The impact of water quality as an environmental constraint
Transcrição
The impact of water quality as an environmental constraint
Renewable Energy 34 (2009) 655–659 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Renewable Energy journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/renene The impact of water quality as an environmental constraint on operation planning of a hydro-thermal power system A.C.M. Valle a, *, M.A.A. Aguiar b, G. Cruz, Jr. a a b School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, EEEC, Universidade Federal de Goiás, 74605-220 Goiania, Goiás, Brazil Environmental Sciences Doctorate Program, CIAMB, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Brazil a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Received 10 December 2007 Accepted 12 May 2008 Available online 30 June 2008 This work presents the development of a model that applies water quality restriction to the long term planning hydro-thermal power system operation. Taking water quality into account in the long term planning, guarantees the multiple water usage. The objective is to investigate the sensibility of the long term planning hydro-thermal power system to the environmental variables focusing water quality. Among water quality indicators the option was chlorophyll-a and the nutrient phosphorus establishing a relation with the reservoir storage. 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Chlorophyll-a Hydro-thermal power systems Energetic planning 1. Introduction Reservoirs are engineered structures built to benefit a population regarding energy production, recreation, sports, commercial fishing, flood control and water supply. Any event that restricts these uses causes perceptible impact, along with financial repercussions. A cause of reservoirs unavailability is eutrophication, or excessive lake plant growth. In Brazil, according to ANEEL, Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica, in September 2003, there were 517 registered operational power plants, 378 of which were small sized plants – micro and small power plants. Power plants over 30 MW (139 plants, a total of 69,563 MW) correspond to 98.4% of the country hydroelectricity capability installed (70,693 MW). In October 2003, 79.09% of the installed capacity (MW) for electrical energy generation came from hydropower plants, 18.51% from thermal plants, 2.37% from thermonuclear plants and 0.03% from others [1]. The ideal conditions for electrical energy production can contribute to excessive algae growth, what can be considered one of the symptoms of eutrophication. According to Imteaz [2], eutrophication is caused by nutrient overload and results in a daily variation of dissolved oxygen and even unbalanced ecosystems. High phosphorus concentrations lead to high algae concentration reducing water transparency, which can result in anoxic bottom water and causes financial effects associated with urban water * Corresponding author. Tel.: þ55 6232096070; fax: þ55 6235211806. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (A.C.M. Valle), [email protected] (M.A.A. Aguiar), [email protected] (G. Cruz Jr.). 0960-1481/$ – see front matter 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.renene.2008.05.024 use and recreation [3]. In Brazil advanced eutrophication is characterized by cyanobacteria blooms (potentially toxic) and other kinds of algae. The most frequent planning constraint used for phytoplankton biomass is the amount of chlorophyll-a. The average chlorophylla concentration usually correlates to the eutrophication level, also a good algae bloom indicator, which can be caused by retention time increase for energy production. An [4] presents the relation (chlorophyll-a versus total phosphorus) in log-log regression models, which in many cases show a quadratic relation. The objective of this paper is to investigate the sensibility of long term planning hydro-thermal power system to environmental variables related to water quality. For this purpose a function that relates chlorophyll-a, phosphorus and reservoir storage is determined and applied as a restriction for the hydro-thermal power system planning [5]. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Eutrophication Brazilian CONAMA 357/2005 legislation provides parameters for rating and classifying the hydro resources and its uses. For fresh water, class II, according to CONAMA resolution number 357, dated March 17, 2005, the following conditions and water quality standard should be observed [6]: – chlorophyll-a: maximum amount 30.0 g/l; – total dissolved solids: maximum amount 500.0 mg/l; 656 A.C.M. Valle et al. / Renewable Energy 34 (2009) 655–659 – total phosphorus: maximum amount 0.030 mg/l in lentic environment; – nitrate: maximum amount 10.0 mg/l; – dissolved oxygen: not less than 5 mg/l; – turbidity: up to 100 (UTN); – pH: from 6.0 to 9.0; – biochemical oxygen demand 5 days at 20 C: up to 5 mg/l O2; and – cyanobacteria density: maximum amount 50,000 cell/ml or 5 mm3/l. 2.2. Basic eutrophication mechanisms The main process control variable is solar radiation. Thus, water body eutrophication can vary according to the water surface geographic location, the solar radiation penetration level at different depths, the magnitude and nutrient types, and water movement due to transport and dispersion flow. Aquatic plants widely vary in the species composition; the impact of each of the mentioned factors may vary. Some species may require less light and nutrients for its development than other species. Tropical countries can have up to 14 h of light available daily, favoring phytoplankton biomass, which starts to increase as water temperature rises, as well as light and nutrients in its dissolved form for phytoplankton use. This is favored by the undesired presence of different polluting sources in the draining basins. Sperling [7] stated that it can be estimated if the algae growth in a lake is being controlled by phosphorus or nitrogen based on the concentration of nitrogen and phosphorus (N/P). Also, if N/P > 10 the environment would be limited by phosphorus while, if N/P < 10 it would be limited by nitrogen. According to Salas and Martino [8], the majority of Latin America tropical lakes is limited by phosphorus. Another aspect is that even if an external nitrogen input control is made, there are algae capable of fixating the atmospheric nitrogen. Therefore, they rather give greater priority to the phosphorus source control when they intend to control eutrophication in a water body [7]. The main issue of the generation system planning (GSP) is its complexity, due to the great number of reservoirs and thermal plants, and the high regulation capacity that requires long study periods for its planning. The variables are future inflow, function of the climate conditions and the electricity demand to be supplied. GSP is also a decision making process based in uncertainties, where the operator must be provided with adequate statistical tools to guide him throughout the decision process. The main objective of the energy (system) operation planning is minimizing the hydro-thermal system operation costs in a specified period. The problem formulation considering the known inflow and energy demand is shown in Eqs. (1)–(14), in a monthly analysis. min t pj T 1 X " 1 t t ð1 þ bÞ t¼0 t J G # þ 1 ð1 þ bÞ T V xT (1) subject to Gt ¼ Dt P t Pt ¼ J X (2) ptj (3) git (4) gti git gti (5) ptj ¼ kj hmon xtj hjus utj pc qtj (6) ptj ptj ptj (7) j¼1 Gt ¼ I X i¼1 2.3. Hydro-thermal power systems planning 2 Due to the Brazilian generation plant characteristics hydrothermal operation planning is a complex task to achieve. Its objective is to determine a strategy to minimize the system units’ operation cost. The strategy must ensures supply and provide the energy required in order to guarantee the minimum costs of thermal complementation. This evaluation comprehends the reservoir optimization and the plant hourly generation taking into account the environmental and functional restraints. The Brazilian system is composed by smaller interconnected systems with reservoirs with high regulation capacity. There is a dependency between the decisions made in the system planning. The available hydraulic energy is limited; a decision made in the present must guarantee the smallest thermal complementation in the present and assure that the future energy generation is at no risk. It is a dynamic system; the present is determined by the past and affects the future. The most important step of the managing model formulation is the selection of the objective function and its restrictions and variables. In the water quality management the most common objective function used is the minimization of the costs for maintaining water quality at a specific level. Water quality is characterized by the level of variables as dissolved oxygen and algal biomass [9]. xtþ1 j ¼ xtj þ 4yt j þ X 3 utk utj 5Dt (8) k˛Uj utj ¼ qtj þ vtj (9) xtj xtj xtj (10) utj utj utj (11) qtj qtj qtj hliq (12) vtj 0 (13) x0j provided (14) A.C.M. Valle et al. / Renewable Energy 34 (2009) 655–659 where – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – T – number of time intervals (months); gti – thermoelectric plant i generation at instant t (MW); ptj – hydroelectric plant j generation at instant t (MW); b – future operation cost discount rate (%); Jt(Gt) – total thermoelectric operation cost (US$/MW); Dt – electricity demand at instant t (MW); Gt – total thermoelectric generation at instant t (MW); Pt – total hydroelectric generation at instant t (MW); V(xT) – system’s reservoir final state associated cost (US$); g ti – thermoelectric plant i minimum generation at instant t (MW); g tj – thermoelectric plant i maximum generation at instant t (MW); ptj – hydroelectric plant j minimum generation at instant t (MW); ptj – hydroelectric plant j maximum generation at instant t (MW); kj – hydroelectric plant j efficiency; I – number of thermoelectric plants; J – number of hydroelectric plants; x – reservoir storage (hm3)xj – reservoir j minimum storage (hm3); xj – reservoir j maximum storage (hm3); ytj – incremental inflow at reservoir j at instant t (m3/s); utj – release at reservoir j at instant t (m3/s); qtj – discharge at reservoir j at instant t (m3/s); vtj – spillage at reservoir j at instant t (m3/s); hmon(x) – reservoir level (m); hjus(u) – tailrace elevation (m); pc – discharge lost (m); and Dt – average size of moment t (s). 657 indirectly in the objective function. The restrictions are usually related to the limitation imposed on the decision or state system variables [10]. The operation planning presented in Eqs. (1)–(14) comprehends construction and operation restrictions of the electrical system only. The relation of water quality and environmental preservation with the operation planning of hydropower systems is associated with the maintenance of minimum outflows to guarantee pollution dilution, minimum storage levels and acceptable dissolved oxygen, chlorophyll-a and other parameters’ levels regulated by legislation. Constraints can be applied to reduce abrupt changes in the water level and to keep the level within limits to prevent ecological damage either due to low water or flood conditions. Including water quality restriction in the energetic power system planning is of great importance and guarantees that the water multiple usages are in focus. Among the many variable constraints that could be applied, chlorophyll-a was chosen, associated with the phosphorus amount in the reservoir. The new approach focuses on the eutrophication process represented by the chlorophylla amount, which is limited by CONAMA legislation. Its inclusion could be done in two different ways: in the objective function or in the restrictions. Relating the three variables: chlorophyll-a, phosphorus and reservoir storage, a function was determined for each reservoir, and two new constraints were added to hydro-thermal planning problem: logðchlorophyll aÞ ¼ A0 þ A1 logðphosphorusÞ þ A2 xtþ1 xtj j ð15Þ logðchlorophyll aÞ ¼ logð30 mg=lÞ (16) 2.4. Data base for analysis 3. Results and discussion Ilha Solteira, Porto Primavera and Três Irmãos reservoirs were the locations of this study. Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera are located on the Paraná River, and Três Irmãos on the Tietê River. The limnological monitoring and water quality data were provided by Companhia Energética do Estado de São Paulo, CESP, exclusively for the development of this study. The coordinates and energy capacity of the reservoirs are shown in Table 1. Some of the data provided for surface, medium and bottom layer depths were Statistical analyses of the reservoir storage, chlorophyll-a and phosphorus using the software MATLAB, determined a function that expresses these variables correlation. This relation is the environmental restriction to be added in the hydro-thermal operation planning formulation. A simulator that includes water quality environmental constraints in the operation planning was implemented. A sampling site close to the dam was chosen for the study. Nutrient concentration allied to no adverse conditions that enhance algal development, led to higher levels of chlorophyll-a, making it the best place to be studied. Closer to the tributaries, in the rainy season as well as in the dry season, there is a greater water mixture that reduces the concentration of these elements, altering water transparency, which restricts algal development. – – – – – – water temperature ( C); dissolved oxygen (mg/l); pH; conductivity (mS/cm); turbidity (NTU); and chlorophyll-a (mg/l); Table 2 xtj ), surPolynomial coefficients for log(chlorophyll-a) ¼ f(log(phosphorus), xtþ1 j face values 2.5. Developed activities There are many ways to consider multiple usage of water in the reservoir operation. These uses are associated to state, decision and restriction variables. The state variables are included directly or Table 1 Study site information Reservoir Coordinates Power capacity (MW) Ilha Solteira Porto Primavera Três Irmãos S 20 220 15.600 W 51 210 32.500 S 22 270 22.600 W 52 540 20.800 S 20 400 24.800 W 51 080 47.000 3444.0 1540.0 807.5 Reservoir Type Coefficients A1 A2 Três Irmãos Rainy Dry Generic 1.6419 0.2661 0.4937 0.9885 0.1073 0.1419 0.0090 0.0221 0.0087 Ilha Solteira Rainy Dry Generic 0.0113 0.1811 0.1045 0.1222 0.0036 0.2916 0.0067 0.0196 0.0024 Porto Primavera Rainy Dry Generic 1.8140 0.5105 0.0514 1.590 0.1761 0.1670 0.0340 0.0447 0.0171 A0 658 A.C.M. Valle et al. / Renewable Energy 34 (2009) 655–659 Table 3 xtj ), averPolynomial coefficients for log(chlorophyll-a) ¼ f(log(phosphorus), xtþ1 j age of the first two layers Type Coefficients A0 Três Irmãos Ilha Solteira Porto Primavera A1 A2 Rainy Dry Generic 1.9271 0.3105 0.5946 1.2513 0.1332 0.2337 0.0098 0.0215 0.0106 Rainy Dry Generic 0.0310 0.1231 0.0937 0.1300 0.0706 0.2592 0.0072 0.0170 0.0170 Rainy Dry Generic 0.8110 0.6588 0.1315 0.7510 0.3337 0.0497 0.0190 0.0195 0.0088 Stored Energy (%) Reservoir 80 60 40 20 0 Three different equations of chlorophyll-a as a function of phosphorus and reservoir storage were determined. A relation of the variables for the whole period, called generic function, one for the rainy season and another representing the months of the dry season. After a statistical analysis, it could be observed that the generic equation is less representative than the ones for dry and rainy seasons, when adjusting a polynomial to represent the relation among reservoir variables. Therefore, it seemed more accurate to aggregate months with similar hydrological behavior to adjust these polynomials. Table 2 presents the A0, A1 and A2 polynomial coefficients for the surface data and Table 3 presents the coefficients obtained by the analysis of the average of the first two layers data (surface and middle). The functions are seasonal (rainy and dry) and generic, where chlorophyll-a and phosphorus are measured in m/l and the reservoir storage is in %. Two different simulations were implemented: (a) analyses using the generic function and (b) analyses where the months were separated in rainy and dry seasons. For the simulation using the Paraná River basin, the water quality restriction was applied in Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera plants. Comparing the base case, where no environmental constraints were applied, with a simulation where the generic equation was applied to Ilha Solteira, a difference in the stored energy of 14.39% was observed. When applying the rainy and dry season equations the difference was of 1.459%. The hydraulic generation showed smaller differences in both cases. For the generic equation the difference from the base case was of 0.306% and for the dry and rainy season equations of 0.2942%. 0 5 10 15 20 25 Figs. 1 and 2 show for a 36-month period the amounts of stored energy for the generic equation and the dry and rainy equations applied to both plants, Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera at the Paraná River. Figs. 3 and 4 present the energy generation for the same analyses. It could be observed that the influence of the environmental constraint was not significant, given the goals of generated energy and system stored energy. Table 4 presents the results of the Paraná River basin simulation, for Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera. The simulations refer to the surface data: (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) base case, no water quality restriction applied to the plants; generic polynomial for Ilha Solteira only; dry and rainy season polynomial for Ilha Solteira only; generic polynomial for Porto Primavera; dry and rainy season polynomial for Porto Primavera only; generic polynomial for both Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera; and (G) dry and rainy season polynomial for both Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera. The equations used in these simulations were obtained using the surface data (Table 2). An average function was also obtained (Table 3), based on the average of the equations for both surface and Base Case Generic Hydro Generation (MW) 4000 60 40 20 35 Fig. 2. Stored energy for Paraná River basin, with Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera, comparison of the base case and rainy and dry equations. 4500 80 30 Months Base Case Generic 100 Stored Energy (%) Base Case Dry and Wet 100 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Months Fig. 1. Stored energy for Paraná River basin, with Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera, comparison of the base case and generic equation. 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Months Fig. 3. Hydraulic energy for Paraná River basin, with Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera, comparison of the base case and generic equation. A.C.M. Valle et al. / Renewable Energy 34 (2009) 655–659 4500 Base Case Dry and Wet Hydro Generation (MW) 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Months Fig. 4. Hydraulic energy for Paraná River basin, with Ilha Solteira and Porto Primavera, comparison of the base case and rainy and dry equations. middle layers, trying to express movement within the water column. It could be observed that there was no significant variation in the energy generated and the stored energy for simulations using the surface and middle polynomials. Simulation in the Tietê River basin, where the Três Irmãos site is located showed no variation in the variables analyzed and no violation of the chlorophyll-a limit associated to the phosphorus levels. The methodology applied to chlorophyll-a can be used for other limnological variables that are regulated by environmental legislations. The inclusion of other variables may bring a significant variation due to cumulative effects, although in isolation the influence is not relevant. 4. Conclusions The monitoring programs provide data that effectively contribute to the analysis of the tendency of an ecosystem water quality. The tendency presented by these analyses allows for correction and prevention measures that minimize the damage caused by eutrophication. The hydro-thermal operation planning system does not incorporate, in its restrictions, water quality variables. Inclusion in the planning of the multiple water usage issue, requires including other restrictions, besides the ones already applied by the electrical power sector. Interventions that can prevent eutrophication in reservoirs are the maintenance of minimum outflows to guarantee pollution dilution, of minimum volume levels to assure acceptable dissolved oxygen, chlorophyll-a and other parameters’ levels, and the reduction of abrupt changes in the water level, keeping it within limits to prevent ecological damage. Among all variables used for monitoring, chlorophyll-a and the total phosphorus load are considered of greater relevancy and application [11,12]. Chlorophyll-a was chosen to be applied in the hydro-thermal operation planning in order to minimize the unwanted effects in water quality. The choice for the model that Table 4 Results for water quality restriction applied in the Paraná River basin Results Case A Case B Case C Case D Case E Case F Case G R1 R2 R3 2252.96 23.48 NE 2259.85 20.10 600 2259.59 23.14 172 2240.34 22.46 600 2244.78 22.90 303 2240.85 18.88 1150 2251.48 22.58 478 R1: average hydraulic generation (MW); R2: average stored energy (%); R3: number of chlorophyll-a violations; and NE: not evaluated. 659 relates chlorophyll-a with phosphorus was due to researches where other professionals determined such a relation for tropical lakes [11,13–16]. There is no single function describing the variables relation for all reservoirs. Each reservoir has its own pattern, and a specific function of chlorophyll-a, phosphorus and reservoir volume is determined that involves monthly, seasonal and annual information. The planning model employs a monthly analysis, a function of chlorophyll-a, phosphorus and reservoir volume for each month satisfies the model requirements. We believe that a monthly function would be more expressive but the amount of data provided was not enough to establish an accurate statistical relationship. The seasonal approach to determining the reservoir polynomials was the most expressive representation, taking into account the precipitation level, as the hydrological and limnological characteristics tend to be similar when clustered into rainy and dry seasons. The analyses showed that the effect of the inclusion of an environmental variable, chlorophyll-a as a restriction in the hydropower plants operation planning does not interfere significantly in the energy generation and in the system stored energy. So no cost variation per generated MW would be applied, an interesting conclusion for the electrical power system operators. These conclusions were based on the use of a single environmental variable. Other variables may be added to the restrictions, which could lead to cumulative effects, altering the costs of power per MW produced by the system. We suggest that future research investigate the inclusion of other variables in this methodology in order to evaluate if the effect would be more expressive. References [1] ANEEL, Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica. Available from: <www.aneel. gov.br>; 2007. [2] Imteaz MA. Modeling the effects of inflow parameters on lake water quality. Environmental Modeling and Assessment 2003;8:63–70. [3] Smil V. Phosphorus in the environment: natural flows and human interferences. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment 2000;25:53–88. [4] An K-G. Indirect influence of the summer monsoon on chlorophyll–total phosphorus models in reservoirs: a case study. Ecological Modelling 2002; 152:191–203. [5] Valle ACM. 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