anotações - cerpch
Transcrição
anotações - cerpch
Comitê Diretor do CERPCH Director Committee CEMIG / FAPEPE / IEE-USP / FURNAS / IME / ELETROBRAS / ANEEL / MME Comitê Editorial Editorial Committee Presidente - President Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho - CERPCH/UNIFEI Editores Associados - Associated Publishers Adair Matins - UNCOMA - Argentina Alexander Gajic - University of Serbia Alexandre Kepler Soares - UFMT Ângelo Rezek - ISEE/UNIFEI Antônio Brasil Jr. - UnB Artur de Souza Moret - UNIR Augusto Nelson Carvalho Viana - IRN/UNIFEI Bernhard Pelikan - Bodenkultur Wien - Áustria Carlos Barreira Martines - UFMG Célio Bermann - IEE/USP Edmar Luiz Fagundes de Almeira - UFRJ Fernando Monteiro Figueiredo - UnB Frederico Mauad - USP Helder Queiroz Pinto Jr. - UFRJ Jaime Espinoza - USM - Chile José Carlos César Amorim - IME Marcelo Marques - IPH/UFRGS Marcos Aurélio V. de Freitas - COPPE/UFRJ Maria Inês Nogueira Alvarenga - IRN/UNIFEI Orlando Aníbal Audisio - UNCOMA - Argentina Osvaldo Livio Soliano Pereira - UNIFACS Regina Mambeli Barros - IRN/UNIFEI Zulcy de Souza - LHPCH/UNIFEI 04 Editorial Editorial Mercado Market 06 Cenário de energia mais cara The most expensive energy scenario Artigos Técnicos Technical Articles TECHNICAL COMMITTEE Agenda 42 Prof. François AVELLAN, EPFL École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland, [email protected], Chair; Prof. Eduardo EGUSQUIZA, UPC Barcelona, Spain, [email protected], Vice-Chair; Dr. Richard K. FISHER, VOITH Hydro Inc., USA, [email protected], Past-Chair; Mr. Fidel ARZOLA, EDELCA, Venezuela, [email protected]; Dr. Michel COUSTON, ALSTOM Hydro, France, [email protected]; Dr. Niklas DAHLBÄCK, VATENFALL, Sweden, [email protected]; Mr. Normand DESY, ANDRITZ Hydro Ltd., Canada, [email protected]; Prof. Chisachi KATO, University of Tokyo, Japan, [email protected]; Prof. Jun Matsui, Yokohama National University, [email protected]; Dr. Andrei LIPEJ, TURBOINSTITUT, Slovenija, [email protected]; Prof. Torbjørn NIELSEN, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway, [email protected]; Mr. Quing-Hua SHI, Dong Feng Electrical Machinery, P.R. China, [email protected]; Prof. Romeo SUSAN-RESIGA, “Politehnica” University Timisoara, Romania, [email protected]; Prof. Geraldo TIAGO F°, Universidade Federal de Itajubá, Brazil, [email protected]. Schedule Ficha catalográfica elaborada pela Biblioteca Mauá – Bibliotecária Margareth Ribeiro- CRB_6/1700 R454 Revista Hidro & Hydro – PCH Notícias & Ship News, UNIFEI/CERPCH, v.1, 1998 -- Itajubá: CERPCH/IARH, 1998 – v.15, n. 59, out./dez. 2013. Expediente Editorial Editor Coord. Redação Jornalista Resp. Redação Colaborador Projeto Gráfico Diagramação e Arte Tradução Revisão Impressão Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho Camila Rocha Galhardo Adriana Barbosa MTb-MG 05984 Adriana Barbosa Camila Rocha Galhardo Fabiana Gama Viana Angelo Stano Net Design Lidiane Silva Cidy Sampaio Av. BPS, 1303 - Bairro Pinheirinho Itajubá - MG - Brasil - CEP: 37500-903 e-mail: [email protected] [email protected] Fax/Tel: +55 (35)3629 1443 2 Trimestral. Editor chefe: Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho. Jornalista Responsável: Adriana Barbosa – MTb_MG 05984 ISSN 1676-0220 1. Energia renovável. 2. PCH. 3. Energia eólica e solar. 4. Usinas hi_ drelétricas. I. Universidade Federal de Itajubá. II. Centro Nacional de Re_ ferência em Pequenas Centrais Hidrelétricas. III. Título. Joana Sawaya de Almeida Patrícia Kelli Silva de Oliveira Editora Acta Ltda Hidro&Hydro - PCH Notícias & SHP News é uma publicação trimestral do CERPCH The Hidro&Hydro - PCH Notícias & SHP News is a three-month period publication made by CERPCH Tiragem/Edition: 6.700 exemplares/issues contato comercial: [email protected] / site: www.cerpch.org.br 11 Universidade Federal de Itajubá ISSN 1676-0220 ISSN 1676022-0 00059 9 771676 022009 HIDRO&HYDRO - PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS | ISSN 1676-0220 EDITORIAL Dear readers, Prezado Leitor, Nos últimos meses do ano o setor elétrico vem sofrendo com sucessivos problemas estruturais que refletiram no mercado de comercialização de energia. Isso ocasionará um aumento das tarifas elétricas que impactará no bolso dos consumidores. Diante desse cenário a revista Hidro&Hydro traz nessa edição uma reportagem onde faz um panorama dos projetos desenvolvidos pelo setor, além de mostrar seus entraves. Segundo os especialistas ouvidos pela revista tanto o mercado regulado quanto o mercado livre estão instáveis, uma vez que as mudanças setoriais que começaram em 2012 deram uma travada neste segmento. Além da situação sobre o mercado de comercialização de energia abordado na revista, nesta edição o leitor pode conhecer pesquisas técnicas realizadas por pesquisadores de universidades brasileiras e estrangeiras. A revista aproveita para desejar à todos colaboradores e leitores boas festas! In the final months of the year, the electric sector has suffered successive structural problems, which were reflected in the energy trading market. This leads to an increase in electricity tariffs that will impact the wallets of consumers. Considering this scenario, the magazine, Hidro&Hydro, features, in this edition, an overview of the projects developed by the industry, aside from showing their barriers. According to the specialists interviewed by the magazine, the regulated market is as unstable as the free market, once the sectoral changes that began in 2012, which held up this segment. Besides the energy trading market situation highlighted in the magazine, in this edition the reader can get to know technical research achieved by researchers from Brazilian and foreign universities. The magazine would like to take this opportunity to wish “Happy Holidays!” to all of its collaborators and readers. Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho Apoio: IAHR DIVISION I: HYDRAULICS TECHNICAL COMMITTEE: HYDRAULIC MACHINERY AND SYSTEMS 4 MERCADO HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,DEZ/2013 CENÁRIO DE ENERGIA MAIS CARA Da Redação Translation: Romulo Vilas boas Chiaradia Arquivo Furnas Atrasos na entrada de projetos, falta de conexão para usinas eólicas, leilões vazios, reservatórios em queda livre, despacho máximo de térmicas, sucessivas cargas recordes, adiamento do sistema de bandeiras, seguidos socorros emergenciais ao mercado. A combinação de fatores conjunturais e estruturais coloca o preço da energia no país a ponto de uma explosão. Especialistas do setor estimam um aumento tarifário nos próximos anos entre 10% e 25% com as seguidas mudanças setoriais e as seguidas medidas de socorro ao mercado. Para aliviar a situação, o governo decidiu repassar para as concessionárias mais R$ 4 bilhões via Conta de Desenvolvimento Energético (CDE) e autorizar a Câmara de Comercialização de Energia Elétrica (CCEE) captar mais R$ 8 bilhões no mercado financeiro para dar suporte às operações no mercado livre. Uma ajuda de R$ 12 bilhões. Em 2013, o governo já tinha feito uma repasse bilionário, que será pago pelos consumidores e contribuintes ao longo do tempo. "A situação é delicada. Este recurso será suficiente para aliviar o caixa das empresas ao longo de 2014", observa Ricardo Savoia, diretor de Regulação e Gestão Energética da Thymos Energia e Consultoria. Nas projeções da consultoria, o desequilíbrio de caixa das distribuidoras pode chegar a R$ 35 bilhões. Neste valor, computase R$ 12 bilhões referentes ao despacho térmico e R$ 23 bilhões da exposição involuntária das distribuidoras, na faixa de 3,2 mil MW médios devido ao insucesso ou baixa contratação nos dois leilões A-1 do ano passado. A descontratação só deixa um caminho para as distribuidoras: comprar energia no mercado livre que tem o preço balizado pelo Preço de Liquidações das Diferenças (PLD). Só para se ter a ideia da bomba relógio armada, a CCEE estabe-leceu o valor máximo de PLD, R$ 822,83 por MWh, para a contratação de energia em todos os quatro submercados, na semana de 22 a 28 de março. Com os reservatórios em baixa, não há saída para o mercado se não despachar as usinas térmicas a um custo mais elevado. Os reservatórios do Sudeste, no dia 23 de março, operavam com 35,7% da capacidade, enquanto os do Nordeste, com 41,7%. As vazões observadas estão muito longe da média histórica. Ou seja, a tendência é de PLD elevado o ano inteiro. Ou seja, as distribuidoras terão que comprar energia com um custo mais el- Arquivo Furnas Com um conjunto de problemas estruturais e conjunturais para serem resolvidos, especialistas do setor elétrico estimam aumento de 10% a 25% no custo da energia para os próximos anos 6 As fotos que ilustram esta matéria/artigo foram registradas durante o Fórum de Comercialização de Energia:Outlook 2014 e gentilmente cedidas por Furnas e pela Blue Ocean Business Events, responsáveis pela promoção e realização do evento. The photos that illustrate this issue/article were recorded during the Forum of Energy Trading: Outlook 2014, and courtesy of Furnas and Blue Ocean Business Events, responsible for the promotion and realization of the event. evado para repassar ao consumidor somente na época de seu reajuste tarifário. Para Savoia, o valor médio do PLD deve ficar entre R$ 300 e R$ 400/MWh, se o período chuvoso não for bom o suficiente para recompor a energia acumulado nos reservatórios. Ou seja, um valor que pode até mesmo atrapalhar a estratégia do governo de realizar um leilão A-0, no final de abril, para tentar reduzir o nível de exposição das distribuidoras, quadro desenhado pela MP 579, convertida depois na lei 12.783, que definiu o modelo de renovação das concessões. Com 36.321 MW, ou seja 27% da capacidade instalada do país, as térmicas são o principal seguro para momentos de crises hidrológicas como o atual. O volume despachado influencia diretamente no custo da energia para o consumidor. MARKET HIDRO&HYDRO - PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS | ISSN 1676-0220 THE MOST EXPENSIVE ENERGY SCENARIO Translation: Joana Sawaya de Almeida With a set of structural and cyclical problems to be solved, the electric industry specialists estimate an increase of 10% to 25% in energy costs for the next year Arquivo Furnas lion. In 2013, the government had already been made billionaire, paid by consumers and taxpayers over time. "The situation is delicate. This feature will be sufficient to relieve the case of companies throughout 2014," says Ricardo Savoia, director Thymos Regulation and Energy Management and Energy Consulting. The consultancy’s projection is that the imbalance of the distribution box may reach $35 billion. This value computes to R$12 billion relative to thermal dispatch and £ 23 billion of involuntary exposure of distribution in the range of 3200 MW due to failure or low recruitment in both A-1 auctions last year. The decontracting just leaves one choice for distributors: buy energy on the open market that has the price marked by Price Liquidations of Differences (PLD). Just to give you the idea of a ticking time bomb, CCEE established the maximum PLD, R$822.83 per MWh for energy contracting in all four submarkets in the week of the 22nd to the 28th of March. With reservoirs low, there is no exit for the market if they do not dispatch the thermal plants at a higher cost. On 23 March, the reservoirs in the Southeast had a 35.7% of operating capacity, while those in the Northeast had 41.7%. Flow rates are observed far from the historical average. That is, the tendency of PLD is high all year. In other words, the distributors have to buy electricity at a higher cost to pass on to the consumer only at the time of their tariff adjustment. To Savoia, the average value of PLD should be between R$300 and R$400/MWh, if the rainy season is not fruitful enough to reconstruct the energy accumulated in the reservoirs. In other words, a value that can even hinder the government's strategy to conduct an A-0 auction in late April to try to reduce the level of exposure of distributors, frame designed by MP 579, converted after the law 12.783, which set the model for the renewal of concessions. With 36,321 MW, or 27% of the installed capacity of the country, thermals are the primary insurance for moments of hydrological crises like the current one. The volume shipped directly influences the cost of energy to consumers. In a recent media interview, Edvaldo Santana, former director of the National Electric En- Delay in the entry of projects, lack of connection for wind farms, empty auctions, reservoirs in free fall, maximum order of thermal plants, successive record loads, deferring the flag system, a series of emergency aids for the market. The combination of structural situational factors puts the price of energy in the country on the verge of an explosion. Industry experts estimate a tariff increase in the coming years between 10% and 25% with the sectoral shifts and continued relief measures to rescue the market. To alleviate the situation, the government decided to pass the utilities an additional R$4 billion through the Energy Development Account (CDE) and authorize the Trading Chamber (CCEE) to raise an additional U.S. $8 billion in the financial market to support open market operations. An aid of U.S. $12 bil- 7 MERCADO Em entrevista recente à imprensa, Edvaldo Santana, ex-diretor da Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica (Aneel), apontou em 13 mil MW de térmicas o limite operacional para evitar uma maior pressão do preço da energia para o consumidor e o caixa do Tesouro. Entre a última semana de janeiro e a primeira de fevereiro, por exemplo, o governo autorizou despacho térmico de 16.300 MW. Segundo ele, até esta faixa, o preço médio ficaria em cerca de R$ 250/MWh, pois só seriam despachadas as usinas mais baratas, como as nucleares, as unidades a gás natural e aquelas a carvão. Se as térmicas a óleo combustível forem utilizadas, o preço ficará muito mais elevado, uma vez que o custo dessas usinas podem chegar até R$ 1.700/MWh. Mercado livre Arquivo Furnas Se no ambiente regulado o cenário é de instabilidade, inclusive com risco de inadimplência na distribuição por conta do peso da descontratação, no mercado livre a situação também exige cuidados. As mudanças setoriais que aconteceram a partir de 2012 deram uma boa trava a este segmento. Na verdade, a participação 8 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,DEZ/2013 do Ambiente de Contratação Regulado (ACR) está estável desde 2010, na faixa de 25% do consumo de energia do país. "O ano de 2014 começou em 2012, com a edição de um conjunto de medidas que afetaram o mercado livre. Uma delas é a portaria 455, que acaba com o registro ex-post dos contratos. Isso aumenta o preço da energia em 5% para os consumidores livres especiais sem trazer nenhum benefício", comenta Reginaldo Medeiros, presidente da Associação Brasileira dos Consumidores de Energia (Abraceel). Na avaliação de Medeiros, a MP 579 provocou uma grande interferência no mercado em busca de reduzir o preço da energia para o consumidor. "Quanto menor a intervenção do governo no mercado, melhor para a redução do preço. Os mecanismos de mercado são mais eficazes para reduzir os preços", analisa o executivo, temendo que as mudanças provocadas pela portaria 455, por exemplo, levem a uma corrida judicial. Para Márcio Sant"Anna, sócio-diretor da Ecom Energia, a MP 579 provocou uma redução no número de migração para o mercado livre. "Também houve impacto nos preços, que ficaram mais elevados", observa. MARKET NEWS Arquivo Furnas HIDRO&HYDRO - PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS | ISSN 1676-0220 ergy Agency (Aneel), indicated 13000 MW as the operational thermal limit to avoid further pressure from energy prices for consumers and Treasury cash. Between the last week of January and February 1st, for example, the government authorized thermal dispatch of 16,300 MW. According to him, to this range, the average price would be around R $ 250/MWh, because only the lowest plants would be dispatched, such as nuclear, natural gas and coal units. If the thermal fuel oil is used, the price will be much higher, since the cost of these plants can reach £ 1.700/MWh. In evaluating Medeiros, MP 579 caused considerable interference in the market in search of lower energy prices for consumers. "The less government intervention in the market, better for the price reduction. Market mechanisms are more effective to reduce prices," says the executive, fearing that the changes caused by Ordinance 455, for example, lead to a legal race. To Márcio Santana, managing partner of Ecom Energy, MP 579 caused a reduction in migration to the free market. "There was also an impact on prices, which were higher," he notes. Free Market If in the regulated environment is an instable scenario, including the risk of default in the distribution due to the weight of decontracting, the open market situation also requires care. The sectoral changes that happened in 2012 resulted in many hang-ups in this sector. Indeed, the participation of the Regulated Contracting Environment (ACR) is stable since 2010, around 25% of energy consumption in the country. "The year 2014 began in 2012 with the publication of a set of measures that affected the free market. One is the ordinance 455, which ends with the ex-post record contract. This increases the price of electricity by 5% for special free consumers without bringing any benefits," said Reginaldo Medeiros, president of the Association of Energy Consumers (Abraceel). Curta nossa fan page: www.facebook.com/cerpchoficial @cerpch 9 AGENDA/SCHEDULE EVENTOS EM FEVEREIRO DE 2014 Dia 18 e 19 – Conferência Waste-to-Energy 2014 Local: Quality Moema - Av. Rouxinol , 57 • Moema • São Paulo • SP Tel direto do hotel: [11] 2197-7100 E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.paginasustentavel.com.br/index.php?option=com_content&vie w=article&id=1821:waste-to-energy-2014&catid=6:eventos&Itemid=4 Dia 21 a 23 – I CRE 2014 - International Conference on Renewable Energy 2014 Local: Pune – Índia E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.saise.org/icre2014 Dia 24 e 25 – Fórum de Comercialização de Energia: Outlook 2014 Local: Auditório de Furnas - Rio de Janeiro – RJ E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.blueoceanevents.com.br/conteudo/detalhe/nossos-eventos/ frum-de-comercializao-de-energia Dia 26 e 27 – Mexico WindPower 2014 Local: Centro Banamex - Cidade do México – México E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.mexicowindpower.com.mx/ Dia 27 e 28 – 4th Annual Smart Grids Smart Cities Forum Local: Polonia E-mail: [email protected] Site: http://energy.flemingeurope.com/smart-grids-smart-cities-forum Dia 27 – ICE Nuclear 2014; Developing the UK's Industry Local: Londres, UK E-mail: [email protected] Site: http://www.ice-conferences.com/ice-nuclear-2014/ EVENTOS EM MARÇO Dia 1 e 2 – 1 st International Conference on Energy, Environment and Sustainable Economics Local: Bangkok – Tailândia E-mail: [email protected] Site: http://iceese.org/ Dia 5 e 7 – BioEnergy Italy 2014 Local: Itália E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.bioenergyitaly.com Dia 5 e 3 – 1 0th Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Congress and Exhibition for South-East Europe Local: Sofia-Capital - Bulgária Site: www.eea.europa.eu/events/10th-energy-efficiency-renewableenergy Dia 11 a 13 – 4 º INOVA FV - IV Workshop Inovação para o Estabelecimento do Setor de Energia Solar Fotovoltaica no Brasil Local: Auditório da Faculdade de Ciências Médicas/Unicamp/Campinas-SP E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.iei-la.org/inovafv/index.php Dia 13 – Fórum Agenda Setorial 2014: Regulação e Mercado Local: Hotel Sofitel - Atlântica, 4240 - Copacabana - Rio de Janeiro – RJ E-mail: Site: www.ctee.com.br/agendasetorial/ Dia 14 a 31 – 1st International e-Conference on Energies Local: On-line E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.sciforum.net/conference/ece-1/ Dia 18 – Elétrica Segura – MG Local: Minas Gerais – MG Site: www.abracopel.org/ Dia 23 a 25 – V I SMARS - Seminário Brasileiro de Meio Ambiente e Responsabilidade Social do Setor Elétrico Local: Brasília – DF Site: www.smars.com.br Dia 30 a 04/04 – Light+Building 2014 Local: Frankfurt – Deutschland Site: http://light-building.messefrankfurt.com/frankfurt/en/besucher/ willkommen.html 10 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,DEZ/2013 Dia 31 a 03/04 – V CBENS - V Congresso Brasileiro de Energia Solar Data: 31/03/2014 a 03/04/2014 Local: Recife - Pernambuco – PE Site: www.cbens2014.com.br/ EVENTOS EM ABRIL Dia 2 e 3 – Energy Show 2014 Local: Florianópolis - SC E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.energyshow.com.br/ Dia 8 a 9 – P CH 2014 - 6º Encontro Nacional de Investidores em Pequenas Centrais hidrelétricas Local: São Paulo - SP E-mail: [email protected] Site: http://viex-americas.com/ Dia 14 e 15 – Cenocon 2014 Local: Pestana São Paulo Hotel & Conference Center - São Paulo - SP Site: www.rpmbrasil.com.br/index.aspx Dia 29 e 30 – I X Simpósio sobre pequenas e médias centrais hidrelétricas Local: FIEP - Curitiba – PR Site: www.ixspmch.com.br/ Dia 29 e 30 – 5th Annual Smart Grids Summit 2014 Local: Malaga – Spain E-mail: [email protected] Site: http://thesmartgridssummit.com/ EVENTOS EM MAIO Dia 6 e 7 – Enase 2014 Local: Hotel Sofitel - Av. Atlântica, 4240/Copacabana/Rio de Janeiro–RJ E-mail: [email protected] Dia 6 a 8 – Conferência Internacional REGSA 2014 Local: Auditório da Assembléia Legislativa - Sessões - Unidade Florianópolis (Trajano e Dib Mussi) - Florianópolis – SC E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.unisul.br/wps/portal/home/pesquisa-e-inovacao/seminariosde-pesquisa/conferencia-internacional-regsa Dia 14 e 15 – 5º Seminário Internacional de Energia Nuclear Local: Centro Empresarial Rio - Ed. Argentina - Praia de Botafogo, 228 2º andar - Auditório - Rio de Janeiro - RJ Email: [email protected] Site: http://planejabrasil.wordpress.com/ Dia 18 a 21 – X III SEPOPE – Simpósio de Especialistas em Planejamento da Operação e Expansão Elétrica Local: Bourbon Cataratas Convention & Spa Resorts - Rodovia das Cataratas, km 2,5 - CEP 85853-000 - Foz do Iguaçu – PR Site: www.sepope.com.br/ Dia 27 e 28 – I II Engeo - Encontro Nacional de Geoprocessamento do Setor Elétrico Local: Usina Hidrelétrica de Itaipu - Foz do Iguaçu – PR E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.engeo2014.com.br/ EVENTOS EM JUNHO Dia 2 a 5 – InterSolar Local: München – Deutschland Site: http://conference.intersolar.de Dia 3 a 5 – 1 0ª Edição - Redes subterrâneas de energia elétrica 2014 Local: Centro de Convenções Frei Caneca - São Paulo – SP E-mail: [email protected] Site: www.rpmbrasil.com.br/ Dia 5 e 6 – S EMEAR: Seminário de Meio Ambiente e Recursos Energéticos Local: Universidade Federal de Itajubá – UNIFEI/EXCEN Site: www.cerpch.unifei.edu.br/semear NOISE INDUCED BY KARMAN VORTICES IN A 7 MW FRANCIS TURBINE:ANALYSIS OF CAUSES AND SOLUTION .............................12 Pierre-Yves Lowys, Marcelo Aquino, Ricardo Andrade, Joaquim Eduardo Pereira PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT........................................................................16 Regina Mambeli Barros, Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho, Marcelo daige Prado Leite, Ivan Felipe Silva dos Santos, Fernando das Graças Braga da Silva, Jéssica dos Santos IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES............................................. 24 Importância da modelagem do Tubo de Sucção em simulações numéricas de turbinashidráulicas Mauricio Formaggio, Thi C. Vu, Christophe Devals, Ying Zhang, Bernd Nennemann, François Guibault ACTIONS AND INNOVATIONS IN DESIGN OF HPP RETIRO BAIXO ............................................................................................31 Thiago Villela Torquato, Gabriel Villela Torquato, Deborah Montenegro C.F. Albuquerque, Ana Alice Cesario TECHNICAL ARTICLES Technical Articles Seccion ARTIGOS TÉCNICOS STUDY OF PROCESS OF AMENDMENTS VULCANIZATION NITRILE RUBBER FOR SEALING VALVES USED IN BUTTERFLIES CONDUITS SHPS ..................................................................................................................35 Moisés Toigo, João Henrique Bagetti, Sergio Luis Marquezi IAHR DIVISION I: HYDRAULICS TECHNICAL COMMITTEE: HYDRAULIC MACHINERY AND SYSTEMS Classificação Qualis/Capes B5 B4 ENGENHARIAS I; III e IV Biodiversidade Interdisciplinar Áreas de: Recursos Hídricos Meio Ambiente Energias Renováveis e não Renováveis A revista está indexada no DOI sob o prefixo 10.14268 11 11 NOISE INDUCED BY KARMAN VORTICES IN A 7 MW FRANCIS TURBINE: ANALYSIS OF CAUSES AND SOLUTION NOISE INDUCED BY KARMAN VORTICES IN A 7 MW FRANCIS TURBINE:ANALYSIS OF CAUSES AND SOLUTION Pierre-Yves Lowys 2 Marcelo Aquino 3 Ricardo Andrade 4 Joaquim Eduardo Pereira 1 ABSTRACT The main structural parts of hydraulic turbines are designed according to specific criteria in order to avoid resonance of natural modes with possible excitation sources. For major parts such as runner blades or stay vanes, more accurate approaches could complete these design rules, like numerical fluid-structure calculation or experimental tests. For some phenomena like vortex shedding, determining the real dynamic load and the response of the structure is not an easy task as the physics is complex and still difficult to model precisely. To detail this kind of phenomena and the recent advances made with analysis tools, this paper focuses on the case of so-called Karman vortices known as one possible cause of resonance in hydraulic parts. It is illustrated by a case study of unexpected and noisy resonance observed on a Francis turbine. The “Special Measurement Team” developed by Alstom Brazil in Taubaté was involved to find the root cause of the problem by means of site tests on the prototype unit. The diagnostic of resonance phenomena was confirmed by numerical simulation of the part. It helped to define an efficient way to solve the problem without major production losses and without affecting the turbine performance levels. The feedback from this experience has been included in design rules to improve future projects of this nature that Alstom may need to research. KEYWORDS: Francis turbine, hydraulic, analysis tools 1. INTRODUCTION 2 horizontal Francis turbines with output of 8 MW each under 90 m of water head compose the power plant. It was commissioned successfully in 2005, but an abnormal high frequency acoustic noise was registered in the vicinity of both units. First investigations have allowed eliminating some basic hypothesis for the origin of the noise, but no easy way was found to locate its origin and remove it. The main turbine components have been periodically checked; thus even if it was not presenting any risk for the structural integrity, the noise was recognized as disturbing for the comfort of operation and it was important to resolve it for the global quality of the product. At this step, the only reliable fact was the hydraulic origin of the noise: It was for example observed that the noise disappeared for few hours just after introducing accidentally some “long” grass in the intake pipe of the units. After shutting down and restarting the unit, the noise came back as the machine was cleaned. This event allowed excluding non-hydraulic sources, like an electrical phenomenon from the electrical generator or a mechanical vibration of any auxiliary devices. The Picture 1 shows a typical spectrum analysis of the acoustic noise recorded near the turbine. It may be observed a principal frequency close to 3700 Hz at low load, and another one close to 2440 Hz at highest load. At partial load, both frequencies exist simultaneously. This behavior is most probably linked to the resonance of any structural part excited by the hydraulic flow passing through it. The variation of the hydraulic condition (speed, direction) and / or the mechanical properties of the structure (position, rigidity…) in relation to the load of the turbine could explain the modification of the frequencies versus the load. This preliminary diagnostic allowed focusing the investigations on the hydraulic parts of the turbine to find the origin of the phenomenon and the incriminated components. The objec- tive was obviously to avoid any unnecessary modification of the turbine without being certain of a positive result. 10% 50% 100% Fig. 1: Spectrum FFT of the acoustic noise with increasing outputs of the turbine 2. PRELIMINARY DIAGNOSTIC From experience, such kind of high frequency noise may be observed on hydraulic turbines in case of so called Karman resonance. Examples of occurrences are widely described in literature e.g. in [Ref. 2]. The formation of periodic Karman vortices could occur in the whole range of operation at the trailing edge of profiled components (valve body, stay vanes, guide vanes, runner blades, aeration tube…). We expect that the frequency fK of this phenomenon increases linearly with the flow velocity W according to: Alstom Alstom Alstom 4 Alstom Hydro France, 82 Léon Blum Avenue – PO Box 75 – Cedex 9, ZIP Code 38041 – Grenoble – France Brasil Energia e Transporte Ltda, Charles Schnneider – Pq Senhor do Bonfim, ZIP Code 12040-001 – Taubaté – SP – Brazil Brasil Energia e Transporte Ltda, Charles Schnneider – Pq Senhor do Bonfim, ZIP Code 12040-001 – Taubaté – SP – Brazil Brasil Energia e Transporte Ltda, Charles Schnneider – Pq Senhor do Bonfim, ZIP Code 12040-001 – Taubaté – SP – Brazil 12 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 12-15 1 2 3 TECHNICAL ARTICLES NOISE INDUCED BY KARMAN VORTICES IN A 7 MW FRANCIS TURBINE: ANALYSIS OF CAUSES AND SOLUTION Fk = St . W e [eq. 1] W is the flow velocity at the trailing edge, e is the wake thickness and St the so-called Strouhal number. Experimental studies have shown that the Strouhal dimensionless parameter is in the range of 0,22 to 0,25 for our kind of hydraulic shapes, in any case lower than 0,28 [Ref. 1]. Beyond the formation of Karman vortices that generally occurs in all the operation range of any turbine, it is known that significant amplitude of vibration will be only reach in case of resonance. Otherwise, the vortex shedding all along the profile doesn’t have a global coherency and won’t bring enough energy to the structure. But as soon as the displacement amplitude becomes sufficiently large, the structural displacement will control the fluid excitation leading to the so-called “lock-in” phenomenon. The vortex shedding frequency is therefore “locked” onto the structural eigen frequency over some velocity range [Ref. 4]. In other words, the vortex shedding frequency will not any more increase with the flow velocity as per [eq. 1], but will stay constant and equal to the involved natural frequency of the component. These theoretical aspects suggest comparing both excitation and natural frequencies in order to find out possible resonance. The Karman excitation frequency is estimated as peer [eq. 1]. For our purpose of diagnostic, we use the value of 0.24 as a realistic estimation of the Strouhal number (at design stage, one usually adopt the majoring value of 0.28 in order to keep Karman excitation frequencies safe below the first natural frequency). The result of the calculation of Karman frequencies is given in the Table 1. They are compared with estimated natural frequencies for each main component ( estimation s are in water through analytical formulas or finite elements calculation). and the surrounding water simulated by adding fluid elements. We obtained the confirmation that the 2 eigenmodes shown on Picture 2 may match with the noise frequency heard. For these mode shapes, the effect of added mass of water is a lowering of eigenfrequencies of about 12 % compared to the vibration in air. It is interesting to observe that both of them have the main displacement amplitude near to the trailing edge of the profile. In fact, this is a necessary condition for a natural mode to have a significant coupling with the Karman excitation. Fig. 2: mode shapes of the guide vane submerged in water 3. HYPOTHESIS CONFIRMED BY FIELD TEST 3.1.First indication: test of air injection. As far as the noise appears to be related to any hydraulic phenomenon, a simple test of air injection was first performed. It is known that a slight airflow could have a significant action on this hydraulic vibration. A temporary 12 bar compressor was used to 3 inject air in any high-pressure area of 2 the turbine. 1 Table 1: Estimated Excitation and natural frequencies of main structures. Stay vane Guide vane 4 Runner blades Velocity (at nominal output) [m/s] 9 19 9 Thickness [mm] 4 2 2 to 4 [Hz] 540 2300 540 to 1080 (*) Karman frequency Natural frequencies [Hz] 1565 (bending) 1710 (torsion) 260 (global rotation) 500 to 1300 1075 to 3510 (local (First 4) first 6) (*) A Donaldson type profile is used at the outlet of the blades and is known to cancel risk of Karman resonance. For this, the frequencies are given for information only. From this analytical approach, we suspect principally the guide vanes to be at the origin of the noise. At the contrary, the stay vanes appear with very low risk of resonance. The runner blades are designed with a Donaldson type profile at the outlet, which is from experience free of Karman resonance. In addition, the expected frequency if any (500 to 1000 Hz) should be much lower than the actual recorded noise (2440 and 3700 Hz). For these reasons, the blades were unlikely considered to be at the origin of the phenomenon. Thus the guide vanes were the most suspected source of the noise. To precise this hypothesis, a detailed calculation of natural frequencies has been done for the guide vanes using finite elements analysis. The guide vane was made of structural elements, 1: 2: 3: 4: intake pipe (high pressure tapes) through the spiral case (winter-kennedy tapes) through the head cover between stay-vanes and guide vanes through lower cover behind the runner band (low pressure side) Fig. 3: points of air injection The air was injected successively in 4 different locations shown on the Picture 3, in order to try to locate more precisely the structure involved in the noise generation. Unfortunately, the noise was clearly affected only by air injection in the intake pipe (at point 1) far upstream from the turbine. Injection in other locations did not show significant effect. It was supposed that the injection point in the spiral case (point 2) or in the head cover (point 3) was too close to the structure to achieve a good mix of the air in the water. In other term, HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 12-15 13 NOISE INDUCED BY KARMAN VORTICES IN A 7 MW FRANCIS TURBINE: ANALYSIS OF CAUSES AND SOLUTION the air stream coming from these locations could stay too close to the walls to affect significantly the stay vanes or the guide vanes. Only the runner blades may be excluded as reliable noise sources from this test. 3.2.Second indication: the range of apparition The amplitude of the main peaks of vibration at 2440 Hz and 3700 Hz is plotted against the turbine output on the Picture 4 (left). It can be seen that the range of apparition of the main phenomenon at 2440 Hz is wider than in the case of a common Karman resonance (Picture 4 on the right). Even if the resonance of this mode is forced to stay constant for a wider range of flow velocity through the “lock-in” phenomenon described above, we can’t explain that the noise amplitude stays almost constant above 30 % and up to 100 % of the load. At least if we suppose a proportional increase of the velocity with the load as it is the case around the stay vanes or the runner blades. In fact, if we consider the guide vanes, the flow velocity near the trailing edge does not significantly increase with the load, but is almost constant in a wide range of output. It is due to the link between the turbine discharge and the distributor opening. As a simplified approach, the increase of the passage section between two guide vanes compensates for the increase of the flow rate, keeping the velocity almost constant. left: as recorded on site (vibration level vs. turbine load) right: example of amplitude curve vs. upstream flow velocity. Source: [4] Fig 4: amplitude of the noise This observation let us to believe that the guide vanes were most probably at the origin of the phenomena because the constant flow velocity was compatible with the observed wide range of apparition of the noise. On the contrary, the stay vanes or the runner blades were unlikely concerned because the variation of the flow velocity with the output should have produced a more restricted resonance. 3.3.Last confirmation: temporary modification of the structure Fig. 5: temporary modification of the guide vane As far as the air injection test couldn’t fully confirm which structure was involved, one took advantage of a low production period of the power plant to perform a final test. Since the guide vanes were most probably at the origin of the noise, a temporary modification of the profile was carried out on them using a thin rubber sheet fixed by metallic braces as shown on the Picture 5. This device was intended to modify the wake thickness of the guide vane, while preventing any water leakage between during pressurization of the spiral case when the unit started up. Such modification has led to a complete vanishing of the noise, proving definitively that the guide vanes were at the origin of it. 4. FINAL SOLUTION As far as the Karman vortices are generated at the outlet edge of the profile, we studied different possible solutions to modify this part of the guide vanes. A comparative summary of main alternatives is given in the Table 2. A common solution to solve Karman vibration is to sharpen the outlet edge of the profile (see for example [Ref. 2]). The reduction of the thickness changes the frequency of the Karman vortices as per [eq. 1], but also reduces the amplitude of the excitation force [Ref. 3]. Due to some of the specificities of this project, the guide vanes outlet thickness was already lower than usual designs. Considering this fact and the impossibility to reduce further the outlet thickness, the proposed alternatives 1, 2 and 3 were based on increasing the trailing edge thickness, to decrease the excitation frequency below the first natural frequency of the profile according to equation [eq. 1]. Solution 4, almost not changing the thickness, is known to reduce the excitation amplitude of the vortices by smoothing the sharp angle at the outlet (similar to the Donaldson profile used on runner blade outlet). The efficiency of the solution 5 to eliminate the noise was proven during the preliminary diagnostic test with air injection, but would have needed maintenance after implementation. Because of its high simplicity, the retained solution was to perform a local modification of the outlet edge by smoothing the sharp angle on one side of each guide vane (solution 4). A good access to the distributor was achieved by dismantling the runner. Around one gram of metal per guide vane was removed by a fine manual grinding (see Picture 6). This operation had the main advantages to avoid dismantling of the distributor, to present no risk of structural deformation, and last but not least to have no effect on the global hydraulic performances of the turbines (efficiency, output). Guide vane with rubber Stay vane Access from the runner side Detail of the grinding Fig. 6: detail of the guide vane modification After manual grinding of the first unit, a slight noise at 2440 Hz was still audible over a reduced range around 60 % output. In order to avoid a new dismantling of the runner, a vibration measurement was performed on each guide vane trunnion with an acceleration sensor and allowed to locate precisely guide vane #11 still vibrating (see Picture 7). Thanks to this finding, an im- 14 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 12-15 NOISE INDUCED BY KARMAN VORTICES IN A 7 MW FRANCIS TURBINE: ANALYSIS OF CAUSES AND SOLUTION Table 2: possible solutions to remove the noise from the guide vanes. Type of modification Scheme 1- N ew set of guide vanes with increased outlet thickness Advantages Reference solution 2- C hange completely the outlet edge (cutting and welding) Risks and/or disadvantages -T otal cost and delay -S top time of the unit (dismantling the distributor) -D eformation of the profile after welding - Stop time of the unit (dismantling the distributor) Lower delay 3- L ocal modification of the outlet edge (welded or bolted piece) Very short delay, Lower stop time 4- L ocal modification of the outlet edge (grinding) - Uncertain result Simplicity, Very short delay, Lower stop time 5- Air injection in the penstock No stop time, Proven result proved manual grinding was performed from the inner side of the spiral case through the stay vanes, without dismantling the runner and in a very short time. The complete vanishing of the vibration was proven thanks to a final measurement (Picture 8). e frequ ency -D eformation of the guide vane after welding - Modification of hydraulic performances - Not suitable for long term operation e id gu n va After first round of grinding After final grinding on guide vane #11 Fig. 7: vibration level on guide vane trunnions after first and second round of grinding (amplitude versus frequency and guide vane number) - Cost of operation and maintenance (compressor) way to find out the origin of the phenomenon and to implement a solution. The slight modification performed on the outlet edges of the guide vanes led to completely eliminate both the vibration and the noise generated at the turbine. In this case, the sharp angle at the outlet edge associated with the low thickness generated vortices of high frequency with enough energy to induce resonance with a natural modes of the structure. The complete and reliable diagnostic was achieved thanks to complementary approaches involving both theoretical and numerical calculation, and specialized site measurements. This is a typical advantage of the Special Measurement Team created at Alstom Brazilian unit in Taubate. Such team offers a large range of measurements and diagnostic capabilities, associated with a tight proximity to the local market. This proximity allows Alstom to understand the customer necessities related to any particular machine, to measure and to analyze several operation conditions, to compare both experimental and theoretical approaches and at the end to provide the more appropriate and accurate technical solution. All of this generates a high efficiency to perform quick and efficient troubleshooting, to reduce the time of non-availability and finally to increase the reliability of the generating units. 6. REFERENCES frequ ency Before modification ut tp ou After modification Fig. 8: noise level before and after final modification of the guide vanes outlet (amplitude versus frequency and turbine output) 5. CONCLUSION In most cases the guide vanes are not concerned by such risk of resonance, contrary to the stay vanes or the runner blades where similar facts were related and addressed through specific studies. This case study has shown step by step the • [1] JL. Deniau, 1996, “Study of stay vane vibration by hydroelastic model”, 18th. IAHR Symposium on Hydraulic Machinery and Cavitation, Valencia, Spain. • [2] Papillon, Brooks, Deniau, Sabourin, 2006, “Solving the guide vane vibration problem at Shasta”, Hydrovision 2006, Portland Oregon, USA. • [3] Mazzouji, Segoufin, Lowys, Deniau, 2006, “Investigation of unsteadyness in hydraulic turbines”, 23th. IAHR Symposium on Hydraulic Machinery and Cavitation, Yokohama, Japan. • [4] Ausoni, Farhat, Escaler, Avellan, 2006, “Cavitation in Karman Vortices and flow induced vibration”, 6th. International Symposium on cavitation CAV2006, Wageningen, Netherlands. HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 12-15 15 ARTIGOS TÉCNICOS PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT Regina Mambeli Barros Geraldo Lúcio Tiago Filho 3 Marcelo daige Prado Leite 4 Ivan Felipe Silva dos Santos 5 Fernando das Graças Braga da Silva 6 Jéssica dos Santos 1 2 ABSTRACT In a hydropower plant (CH) design, as is the case of Small Hydro Power (SHP) and micro-hydro (μCHs), the accurate calculation of extreme flows, based on a series of data provides a better assessment of the available energy in the CH project. The present study aimed to evaluate the uncertainties in the prediction of flood and minimum flows, as well as about the theoretical probability distributions commonly used for the calculations of these extreme flows. For this purpose, the statistical analysis were performed by using the Computational Software System for Hydrological Analysis, Siscah® 1.0, developed by the Research Group of Water Resources, of Federal University of Viçosa (GPRH / UFV), for two stations fluviometric: with small averages values of discharges (Fazenda da Guarda; Code 61.25 million) and large average values of discharges (Paraíba do Sul RN; Code 58380001). Regarding to the minimum flows, it is necessary to subtract from the design flow, the value of environmental or health flow. In some Brazilian states, this flow for maintenance of biota is defined based on number of minimum flows, like the q7, 10. For flood flows, we used the Log-Normal distributions II, log-Pearson III, Gumbel and Pearson III. For this latest, two scenarios were considered for obtaining the partial series, as proposed by Chaudhry [4]. Based on these results, it was conclude about the hydrological uncertainties mentioned by Serinald (2009), namely: natural or inherent uncertainty due to the stochastic representation of natural conditions with the randomness and complexity inherent to them; model uncertainties, and uncertainties statistics on the estimated parameters. It was confirmed as according to described by Serinald (2009), the statistical uncertainty, related to the estimated parameter and which can be minimized by increasing the sample size. There was even a reversal from the 10-years returning time, for which the values of the Gumbel distribution for the partial series (Scenario 2 and Scenario 4), began to be less than for the total series (Scenario 1 and scenario 3). KEYWORDS: Small Hydro Power, Minimum Flow, Floods stream flows, Instalated Power. 1. INTRODUCTION There is a great resurgence in interest at world level about the development of small hydroelectric systems. Increasing is primarily driven by the belief that such systems, which include mini, micro and pica systems, are a source of clean energy with little or no adverse impact on the environment [1, 12]. Regarding to the Small Hydropower (SHP), their dimensioning is a very critical point, since it affects not only just the return of investment, but also the maximum exploitation of hydro potential and performance obtained by hydroelectric plant [8, 13]. In the projects for sanitation or hydraulic designs, there are more restrictive expectations regarding the security than those flood or drought observed, requiring inferences beyond observation. In other words, extrapolation has been required. The best way to extrapolate the empirical probabilities is by using the model probabilities, appropriate to this phenomenon under discussion [4]. The design of the SHP capacity is closely linked to the discharge availability and is based on the flow duration curve analysis, which is constructed from records of the flow historical series or is processed by probabilistic methods or prediction [4, 7 and 8]. A flow duration curve is one of the most informative for displaying the full range of river discharges, for events from reduced flows to flooding. It is a relationship between a given flow value and the percentage of time that this discharge is equaled or exceeded, or in other words, the relationship between the magnitude and frequency of discharges [10]. The flow range available onsite, Q, is included between the Maximum Flow which flows for at least 1 day per year (Qmax) and the Minimum Flow, which flows on site (Qmin), according to Equation (1) according to Santolini et al. [8]. Qmin < Q < Qmax (1) 1.1 Minimum discharges The discharge provided by Equation (1) cannot be fully exploited, since it is established by Brazilian law that a Sanitary or Environmental Discharge should be downstream released for ecosystem maintenance purposes, regarding the existing conditions before the SHP construction. Therefore, the discharge exploitable variation is effectively obtained from the discharge duration curve after being subtracted this Sanitary or Environmental Discharge [9, 11, 12]. The average of annual average-minimum discharge series of 7-days at least, is known as Dry Weather Discharge. The 7-day period, which is covered by the 7-day Average Annual Minimum Discharge, eliminates the daily variations in the component artificial river discharge. In addition, an analysis based on a time series of average discharges of 7 days is less sensitive to mea- 1 Civil Engineer, Phd. and Masters from PPG-SHS/EESC/USP, Phd. Professor - IRN/ UNIFEI/ National Reference Center in Small Hydro Power, Av.BPS, 1303, Itajubá-MG, CEP: 37500-903, tel.:(35) 36291224, [email protected] 2 Mechanical Engineer, Phd. in Hydraulic Systems from USP and Masters in Mechanical Engineering in Flow Machines from UNIFEI, Director and Phd. Professor - IRN/ UNIFEI/ National Reference Center in Small Hydro Power, Av. BPS, 1303, Itajubá-MG, CEP: 37500-903, tel.: (35) 36291454, fax: (35) 36291265, [email protected] 3 Master student in Energy Engineering and Mechanical Engineering from Federal University of Itajubá, National Reference Center in Small Hydro Power, [email protected] Student in Hydraulic Engineering from Federal University of Itajubá, [email protected] 4 Civil Engineer, Phd. and Masters from PPG-SHS/EESC/USP, Phd. Professor - IRN/ UNIFEI/ National Reference Center in Small Hydro Power, Av.BPS, 1303, Itajubá-MG, CEP: 37500-903, tel.:(35) 36291485, [email protected] 5 Student in Hydraulic Engineering from Federal University of Itajubá, [email protected] 16 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT TECHNICAL ARTICLES surement errors. At the same time, in most cases there is no great difference between 1-day and 7-day minimum discharges. Frequency analyses of minimum discharges are part of the frequency analysis of extreme events and, as such, are covered in many books of classical statistical [10]. In Brazil, in a number of States, Sanitary or Environmental Discharge is obtained from the lowest minimum average discharge calculated for 7-days of permanence and 10-years of recurrence period (or Returning Time), e.g., the q7, 10 [11, 12]. Therefore, q7, 10 is obtained by processing probabilistic methods for the series of data discharge, such as the Weibull distribution [4, 7]. Hence, the design turbinable discharge, Q, should be adequately selected within the range of available discharge-site (Equation 2) [7]. (2) Where: E is the energy resulting from P (t), which is the power obtained by the turbine; ρg is the water density; Q(t) is the discharge; h is the effective head (fall) (disregarding head losses); ηhid is the hydraulic efficiency (dependent on the type of turbine and discharge); ηmec and ηele are the mechanical and electrical efficiency, respectively, both assumed to be constant and equal to 0.96 and 0.94, also, respectively. 1.2.Maximum discharges The flooding design (or design event) is the discharge value to be attributed and is corresponding to a high probability of nonexceedance, generally expressed in terms of returning time, TR [5, 6 and 7]. The maximum flooding discharges are calculated for the design of civil works, such as the spillways and cofferdams for Small Hydro Power (SHP), and the data series used for its determination is constituted by the annual maximum discharges series (Souza et al. [11]). When taking into account the criteria of Eletrobras [3], in order to design the deviation works of dams are recommended: embankment dam (TR, 100 years), rock-fill dam (TR, 50 years), and concrete dam (TR, 25 years). Estimation of discharge design based on fluviometric stations data requires the selection and parameterization of a proper probabilistic model. Various probability distributions have been considered in studies of a number of authors [5, 9, 12, 13 and 14], in different situations, for this purpose. Typical examples include the Gumbel distribution, as well as a Gamma distribution, and many others, less commonly used. Souza et al. [11] mentioned that Gumbell and log-Pearson III distributions are widely used, since it is available a track record of over 10 years of extreme discharge to be evaluated. Regarding to the use of normal distribution, it is mentioned that this transformation requires a data series (normalization). In addition, these transformations are not always able to ensure that the transformed series follow a normal distribution (Jain and Singh, 1986 apud Yue et al. [14]). In practice, extreme events such as peaks and volumes of flooding can often be approximated and represented by a Gumbel distribution (Gumbel, 1958 cited Yue et al [14].) Basically, there are two different paths to a flooding analysis problem. One of them corresponds to series of annual discharge (streamflow annual flood series, AFS), and another series of partial discharge (streamflow partial duration series, PDS). Todorovic [13] evaluated three stochastic models based on of flooding discharges PDS. Each model depends on certain assumptions regarding to properties of exceedance of a base level x0. Todorovic [13] obtained good agreement between the theoretical and observed distributions, showing that assumptions about the exceedances are not too restrictive. Concerning to the series partial flow, Righetto [6] emphasized that these are very useful for the characterization of the floods. A partial series is obtained from observed discharges, considering only those that exceed a given reference value (Rasmussen and Rosbjerg, 1989 apud Righetto [6]). Therefore, after a value being fixed for the flooding discharge reference, Qr, it must be taken only the discharges observed with values greater than Qr. In hydrology and other fields of study, the parameter of interest is often a given quantil, namely: for example, the 0.990 quantil of the annual flooding distribution, with a value corresponding to 100-years returning time (Stedinger, 1983 apud Serinald [9]). It is always necessary to assess the type of uncertainty considered in a given study. In statistical analysis, the uncertainty sources are normally grouped into three main categories: [9]: i.natural or inherent uncertainty, which is the randomness and complexity of the natural process, which cannot be reduced in any way; ii. statistical uncertainty, which is related to the estimated parameter and can be minimized by increasing the sample size; and iii.model uncertainty, which depends on the selection of the statistical or physical model. It cannot be reduced by the addition of information (eg, sample size), but only by increasing the knowledge of the process, and the adoption of more complex models. Righetto [8] warned that regarding the magnitude of flooding, despite its assessment with reliability to be very important, the probable errors of judgment compromise far fewer the calculations to determine the distribution of peak discharge, due to the small variability of discharges for large returning time. However, errors of judgment to the date of occurrence can seriously compromise the reliability of the frequency distribution of flooding. 2. METHODOLOGY In order to evaluate the number of daily-discharges averages along N-years of observation were set the theoretical probability distributions described as follows, by using the use of Computational System for Hydrological Analysis (Sistema Computacional para Análises Hidrológicas, in Portuguese), Siscah® 1.0 software, from Group for Research of Water Resources of the Federal University of Viçosa (GPRH/UFV) [6]. The following stations were used: Fazenda da Guarda (Code 61250000) and Paraíba do Sul RN (Code 5838001). The hydrological year started in October, as recommended by Souza et al. [11]. Due to the failures presence, the following data were discarded from the series (Station Code 61250000): between September/1934 to June September/1935, August to December/1965, May/December 1989, January and February/2000, February 2001, April to May/2003, and finally, from July to December/2003. Regarding the Station Code 58380001, were discarded periods between January and October/1972, April 1987, and finally in December/1987. 2.1. Minimum discharges With regard to the minimum discharges and for comparative purposes, theoretical probability distributions were adjusted, namely: Weibull, Log-Pearson III and Pearson III distributions. HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 17 ARTIGOS TÉCNICOS PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT r = 100 . [1– (1 – P)N ] (%) 2.2. Maximum discharges In order to estimate the maximum discharges, the type II, log-Pearson III, Gumbel and Pearson III Log-Normal distributions were used, by using the Siscah® 1.0 software (GPRH/UFV [7]), based on the aforementioned methodology, as well as for stationary analysis. Subsequently, for the Gumbel distribution two scenarios for obtaining the partial series were considered, by developing in a Microsoft® Excell® spreadsheet based on equation as proposed by Chaudhry [4]: • Station Code 61250000: Qr = 5.04 m3/s e Qr = 10.06 m3/s; and • Station Code 58380001: Qr = 348.6 m3/s e Qr = 516.0 m3/s; 2.3. Gumbel distribution It was developed a Microsoft® Excell® spreadsheet based on equation as proposed by Chaudhry [4] and according to is given by Equations (25) to (27) (25) (26) (27) Ou –ln[–ln(1 – P)] = b Where: X is the annual maximum flooding average and, σ is the standard deviation of annual maximum flooding. A comparison between the theoretical line and empirical values of probability versus discharge demonstrates the model adequacy and also the convenience of using the theoretical line for obtaining the flooding corresponding to the returning time for the project [4]. (30) Where: r: risk of occurs in the N-years coming, at least once Also, in possession of the Gumbel distributions values for scenarios 1 to 4, it was possible to correlate the returning times (TR) with respective discharges (Qr) for all scenarios, including the discharges of interest for SHP works, e.g., the risk values in all scenarios (1 to 4): for 2-, 50-, 100- and 1000- N (Souza et al. [11]), as follows: • A nalysis of the N = 100 and TR = 10000 years, for jumpable permanent works in CGH; • Analysis of the N = 50 and TR = 500 years, for jumpable works as permanent concrete dam, and • Analysis of the N = 50 and TR = 1000 years for no permanent jumpable works as embankment dam. The series of average maximum discharges, Qmax,m (m3/s), were obtained from historical data available on the web site of HIDROWEB® the Brazilian National Water Agency (Agência Nacional de Águas, ANA; in Portuguese). 3. RESULTS AND ANALYSIS 3.1 Distributions and confidence intervals The values of maximum discharges for distributions studied, as well as the values of their parameters, standard errors, confidence intervals, variance and asymmetry coefficient are presented in Tables 1 and 2 and Figures 1 and 2. The calculated value of long-term average flow, QMLT was 3.7246 m³/s and 155.1709 m³/s, respectively for stations 61250000 and 58380001. 2.3. Sensitivity analysis of the partial series As previously mentioned, a series was obtained from the partial discharges observed by considering only those that exceeded a certain reference value (Rosbjerg and Rasmussen, 1989 apud Righetto [7]). Thereby, were fixed two values for discharge, respectively for two studied scenarios (Scenario 1 and Scenario 2) for the flooding reference discharge, Qr, and only the flows observed with values greater than Qr (Equation 28) were taken. Reference discharges were taken by observing what was described by Righetto [7], wherein these must be sufficiently high so that the flooding events may be considered independent. Such a comparison has already been proposed in Chaudhry [4]. ξ(s) = max[0;Q(s)-Qr)], if [0,t] FIG. 1: Maximum Flow Estimative for 10-years Returning Time for Station Code 61250000 (28) • Station Code 61250000: Q r = 5.04 m3/s (Scenario 1) e Qr = 10.06 m3/s (Scenario 2); e • Sation Code 58380001: Q r = 348.6 m3/s (Scenario 3) e Qr = 516.0 m3/s (Scenario 4); 2.4. Calculation of discharges with typical returning times of hydraulic structures (SHP) Probability (Equation 29) and risk (Equation 30) were calculated, according to the methodology proposed by Souza et al. [11]. (29) Where: P: the flooding maximum (or minimum) discharge occurrence probability, at least once, in a future period equal to the returning time TR passed; 18 FIG. 2: Maximum Flow Estimative for 10-years Returning Time for Station Code 58380001 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT TECHNICAL ARTICLES TABLE 1: Values of interest from the statistical analysis and regarding to maximum discharges for Station Code 61250000 Distribution Sup. Inf. conficonfistanEvent dence dence dard (m³/s) intervals intervals errors (95%) (95%) Alfa Beta Gama Avarege Variance asymmetry Number of events Standard deviation Amplitude of the confiError dence interval Gumbel 39.6 34.98 30.4 2.34 0.15 18.47 0.0 22.4 76.99 0.29 8.77 9.15 0.0 Pearson 3 37.2 33.93 30.6 1.68 1.50 34.55 -29.2 22.4 76.99 0.34 8.77 6.57 0.0 -0.19 5.342 4.0 Logpearson 3 44.5 37.15 29.8 3.75 3.02 0.20 0.87 0.44 14.68 0.0 Lognormal 2 38.3 33.87 29.4 2.28 22.4 76.99 0.29 69 8.77 8.94 0.0 Lognormal 3 37.1 33.88 30.7 1.64 22.4 76.99 0.29 8.77 6.42 0.0 TABLE 2: Values of interest from the statistical analysis and regarding to maximum discharges for Station Code 58380001 Distribution Sup. Inf. conficonfistanEvent dence dence dard (m³/s) intervals intervals errors (95%) (95%) Alfa Beta Gumbel 1511 1291.0 1071 112 0.0 736.7 Pearson 3 1380 1230.3 1081 76 40.7 47.5 -0.1 7.3 asymmetry Standard deviation Amplitude of the confidence interval Gama 0.0 863.1 78780.8 0.2 280.7 440.7 0 -1071.7 863.1 78780.8 0.3 280.7 297.8 0 7.7 Variance Number of events Avarege Distribution Logpearson 3 1585 1302.7 1021 144 6.7 0.1 0.7 0.4 564.2 0 Lognormal 2 1424 1232.3 1041 987 863.1 78780.8 0.2 280.7 383.1 0 Lognormal 3 1372 1228.3 1084 73 863.1 78780.8 0.2 280.7 287.8 0 It is observed from Tables 1 and 2 that the values of the sampling asymmetries were resulted less than 1.5 in all distributions, as recommended in BRAZILIAN CENTRAL ELECTRIC S.A. [4]. It was also found that the largest values of peak discharges for flooding-theoretical-probability values, resulted for Gumbel and LogPearson III distributions. For values of 10-years returning period, TR, (Station Code 61250000), Gumbel and Log-Pearson III distributions values were respectively 34.98 m3/s and 33.93 m3/s. Regarding the station code 58380001, the largest values obtained for peak discharges were also obtained by the Gumbel and Log-Pearson III distributions, which resulted in respectively 1,291.0 m3/s and 1,302.7m3/s. These discrepancies corroborate the recommended by Serinald [9] concerning the model uncertainty. Such uncertainties are due to the choice of the statistical model or physical. It cannot be recovered by the addition of information (such as the sample size), but only by increasing the knowledge of the process, and the adoption of more complex models. 3.2. Gumbel distribution and sensitivity analysis of partial series The graphs of Figures 3 and 4 show the values obtained from analysis of the Gumbel distribution for both scenarios as follows: scenario 1 (Qr = 5 . 4 m3/s) and Scenario 2 (Qr = 10 . 6 m3/s). They present the estimated events by Gumbel distribution relating to returning time. Concerning the series of partial discharge, as can be observed in the graphs of Figures 3 and 4, values of the frequency curve by the method of Gumbel range especially for larger values of returning time in these distributions. Furthermore, as shown in Table 3 for a 10-years TR and the risk of 19.00%, scenario 1 has presented a value of 33.9m3/s and scenario 2 has shown a discharge value of 34.0 m3/s. This difference accounted for 0:55% between these two scenarios (2 33 Error 28481 and 1). For deviation works in SHP, this difference would be not significant. For a 500-years TR and a risk of 9:53%, scenario 1 has presented a discharge value of 61.0 m3/s and scenario 2 of 58.9 m3/s. This difference has represented -3.42% between these two scenarios 2 and 1. For jumpable permanent works as concrete dams, the differences were becoming a slight larger. For a 1000-years TR and a risk of 4.88%, scenario 1 has presented a discharge value of 65.7 m3/s and scenario 2 of 63.2m3/s. This difference has represented -3.78% between these two scenarios (2 and 1). Finally, for 10,000-years TR and a risk of 1.00%, scenario 1 has presented a discharge value of 81.5 m3/s and scenario 2 of 77.7m3/s. This difference has represented -4.67% between these two scenarios (2 and 1). In addition, according to the presented in Table 4 - also for 10-years TR and the risk of 19.00% -, scenario 3 has showed a discharge value of 1,229.2 m3/s and scenario 4 of 1,232.2 m3/s. This difference accounted for 0:24% between 4 and 3 scenarios. For deviation works in SHP, this difference could be considered as not significant. For a 500-years TR and risk of 9:53%, scenario 3 has presented a discharge value of 2,096,6 m3/s and scenario 4 of 2,031.7 m3/s. This difference has represented -3.09% between 4 and 3 scenarios. In this case also, for jumpable permanent works as concrete dams, the differences were becoming a slight larger. For a 1000-years TR and risk of 4.88%, scenario 3 has presented a discharge value of 2,248.4 m3/s and scenario 4 of 2,171.6 m3/s. This difference has represented -3.41% between 4 and 3 scenarios. Finally, for 10,000-years TR and risk of 1.00%, scenario 3 has presented a discharge value of 2,752.4 m3/s and scenario 4 of 2,636.2 m3/s. This difference has represented -4.22% between 4 and 3 scenarios. These values corroborate what was described by Serinald [9] regarding to the statistical uncertainty, especially those related to the estimated parameter being able to be minimized by increasing the sample size. HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 19 PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT FIG. 3: Gumbel distribution for Scenarios 1 and 2, regarding to the returning time (Station Code 61250000) FIG. 4: Gumbel distribution for Scenarios 3 and 4, regarding to the returning time (Station Code 58380001) TABLE 3: Interesting values from Gumbel distribution for Station Code 61250000 T QT (Scenario 1) QT (Scenario 2) / years m3/s m3/s QTScen2-Scen1/ QTScen1 Risk (N=2) % Risk (N=50) % Risk (N=100) % Risk (N=1000) % 1.01 8.0 10.4 29.39 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 1.6 18.6 20.1 7.87 85.94 100.00 100.00 100.00 1.8 19.9 21.3 6.81 80.25 100.00 100.00 100.00 2.0 21.0 22.2 6.03 75.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 2.6 23.4 24.5 4.53 62.13 100.00 100.00 100.00 2.8 24.1 25.1 4.19 58.67 100.00 100.00 100.00 3.0 24.6 25.6 3.89 55.56 100.00 100.00 100.00 4.0 27.0 27.8 2.82 43.75 100.00 100.00 100.00 5.0 28.7 29.3 2.14 36.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 6.0 30.1 30.6 1.66 30.56 99.99 100.00 100.00 7.0 31.3 31.7 1.29 26.53 99.96 100.00 100.00 8.0 32.2 32.6 0.99 23.44 99.87 100.00 100.00 9.0 33.1 33.4 0.75 20.99 99.72 100.00 100.00 10.0 33.9 34.0 0.55 19.00 99.48 100.00 100.00 25 40.4 40.0 -0.89 7.84 87.01 98.31 100.00 50 45.2 44.4 -1.69 3.96 63.58 86.74 100.00 100 49.9 48.8 -2.33 1.99 39.50 63.40 100.00 250 56.2 54.5 -3.01 0.80 18.16 33.02 98.18 500 61.0 58.9 -3.42 0.40 9.53 18.14 86.49 1000 65.7 63.2 -3.78 0.20 4.88 9.52 63.23 10.000 81.5 77.7 -4.67 0.02 0.50 1.00 9.52 Risk (N=100) Risk (N=1000) TABLE 4: Interesting values from Gumbel distribution for Station Code 58380001 T QT (Scenario 1) QT (Scenario 2) / years m3/s m3/s 1.01 20 402.1 469.7 QTScen2-Scen1/ QTScen1 Risk (N=2) % 16.84 99.99 Risk (N=50) % % 100.00 100.00 % 100.00 1.6 741.0 782.2 5.56 85.94 100.00 100.00 100.00 1.8 782.6 820.5 4.85 80.25 100.00 100.00 100.00 2.0 816.9 852.2 4.31 75.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 2.6 894.9 924.0 3.26 62.13 100.00 100.00 100.00 2.8 915.5 943.0 3.01 58.67 100.00 100.00 100.00 3.0 934.3 960.3 2.79 55.56 100.00 100.00 100.00 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT TABLE 4: Interesting values from Gumbel distribution for Station Code 58380001 (Scenario 1) QT QT (Scenario 2) / m3/s m3/s 4.0 1,009.4 1,029.6 2.00 43.75 100.00 100.00 100.00 5.0 1,065.0 1,080.8 1.49 36.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 6.0 1,109.2 1,121.6 1.12 30.56 99.99 100.00 100.00 7.0 1,145.9 1,155.4 0.83 26.53 99.96 100.00 100.00 8.0 1,177.4 1,184.4 0.60 23.44 99.87 100.00 100.00 9.0 1,204.8 1,209.7 0.41 20.99 99.72 100.00 100.00 10.0 1,229.2 1,232.2 0.24 19.00 99.48 100.00 100.00 25 1,436.7 1,423.5 -0.92 7.84 87.01 98.31 100.00 50 1,590.7 1,565.4 -1.59 3.96 63.58 86.74 100.00 100 1,743.5 1,706.2 -2.14 1.99 39.50 63.40 100.00 250 1,944.6 1,891.6 -2.73 0.80 18.16 33.02 98.18 500 2,096.6 2,031.7 -3.09 0.40 9.53 18.14 86.49 1000 2,248.4 2,171.6 -3.41 0.20 4.88 9.52 63.23 10000 2,752.4 2,636.2 -4.22 0.02 0.50 1.00 9.52 T years QTScen2-Scen1/ QTScen1 Risk (N=2) Risk (N=50) Risk (N=100) Risk (N=1000) % % % % TABLE 5: Parameters of the different statistical distributions for q7,10 at the Station Code 61250000 Distribution Sup. Inf. conficonfistanEvent dence dence dard (m³/s) intervals intervals errors (95%) (95%) Alfa Beta Gama Avarege Variance asymmetry Weibull 1.017 0.868 0.718 0.076 5.258 1.595 -0.494 1.430 0.177 -0.296 Pearson 3 1.032 0.874 0.715 0.081 0.072 34.726 -1.068 1.430 0.180 -0.339 Number of events Standard deviation Amplitude of the confiError dence interval 8.77 9.15 0.0 0.424 0.32 0 69 Logpearson 3 1.006 0.933 0.859 0.037 Lognormal 2 1.050 0.945 0.840 0.054 -0.231 2.319 0.839 0.304 0.124 1.313 0.352 0.15 0 1.430 0.180 -0.289 0.424 0.21 0 Note: With respect to the Lognormal III distribution, the asymmetry coefficient resulted in less than zero, therefore no possible solution by using the method of moments. TABLE 6: Parameters of the different statistical distributions for q7,10 at the Station Code 58380001 Distribution Sup. Inf. conficonfistanEvent dence dence dard (m³/s) intervals intervals errors (95%) (95%) Alfa Beta Gama Avarege Variance asymmetry Weibull 49.8 38.3 26.9 5.8 5.5 76.5 -37.5 67.7 483.9 -0.3 Pearson 3 50.8 38.3 25.8 6.4 4.8 21.3 -35.4 67.7 499.1 -0.4 Number of events Standard deviation Amplitude of the confiError dence interval 22.0 22.9 0 22.3 25.0 0 33 Logpearson 3 47.1 41.7 36.3 2.8 Lognormal 2 50.6 42.6 34.7 4.1 -0.3 1.8 4.7 4.1 0.2 1.5 0.4 10.8 0 67.7 499.1 -0.3 22.3 15.9 0 Note: With respect to the Lognormal III distribution, the asymmetry coefficient resulted in less than zero, therefore no possible solution by using the method of moments. HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 21 PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT 3.3. Minimum discharges The simulation results by using Siscah® 1.0 (GPRH / UFV) [6], the minimum discharges and in particular, the q7, 10, to the stations under study (Code 6125000 and 58380001) consist of the statistical distribution shown in the graph of Figure 5 and Table 5, as well as Figure 6 and Table 6. m3/s. Finally, with respect to the log-normal distribution, this value resulted in 42.6 m3/s. Long-term average discharge, Qmlt, resulted in 155.1709 m3/s for this station (Code 58380001). Therefore, after subtracting these percentages (70% times q7,10 ) from Qmlt, would result in 26.842 m3/s, 26.809 m3/s, 29.194 m3/s e 29.836 m3/s values for turbinable discharge, taking into account respectively the Weibull, LogPearson III, Pearson III e LogNormal II distributions. These sanitary discharge values deducted from long-term average discharge, by applying Equation 2 and assuming a net head of 10m, would result in Powers values as 11.349MW, 11.352MW, 11.141MW and 11.084kW. Consequently, for the case study of lower discharges, it is possible that such differences may be more significant. 4. FINAL CONSIDERATIONS Fig. 5: Statistical distributions obtained from simulation of minimum discharges for Station Code 6125000 Fig. 6: Statistical distributions obtained from simulation of minimum discharges for Station Code 58380001 It can be observed from the graphs of Figures 4 and 5, as well as from Tables 5 and 6 that different statistical distributions provide different minimum-7-day discharges values from distributions, especially when considering the magnitude of the confidence intervals. This may be noted in Table 5, regarding to q7,10, for which the Weibull distribution has resulted in 0.868 m3/s. LogPearson III and Pearson III distributions resulted respectively 0.874 m3/s and 0.933 m3/s. Finally, with respect to the Lognormal distribution, this value resulted in 0.945 m3/s. For this station (Code 58380001), which long-term average discharge, Qmlt, has resulted in 3.7246 m3/s. For example, in Minas Gerais, sanitary discharge is 70% of q7, 10; therefore by subtracting of that percentage of Qmlt, would result values of 3.117 m3/s, 3.113 m3/s, 3.072 m3/s and 3.063 m3/s taking into account respectively the Weibull, LogPearson III, Pearson III and LogNormal II distributions. Such sanitary discharge values deducted from long-term average discharge, by applying Equation 2 and assuming 10m as net head, 275.67kW, 275.31kW, 271.64kW and 570.89kW of Powers values would result. Furthermore, in Table 6, the q7,10 value for Weibull distribution has resulted in 38.3m3/s. LogPearson III and Pearson III distributions have resulted respectively in 38.3 m3/s and 41.7 22 In the present study, different statistical distributions of a data series of extreme discharges for two stations case studies (Code 61250000 and Code 58380001) in Brazil were evaluated, taking into account average discharges whether of lower and higher values: Qmlt of 3.7246 m³/s and 155.1709 m³/s, respectively for stations code 61250000 and 58380001. There were some distinctions about the values of minimum discharges, which could in this case study, change an SHP Installed Capacity and especially considering a μCH. However, it should be considered that uncertainties are implicit in statistical analyzes and such uncertainties in a confidence interval of 95% (upper and lower) may guide to a greater range of simulated event, which could affect the calculation of the power in a plant design in some particular cases, especially for those with small discharge, sometimes making it financial unfeasible, or large, with considerable losses in a discharge of design. Some distinctions were observed concerning the accurate values of minimum discharges, which could in this case study, change an Installed Capacity for SHP and especially for a μCH project. However, it should be considered that uncertainties are comprehended in statistical analyzes as well as such uncertainties in a confidence interval of 95% (upper and lower) can lead to a greater range of simulated event, which could affect the calculation of the power plant in some particular cases, especially for those with small discharge, even making it financial unfeasible, or in case of large discharges, with considerable losses of instalated power. The present study also aimed to evaluate, by using the statistical analysis of these two aforementioned fluviometric stations, as well as the inherent uncertainties in forecasting flooding discharges and theoretical probability distributions which are commonly used. With the results obtained, it was concluded and corroborated what was recommended by Serinald (2009) concerning the hydrological uncertainties. The first uncertainty, based on the analysis of the natural factors of river basin, i.e., local climatic conditions and the regional characteristics, and which have been aimed to be stochastically represented, consists on inherent or natural uncertainty, which represents the randomness and complexity of the natural process and cannot be reduced in any way. The uncertainties of the model, i.e., the discrepancies obtained from the results analysis of distributions corroborated what was recommended by Serinald [9] regarding the model uncertainty. Such uncertainty resides in the statistical model choice, which is not capable of be reduced by the information expansion, but only by increasing the knowledge of the process, as well as the adoption of more complex models. Concerning the statistical uncertainty which is relating the parameter estimates - despite being subject to reduction by HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTIES OF METHODOLOGIES FOR MAXIMUM FLOW RATES DETERMINATION FOR SHPS AND ΜCHS PROJECTS IN THE BRAZILIAN CONTEXT adding the sample size -, it was confirmed what was recommended by the Serinald (2009), since it was observed that higher values for the returning time were related larger differences for the two considered scenarios, namely: Scenario 1 (Qr=5:04 m3/s) and Scenario 2 (Qr=10:06 m3/s) regarding to the fluviometric station code 61250000. The same behavior was observed for the other two considered scenarios, namely: Scenario 3 (Qr=348.6 m3/s) and Scenario 4 (Qr=516.0 m3/s) regarding to the fluviometric station code 58380001. There was even a reversal, from the 10-years returning time for which the values from the Gumbel distribution for the partial series (Scenario 2) began to be less than those observed values from the total series (Scenario 1), as well as could be observed when was considered Scenario 4 related to Scenario 3. • • • • ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We are thankful to the Coordination of Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior, CAPES; in Portuguese) for their support. The Research Support Foundation of Minas Gerais (Fundação de Amparo a Pesquisa de Minas Gerais, FAPEMIG; in Portuguese), for the support given by individual participation in event into the country. We are thankful to the National Reference Centre for Small Hydropower (Centro Nacional de Referência em Pequenas Centrais Hidrelétricas, CERPCH; in Portuguese) of Federal University of Itajubá (UNIFEI). We are enormously thankful to Professor Fazal Hussain Chaudhry from School of Engineering of São Carlos, University of São Paulo (Escola de Engenharia de São Carlos da Universidade de São Paulo, EESC/USP; in Portuguese) for his valuable teachings in Hydrology. 5. REFERENCES • • • • • • [1] ABBASI, T.; ABBASI, S.A. (2011). Small hydro and the environmental implications of its extensive utilization. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 15, p. 2134-2143. • [2] ANAGNOSTOPOULOS, J.S.; PAPANTONIS, D.E. (2007). Optimal sizing of a run-of-river small hydropower plant. Energy Conversion and Management, vol. 48, p. 2663–2670 • [3] BRAZILIAN CENTRAL ELECTRIC S.A. - ELETROBRÁS. MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY – MME (CENTRAIS ELÉTRICAS BRASILEIRAS S.A. – ELETROBRÁS. MINISTÉRIO DE MINAS E ENERGIA – MME). (2000). Guidelines for Small Hydroelectric • • Powerplants Studies and Projects (Diretrizes para Estudos e Projetos de Pequenas Centrais Hidrelétricas). Eletrobrás. [4] CHAUDHRY, F. (2001). Hydrology: quantitative aspects (Hidrologia: aspectos quantitativos). Lecture notes. São Carlos-SP, Brazil. [5] Di BALDASSARRE, G., LAIO, F.; MONTANARI, A. (2009). Design flood estimation using model selection criteria. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, v. 34, n. 10-12, p. 606-611 [6] RESEARCH GROUP IN WATER RESOURCES OF THE FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF VIÇOSA - GPRH / UFV (GRUPO DE PESQUISAS EM RECURSOS HÍDRICOS DA UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DE VIÇOSA – GPRH/UFV). (2009). Computational System for Hydrologic Analysis (Sistema Computacional para Análises Hidrológicas). Version 1.0. [7] RIGHETTO, A. M. (1998). Hydrology and Water Resources (Hidrologia e Recursos Hídricos). São Carlos-SP, Brazil: EESC/ USP. 840 p. [8] SANTOLIN, A.; CAVAZZINI, G., PAVESI , G.; ARDIZZON, ROSSETTI, G.A. (2011). Techno-economical method for the capacity sizing of a small hydropower plant. Energy Conversion and Management, Vol. 52, n. 7, p. 2533–2541. [9] SERINALD, F. (2009). Assessing the applicability of fractional order statistics for computing confidence intervals for extreme quantiles. Journal of Hydrology, v. 376, n. 3-4, p. 528-541 [10] SMAKHTIN V. U. (2001). Low flow hydrology: a review. Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 240, n. 3–4, p. 147–186 [11] SOUZA, Z.; SANTOS, A. H. M.; BORTONI, E. (2009). Hydroelectric Power Plants: implementation and commissioning (Centrais Hidrelétricas: implantação e comissionamento). 2 ed. Rio de Janeiro-RJ, Brazil: Ed Interciência. 520 p. [12] TIAGO FILHO, G.L.; STANO JÚNIOR; BRASIL JÚNIOR., A.; LEMOS, H.; FERRARI, J.T; LEMOS, H.; NUNES, C.F. et al. (2008). Small hydroelectric projects (Pequenos aproveitamentos hidrelétricos), Ministry of Mines and Energy (Ministério de Minas e Energia): Brasília-DF, Brazil. 216 p. [13] TODOROVIC, P. (1978). Stochastic models of floods. Water Resources Research, v. 14, n. 2, p. 345-356 [14] YUE, S.; OUARDA, T. B. M. J.; B. BOBÉE, B.; P. LEGENDRE, P.; BRUNEAU, P. (1999). The Gumbel mixed model for flood frequency analysis. Journal of Hydrology, v. 226, n. 1-2, p. 88-100 ANOTAÇÕES HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 16-23 23 IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES Mauricio Formaggio 2 Thi C. Vu 3 Christophe Devals 3 Ying Zhang 2 Bernd Nennemann 3 François Guibault 1 ABSTRACT Low head power plant projects requires the installation of high specific speed turbines where the impact of the draft tube on the overall machine behavior is extremely important. The concept behind hydraulic development of draft tube is based on energy recovery between the inlet and outlet section, done by converting kinetic energy that leaves the runner in potential energy at the end of the draft tube diffuser. The energy of the flow which leaves the runner has to feed properly the inlet section of the draft tube cone in order to achieve excellent levels of performance. On the other hand, a poor draft tube design can be responsible for considerable problems of sudden efficiency loss and instability at full load. In cases of refurbishment projects, the technical risk associated is highly dependent on the quality of the existing components, especially those who will not be modified, as, in most cases, the draft tube. KEYWORDS: numerical simulations, hydraulic turbines, flow, efficiency, energy recovery. IMPORTÂNCIA DA MODELAGEM DO TUBO DE SUCÇÃO EM SIMULAÇÕES NUMÉRICAS DE TURBINASHIDRÁULICAS RESUMO Centrais hidrelétricas de baixa queda exigem a instalação de turbinas com alta rotação especifica onde o impacto do tubo de sucção no comportamento geral da turbina é e extremamente importante. O conceito atrás desenvolvimento hidráulico do tubo de sucção está baseado na recuperação de energia do escoamento entre as seções de entrada e saída do mesmo, feita através da conversão da energia cinética que deixa o rotor em energia potencial no final do difusor do tubo de sucção. A energia presente no escoamento após o rotor é utilizada para alimentar a região de entrada do cone da sucção a fim do tubo alcançar um excelente nível de desempenho. Por outro lado, um tubo de sucção deficiente pode ser responsável por problemas consideráveis de súbita perda de rendimento e instabilidade em altas cargas. Em casos de reformas, o risco técnico é altamente dependente da qualidade dos componentes existentes da turbina, especialmente aqueles que não serão modificados, como, na maioria das vezes, o tubo de sucção. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: simulações numéricas, turbinas hidráulicas, escoamento, eficiência, recuperação de energia. 1. INTRODUCTION Steady state computations are routinely used by design engineers to evaluate and compare losses in hydraulic components. In the case of the draft tube diffuser, however, experiments have shown that while a significant number of operating conditions can adequately be evaluated using steady state computations, a few operating conditions require unsteady simulations to accurately evaluate losses. This paper presents a study that assesses the predictive capacity of a combination of steady and unsteady RANS numerical computations to predict draft tube losses over the complete range of operation of a Francis turbine. For the prediction of the draft tube performance using k-ε turbulence model, a methodology has been proposed to average global performance indicators of steady flow computations such as the pressure recovery factor over an adequate number of periods to obtain correct results. The methodology will be validated using a systematic comparison with experimental results. In an industrial setting, accurate numerical prediction of the performance of a draft tube over its complete range of operation must be performed as efficiently as possible. The choice of mesh density, turbulence model and time accuracy must therefore be balanced carefully against the need of obtaining results in a timely fashion. This paper aims to validate standardized RANS CFD simulations for the global performance prediction of a draft tube through comparison with experiments carried out at the LMH laboratory in Switzerland [1]. Recently, several studies have been devoted to the accurate prediction of unsteady pressure fluctuations inside the draft tube, associated with the precession of the vortex rope. To reach an adequate level of accuracy, these calculations require advanced turbulence modelling andunsteady flow simulations on meshes comprising several million nodes [2, 3, 4]. In design mode however, global performance characteristics must be obtained rapidly and these types of detailed simulations cannot be performed routinely. Efforts must therefore be devoted to the validation of computational schemes and simplifying approaches that allow reaching adequate levels of precision in a reasonable time and using relatively modest computational resources. The present study is thus aimed at providing design engineers with faster, more reliable analysis tools that can be readily integrated into their design process. 2. MATERIAL AND METHODS Steady state flow simulations are often totally adequate to predict global performance of well-behaved draft tubes operated at or close to the best efficiency point of the turbine. Andritz Hydro Inepar do Brasil SA, Rod. Manoel de Abreu km 4.5, Araraquara, Brazil Andritz-Hydro Ltd., 6100 TransCanada highway, Pointe Claire, QC, H9R 1B9, Canada 3 Dept of Computer and Software Engineering, École Polytechnique de Montréal, Montréal, QC, H3C 3A7, Canada 1 2 24 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 24-30 IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES However, when a badly designed draft tube is present, or when operating conditions become less favorable, convergence problems are observed, which often translate into an oscillatory behavior of the individual residual history of the main variables of the governing equations. These high residuals prevent the solution process from reaching global convergence, and global quantities, such as the pressure recovery factor, from reaching a stable value. Typical convergence histories for a stable and a periodic convergence are illustrated in Fig. 1. Acuumulated Time Step Accumulated Time Step Wall static pressure measurements near the inlet section and at the draft tube outlet allow us to calculate the draft tube pressure recovery factor which is defined as the static pressure difference between inlet and outlet divided by the kinetic energy at the inlet. Six operating points having the same speed coefficient ψ and various flow coefficients f, covering full load to part load conditions, were selected for the study. LDV measurements of velocity profile and turbulent kinetic energy profile at the draft tube inlet are used as inlet boundary conditions for the CFD simulation. The geometry of the draft tube was imported into XMD, an Andritz design tool for draft tube geometry. A single multi-bloc structured mesh combining an O-type block structure near all solid walls and a H-type for the inside flow domain was generated using the in-house automatic draft tube mesh generator DTmesh [7]. The generated mesh with 675K nodes as shown in Fig. 2 was exported in the CGNS format [8]. Figure 2 shows also positions of monitoring points used during the computation, which match positions of pressure taps at the draft tube inlet (4 points) and outlet (8 points) during the experimental investigations. Fig. 1: CFX steady state convergence history for stable (left) and unstable solution (right) As can be observed, for some operating conditions, residuals cannot decrease fully to a prescribed convergence criterion. Analysts generally associate such a convergence behavior to the probable evidence of unsteady flow phenomena in the solution, but a question then remains as to whether the steady state solution, when averaged over a number of periods, constitutes an adequate estimation of the unsteady solution. In order to verify the hypothesis that steady state computations do in fact reach the correct limit value, two computational approaches have been considered to compute the pressure recovery coefficient in cases where the convergence of the steady state flow simulations were oscillatory. Results are then compared with experimental results. These approaches are 1) to average the periodic pressure recovery factor values obtained using a steady state simulation over a number of periods and 2) to compute the time average of the fluctuating pressure response of an unsteady flow simulation. During the process of CFD validation for the draft tube, several parameters have been considered for the study, such as mesh density [5], turbulence modeling, type of inlet boundary condition, turbulence condition at inlet, etc. The inlet flow condition for the draft tube can be simply specified as an axi-symmetrical flow profile or can be obtained directly from the runner by performing stage simulation with coupled runner-draft tube components. The turbulence conditions such as the turbulence kinetic energy and the turbulence kinetic dissipation must be also specified as part of the inlet flow conditions for the k-ε turbulence model. Such information is not well known and the user has to make a well educated guess for the inlet turbulence flow condition. During the course of the study, we have found that this type of information could influence greatly the convergence behavior of the numerical solution. 2.1. Test case As a test case, we have chosen the draft tube of the FLINDT project, investigated in a Francis turbine model of high specific speed, nq = 88. It is a symmetrical elbow draft tube with one pier. The geometry of the draft tube was carefully selected in order to obtain the desired efficiency drop toward the full load condition. Details on the FLINDT project are described in Refs. [1] and [6]. The draft tube flow behavior and pressure recovery factor have been investigated at several operating conditions of the runner. Fig. 2: Hexa mesh and monitoring points of draft tube geometry As mentioned above, the axi-symmetrical velocity profiles and the turbulence kinetic energy profile are obtained from LDV measurements. Since no measurements were available to specify the value of the eddy dissipation, the inlet turbulence eddy dissipation profile was calculated using a mixing length scale LT model. According to CFX documentation [9], the eddy dissipation rate is related to the turbulent kinetic energy through the following relation: e = k3/2⁄LT. The mixing length scale therefore constitutes a parameter that must be correctly calibrated in order for the simulations to match experiments. Three values have been used in this study: 1%, 0.5% and 0.25% of the runner throat diameter (Dth). 3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 3.1. Numerical model The study uses the ANSYS-CFX-12.1 commercial software. Standard RANS and URANS models using a two equation k-ε turbulence closure model were used to perform all computations. CFX is a code based on the finite volume method which implements several discretization schemes. All computations were performed using the high-resolution scheme for the momentum equations, and the first order upwind scheme for the turbulent advection equations. A non-slip condition was imposed for all solid surfaces. At the outlet, an average static pressure over the whole outlet was specified. Six operating conditions with 3 different inlet turbulence length scales were computed and compared to the pressure recovery factor which is defined as: HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 24-30 25 IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES ΔPstat is the average pressure difference between inlet and outlet planes of measurement, ρ the fluid density, and Q the mass flow rate through reference area Aref. For standard steady state computations, the convergence criterion is usually set to 1 x 10-5 on the root mean square (RMS) residuals for all main variables. For monitoring purposes, the convergence criterion was instead set to a very strict value at 1 x 10-12 RMS and a maximum of 2000 iterations was imposed for all computations. The CFX time step option for steady state cases was set to auto timescale and the timescale factor set to 1.0. Convergence history was also verified by the pressure monitoring points and this allowed computing the pressure recovery coefficient at each iteration. 3.2. Results with steady flow simulations Figure 3 illustrates the convergence behavior and comparison with experiment of the pressure recovery factor value for steady state computations. The numerical pressure recovery factor is obtained by averaging the periodic pressure recovery factor values obtained using steady state simulation over a number of periods. The mean value has a high and low bound corresponding to the monitored fluctuation values illustrated as error bars in Fig. 3. tuation of the pressure recovery factor for the operating point f = 0.38 and a moderate fluctuation for f = 0.39. When inlet turbulent viscosity is increased, it is expected that the amplitude of fluctuations of the pressure recovery factor be reduced, but this is not the case as observed with the results obtained for LT=1%Dth. For this inlet condition, the amplitude of fluctuations of the pressure recovery factor at f = 0.38 remains the same and we get another point (f = 0.36) having a non-convergent periodic behavior. For LT=0.25%Dth, three operating conditions show a non-convergent periodic behavior: 0.368, 0.38 and 0.39 and the pressure recovery factor of the BEP (f = 0.368) is not well predicted. Figures 4 shows the evolution of the turbulence viscosity in the draft tube cone at f = 0.368 for 3 values of LT = 1.0% Dth, 0.5% Dth and 0.25% Dth as boundary condition at the draft tube inlet. The illustration shows the variation of the relative turbulent viscosity from 0 to 1000. The relative turbulence viscosity is defined as μt/μ, where μt and μ are the turbulent viscosity and the dynamic viscosity respectively. The turbulence viscosity in the draft tube cone is dictated mainly by the prescribed turbulence viscosity at the draft tube inlet but increases rapidly at the draft tube cone center and further in the downstream region. The red areas indicate locations where turbulence viscosity ratio is higher than 1000. The general pattern remains the same for the 3 turbulent inlet conditions. Fig. 4: Viscosity ratio at BEP f=0.368 – Lt = 1% Dth, Lt = 0.5% Dth and Lt = 0.25% Dth Fig. 3 Pressure recovery factor prediction for three levels of turbulent energy dissipation As can be observed in Fig. 3, turbulence boundary conditions at the inlet have a significant influence on the simulation results. A lower value of the dissipation length scale leads to a smaller turbulent to molecular viscosity ratio, leading to less energy dissipation and a generally more unsteady behavior for some operating conditions. In the present case, a value of LT=0.5%Dth appears to strike an adequate balance between stability and sensitivity to flow features. For this set of computations, there is a very large fluc- 26 In Figure 5 we can observe the evolution of the turbulence viscosity at the two extreme operating conditions, f = 0.34 (part load), f = 0.41 (full load) and also for f = 0.38, for the same value of LT = 0.5% Dth. For operating condition f = 0.34 at part load where highly swirling flow is taking place at the draft tube cone, the turbulent viscosity develops rapidly and the region with turbulent viscosity ration higher than 1000 occupies a large portion of the draft tube cone and the elbow. This is the reason why the numerical solution is very stable at this operating condition as shown in Fig. 3. This high turbulent viscosity region decreases as the swirl intensity decreases in the draft tube cone as observed for f = 0.368 (Fig. 5) and f = 0.38. For the operating condition f = 0.41 at full load, the high turbulence viscosity is not present in the draft tube cone but increases rapidly in the elbow region where a flow recirculation is taking place at the draft tube elbow ceiling. Fig. 5 Viscosity ratio at operating point f = 0.34, f = 0.38 and f = 0.41 – Lt = 0.5% Dth HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 24-30 IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES Fig. 6 Position of the experimental planes Figure 6 shows the position of the experimental measurement plans in the FLINDT draft tube. Section 1.75 stands at the end of the draft tube cone and Section 15.5 is upstream of the pier nose. Comparison of numerical result with experimental data at the two measurement plans has been carried out for all operating conditions. As example, comparison plots for pressure, velocity (normal, radial and tangential components) and energy E are shown in Fig. 7 for two operating conditions f = 0.368 (BEP) and f = 0.38. In general, the numerical results match well with the experimental data for all cases. Fig. 7: Comparison between numerical and experimental data HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 24-30 27 IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES 3.3. Results with unsteady flow simulations A second set of computations was performed for a subset of the operating conditions, LT = 0.5% Dth, this time using an unsteady problem formulation. Each unsteady computation was initialized using the previously computed steady solution for the same operating point. We have chosen the operating point f = 0.38, which exhibited the largest fluctuation amplitude for the steady flow computation, as an example. Also this is the operating point where the turbine efficiency has a sudden dramatic drop. The time steps were set to correspond respectively to increments of 6º, 1º and 0.5º of the runner rotation. Figure 8a) illustrates the behavior of the pressure recovery factor as a function of iteration number, and the transition between steady and unsteady computations that occurred at iteration 2000 (time 117.2s), 5255 (time 1021.4s) and 6300 (time 1069.8s). As can be observed, the amplitude of the recovery factor fluctuation is affected by the change in time step. However, the average value of the recovery factor computed over several periods of the steady computations is extremely close to the temporal average computed in unsteady mode. This observation is confirmed numerically in Table 1 for which both averages correspond quite precisely with the experimental value. TABLE 1: Comparison of steady and unsteady averages of the recovery factor for f = 0.38 and Lt = 0.5% Dth Steady state Transient state Dt = 0.27s (6º) Transient state Dt = 0.046s (1º) Transient state Dt = 0.023s (5º) Min 0.5780 0.5739 0.5389 0.5340 Average 0.6557 0.6547 0.6803 0.6634 Max 0.7313 0.7382 0.7556 0.7309 Experiment 0.667 Figures 8b), 8c) and 8d) show the recovery factor as a function of time at the different transition from steady state to 6° time step, from 6° time step to 1° time step, and from 1° time step to 0.5° time step respectively. As observed in Fig 8a), the amplitude of the recovery factor changes but the period remains constant. explains a large drop on the turbine efficiency at this operating point. 4. CONCLUSIONS This paper has presented a validated numerical simulation approach to evaluate global draft tube performance. This approach, based on steady-state flow simulations using the k-ε turbulence model and a moderately refined mesh, offers a highly effective methodology that can reliably be used by designers to compare relative global draft tube performance of nearby design operating points. This study demonstrates the importance of the choice of turbulent inlet boundary conditions even close to the best efficiency operating condition. The influence of these fluctuations, which are not related to the presence of a large vortex rope at the draft tube inlet, can correctly be averaged by steady-state simulations. The ANSYS-CFX flow solver using the high-resolution scheme is very sensitive to inlet turbulence profile effects. Indeed, since the numerical scheme shows little diffusion, unsteady fluctuations are well detected. It is therefore very important to average global performance indicators such as the pressure recovery factor over an adequate number of periods to obtain correct results. In particular, for this test case, unsteady phenomena were observed for the flow condition f = 0.38, for all eddy dissipation length scales considered. Detailed unsteady flow analyses have shown however that the averaged steady flow result computed using LT = 0.5% Dth was very close to time averages of unsteady simulations. Another observation that can be made following the present validation case study is the fact that as the operating conditions move away from the best efficiency point, the predictive performance of the k-ε turbulence model tends to deteriorate. This is particularly the case for part load operating conditions (f = 0.34), for which estimated performance are systematically overestimated. This can probably be attributed to unsteady phenomena inside the cone section of the draft tube, that are damped by the turbulence model used, even in unsteady simulation mode. Further investigation with more advanced turbulence models is required. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors would like to acknowledge the National Science and Engineering Council of Canada (NSERC) for its support to the project CRD#386829-09, in partnership with Andritz Hydro Ltd. The Flindt project was supported by Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Électricité de France , Alstom, Andritz Hydro (former General Electric Canada, Sulzer Hydro and VaTech Voest Alpine MCE), Voith Hydro, Swiss Federal Commission for Technology and Innovation (PSEL) and the German Ministry of Science and Technology (BMBF). Fig. 8 Fluctuation of the pressure recovery factor versus (a) iteration number and versus (b-c-d) time – f=0.38 - Lt = 0.5% Dth For this particular point of operation, the unsteadiness of the numerical solution is due to an intermittent flow detachment from the pier wall in the left draft tube channel, as shown in Fig. 9, which represents snapshots of the evolution of the velocity at different time steps during one period. The figures on the left hand side show the velocity contours at different vertical plans in the draft tube, while the figures on the right show the velocity contours at a horizontal plan near the draft tube ceiling. Due to the intermittent flow detachment behavior, the flow rate distribution between the two draft tube channels keeps changing and this 28 NOMENCLATURE Aref Ref. section area [0.17538 m2] Cμ k-ε turbulence model cte [0.09 ] RANS Reynolds Average NavierStokes Dth Runner throat diameter [0.4 m] RMS Root Mean Square k Turbulent kinetic energy [m2s-2] URANS LT Turbulent length scale [m] H Net head (m) HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 24-30 BEP χ Best Efficiency Point Unsteady Reynolds Average Navier-Stokes Pressure recovery factor IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES Fig. 9: Unsteady flow behavior at operating point f = 0.38 - Lt = 0.5% Dth On the contrary, Fig. 10 represents a stable flow behavior at the BEP f=0.368. Fig. 10: Flow behavior at operating point f = 0.368 (BEP) - Lt = 0.5% Dth HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 24-30 29 IMPORTANCE OF DRAFT TUBE MODELING IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES N Rotational speed [1000 rpm] ε Eddy dissipation [m2s-3] nq Unit specific speed N*Q0.5/ H0.75 φ Flow coefficient = Q/(pwRth3) Q Flow rate [m3s-1] μ Dynamic viscosity [8.899. 10-4Pa.s] Pstat Static pressure [Pa] ρ Fluid Density [997 kg.m-3] Rin Radius of the DT [0.212806m] ω Angular velocity [104.66 Hz] Rth Runner throat radius [0.2 m] ψ Speed coefficient = 2gH/ (w2Rth2) Δt Time step [s] 5. REFERENCES • [1] Avellan, F., “Flow Investigation in a Francis Draft Tube: the Flindt Project,” Proceedings of the 20th IAHR Symposium on Hydraulic Machinery and Systems, 2000, Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. • [2] Nilsson, H., “Evaluation of OpenFOAM for CFD of Turbulent Flow in Water Turbines,” Proceedings of the 23rd IAHR Symposium on Hydraulic Machinery and Systems, 2006, Yokohama, Japan. • [3] Ruprecht, A., T. Helmrich, T. Aschenbrenner, and T. Scherer., “Simulation of vortexrope in a turbine draft tube,” Proceeding of the 21st IAHR Symposium on Hydraulic Machinery and Systems, 2002, Lausanne, Switzerland. • [4] Stein, P. et al, “Numerical simulation of the cavitation draft tube vortex in a Francis turbine,” Proceeding of the 23rd IAHR Symposium on Hydraulic Machinery and Systems, 2006, Yokohama, Japan • [5] Vu, T.C., F. Guibault, J. Dompierre, P. Labbé, and R. Camarero., “Computation of Fluid Flow in a Model Draft Tube Using Mesh Adaptive Techniques,” Proceedings ofthe 20th Hydraulic Machinery and Systems,2000, Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. • [6] Mauri, S., J.L. Kueny, and F. Avellan., “Numerical prediction of the flow in a turbine draft tube,” Influence of the boundary conditions, FEDSM00, ASME Fluids Engineering, DivisionSummer meeting, 2000, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. • [7] Guibault, F., Y. Zhang, J. Dompierre, and T.C. Vu., “Robust and Automatic CAD-based Structured Mesh Generation for Hydraulic Turbine Component Optimization,” Proceedings of the 23rd IAHR Symposium. 2006, Yokohama, Japan. • [8] Allmaras, S. and D. McCarthy., CGNS CFD Standard Interface Data Structures - Version 2.3.8. Cgns Project Group 2004 Available at: http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/cgns/sids. • [9] ANSYS CFX - User Manuel, ANSYS CFX Solver, Release 12.1: Theory. ANOTAÇÕES 30 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 24-30 ACTIONS AND INNOVATIONS IN DESIGN OF HPP RETIRO BAIXO ACTIONS AND INNOVATIONS IN DESIGN OF HPP RETIRO BAIXO Thiago Villela Torquato Gabriel Villela Torquato 2 Deborah Montenegro C.F. Albuquerque 2 Ana Alice Cesario 1 1 ABSTRACT This article aims to present innovations in the deployment project HPP Retiro Baixo. Due to proximity to large urban centers, the importance of Paraopeba River and environmental requirements, it was decided to develop a set of actions in order to minimize the impact of its implementation. Among these actions highlight those relating to constructive arrangements to improve access to rescue fish within the facility that are presented below: a) Installation of suction access ports with dimensions of 1200 x 800 mm to facilitate removal of fish; b) Replacement of screws hatch access suction stainless steel screws for easy opening work; c) Installation of openings dimensions 2000 x 2000 mm in slabs; d) Installation of bars downstream of gate to prevent the entry of pods within the draft tube; e) Installation of air injection points located in the gallery access for suction, with the goal of improving water quality during machine stoppages; f) Installation of points for injection of water to maintain / renew the water level and the air in the draft tube; g) Diversion of water cooling system for Fish Transfer Mechanism; h) Study of leasing a Fish Transfer System with the aid of physical modeling [1]. These innovations make HPP Retiro Baixo a place of experimentation where it is possible to verify if the changes suggested and implemented were effective and allowed improvement of work to minimize the environmental impacts caused by the construction and operation of a hydroelectric power plant. KEYWORDS: power gereration, fish transfer system, hydro power plant 1. INTRODUCTION It is known that the implementation of a hydroelectric project causes environmental and social impacts. The impact occurs on the flora, fauna, the local population and especially on the river and fish fauna. Fishes are affected by the damming of a river, which breaks the migration route, decreases feeding territory and prevents access to the reproduction sites, nurseries, usually in smaller tributaries. It is also common to concentration shoals downstream of the plant, which during operative maneuvers can be impacted with pressure differences, variation in volume and water velocity. 2. MATERIALS AND METHODS The first inventory to use the Paraopeba River in power generation dates from 1966, when the Central Electric of Minas Gerais - Cemig commissioned a consortium of Brazilian, American and Canadian companies (Canambra), a study of the San Francisco River basin and several other basins in the state for use of hydropower. In 1985, Cemig updated these studies in light of new technical and environmental conditions. In 2001, a new optimization study concluded that the change in the construction of the dam from Km 58 to Km 62, from the original encounter of Paraopeba River with the São Francisco River, would reduce the flooded area of 52 km² to 22,58 km², decreasing construction costs and making the project environmentally viable. That was the beginning of HPP Retiro Baixo. In the mean while the environmental team identified some points to be changed in the plant design that would reduce the impact of this project on the Paraopeba River. This Power Plant is located in São Francisco River Basin, down the stretch Paraopeba River near the meeting of the river with the HPP Três Marias Reservoir at coordinates 18°52'47,62"S , 44°46'34.08"W. Between the cities of Pompeu and Curvelo in Minas Gerais State. It has a maximum installed generation capacity of 82 Mw and 38.5 MW of firm energy generation capacity. The generation is done through two Kaplan turbines vertical axis with unit capacity of 41 MW, the maximum water discharge is 247.57 m³/s. The spillway capacity of this plant has to vent 3,945 m³/s. 3. DEVELOPMENT During maneuvers in operating hydroelectric, normally the water volume that pass through the turbine decreases, with this the fish that accumulate in the tailrace unable to enter the turbine are attracted by the low flow to the draft tube. If the turbine starts operating again in a short time the water flow expels the fish away, but if there is a need to close the draft tube and drain the unit, can occur fish death, to avoid problems like this was proposed some changes in the design phase of the plant. The study demonstrated the abundance of fish in the region and the risk of accidents during construction, commissioning and operation of HPP Retiro Baixo. Thus, most of the implemented actions aimed to mitigate the impacts on fish. Since the early studies, all employees and service providers of environmental and social areas, to be hired, received training on the operation of a hydroelectric plant, facilitating dialogue between the engineering and environmental area. With that there was an integration of environmental teams, engineering, design, entrepreneurs and operation, facilitating the development of an integrated work between engineering and environment. 3.1 T he first change was the general arrangement of the plant, the first proposed design showed the power house on the left bank of the river and the spillway on the right bank. Between the two structures is form a stretch of river about 400 meters long, this RUMO AMBIENTAL RETIRO BAIXO ENERGÉTICA SA 1 2 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 31-34 31 ACTIONS AND INNOVATIONS IN DESIGN OF HPP RETIRO BAIXO would only receive water during floods when the spillway is opened, after closing the floodgates large puddles would be formed with risk of keeping fish trapped. To avoid this problem, all the hydraulic circuit was transferred to the river’s left bank avoiding the formation of these puddles, and also concentrating the work in one place. For the stretch between the hydraulic circuit and earth dam has been proposed a landfill to avoid that this area gets flooded by the waters downstream during major floods. Fig. 3: Project the grids anti-shoal (monitoring fish set the mesh size of the grid anti-shoal) Fig. 1: General arrangement of the plant - Original Basic Design 3.3 A common problem in hydropower plants is, trapping fish inside the draft tube, even with the installation of grid anti-shoal it’s expected that some fish are able to enter before the full closure of the draft tube. To facilitate the rescue of the fish it was proposed an exchange in the hatch door’s dimensions for 1200 x 800 mm, the access to the draft tube is through gallery located on the first floor of the power house. The fish are caught in the draft tube with nets and placed in buckets of 60 liters to be lifted to the gallery above. In this gallery the fish are transferred to a larger bucket with a capacity of 1500 liters. From this gallery the bucket with fish is lifted by a crane through a shaft of dimensions 2000 x 2000 mm thought for this purpose. These openings in slabs, accelerate the rescue process, both in the draft tube, as in the penstock. Preventing carrying the buckets on stairs or long galleries, thus minimizing the risk of death of the fish. After transported by crane, the bucket containing the fish is placed in a truck that transports it to upstream fish release site. Fig. 2 General arrangement of the plant - Basic design after insertion Environmental 3.2 T o prevent the entry of fish shoals inside the draft tube during stops units, grids were installed downstream of the gates. During the projec was left a groove in the concrete where the guides for the grids were installed, separated from the guides of the gates, forming independent systems. Without using the crane and with automatic activation of the grids, firing a system of electric winches that descends in three minutes, when the unit stops. the grids are positioned above the exit of the draft tube. The grid was designed using the information from the monitoring of fish populations, which showed that in this stretch of the Paraopeba River most fish were juveniles starting the migration, so the grid mesh was set to 2 cm wide. 32 Fig. 4: General arrangement of the plant 3.4 D uring a fish rescue, agility is necessary and one of the points of greatest obstacle is the opening of the hatches, screws are usually made of iron and with time and moisture they end up rusting, making it very difficult and time consuming to open access to the draft tube, the local to rescue fish. In this power plant proposed a change to expedite the opening and the option was to use screws made of stainless steel, because this material does not HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 31-34 ACTIONS AND INNOVATIONS IN DESIGN OF HPP RETIRO BAIXO rust. It was also proposed to use a pneumatic machine to remove the screws. 3.5 After closing the draft tube with the gates, the water exchange between the enclosure and the river stops happening and depending on the amount of fish the water quality drops quickly. In order to maintain good water quality for a longer period has been proposed to install points of oxygenation in the bottom of draft tube. To this was installed a battery of injectors along the draft tube, some injecting air, and some others with water. The proposal is that, during drainage and the hatch opening, air is injected to maintaining the oxygen level inside the enclosure, if the rescue takes too long to happen is possible to exchange the water using the water injection nozzles. Fig. 6: Construction of the reduced model Fig. 5: Detail of the distribution of the nozzles in the design and detail of the injection nozzle 3.6 The turbine cooling water is usually released downstream of the power house, next to the structure of the power plant, water is usually released in height forming a waterfall, which attracts fish leaping trying to go up the river, usually, this waterfall is near the structure, the fish ends up hitting the concrete and suffering injuries. Another problem is that this water is usually released with a temperature above the river’s water, which also attracts fish by the temperature difference. Some power plants built most recently, have tested ways to prevent the fish from getting hurt hitting the concrete. In Retiro Baixo power plant the cooling water was channeled and released along with the water attraction, of the Fish Transfer System, thus helping in attracting it into the system. 3.7 T o define the location of Fish Transfer System, was proposed a research in scale model, taking into account the hydraulic variables, the topography of the region the dynamics of fish, etc. For it, was built in the Center of Hydraulic Research of UFMG, by a multidisciplinary team, the model in 1:43 scale in Styrofoam and covered with fiberglass, it was placed specimens of Mandi Amarelo (Pimelodus maculatus), fish that migrate short distances and are abundant in the region. These fish were observed for a long period, to identify the behavior of dislocation within the system. It was observed that the shoals swam preferentially by the left bank of the tailrace. So the installation of the Fish Transfer System was made at the left margin [1]. Fig. 7: Observation of fish behavior in the reduced model 4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION During operation of the HPP Retiro Baixo the technical innovations implemented in the design were tested and the conclusion was that there was an improvement environmental performance without prejudice to the operation of the plant. The rescues were faster and more efficient. There is the possibility of keeping fish alive into the draft tube for a short time thanks to the injection of air and the water exchange. The diversion of the cooling water system for the fish transposition system is working perfectly. The interest in building this power plant, taking into account the innovations proposed by the environmental area, showed that it is possible to make a venture environmentally better, without prejudice to power generation and implementation costs negligible, because they occurred in design and were adjusted throughout the construction. In some cases the environmental improvements also help the power plant's operation, for example, a fish rescue system efficiently reduces downtime and the turbine back up and running in less time. 5. REFERENCES • [1] Martinez, C.B.; Viana E.M.F., Faria M.T.C. (2010) Metodologia para Identificar a Locação de Cardumes de Peixes à jusante de UHE. The 8th Latin-American Congress on Electricity Generation and Transmission – CLAGTEE, Ubatuba, 2009. HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 31-34 33 ACTIONS AND INNOVATIONS IN DESIGN OF HPP RETIRO BAIXO • BARBIERI, G.; SANTOS, M.V.; SANTOS, J.M.. Época de reprodução e relação peso/comprimento de duas espécies de Astyanax (Pisces, Characidae). Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v.17, n.7, p.1057-1065, 1982. • BENEDITO-CECILIO, E.; AGOSTINHO, A.A. Estrutura das populações de peixes do reservatório de Segredo, p.113-139. In: AGOSTINHO, A.A.; GOMES, L.C. (Org.). Reservatório de Segredo: bases ecológicas para o manejo. Maringá: EDUEM, 1997. 387p. • BRITSKI, H.A.; SATO, Y.; ROSA, A.B.S. Manual de identifi- cação de peixes da região de Três Marias: com chaves de identificação para os peixes da bacia do São Francisco. 3a ed. Brasília: Câmara dos Deputados/Codevasf, 1988. 115p. • DAJOZ, R. Ecologia geral. Petrópolis: Editora Vozes, 1973. 471p. ECOUTIN, J.M.; ALBARET, J.J.;TRAPE, S. Length-weight relationships for fish populations of a relatively undisturbed tropical estuary: The Gambia. • Fisheries Research, v.72, p.347-351, 2005. HEMMERT, H. Ecologia. São Paulo: EPU/Springer, Ed. Universidade de São Paulo, 1982. 335p. ANOTAÇÕES 34 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 31-34 STUDY OF PROCESS OF AMENDMENTS VULCANIZATION NITRILE RUBBER FOR SEALING VALVES USED IN BUTTERFLIES CONDUITS SHPS STUDY OF PROCESS OF AMENDMENTS VULCANIZATION NITRILE RUBBER FOR SEALING VALVES USED IN BUTTERFLIES CONDUITS SHPS 1 Moisés Toigo João Henrique Bagetti 2 Sergio Luis Marquezi 1 ABSTRACT Due to the growth of Brazilian economy in recent years there has been a considerable increase in demanding electricity power. Supplying all this demand, Brazil has been increasing the use of its potential Hydride, with the hydropower building. Therefore, many companies have emerged and have specialized in building turbines for power plants as well as other components of these small plants such as butterfly valves, conduits and gates. Such situation proof sets old methods and technologies used by these industries, being required a constant update in processes and created products with the intention of obtaining safest, efficient and reliable equipment. The purpose of this work was studying the vulcanization joint process nitrile rubber seals for the use in butterfly valves in small power plants to discover more efficient and reliable methods for achievements of joints. Based in the regulation ASTM D412-06aε2 were performed trials to verify the endurance of vulcanized joint in a universal trial machine. During the work, it could be observed that the factors which most affected the vulcanized redressed endurance were the temperature and the time. The results led to the conclusion that the temperature used was too high, being 60 °C above the average, among other factors that contributed to the joint weakening. KEYWORDS: Vulcanization. Nitrile rubber. Vulcanized joint. Butterfly Valve. 1. INTRODUCTION Butterfly Valves are used in large-scale SHP (Small Hydro Power). They are positioned in the powerhouse, near the turbine inlet tube to block the way of the penstock for water turbine, in case it is needed to stop the machine. For this reason, it is essential that the type of gasket used in these valves provide excellent sealing, so that there is a stoppage of the machine (due to a trigger rotor or even scheduled maintenance), as well as to avoid possible flooding in the machine’s house. For economic reasons, the seals are usually not acquired with the specific perimeter to each valve, in other words, they are bought in larger quantities, being helpful the cut in the perimeter desired in the factory. Because of this, it’s necessary that it has been accomplished the process of vulcanizing in the rubber seam, which is often made in a traditional manner in manufacturing of valves, which can cause premature leaks. In partnership with a manufacturer of hydraulic turbines and the University of the West of Santa Catarina, the authors accomplished a survey formulating solutions and applying new processes in attempt to solve problems related to resistance to rupture and leakage of these amendments. 2. THEORETICAL 2.1. Nitrile Rubber As Gomes (2012), nitrile rubber (NBR) provides a good balance between resistance to cold temperature (among -10 °C and -50 °C), oil, gasoline and solvent, resistance that in Acrylonitrile content function. These characteristics combined with good resistance to high temperature and abrasion resistance become NBR recommended for a variety of applications. It also shows good resistance to dynamic fatigue, low gas permeability and is easily mixed with polar materials such as PVC. There is specific types of NBR, which are called degree. Each degree contains linked to the polymer chain, antioxidants which become less volatile, so that these NBR’s degrees are less soluble in gasoline and oil as well as increasing heat resistance. There are still several other special degrees of NBR to not only be used as advantage in the processes of transfer by vulcanization or injection, but also to the need for cleaning of the mold is lower, since it reduces the occurrence of the phenomenon known as "mold fouling". The combined with NBR rubber reinforcing fillers, carbon black or silica, allows to obtain vulcanizates with excellent physical properties. The mechanical properties depend on the temperature of vulcanization. The resistance to compression deflection depends primarily on the content of acrylonitrile (ACN) type and NBR used in the vulcanization system chosen, achieving more excellent values for this property. The hardness of the vulcanized NBR with low and medium ACN content, remains constant over a wide range of temperatures (70 °C to 130 °C) while the tensile strength decreases significantly with increasing temperature. 2.2. VULCANIZATION The vulcanization can be described as an exchange of physical properties of rubber of a predominantly plastic state into a predominantly elastic state by temperature, pressure and time. The discovery of vulcanization is attributed to Charles Goodyear in the United States, and Thomas Hancock in England. Both patents developed in 1840. The vulcanization of the rubber caused a pronounced improvement in chemical and physical properties in relation to the material not vulcanized. According to Costa et all, (2003), the most important step in relation to chemical vulcanization occurred with the discovery of organic accelerators in 1900. In addition to increasing the speed of vulcanization, these additives have brought many other advantages. The use of accelerators allowed the use of lower temperatures and smaller curing times. Consequently, there was no longer the need to undergo drastic conditions for the rubber and, thereby, the possibility of thermal and oxidative degradation was minimized. Furthermore, the level of sulfur could be reduced, without harm to the physical properties of the vulcanizated. In vulcanizing the rubber is heated in the presence of sulfur and accelerators and activators agents. The vulcanization con- Universidade do Oeste de Santa Catarina, Campus de Joaçaba; [email protected] Universidade do Oeste de Santa Catarina, Campus Joaçaba; [email protected] 3 Universidade do Oeste de Santa Catarina, Campus Joaçaba; [email protected] 1 2 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 35-39 35 STUDY OF PROCESS OF AMENDMENTS VULCANIZATION NITRILE RUBBER FOR SEALING VALVES USED IN BUTTERFLIES CONDUITS SHPS sists in the crosslinking of the polymer molecules in the individual responsible for the development of a rigid three-dimensional structure quantity proportional to the resistance of these connections. The exact determination of the method and conditions of vulcanization (time, temperature and pressure), should be done not only in view of the composition employed, but also as the dimensions of the artifact to be manufactured and its application. The state of vulcanization affects various physical properties of the artifact. These are the basic parameters to achieve the most different types and qualities of vulcanized therefore be calculated to achieve optimum vulcanization within its cycle. "Optimum vulcanization" is usually the conditions required to obtain 90% of the maximum tensile strength (T90), compared to the original force supported by seamless rubber and vulcanized patches. As the vulcanized patches, due to the orientation of the molecules of the rubber, it is allowed that some angles set out better effect at the moment of the connection, giving to the mass a better integrity and strength. According recommendation SAMPLA of Brazil (2012), hot vulcanized seams must have a length equal to the width of the rubber to be amended, and amendments in formats such as, "V", "serrated" and "simple to the 65°" have best effects when used at 65° angle. Source: Viero M. (2010)-Reestudo do comportamento do sistema de vedação da válvula borboleta. Fig. 2: Profile cutting rubber for gluing. Step 3: Place the gasket on the template with the format of your profile. Close the template, providing the grip necessary for fixing joint (Picture 1). Step 4: Place the template with the joint be vulcanized in the greenhouse. Performing the heating cycle, increasing the maximum temperature of 180 °C and then cooled in ambient conditions at a temperature of 80 °C. Repeat the process three times. 3. METHODOLOGY 3.1. Material Researched The research material was Nitrile Rubber (NBR) with hardness 75/80 Shore A. This rubber was chosen after a job already done by Viero M. (2010) according to the ASTM D2000 (2010), for obtaining the best possible resistance to water and warping, inasmuch as the material is in direct contact with high water pressure. The format of the rubber should be defined by the engineering company, to enable better sealing and durability under the conditions of use. Figure 1 shows a profile rubber seal of a butterfly valve. Source: Viero M. (2010)-Reestudo do comportamento do sistema de vedação da válvula borboleta. Picture 1: Template for vulcanizing rubber and glue. 3.2.2.Processes proposed Source: M. Viero (2010)-restudy ofsystem behavior sealing butterfly valve. Fig. 1: Profile rubber sealing butterfly valve. 3.2.1 Current Process The rubber used in seals are acquired in the form of meter strings, following the profile shown in Figure 1. Therefore, it is necessary that the cutting is performed rubber exact size of the perimeter channel in the rubber plug accommodation. The process for vulcanizing the splice is divided into four stages, namely: Step 1: Cutting the two ends of the rubber with 45° angle (Figure 2). Step 2: Accomplishing the bonding of the two cut edges, applying to a layer of glue for hot vulcanization at both ends, adding a rubber strip connecting the cold junction to occur as parts of Figure 2. Based on research material for vulcanization as well as the process described in Section 3.2.1, proposed a test procedure to test vulcanization as described below. Perform test with two types of amendments. In the first type, the cutting edges was achieved with the cutting angle 60° (Drawing 3 (A)), so increasing the link connection. In the second kind, the cut was made in "V" (Figure 3 (b)), increasing the contact area and pressure. The two types as defined from the theoretical framework explained in Section 2.2 (VULCANIZATION), which indicates that the links of the chains of polymers have greatest effect with certain angles and with a larger contact area. Fig. 3: Angles of the proposed amendments. 36 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 35-39 STUDY OF PROCESS OF AMENDMENTS VULCANIZATION NITRILE RUBBER FOR SEALING VALVES USED IN BUTTERFLIES CONDUITS SHPS The work in question followed the following assumptions: • The gluing process followed the same procedure described in item 3.2.1 as well as the template used for pressing and heating the joint to be vulcanized was the same as described in the same item. • The temperature range for the vulcanization of nitrile rubber is 130 ºC to 150 ºC, because this temperature range links the rubber would not be broken and therefore does not weaken it. Therefore, it was proposed to use as the maximum temperature in the thermal cycle 130 °C. • Use only one heat cycle heating and cooling instead of three, as shown in step 4 of the item 3.2.1. Looking to thereby prevent damage to the rubber structure of the increased exposure due to its rubber heating temperature limit. This thermal cycle was carried out for both samples with seam at an angle of 60°, as for samples with seam "type V". 3.3. Trials To test the new amendment models proposed, as well as the current model and unvulcanized rubber itself, we opted for the traction test, where we could observe the maximum loads of rupture and form of fracture. The traction tests were performed on a universal traction machine, the EMIC DL30000F model, with test method Tensile Cylinder with cell of 30 tf, which is the laboratory materials Unoesc - Joaçaba. The tensile properties depend on both the material and the test conditions (extension rate, temperature, humidity, sample geometry, pre-conditioning test), so the materials should be compared only when tested under the same conditions. As the objective is to verify the effectiveness of the vulcanization process of rubber used on butterfly valves, it was opted to carry out tests on the joints vulcanized profile format used in the valves. The preparation of the samples for the traction test was as follows: • According to ASTM D412-06aε2, the rubber should have a reduced section in the center of the sample to allow rupture at this point and not at the base, as would be expected for a sample of constant section. But because the samples used have already a set format, opted to use the rubber with constant section, to approximate the actual conditions which are subjected in the field. For this purpose, preliminary rupture tests were effective, with the broken rubber in areas pretty far from the coupling zone of the machine, thus demonstrating the feasibility of using such samples. • Also according to the standard ASTM D412-06aε2, traction machine must be programmed for constant spacing of 500 ± 50 mm / min. However, the machine available for testing has a maximum spacing of 100 mm / min. • For preparation of the samples was taken into account the vulcanization process and the way to fixing the universal testing machine. Considering these two points, the samples were initially made with 450 mm for later adapted to 270 mm and meet the demands of the universal testing machine. Using 75 mm on each side for mounting in the machine, leaving the center free 120 mm. As illustrated in the Figure 4. Fig. 4: (a) the length of the sample, (b) section of the sample. To keep the comparison results, the test parameters were kept, so all samples were tested under the same conditions of temperature, humidity, loading rate and offset. All samples were prepared according to the procedures described. The period of the tests was the 6:40 p.m. to 7:40 p.m. of the day 10/04/2012. 4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION For easier analysis of the results of samples submitted to vulcanization procedures described in paragraphs 3.2.1 and 3.2.2., they were named as described in Table 1. TABLE 1: Description of the samples. Rubber Current Process Rubber splice used to date by the partner company. Rubber Process 130 °C 60° Rubber with proposed amendment described in section 3.2.2. Rubber Process V Rubber splicing also described in item 3.2.2 of work Original Rubber Seamless rubber, used as a benchmark for others. The traction tests performed at Unoesc - Joaçaba were evaluated according to their maximum strength and fracture occurred. 4.1. ANALYSIS OF DATA MAXIMUM STRENGTH To analyze the data obtained in tests of the samples, we used the values of maximum force achieved before rupture, and from these it also uses the standard deviation values found among the five samples of each process. The standard deviation is used to demonstrate the level of reliability of the process, since it is a manual process, errors may occur during their execution, as well as a process of low quality can cause different effects in each sample. Therefore, when comparing the samples to the current process, the standard deviation is used to measure the strength with maximum traction, the quality of the splice. The maximum strength supported by the sample is exposed in Figure 1. These values are the averages of maximum forces encountered for each sample type. In Table 2, the data have been obtained with their respective standard deviations. Observing Table 2 , it can be noted that the proposed process in which the temperature is 130 ° C with seam 60º, reaches values not much higher (2%) than those obtained in the current process, but to compensate the deviation standard was lower (39%), increasing the reliability of the results. Allied to this, there has to take into account the economic factor, since it reduced the vulcanization cycle, both at room temperature (28% smaller) and in time (65% less) while maintaining the values of tensile strength stable when compared to the current process. Therefore, even without increasing expected values of resistance, which would be ideally 90% of the seamless rubber as described in item 2.2, it becomes feasible to execute the proposed process, with regard to economic factor. As regards the case in "V", it got surprisingly tensile strength values well below the expected 23% less than the current process, and this process was expected the best results. This fact had not found its explanation in this work, even as it is a scientific research and own dates and deadlines, but it is emphasized that the research is still in progress and new results will emerge over time to explain this situation in specific. As for the process standard deviation "V", this achieved the best results of standard deviation among the samples, being HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 35-39 37 STUDY OF PROCESS OF AMENDMENTS VULCANIZATION NITRILE RUBBER FOR SEALING VALVES USED IN BUTTERFLIES CONDUITS SHPS 54% lower than the current process. As previously explained, this increases process reliability. It can also be seen in Figure 5, none of the samples whose seams are achieved optimal minimum tensile strength compared to similar samples seamless, reaching a maximum T66, a factor which should be T90, as referenced in Item 2.2. This situation demonstrates that the processes proposed here are far from "perfect", because there are many factors that can influence your getting. It may be noted also that the parameter of T90, which is rooted in the Ringtread Manual Recovery System, is a parameter for recovery tires, but features very close to the vulcanization process of amendments in nitrile rubber. This fact does not make it completely reliable application of the amendment process, by having different formats and features as the application, but rather a viable and reliability equivalent, if not superior. All data obtained show that there are still unknown aspects in this process, requiring testing different types of seam, glue, accelerator, enabling find best results as regards the maximum force of rupture resistance. Photo 2: (a) Amendment current process. (b) Detail of seam detached with waste breakdown, the current process. Subsequently, the samples Rubber Process 130 °C 60° gave results very similar to the current process, or detachment of the joint, but it was observed in most cases a higher detachment without disruption of adjacent material (Photo 3). This situation shows that the nitrile adjacent splice suffered no or little change due to the process temperature. This detachment of standardized samples directly reflected in the results of standard deviation, this value decreased considerably (38%). Photo 3 - Details of the amendment detached of samples Rubber Case 130 ° C 60 °. Already on the seams of the rubber samples V process, the ruptures occurred mostly in the material unaffected by the chemical process of splicing (Photo 4) and not in the amendment itself, not detachment occurring in most cases, such a situation can be explained by the fact that the amendment has increased contact area, thereby increasing the vulcanized area. Fig. 5: Maximum Force average for each type of sample TABLE 2: Description of the samples. Maximum tensile strength in N Type of Process S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 Average Standard Deviation Rubber Current Process 1423 1702 1165 1314 1453 1423 197,31 Rubber Process 130 °C 60° 1473 1443 1633 1453 1294 1453 120.40 966 1085 1195 1085 955 1085 90 2601 2290 2797 2742 2539 2593 200 Rubber Process V Original Rubber 4.2 FRACTURES Complementing the analysis of resistance has made the analysis of the fracture of samples. In samples of the current process, there has been a detachment in the seam and a small break from adjacent material (Photo 2), the rupture of adjacent material demonstrates that the high temperatures used in this process, that is, at a temperature of 180 ºC and 45º, causes a degradation of the adjacent material. This is due to the fact that the fluxing material is much less resistant than the rubber itself, assuming that rupture occurs in this area and not in the nitrile rubber. In some cases a small break in the final moments of separation was relevant in the results of a standard deviation higher. 38 Photo 4: Amendment V half broken, half detached. We also observed that the seams where the detachment occurred, it was only partial (Photo 4). In all cases, after reaching half the seam, they suffer a breakdown of rubber not affected, and even in those cases, the rubber broke section highest to lowest. It is noteworthy that these amendments have the best reliability indices, keeping the standard deviation below 100 N. Photo 5: Amendment V ruptured. HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 35-39 STUDY OF PROCESS OF AMENDMENTS VULCANIZATION NITRILE RUBBER FOR SEALING VALVES USED IN BUTTERFLIES CONDUITS SHPS 5. CONCLUSIONS With this work, could be evaluated the mechanical properties of nitrile rubber vulcanized seams to seal butterfly valves used in conduits SHPs, using processes as usual and proposed. With respect to parameters studied, observing the maximum force, it follows that the samples with just a process of heating up to 130 °C show a higher average strength compared to the samples of the current process (three processes of heating to 180 ° C and amendment to 45 º). Comparing samples by type of fracture, it is observed that the samples with seam "V" have a fracture with greater homogeneity, and a "tear" of rubber in areas not affected by the amendment (chemically affected), and not a simple detachment as observed in the other. Also admits that the crack is in the Startup section was larger and spreads to the smaller section of the rubber. This allows us to affirm that one has greater security for this process, since in normal usage situations, the part with the rubber is thinner that is in contact with the water and subject to premature wear. Also comparing the standard deviations, amendments vulcanized "V" were more reliable than the others, having standard deviation value much lower, on the order of 54% lower compared to the value obtained for the current process. Regarding the economic factor has been that the proposed processes, have considerable savings in time and machine operator, 65% lower due to temperature change limit and process heating / cooling. This work now serves as a reference for future research, which already began as a continuation of this, seeking to explain and quantify the other factors in the case and were not explained here. It is noteworthy that all data and thorough research, are available to access various Internet platforms. It is argued that the processes proposed here can be used in a way equivalent to the current process, or even more so, getting good results with their proper safety and reliability. 6. REFERENCES • Gomes, Manuel Morato. Nitrile Rubber (NBR), available at: • <http://www.rubberpedia.com/borrachas/borracha-nitrilica. php>. Accessed on 03/08/2012. • Helson M. da Costa, Leila LY Visconte, Regina Nunes CR. HISTORICAL ASPECTS OF VULCANIZATION. Polymers: Science and Technology, 13 (2), pp 125-129, 2003. • Sampla Brazil's Industry and Trade Ltda belts. MANUAL AMENDMENTS, available at: <http://www.sampla.com.br/ Manualemendas.pdf>. Last accessed on 09/27/2013 • Viero M. Re-study of the system behavior sealing butterfly valve. Internal publication, Unoesc - Joaçaba, 2010. • ASTM D412-06 Standard Test Methods for Vulcanized Rubber and Thermoplastic Elastomers - Tension. 2012. Digital version for Universities, available at: <http://www.astm.org/ Standards/D412.htm>. • Ringtread System. Recovery Manual Section 8, Vulcanization, available at: <http://www.steffenpneus.com.br/manualmarangoni/manualmarangoni08.pdf>. Accessed on 03/08/2012. ANOTAÇÕES HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, DA PÁG. 35-39 39 ANOTAÇÕES ANOTAÇÕES 40 HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, ANOTAÇÕES ANOTAÇÕES ANOTAÇÕES HIDRO&HYDRO: PCH NOTÍCIAS & SHP NEWS, 59 (4), OUT,NOV,DEZ/2013, ANOTAÇÕES 41 ARTIGOS TÉCNICOS TECHNICAL ARTICLES INSTRUÇÕES AOS AUTORES INSTRUCTIONS FOR AUTHORS Forma e preparação de manuscrito Form and preparation of manuscripts Primeira Etapa (exigida para submissão do artigo) First Step (required for submition) O texto deverá apresentar as seguintes características: espaçamento 1,5; papel A4 (210 x 297 mm), com margens superior, inferior, esquerda e direita de 2,5 cm; fonte Times New Roman 12; e conter no máximo 16 laudas, incluindo quadros e figuras. Na primeira página deverá conter o título do trabalho, o resumo e as Palavras-chave. Os quadros e as figuras deverão ser numerados com algarismos arábicos consecutivos, indicados no texto e anexados no final do artigo. 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Serão aceitos artigos em português, inglês e espanhol. No caso das línguas estrangeiras, será necessária a declaração de revisão linguística de um especialista. 35-39 Segunda Etapa (exigida para publicação) The manuscript should be submitted with following format: should be typed in Times New Roman; 12 font size; 1.5 spaced lines; standard A4 paper (210 x 297 mm), side margins 2.5 cm wide; and not exceed 16 pages, including tables and figures. In the first page should contain the title of paper, Abstract and Keywords. The tables and figures should be numbered consecutively in Arabic numerals, which should be indicated in the text and annexed at the end of the paper. Figure legends should be written immediately below each figure preceded by the word Figure and numbered consecutively. The table titles should be written above each table and preceded by the word Table followed by their consecutive number. Figures should present the data source (Source) above the legend, on the right side and no full stop; and tables, below with full stop. The manuscript in PORTUGUESE should be assembled in the following order: TÍTULO in Portuguese, RESUMO (followed by Palavras-chave), TITLE in English; ABSTRACT in English (followed by keywords); 1. INTRODUÇÃO (including references); 2. MATERIAL E MÉTODOS; 3. RESULTADOS E DISCUSSÃO; 4. CONCLUSÃO (if the list of conclusions is relatively short, to the point of not requiring a specific chapter, it can end the previous chapter); 5. AGRADECIMENTOS (if it is the case); and 6. REFERÊNCIAS, aligned to the left. The article in ENGLISH should be assembled in the following order: TITLE in English; ABSTRACT in English (followed by keywords); TITLE in Portuguese; ABSTRACT in Portuguese (followed by keywords); 1. INTRODUCTION (including references); 2. MATERIAL AND METHODS; 3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION; 4. CONCLUSIONS (if the list of conclusions is relatively short, to the point of not requiring a specific chapter, it can end the previous chapter); 5. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS (if it is the case); and 6. REFERENCES. The article in SPANISH should be assembled in the following order: TÍTULO in Spanish; RESUMEN (following by Palabrallave), TITLE of the article in Portuguese, ABSTRACT in Portuguese (followed by keywords); 1. INTRODUCCTIÓN (including references); 2. MATERIALES Y MÉTODOS; 3. RESULTADOS Y DISCUSIÓNES; 4. CONCLUSIONES (if the list of conclusions is relatively short, to the point of not requiring a specific chapter, it can end the previous chapter); 5.RECONOCIMIENTO (if it is the case); and 6. REFERENCIAS BIBLIOGRÁFICAS. The section headings, when necessary, should be written with the first letter capitalized, preceded of two Arabic numerals placed at the beginning of the paragraph. References cited in the text should include the author’s last name, only with the first letter capitalized, and the year in parentheses, when the author is part of the text. When the author is not part of the text, include the last name in capital letters followed by the year separated by comma, all in parentheses. Abstracts should be concise and informative, presenting the key points of the text related with the objectives, methodology, results and conclusions; it should be written in a sequence of sentences and must not exceed 250 words. For paper submission, the author(s) should access the online submission Web site www.cerpch.unifei.edu.br/submeterartigo (submit paper). The Magazine PCH Notícias & SHP News accepts papers in Portuguese, En-glish and Spanish. Papers in foreign languages will be requested a declaration of a specialist in language revision. Second Step (required for publication) O artigo depois de analisado pelos editores, poderá ser devolvido ao(s) autor(es) para adequações às normas da Revista ou simplesmente negado por falta de mérito ou perfil. Quando aprovado pelos editores, o artigo será encaminhado para três revisores, que emitirão seu parecer científico. Caberá ao(s) autor(es) atender às sugestões e recomendações dos revisores; caso não possa(m) atender na sua totalidade, deverá(ão) justificar ao Comitê Editorial da Revista. After the manuscript has been reviewed by the editors, it is either returned to the author(s) for adaptations to the Journal guidelines, or rejected because of the lack of scientific merit and suitability for the journal. If it is judged as acceptable by the editors, the paper will be directed to three reviewers to state their scientific opinion. Author(s) are requested to meet the reviewers, suggestions and recommendations; if this is not totally possible, they are requested to justify it to the Editorial Board. Obs.: Os artigos que não se enquadram nas normas acima descritas, na sua totalidade ou em parte, serão devolvidos e perderão a prioridade da ordem sequencial de apresentação. Obs.: Papers that fail to meet totally or partially the guidelines above described will be returned and lose the priority of the sequential order of presentation. 42