment by the incumbent d) the need to consider the possibility that service-based competition will act as a “stepping stone”to infrastructure-based competition e) the need to avoid service-based competition measures which undermine viable infrastructure-based competition f) the relatively poor prospects for investment in further infrastructure-based competition in fixed services g) the fact that a significant proportion of this competition is currently based on price averaging by the incumbent, both in terms of geography and customer groups. 8.7 Maximising infrastructure-based competition Given the factors set out at the end of the previous section, what measures can be taken to maximise effective infrastructure-based competition? We set out below a series of recommendations. They are grouped under three main headings: • measures designed to increase incentives for investment in infrastructure – whether by incumbents or AltNets • measures designed to increase cross platform competition between existing infrastructure-based operators • measures designed to increase incentives for investment by Altnets. In formulating these measures we are conscious of the need not to encourage 128 inefficient investment in infrastructure . The recent over-investment in panEuropean broadband networks is a good example of such behaviour. But it is worth noting that this over-investment took place in an unregulated market. 128 While allowing for the dynamic benefits which infrastructure based competition can bring as described in Section 8.3 Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 158 8.8 Increasing infrastructure investment Measure 1: consistent regulation. Regulatory authorities should ensure that they pursue a consistent long term regulatory policy towards infrastructure-based operators. It is important to start by re-stating the obvious. Infrastructure-based operators need to be certain that the framework of rules within which they compete will not change materially over their investment horizon, so that they can invest with confidence. Such consistency is especially important to infrastructure-based operators who must make very substantial investments which, once made, can rarely be used for anything except their original purpose. Measure 2: adequate rewards for new service investment. NRAs should set the prices of inputs which promote service-based competition at levels which preserve incentives for infrastructure investment by incumbents and their infrastructure based rivals. For legacy products, prices based on forward looking long-run incremental cost and mark-ups are appropriate. However, for new technology wholesale products, a premium price is needed which takes account of investment in failed new projects, technology improvements and uncertainties in demand. Constraint 4 of Section 2.6 discusses this point in more detail in relation to the pricing of bitstream access wholesale products. It is clearly important to implement measures designed to promote service-based competition where infrastructure based competition is not viable. This usually means setting regulated upper limits on access prices to prevent the incumbent from foreclosing such service based competition. However we believe that it is vital to set the prices associated with these measures at a level high enough to retain incentives for investment in new infrastructure, by the incumbent and by new entrants alike. Failing to do so could slow down the improvements in telecommunications infrastructure which the EU needs to remain competitive in world markets. In addition, if the regulated wholesale price is set too low the incumbent will be unwilling to supply - whether to itself or to others and new entrants will not invest. 8.9 Stimulating cross platform competition Measure 3: divestiture of CATV networks. The EU and individual Member States should take what steps they can to require fixed incumbents to divest themselves of any remaining interests in CATV network operators. They should consider, with a view to increasing competition, whether such divestiture should extend to geographic areas where there is more than one CATV operator currently providing service or to countries where the fixed CATV and fixed telecommunications industry are both highly fragmented. Overall, the public welfare case for requiring fixed incumbents to divest themselves of their CATV network businesses is a strong one which commands general support Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 159 amongst those to whom we talked to during this study. Such separation can be achieved at relatively low cost to create an alternative infrastructure which can compete strongly with the fixed incumbent in the supply of broadband services and voice telephony. Section 7.4 provides a detailed analysis. Measure 4: divestiture of mobile subsidiaries. NRAs and national competition authorities in Member States where the fixed incumbent owns the leading mobile operator, should monitor the possibility of leverage between these two parts of the incumbent’s business closely. Where anti-competitive conduct occurs, they should consider requiring structural separation or divestiture. The current concentration of market power within the telecommunications industry, more particularly where the leading fixed and mobile operators in a given Member State are in common ownership, is a cause for concern. In addition, there are possible market developments, especially the development of integrated fixed and mobile services, which could increase these concerns. However, in our view, the current case for increased separation between the incumbent’s fixed and mobile businesses is not yet sufficiently strong to warrant immediate action. Measure 5: equivalent regulation of fixed and mobile call termination charges. NRAs should ensure that the call termination charges of fixed and mobile operators are regulated on a consistent basis. In the past EU NRAs have typically required fixed incumbents to set call termination charges to recover cost and their fixed rivals to charge on a reciprocal basis. This has usually meant charging the same price for the same service129. In contrast, NRAs have, until recently, done relatively little to set mobile call termination prices at cost oriented levels. As a result, mobile operators have had strong incentives to let call termination charges rise (relative to retail charges), so that they can use the profits made from call termination to subsidise prices in the competitive retail mobile markets. This difference in the regulation of the fixed and mobile industry means that, where they do compete for customer spend, fixed and mobile operators do not compete on equal terms. The mobile operator is able to subsidise its retail prices from its call termination charges; the fixed operator cannot. According to one recent report,130 this asymmetry in the regulation of the fixed and mobile industry has led to a transfer of funds from the fixed to the mobile sectors of France, Germany and the UK equal to €19 billion over the past five years. In recent years, some NRAs have taken steps to control mobile call termination charges. At the same time, the EU’s Recommendation on markets susceptible to ex ante regulation proposes that the individual call termination services of both fixed 129 We consider under Measure 7 whether this is an appropriate requirement 130 “How mobile termination charges shape the dynamics of the telecommunications sector”, by Bomsel, Cave, le Blanc and Neumann, July 2003. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 160 and mobile operators are distinct markets in which, by implication, the sole supplier should be regulated in a manner that is proportionate to its degree of market power. Measure 5 simply takes this thinking to its logical conclusion. Given the likely growing importance of competition between fixed and mobile networks, this is an important measure to maximise effective cross platform infrastructure competition. Measure 6: fixed and mobile competition for corporate voice traffic. NRAs or national competition authorities should investigate whether mobile operators are acting in an anti-competitive manner in the pricing of the services which they offer to large corporate customers for the termination of their voice traffic on public networks. Fixed operators which specialise in providing large corporate customers with telecommunications services complain that they cannot compete with the offers which mobile operators make to their customers for terminating voice traffic from corporate networks on public mobile networks. They allege that the mobile operators are creating a margin squeeze. The fixed operator must pay the mobile operator’s standard call termination charge for terminating voice traffic destined for the mobile network. At the same time, the mobile operator charges its own corporate end users a much lower price. Fixed operators claim that this “price squeeze” is so substantial that they find it difficult to compete for voice traffic destined for fixed terminals as well as for voice traffic destined for mobile terminals. We believe that, in the long term, Measure 5 should be adequate on its own to address any such conduct131. However, Measure 5 will take a long time to implement. In the meantime, Measure 6 provides a relatively speedy way for regulators to ensure, providing the case against the mobile operator is proven, that a specific exploitation of the current asymmetric regulation of fixed and mobile call termination charges is closed to mobile operators and that competition for corporate voice traffic between fixed and mobile operators is increased. 8.10 Increasing investment incentives for Altnets It is clear that the barriers to infrastructure-based competition in the fixed network services market are substantial. The entrant does not enjoy the same economy of scope and scale as the incumbent, nor does it own existing networks or customers. Instead it must make major sunk cost investments in network build and customer acquisition before it can generate revenues. This substantially raises investment risks. In these circumstances it is important to seek measure which encourage infrastructure-based competition as far as possible without encouraging investment which is inefficient. Measure 7: cost-oriented call termination charges. NRAs should allow the infrastructure-based rivals to the incumbent – whether fixed or mobile – to set call 131 Once mobile call termination services are regulated on the same terms as fixed call termination services then the scope for the cross subsidise as described above should largely be eliminated. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 161 termination charges which allow them to recover the efficiently incurred costs of an operator of their size and topology. Currently, most NRAs require Altnets to charge the same price as the incumbent for the equivalent call termination service. However, it is clear that there are substantial economies of scale in the provision of these services and that the fixed incumbent has lower unit costs than the AltNet. These differences in unit costs arise not because the AltNet is less efficient than the incumbent but because it is smaller as a result of its recent entry into the market. Were the rival to grow to the same size as the incumbent, it would have similar (or even lower) unit costs. However, the prospects of reaching such a position are limited, as we describe in Section 8.4. In the meantime, the current control of call termination charges means that the Altnets are unable to recover their actual costs of call termination. Given the dynamic benefits which these Altnets generate132, it seems to us that such regulation is inappropriate. Accordingly, we propose Measure 7. NRAs might object to Measure 7 on four grounds: • it removes efficiency incentives. By setting call termination charges to recover the costs of the most efficient operator, the NRA provides the AltNet with incentives to become more efficient. We believe that price competition in the supply of retail services by the AltNets provides adequate incentives for efficiency, and that this argument ignores very real economy of scale issues that AltNets cannot address, however efficient they may be • it is not economically efficient. If we look from the perspective of static economic efficiency alone then this is clearly the case. Figure 8.4 illustrates. If the smaller rival with call termination costs C2 cannot survive it should disappear, leaving service-based competitors to the incumbent who buy from the incumbent at the lower price C1. In this way, we create an industry with the lowest unit cost. The problem with this argument is that it ignores the dynamic benefits which the existence of infrastructure-based rivals to the incumbent bring. Ultimately, of course, it is a matter of judgement as to whether these dynamic benefits outweigh the loss of allocative efficiency illustrated in Figure 8.4. • it is difficult to implement in practice. Setting cost-oriented call termination charges for a substantial number of AltNets is a time consuming burden on the NRA and on the operators concerned. Certainly, Measure 7 involves substantial work. However, we believe that it is a burden which the AltNets would be more than willing to bear. In addition, given the importance of infrastructure-based competition and the relatively small number of substantial AltNets, it is an important issue for NRA to consider and resolve. At the same time NRAs might focus on estimating the costs of a relatively small number of AltNets and set call termination charges for others using this reference set of operators. • there are other factors which lead to lower unit costs for AltNets. For example: 132 Only Altnets with directly connected customers generate call termination charges. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 162 - Altnets employ more modern technology and practices than the incumbent. This is undoubtedly a factor which affects unit costs. But it is not a factor to take into account when looking at the forward looking costs of an efficient operator133. It is in any case a factor which has diminishing effect as incumbents modernise their networks and support systems - Altnets can choose to compete only in low cost areas. This is an important factor. But it mainly affects the unit cost of access network provision. It has only a weak effect on the unit cost of network conveyance - incumbent operators may suffer the disadvantage of a legacy network load structure which is less than optimal. So the unit costs tend to be higher than those of an entrant. Our own cost modelling experience suggests such a factor is relatively small when compared with economy of scale factors. We have put the argument set out above in terms of the fixed incumbent and its infrastructure-based rivals. However, we note that the same arguments apply to the mobile sector, where there are also substantial economy of scale effects and where virtual saturation in subscriber demand has made it difficult for the smaller mobile operators to increase market share substantially. Figure 8.4 Transferring economy of scale advantages from the incumbent Cost of call termination C2 C1 Market share Smaller rival Incumbent Measure 8: cost benefit analysis of service-based measures. NRAs should make an explicit, but not necessarily quantitative, assessment of the costs and benefits of any regulatory measure which is designed to enable service-based competition. 133 The normal pricing standard when setting cost oriented call termination charges Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 163 Given the propensity of service-based measures to undermine prospects for infrastructure-based competition, and the inherent superiority of the latter, it makes sense for NRAs to ensure that: • there is good reason to introduce service-based measures • any damage which these measures do to prospects for infrastructure-based competition is more than compensated by the benefits which they bring. In carrying out this analysis, it makes sense for NRAs to look explicitly at short-term and long-term effects. Service-based measures can produce immediate short-term effects, at the expense of longer-term damage to infrastructure-based competition. In making this assessment, NRAs will need to weight the benefits of the deeper and stronger effects of infrastructure-based competition against the wider customer choice which service-based competition often brings. Of course, the ideal is a market which enjoys both strong infrastructure-based and service-based competition. But this is often not possible. Measure 9: preservation of geographical averaging of prices. NRAs should: • make their current policy on geographical averaging of the fixed incumbent’s retail prices explicit • consider the likely impact on infrastructure-based competition before allowing the incumbent to geographically de-average prices further. Geographic averaging of retail prices – both narrowband and broadband – by the incumbent is common across the EU. Indeed the normal way for an incumbent to meet its universal service obligation to provide basic voice telephony access at an affordable price is to offer a single geographical average price for narrowband line rental throughout the country. It is clear from the responses to our investigation that many in the telecommunications sector, both NRAs and operators, believe that infrastructurebased rivals to the fixed incumbent rely on geographical averaging of the incumbent’s retail prices for their continued survival. Further de-averaging of current prices could weaken infrastructure-based competition while giving the incumbent freedom to fully de-average its prices could enable it to substantially reduce the level of the infrastructure-based competition which it faces. So while geographic averaging is not economically efficient from a static allocative perspective, it does help maintain the dynamic benefits of infrastructure-based competition. Put another way, geographical averaging is a way of amplifying the effects of partial infrastructure-based competition. Incumbents must compete with infrastructure-based rivals, provided that the niches in which the latter operate are significant. Geographical averaging means that the benefits of such competition, especially in terms of price, are also enjoyed by consumers beyond the geographic area in which the infrastructure-based competition actually occurs. In considering arguments from the fixed incumbents for geographical deaveraging of its retail prices NRAs will need to take account of: • the likely impact of geographical de-averaging on the level of infrastructure based competition Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 164 • the degree to which geographical averaging amplifies the effects of geographically limited infrastructure based competition • the degree to which corresponding wholesale prices are geographically deaveraged • social and political objectives served by geographical averaging of prices • the economic inefficiencies introduced by geographical averaging – which sends the wrong relative price signals to urban (low cost) and rural (high cost) areas • the impact of geographical averaging on rollout of broadband access. If retail broadband prices are geographically averaged then no operator may want to serve rural areas with such services. In such circumstances revenues will be below the cost of supply134. Measure 10: explicit entry assistance. Given the level of infrastructure-based competition in fixed network services, each NRA should consider whether it should provide explicit entry assistance to infrastructure-based rivals to the fixed incumbent. Concerned about the current low levels of investment in alternative infrastructure, several operators, both fixed incumbents and their rivals, have suggested entry assistance measures to boost investment. These suggestions include: • dynamic pricing to encourage investment using unbundled local loops (as set out in Section 2.7) • guarantees to infrastructure-based entrants that they will avoid SMP regulation for a specified number of years. SMP status is unlikely in the years following entry. But entrants interviewed in our study claim that such guarantees would help them attract funding • tax breaks for investment e.g., in broadband infrastructure. It would be difficult to design these tax breaks without all operators, and not just entrants, benefiting. In these circumstances tax breaks would act as an incentive to broadband infrastructure investment which, while it would not distort competition, might stimulate inefficient investment. We frame Measure 10 in terms of NRAs in individual Member States taking action, rather than in terms of EU wide action. This reflects the fact that the level of infrastructure-based competition varies widely across the EU, especially in broadband markets. Measure 11: Implementing state aid rules. The relevant authorities should ensure that the EU rules on the use of state aid to fund telecommunications investments are implemented rigorously. 134 There are other solutions to this problem. For example governments might (and do) subsidise broadband roll-out in high cost rural areas, as discussed under Measure 11. Or incumbents can deploy different products – such as fixed wireless access or satellite technology rather than DSL over copper loops - with higher, but still geographically averaged, prices to serve rural areas. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 165 The European Commission recently approved the use of structural and government funds to support broadband rollout in less favoured areas. Such funding is intended to minimise the prospects of a digital divide emerging between the different parts of the EU. In approving such funding, the European Commission set out conditions under which such funds can be applied.135 For example: • funds should support programmes which are part of coherent development plans; • funds should be targeted at areas that would “be neglected under free market conditions”; • funding should only be granted where there is a competitive environment and where the incumbent’s tariffs have been fully re-balanced; and • funding should be technology neutral. Despite these guidelines, virtually all respondents to our study remain concerned that state funds will lead, and already are leading, to distortions of competition.136 They claim that the guidelines are often ignored. All support the idea of using government funds to minimise the digital divide between urban and rural communities, as long as: • such funds are used only in areas where market led investment will not take place. Funding in other areas reduces incentives for alternative infrastructure investment. Operators point to local authorities already allegedly breaching such constraints in places like Dublin, Norwich (UK), Amsterdam137 and Stockholm; • such funds are used in ways which do not distort competition. AltNets are concerned that government authorities will issue requests for proposal which, by their size and nature, preclude AltNets from making a competitive bid, effectively handing the contract to the incumbent; and • government authorities, in selecting successful bidders, take account of dynamic as well as static economic efficiencies138. Current EC guidelines explicitly prohibit such considerations (e.g., Section 5 on Tendering Processes). 135 Guidelines on Information Society and Telecommunications Infrastructure, March 2003. 136 Broadband and Telephony Services over CATV networks, OECD, August 2003 137 Where fibre access is planned using State funds. 138 i.e. they should consider the position five years from now. If they choose the incumbent now, will they effectively be opting for a monopoly in perpetuity with all the loss of efficiency that would entail? Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 166 Annex A Directives affecting micropayment services The E-money Directive The E-money Directive has a number of stated objectives, including: • protecting consumers and ensuring bearer confidence; • avoiding distortion of competition between traditional credit institutions and electronic money institutions; and • providing legal certainty for the development of e-commerce. What is Electronic Money? Electronic money is defined in the E-money Directive to mean monetary value as represented by a claim on the issuer which is: (i) stored on an electronic device; (ii) issued on receipt of funds of an amount not less in value than the monetary value issued; and (iii) accepted as means of payment by undertakings other than the issuer.139 Recital 3 adds the following gloss: e-money can be considered to be an electronic surrogate for coins and banknotes, which is stored on an electronic device such as a chip card or computer memory and which is generally intended for the purpose of effecting electronic payments of limited amounts. The recitals to the E-money Directive make it clear that the issuance of electronic money does not constitute, in itself, given its specific character as an electronic surrogate for coins and banknotes, a “deposit-taking activity” (under the Codified Banking Directive) if the funds are immediately exchanged for electronic money. However, the receipt of funds in exchange for electronic money which results in a credit balance left on account with the issuing institution constitutes the receipt of “deposits” or other “repayable funds” (under the Codified Banking Directive). Article 3 provides that bearers of electronic money must be able to ask the issuer to redeem it at par value (whether in cash or through transfer to an account) free of charges other than those strictly necessary to carry out the operation. The recitals make it clear that the redeemability requirement is designed to ensure bearer confidence. It does not imply, in itself, that funds received in exchange for electronic money are to be regarded as deposits or other repayable funds. The Scope of the E-money Directive The E-money Directive applies to “electronic money institutions” or “EMIs” (i.e., any legal person, other than a credit institution (as defined in the Codified Banking Directive) which 139 Article 1(3)(b). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 167 issues means of payment in the form of electronic money).140 It requires Member States to prohibit persons or undertakings that are not credit institutions from carrying on the business of issuing electronic money.141 EMIs that have been found by the competent authorities of the “home”Member State to satisfy the prudential rules set out below are authorised to issue electronic money through the EU, either by providing such services at a distance to residents of other Member States or by establishing a branch in those Member States (or both). The authorisation requirement implies that schemes from third countries are not entitled to remotely issue electronic money in the EU. However, this does not preclude the use in the EU of electronic money issued outside the EU under such schemes. The Impact of the E-money Directive The business activities of EMIs other than the issuing of electronic money are restricted, by Article 1(5) to: • the provision of closely related financial and non-financial services such as the administering of electronic money by the performance of operational and other ancillary functions related to its issuance, and the issuing and administering of other means of payment but excluding the granting of any form of credit; and • the storing of data on the electronic device on behalf of other undertakings or public institutions. Article 4 imposes a minimum initial capital requirement of not less than €1 million. In addition, EMIs must have at all times own funds which are equal to or above 2% of the higher of the current amount or the average of the preceding six months’total amount of their financial liabilities related to outstanding electronic money. Article 5 goes on to impose strict restrictions on investments by EMIs. They must have investments of no less than their financial liabilities related to outstanding electronic money in: (a) assets that attract a zero credit risk weighting and are sufficiently liquid, (b) sight deposits held with Zone A credit institutions, or (c) debt instruments that are sufficiently liquid and satisfy a number of other precise requirements. Type (a) and (b) investments may not exceed 20 times the own funds of the electronic money institution. Article 6 requires six monthly checks to ensure that EMIs are complying with their obligations under Articles 4 and 5. Recital 12 of the E-money Directive sets out the philosophy behind the supervisory provisions. It refers to the need to preserve a level playing field between EMIs and other credit institutions issuing electronic money, to ensure fair competition among a wider range of institutions, to the benefit of bearers. This is achieved through offsetting a lighter prudential regime with more stringent restrictions on business activities and on investments 140 Article 1(1). 141 Article 1(4). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 168 (to ensure that their financial liabilities related to outstanding electronic money are backed by sufficiently liquid low risk assets). It is not entirely clear how these requirements “level” the competitive playing field. Finally, Article 7 requires EMIs to have sound and prudent management, administrative and accounting procedures and adequate internal control mechanisms, appropriate to the financial and non-financial risks to which the institution is exposed. The Possibility of Waiver Member States may allow their authorities to waive the application of some or all of the provisions of the E-money Directive and Directive 2000/12/EC where: • the total business activities related to electronic money generate a total amount of liabilities related to outstanding electronic money that normally does not exceed €5 million and never exceeds €6 million; • the electronic money issued is accepted as a means of payment only by subsidiaries which perform operational or other ancillary functions related to electronic money issued or distributed by the institution or any parent or sibling of the undertaking; or • the electronic money issued is accepted as payment only by a limited number of undertakings, clearly distinguishable by: - their location in the same premises or other limited local area; or - their close financial or business relationship (e.g., common marketing or distribution scheme) with the issuing institution.142 Recital 15 emphasises that the possibility of waiving requirements exists only in relation to EMIs which operate only within the territory of the relevant Member State. The Electronic Signatures Directive Electronic signatures (i.e., data in electronic form which are attached to or logically associated with other electronic data and which serve as a method of authentication)143 serve to, inter alia, facilitate data authentication. They do so through the issuance of “certificates” (i.e., electronic attestations that like signature-verification data to a person and confirms the identity of that person) by “certification-service-providers”.144 While Member States are not permitted to impose a ‘prior authorisation’regime for the certification services, they are required to establish an appropriate system that allows for supervision of certification-service-providers which are established on their particular territory and which issue qualified certificates to the public. As such, certification-service- 142 Article 8. 143 Article 2(1) of the Electronic Signatures Directive. 144 Article 2(9). Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 169 providers must comply with the requirements of the Member State in which they are established. Their liability to the public for the provision of such services is also subject to national rules. The Codified Banking Directive The prudential regime outlined above for EMIs differs from, although it purports to be ‘calibrated on’, that which applies to other credit institutions (under the Codified Banking Directive). As such, only references to credit institutions in the Codified Banking Directive (except those in Title V, Chapter 2) apply to EMIs. Articles 5, 11, 13, 19, 20(7), 51 and 59 of the Codified Banking Directive expressly do not apply to EMIs. Directive 2000/28/EC amends the Codified Banking Directive to, inter alia, include electronic money institutions in the “credit institution” definition, in Article 1(1)(b). The “credit institution” definition in Article 1(1) also includes undertakings whose business it is to grant credits for its own account. Accordingly, institutions which grant credits for their own account must comply in full with the requirements of Title II, relating to authorisation, initial capital, management, operations and organisation, procedures and internal control mechanisms, and will be subject to prudential supervision in accordance with Title V. In addition, the Protocol on the Statute of the ECB and the ESCB provides for the imposition of reserve requirements on “credit institutions”. The Money Laundering Directive The Money Laundering Directive applies to all credit institutions, including EMIs. It requires Member States to ensure that money laundering is prohibited and to impose a range of obligations on, inter alia, credit institutions. These obligations include: • ensuring that credit institutions require supporting evidence to identify their customers; • ensure that credit institutions take specific and adequate measures necessary to compensate for the greater risk of money laundering that arises when transactions are entered into with customers who have not been physically present for identification purposes (“non-face-to-face”operations). Such measures must ensure that the customer’s identity is established. This could entail requiring additional documentary evidence, supplementary measures to verify or certify the documents supplied, confirmatory certification by an institution subject to the Money Laundering Directive, or that the first payment of the operation is carried out through an account opened in the customer’s name with a credit institution subject to the Money Laundering Directive;145 • establishing adequate procedures of internal control and communication to forestall and prevent operations related to money laundering; and 145 Article 3. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 170 • taking steps to ensure that employees are aware of the provisions of the Money Laundering Directive, including the participation of the relevant employees in special training programmes. The Money Laundering Directive also imposes obligations to inform relevant authorities, on the initiative of the credit institutions, and to provide those authorities (on request) with all information deemed necessary to combat money laundering. Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 171 Annex B Glossary 2G: Second generation. A generic term used to describe the current generation of digital mobile services eg those using GSM or CDMA 95 technologies. 3G: Third generation. The generic term used for the next generation of mobile communications systems. Third-generation systems will provide enhanced services, including higher bandwidth and connectionless ‘always on’services, thus enabling a wider range of end-user services and charging models than are available today. ADSL: Asymmetric digital subscriber line. An xDSL technology that can transmit downstream rates of up to 9Mbit/s, depending on distance, and upstream rates up to 0.5Mbit/s. Altnet: An alternative network operator who competes with the fixed incumbent and provides direct connections to its customers. AOL: America On line, a leading content focussed ISP API: Application programming interface. A well-defined interface presented by one software program that allows another program (as opposed to a human user) to make requests of that program. ARPU: Average revenue per user. ASP: applications service provider ATM: Asynchronous transfer mode. A switching technology that can handle all forms of traffic (voice, video and data) within a single network at very high speeds. AT&T: a US based long distance operator with a significant presence in the EU corporate markets BiB: British Interactive Broadcasting BPO: Business process outsourcing. BT: British Telecom, the UK’s fixed incumbent CAGR: Compound annual growth rate CAS: Conditional access system usually located in a set top box attached to a television set to provide access to programmes only to authorised viewers CATV: Cable television CDMA: Code division multiple access. A method of frequency re-use whereby many radios use the same frequency, but each one has a unique code. GPS uses CDMA techniques with Gold’s codes for their unique cross-correlation properties. CLEC: Competitive local exchange carrier Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 172 Cobol: A legacy high level programming language which was used extensively in the early days of computing. COLT: a pan European Altnet CPE: Customer premise equipment. CUG: Closed user group. DDE: Declarative Data Essence Group standard DG: Directorate General DSL: Digital subscriber line – a technology for sending multimedia transmissions over copper-pair telephone lines. DSLAM: DSL access multiplexor DTD: Document type definition DTT: Digital terrestrial television. DVB: Digital Video Broadcasting e.biscom: an Italian based Altnet EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation. EC: European Commission ECB: European Central Bank ECNS: Electronic communications networks and services ECN: Electronic communications networks ECS: Electronic communications services ECTA: European Competitive Telecommunications Association EDGE: Enhanced data rate for GSM extension (EDGE). An intermediate stage for introducing high-speed data to mobile networks ahead of 3G. EMI: Electronic money issuer ENUM: A mechanism for translating between circuit-switched E.164 numbers and Internet names. EPG: Electronic programme guide ERG: European Regulators Group ESCB: The European System of Central Banks ETSI: The European Telecommunications Standards Institute Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 173 FCC: The Federal Communications Commission – the US federal regulator of telecoms and broadcasting FTP: File transfer protocol GPRS: General packet radio service. GSM Phase II+ provides high-speed packet data rates up to a theoretical maximum of 170kbit/s. GPRS is an enhancement to cellular phone networks, as it enables them to carry packet-switched data traffic. GSM: Global system for mobile communications. The standard for digital cellular systems used throughout Europe and in other countries around the world, operating in several frequency bands. IE: Internet Explorer ILEC: Incumbent local exchange carrier INTUG: a user group representing the interests of EU business users of telecommunications IP: Internet protocol. The basic set of network-layer technologies and conventions under which data is sent, routed and received in the Internet. It is also widely applied in private networks (known as ‘intranets’), closed-group networks (‘extranets’) and next-generation telecoms networks. IPR: Intellectual property rights. IP VPN: IP virtual private network. A closed user group on a carrier’s network that provides IP at each access. It may use infrastructure within the carrier network that is shared by other users. IRG: Independent Regulators Group ISP: Internet service provider. Service provider supplying IP-based access to the Internet either to end-user customers or on a wholesale basis to other ISPs. iTV: interactive television KPN: The Dutch incumbent operator LRIC: long run incremental cost M6: French 6th Broadcasting Channel MDF: Main distribution frame. The frame on which the primary cables of the local distribution network terminate. The MDF is normally the end of the copper access network. MHEG: Multimedia and Hypermedia Experts Group standard MHP: Multi media home platform Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 174 MMS: Multimedia message service. A standard defined by the 3GPP for sending messages to and from mobile phones, which can contain text, graphics, photos, audio and video. MNO: Mobile network operator. MPLS: Multi protocol label switching MPSA: Mobile Payment Service Association MVNO: Mobile virtual network operator. NGN: Next generation network. Usually refers to the use of a packet switched, rather than circuit switched network to carry multi media (voice, data and image) content ntl: a UK based CATV operator NRA: National Regulatory Authority. Term used by European Commission to denote the agency responsible for regulating a country’s telecommunications sector. NTT: The Japanese fixed incumbent NVoD: Near video on demand Oftel: UK NRA OFT: Office of Fair Trading (UK) O2: a mobile operator in Germany, Ireland and the UK OMA: Open Mobile Alliance OPTA: Dutch NRA OS: Operating system. A piece of software that administers the basic operations of a computer. OSS: Operational support system PC: Personal computer PDA: Personal digital assistant. A palm-top computer that performs specific computing tasks, such as an electronic diary, organiser, carry-along personal database, multimedia player and the management of all telephone-related communications. The communications will take place through the telephone or through wireless transmission to a cellular service or desktop system. PLC: Powerline communication PRS: Premium rate service PSP: Payment service provider Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 175 PSTN: Public switched telephone network. A term for the amalgam of all the publicly available, interconnected telco networks. PVR: Personal Video Recorders RAM: Random access memory ROCE: Return on capital employed ROM: Read only memory RTE: Radio Telefís Éireann SDH: synchronous digital hierarchy SIMLOCK: a method for locking a subscriber’s SIM card for use only in a particular handset SME: Small or medium sized enterprise SMP: Significant market power SMS: Short message services. The sending and receiving of short alphanumeric messages to and from mobile handsets on a cellular mobile network. SOAP: Simple object access protocol SSSL: Sky Subscribers Services Limited STB: Set top box Symbian: a company set up to develop a mobile terminal operating system TDC: Telecom Denmark, Denmark’s incumbent operator TF1: Télévision Française 1 TIM: Telecom Italia Mobile TPS: Télévision Par Satellite TWF: TV without frontiers UDDI: Universal description discovery and integration ULL: Unbundled local loop. A local loop (usually copper) that is rented by its owner (usually the incumbent) to another operator (a competitive access provider) to create a direct customer connection. UMTS: Universal mobile telecommunications system. The international standard for third-generation (broadband) mobile communications. UNE-P: Unbundled network elements – platform. A combination of WLR and local switching which ILECs in the USA must make available at regulated prices. UPC: a CATV operator with interests in several EU countries Ovum November 2003 Barriers to competition in the supply of ECNS 176 URL: Universal resource locator. A human-readable naming scheme that can be used to address any IP-based service (including not only web-based services but also FTP and others) over the Internet. VAS: Value-added service. VCR: Video cassette recorder. VDSL: very high speed DSL VoD: Video on demand VoDSL: Voice over DSL VoIP: voice over IP WACC: Weighted average cost of capital WAP: Wireless application protocol. A widely backed standard that supports Internet content access and call management functionality for small-screen wireless devices. W-CDMA: Wideband CDMA. A standard for 3G networks adopted by most European and some US and Asia-Pacific operators. WLAN: Wireless local area network WLR: Wholesale line rental. WML: Wireless mark-up language, designed specifically for WAP phones. WS: Web services WSDL: Web service description language XML: Extensible mark-up language, which can be described as a generic mark-up language solution. It differs from other mark-up solutions in that it only describes the data on a web page and not how it should be formatted, providing the flexibility for the data to be quickly formatted for display on other devices. Ovum November 2003