Comparison of Airborne Water Vapor Lidar Observations with

Transcrição

Comparison of Airborne Water Vapor Lidar Observations with
Comparison of Airborne Water Vapor Lidar Observations
with ECMWF Analyses and first Assimilation Experiments
Christoph Kiemle, H. Flentje, E. Holm, A. Fix, A. Dörnbrack, G. Ehret
7. ISTP, Boulder, 13. June 2006
Overview
• Water vapor lidar system onboard DLR Falcon aircraft;
• long-range intercontinental cross sections during transfer flights
from Germany to different remote campaign locations:
Brazil (2004): across equatorial Atlantic Ocean;
Australia (2005): midlat., subtropical, tropical climate regimes;
USA (2002): across North Atlantic storm track region.
• First 4D-VAR assimilation of Lidar observations into ECMWF
operational NWP model.
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Physik der Atmosphäre
H2O Differential Absorption Lidar on the Falcon Aircraft
Key features: stabilized OPO, 920 - 945 nm, 100 Hz, 2 W, sp > 99%
H2O-DIAL inside the Falcon
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Physik der Atmosphäre
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Transfers to/from Brazil
Jan./March 2004
Oberpfaffenhofen
Sevilla
31 Jan - 2 Feb 04⇓
Sal
⇑ 14 - 15 Mar 04
Equator
F. de Noronha
Recife
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Range:
Nadir: down to ground
Zenith: ≈ 2 - 6 km above flight level
Channels: H2O
BSR 1064, 935, 532 nm
Depol 1064, 532 nm
Transfer Brazil - Germany on 14.3.2004: Met. Situation
• Trough along NW-African coast (Cyclone over Morocco)
• Azores high dominates central Atlantic - nearly cloud free
• Sharp water vapor gradient delimiting tropics near 10°N at 500hPa
Trade winds
ITCZ
Meteosat 8
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Azores
high
H2O and Geopot @ 500 hPa from
T511/L60 ECMWF analysis
Transfer Brazil - Germany: Water Vapor
Hadley Circulation
• Humid layer slopes from 9 km near Eq.
to 4 km at 15°N
• 2 g/kg H2O up to 9 km
• Outflow above 8 km till 15°N
• 30°N: UT/LS air intrudes down to the PBL
• H2O < 0.1 g/kg in 2 km
• Dry layer advected from the N-American
continent with H2O < 0.1 g/kg
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• Upsliding moister air mass subsides near
the intrusion
Transfer Brazil - Germany: ECMWF Trajectories
300
hPa
600
hPa
temperature (K)
T511/L60 ECMWF analyses
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Water Vapor Data Quality
Systematic
•
Water vapour absorption line cross section (5 % estimated)
errors ( ~ 5%)
•
Laser spectral impurity (1 - 2 %)
•
Atmospheric temperature uncertainty (1 %)
•
Rayleigh-Doppler absorption line broadening (< 1.5 %)
Random error
controlled by spatial resolution: σstat = Stdev/Mean = 1/SNR
Δz=700m Δx=2600m
Δz=500m Δx=3400m
5%
7%
33%
5%
43%
8%
7%
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≈ 0-2 % from natural variability
Comparison of individual profiles
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DIAL water vapor observation
ECMWF water vapor profile
Comparison of individual profiles
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DIAL water vapor observation
ECMWF water vapor profile
Spec. Hum. Comparison between DIAL and ECMWF
T511/L60 operational analysis, interpolated in space and time to flight path.
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Comparison of H2O from DIAL and ECMWF
• ECMWF too humid in UT
• Median Difference
(Bias) ≈ 8%
• Larger differences due to
interpolation limits
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Physik der Atmosphäre
Submitted to JGR, 2005
Transfer Flights to/from Australia, Nov./Dec. 2005
Oberpfaffenhofen
Larnaca
Dubai
Hyderabad
Bangkok
Darwin
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Focus on Transect Hyderabad - Dubai
Oberpfaffenhofen
Larnaca
Dubai
Hyderabad
Bangkok
Darwin
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Lidar
ECMWF
Diffs
Dubai
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Hyderabad
water vapor volume mixing ratio (10-6)
Lidar Measurements and ECMWF Analyses
Dubai
Hyderabad
water vapor volume mixing ratio (10-6)
T799/L91 operational analysis, interpolated in space and time to flight path.
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Transfer Flights to/from IHOP, May/June 2002
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Tropospheric Cross Section from H2O DIAL (ppmm)
0045 UT
60°
0255 UT
0530 UT
50°
40°
0830 UT
1110 UT
0645 UT
15 May 2002
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2230 UT
14 May 2002
13 May 2002
2000 UT
First 4D-VAR Assimilation of H2O DIAL data at ECMWF
Significant improvement of 12h-forecast of H2O column of 5 - 20%
Tropopause height
Height
WV mixing ratio [g/kg]
Lidar
T511 outer loops
and T95 - T159
inner loops
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rel. change of total WV error
ECMWF
lat.
long.
New Airborne 4-wavelengths H2O DIAL
3 online, 1 offline for LT-LS profiling
Data Acquisition (hidden)
Wavelength Control
Optical Filter
Box
LCD-Screen
Keyboard
Pump
Lasers
48 cm Telescope
OPOs
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Expected Performance relative to present H2O-DIAL
Example: Sounding of the tropical cold point region (looking upward)
9 6-times higher average output
power at same volume and only
10% higher weight
9 3-times higher single pulse energy
9 1,8-times larger telescope area
9 2-times less detector noise
First test flight: Dec. 2006
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Conclusion: Long-range airborne lidar observations
• Stronger dynamical activity at mid-lat.: quasi continuous STE;
• smaller scales and larger H2O gradients at mid-lat.;
• high-reaching humidity in the tropics up to UT;
• weak cyclogenesis and no intrusions over central Atlantic;
• signature of Hadley circulation observed in water vapor.
Conclusion: Comparisons with ECMWF analyses
• Qualitatively fair agreement, model reproduces dynamical
structures;
• deviations due to small displacements of structures and finite
temporal / spatial resolution;
• better skill of ECMWF in (sub-) tropics due to larger scales.
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Conclusion: 4D-VAR assimilation of lidar observations
• Positive impact on 12-h operational forecast despite
few lidar data: encouraging results.
Outlook
• Assimilation experiments with lidar data from longrange transects to Brazil and Australia.
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Physik der Atmosphäre

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