Apresentação
Transcrição
Apresentação
Permafrost in a changing Earth Gonçalo Vieira CEG/IGOT – Universidade de Lisboa Ahinora Baltakova (BG), Lourenço Bandeira (PT), Vanessa Batista (PT), James Bockheim (US), João Branco (PT), Alberto Caselli (AR), João Canário (PT), João Catalão (PT), Antonio Correia (PT), Ana David (PT), Ali Faleh (MO), Alice Ferreira (PT), Márcio Francelino (BR), André Fonseca (PT), Márcio Francelino (BR), Andrew Hodson (UK), Inês Girão (PT), Gabriel Goyanes (AR), Juan Javier Jímenez (ES), Rositza Kenderova (BG), António Molina (ES), Carla Mora (PT), Mário Neves (PT), Alexandre Nieuwendam (PT), Agnieszka Nowak (UK), Ana Padeiro (PT), Pedro Pina (PT), Marc Oliva (PT), Miguel Angel de Pablo (ES), Christo Pimpirev (BG), Gonçalo Prates (PT), Miguel Ramos (ES), Ana Rita Reis (PT), Fernando Santos (PT), Cláudio Sousa (PT), Carlos Schaefer (BR), Felipe Simas (BR), Warwick Vincent (CN) CEG/IGOT – ULisboa | CERENA /IST – ULisboa | CQE/IST – Ulisboa | IDL – ULisboa | CGE – Universidade de Évora | Centre d’Etudes Nordiques – U Laval | Bulgarian Antarctic Institute | Universidad de Alcalá | University of Wisconsin-Madison | Universidad de Buenos Aires | Universidade Federal de Viçosa | University of Sheffield | Université Sidi Mohammed Ben Abdellah, Fès What is permafrost? PERMAFROST 22.800.000 km2 in the Northern Hemisphere (20% of the continental area) Ferreira (1991), adaptado de Washburn (1979) Lowland permafrost regions are traditionally divided into several zones based on estimated geographic continuity in the landscape. A typical classification recognizes continuous permafrost (underlying 90-100% of the landscape); discontinuous permafrost (50-90%); and sporadic permafrost (0-50%). Bockheim (1995) Global Outlook for Ice and Snow (UNEP) Global Outlook for Ice and Snow (UNEP) IPA, 2010 Does permafrost matters? Permafrost Carbon Feedback – irreversible at the human timescale Schuur et al 2015 Permafrost Global Carbon storage in soils (GtC) Ice- and carbon-rich permafrost Courtesy Hughes Lantuit and the IPA Courtesy Hughes Lantuit and the IPA Courtesy Hughes Lantuit and the IPA Subsea permafrost Gas hydrate (methane) Maps: UNEP, IPA What about Antarctic permafrost? King George Island Livingston Island Deception Island Dundee Island Cierva Cove Anvers Island James Ross Island Livingston Island Mean annual air temperatures 0,0 -2,0 -3,0 -4,0 -5,0 -6,0 -7,0 -8,0 -9,0 Faraday/Vernadsky Bellingshausen Mean annual ground temperatures 1,0 0,5 0,0 Temperature (ºC) Temperature (ºC) -1,0 -0,5 -1,0 -1,5 -2,0 -2,5 -3,0 Cooling in most boreholes -3,5 -4,0 2002 2003 2004 Papagal 4 m Reina Sofia 8 m 2005 2006 2007 Reina Sofia 1 25 m Air (30 m) 2008 2009 2010 CALM 4 m 2011 Reina Sofia Shallow 0.8 m 2012 2013 MeteoSKO 8 m 2014 2015 Deception Island 0,40 0,20 Temperature (ºC) 0,00 -0,20 -0,40 -0,60 -0,80 -1,00 -1,20 S1 - 4 m S2 - 4 m S3 - 4.5 m 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 • Permafrost is changing fast • Permafrost is key in the climate system • Changes are complex • Need for improved observations + lab experiences + modelling
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