presidential election

Transcrição

Political
SCENARIOS
SPECIAL EDITION
Nº 154 - Brasília - DF
THIS
EDITION
By Murillo de Aragão e Cristiano Noronha
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:
DECISION POSTPONED TO 10/31
Photo: globo.com
1. Presidencial
Election......................... 02
BRASÍLIA, OCTOBER 2010
2. Governor
Elections....................... 10
3. Senate
Elections....................... 15
4. House of Representatives
Election ....................... 21
T
Colaboration
Geraldo Moura, Carlos
Eduardo Bellini, Marcos
Augusto Queiroz, Lucas
Aragão e Thiago Aragão.
Diagramming
Fernanda Dias
his special issue of Political Scenarios presents results and analysis on the 2010
elections. The highlight of the election was the confirmation of the second
round in the presidential race between Rousseff (PT) and Jose Serra (PSDB).The
growth of Marina Silva (PV) in the final stretch of the campaign was a fundamental
factor in the presidential election.
At the state level, 18 governors were elected in the first round. PSDB, the PT and
the PMDB won victories in four states each. However, the toucans (PSDB), won in Sao
Paulo and Minas Gerais, the two largest electoral colleges of the country, and will still
participate in five second rounds. The PMDB reached second round in three states,
while the PT is part of two other disputes.
In Congress, the PT elected the largest number of deputies (88), while the PMDB
(79) came next. This gives greater legitimacy to the PT to request the precidency of the
House. In the Senate, the situation reverses. The PMDB, which elected the most seats
(19), should remain in charge of the Senate. The PT was second in number of senators
(13). The opposition parties (PSDB, DEM and PPS) reduced their benches in both the
House and Senate.
ELECTIONS 2010
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 3
Exclusive for customers Arko
SPECIAL EDITION
DILMA AND SERRA WILL DISPUTE SECOND ROUND
DILMA ROUSSEFF (PT)
JOSÉ SERRA (PSDB)
MARINA SILVA (PV)
46,89% 32,62% 19,34%
nº of votes: 47.599.863
BLANK
nº of votes: 33.111.707
NULL
3,13%
0,87%
nº of votes:
886.614
T
18,12%
nº of votes: 6.117.382
EYMAEL (PSDC)
ZÉ MARIA (PSTU)
0,09%
0,08%
nº of votes:
89.328
ABSTENTION
5,51%
nº of votes 3.478.142
PLÍNIO (PSOL)
nº of votes: 19.632.138
LEVY FIDELIX (PRTB)
nº of votes:
84.564
he end of the first round was full of surprises, which
reached, in particular, the candidate Rousseff (PT). Besides having lost the opportunity to settle the election
at this stage, Dilma put yourself in a delicate situation in a
second round that will be hotly disputed.
Over the last week, the PT candidate lost many votes
among evangelical voters and the more educated. All the result of a combination of several factors: Lula’s dispute with
the mainstream media, the posture of the press, corruption
scandals involving the Civil House, the guerrilla on the internet that disclosed information denigrating the governmental
candidate, among other factors.
But nothing was more decisive for the outcome of the elections than the performance of Jose Serra in recent days. He ma-
0,06%
nº of votes:
57.930
nº of votes: 24.580.962
IVAN PINHEIRO (PCB)
0,04%
nº of votes:
39.110
RUI COSTA PIMENTA (PCO)
0,01%
nº of votes:
12.202
naged to contain the rise of Marina Silva (PV) and steal votes
from Dilma, seizing significant portion of undecided voters.
Before the meteoric rise of Dilma in August - the base scenario was the definition in the second round with favoritism
Dilma to win the race.
However, the surprise first round is the configuration of
the result. Besides having fewer votes than expected, Dilma
had about 8% less votes cast for opposition candidates.
Whereas the opposition had a substantial share of votes
more than Dilma, some may say that favoritism has changed
sides considering that Sierra may have all of Marina’s and
Plinio’s votes.
However, the second round is going to be completely new
and tough, and,
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 4
SPECIAL EDITION
probably, with a lot of aggressive action from both sides.!
For Dilma to confirm her favoritism, she will have to go
For Serra to beat Dilma and Lula’s immense popularity, he after Marina’s votes and, above all, try to widen the transfer
will have to capture the majority of Marina’s votes (15 of 20 of votes from Lula’s prestige and use the good state of the
million) and put Dilma up against the wall with a tough cam- economy to her advantage.
paign.
DILMA ROUSSEFF (PT)
JOSÉ SERRA (PSDB)
MAIN PROPASALS
• Economy: Keep inflation targets, floating exchange
rate and fiscal surplus.
• Economy: FAvorable to the system of inflation targets and interest rate reduction
• Social programs: Universalizing “Bolsa Familia”.
• Social Programs: Promises to expand coverage of
Bolsa Família, institute payment of the 13th salary
and the R$600 minimum wage.
• Health: Deliver 500 new UPAs (emergency response
units) to help with emergency rooms in hospitals.
• Education: Build 6,000 new daycare centers and preschools and programs to give scholarships to poor
high school students.
• Public security: Disseminate Police Pacifying Units
(UPPs) across the country.
• Taxes: Eliminate taxes on productive investments and
unify the ICMS legislation.
• Transportation: Implement the bullet train between
RJ-SP-Campinas.
• Sewage: Have sewage systems in all residences by
2014.
• Foreign policy: Prioritize relations with Latin American countries and bonds with the African and Arab
world.
• Free press: Dilma has shown herself to be favorable
to freedom of the press.
• Health: restart Health workgroups. Create the Ministry of Handicapped Persons.
• Education: Expand technical learning and create the
Programo f Support for Technical Learning (ProTec)
which gives out scholarships.
• Public Security: Implement the National Guard, tied
to the Federal Police and create the Ministry of Security.
• Taxes: REduce taxes on foods, energy, sewage and
medicine. Implement Brazilian Fiscal Receipt and Ministry of Logistics.
• Sanitation: Exempt sanitation companies from
paying PIS and COFINS.
• Foreign Policy: Use Brazil’s leadership to pressure
Bolívia to fight drug trafficking. Less contact with
authoritatian regimes such as Iran and Venezuela.
• Free press: In favor of free press.
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 5
SPECIAL EDITION
THE NEXT PRESIDENT AND THE CONGRESS
4
35
AL
LIE
D
BA
SE
OPO
SITI
O
111 N
48
DILMA’S SUPPORT BASE IN THE
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
In the House of Representatives, Dilma’s base will
also be very similar to president Lula’s. It would include parties like PTB, that declared support to Serra and
PP that declared support to the governmental candidate. Serra could count on PSDB, DEM, PPS and PV,
and could also drag a good part of the parties that
integrate Dilma’s base with the exception of PT, PDT
PSB, PCdoB and PSOL.
Dilma Rousseff’s base would be formed by 354
congressmen, 111 opposers and 48 independent.
Serra’s base would be more modest with 289 congressmen. The opposition would be composed of 193
congressmen along with 31 independents.
Second round of presidential election
ON
ITI
25
OP
OS
INDEPENDENTE
INDEPENDENTS
31
ON
INDEPENDENTS
SERRA’S SUPPORT BASE IN
BASE ALIADA
OPOSIÇÃO
THE SENATE
ITI
INDEPENDENTE
354
111
48
A
3
DILMA’S SUPPORT BASE IN
BASE ALIADA
OPOSIÇÃO
THE SENATE
E
AS
B
IED
LL 56
19
AL
L
IED
60 BAS
E
ITI
OS 1
P
O
2
OS
Dilma’s support base, if elected, will be very similar to president Lula’s base in the Senate. Serra
could count on PSDB, DEM, PPS and PV and could
drag other parties that integrate Dilma’s block, except PT, PDT, PSB, PcdoB and PSOL.
If Dilma is elected President, her base will be
composed by 60 senators. The opposition will have
21. If Serra wins, his base would be a little smaller:
56 allies and 25 opposers.
ON
BASE ALIADA
OPOSIÇÃO
60
21
OP
BASE ALIADA
OPOSIÇÃO
SE
BA
D
LIE 9
AL 28
SERRA’S SUPPORT BASE IN THE
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 6
SPECIAL EDITION
Dilma also won. She got 59% of valid votes. Serra, 24.6%
and Marina, 10.9% Even adding the votes of the PSDB and
PV candidates (35.5%), Lula’s candidates numbers are much
higher.
1ST ROUND
NORTHEAST
2ST ROUND
1ST ROUND
In this region, Dilma (PT) won. She got 41.9% of valid
votes against 34.8% for Serra (PSDB). Marina Silva (PV) got
20.7%. The sum of Serra and Marina’s votes is 55.5%, larger
than Dilma’s 41.9%.
1ST ROUND
NORTH
2ST ROUND
1ST ROUND
REGIONAL PERFORMANCE
1989
Collor:
50,5%
Lula:
18,7%
Collor:
70,5%
Lula:
29,5%
1994
1998
2002
2006
FHC:
58,9%
Lula:
25,5%
FHC:
57,6%
Lula:
26,5%
-
-
-
-
Lula:
44,4%
Serra:
22,7%
Lula:
58,2%
Serra:
41,8%
Lula:
56,1%
Alckmin:
36,4%
Lula:
65,6%
Alckmin:
34,4%
2010
Dilma:
Serra:
41,9%
1989
Collor:
38,6%
Lula:
22,8%
Collor:
55,7%
Lula:
44,3%
Dilma:
59%
34,8%
1994
FHC:
57,6%
Lula:
30,3%
1998
FHC:
47,7%
Lula:
31,6%
-
-
-
-
2010
Serra:
24,6%
Marina:
20,7%
2002
Lula:
45,9%
Serra:
19,8%
Lula:
61,5%
Serra:
38,5%
2006
Lula:
66,8%
Alckmin:
26,1%
Lula:
77,1%
Alckmin:
22,9%
Marina:
10,9%
Political Scenarios
Dilma Rousseff (PT) obtained 39,1 % of the valid votes
against 37,5 % of Serra (PSDB) and 21,9% of Marina (PV).
The sum of Serra’s and Marina’s votes reached 59,4% or 20,3
points passed the PT candidate.
1ST ROUND
MID WEST
2ST ROUND
1ST ROUND
It was the only region that José Serra (PSDB) won Dilma
Rousseff (PT). The toucan obtained 43,3 % against 41,5 %
from the PT member. Marina Silva (PV) reached 13, 7 %. The
sum of Serra and Marina’s votes (57 %) is 15,5 points superior
than Dilma’s sum (41,5 %).
1ST ROUND
SOUTH
2ST ROUND
1ST ROUND
Dilma’s victory. She obtained 41,1 % of valid votes. Serra
obtained 32,2 % and Marina 24,9 %. In this region, the numbers of the second and third place would sum up 57,1 % (15,9
points passed the governmental candidate.
1ST ROUND
SOUTHEAST
2ST ROUND
1ST ROUND
Nº 154 7
SPECIAL EDITION
1989
1994
1998
2002
2006
Collor:
25,8%
Lula:
17,8%
Collor:
50,5%
Lula:
49,5%
FHC:
56,1%
Lula:
25,6%
FHC:
55,3%
Lula:
31,2%
-
-
-
-
Lula:
46,5%
Serra:
22,7%
Lula:
63,0%
Serra:
37,0%
Lula:
43,3%
Alckmin:
45,2%
Lula:
56,9%
Alckmin:
43,1%
2010
Dilma:
Serra:
41,2%
Marina:
32,2%
24,9%
1989
1994
1998
2002
2006
Collor:
23,4%
FHC:
41,3%
Lula:
28,2%
FHC:
49,2%
Lula:
38,8%
-
-
-
-
Lula:
49,4%
Serra:
28,5%
Lula:
58,8%
Serra:
41,2%
Lula:
34,9%
Alckmin:
54,9%
Lula:
46,5%
Alckmin:
53,5%
Lula: 8,1%
Collor:
48,3%
Lula:
51,7%
2010
Dilma:
Serra:
41,5%
Marina:
43,3%
13,7%
1989
1994
1998
2002
2006
Collor:
43,0%
Lula:
16,4%
Collor:
63,2%
Lula:
36,8%
FHC:
60,4%
Lula:
24,6%
FHC:
61,2%
Lula:
22,1%
-
-
-
-
Lula:
43,1%
Serra:
26,2%
Lula:
57,3%
Serra:
42,7%
Lula:
38,5%
Alckmin:
51,6%
Lula:
52,4%
Alckmin:
47,6%
Dilma:
39,1%
2010
Serra:
37,5%
Marina:
21,9%
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 8
SPECIAL EDITION
BRAZIL: VOTES BY STATE
RORAIMA
28,68%
51,05%
18,78%
AMAZONAS
64,97%
8,47%
25,73%
ACRE
23,79%
52,16%
23,55%
RONDÔNIA
40,73%
45,40%
12,71%
AMAPÁ
47,38%
21,36%
29,71%
PARÁ
47,92%
37,70%
13,40%
MATO GROSSO
42,94%
44,16%
12%
MARANHÃO
70,64%
15,09%
13,59%
TOCANTINS
50,98%
27,99%
20,56%
CEARÁ
66,30%
16,36%
16,36%
PIAUÍ
67,09%
20,93%
11,41%
BAHIA
62,62%
29,98%
15,74%
DISTRITO FEDERAL
31,74%
24,30%
GOIÁS
41,96%
MINAS GERAIS
42,23%
46,98%
39,48%
30,76%
17,18%
MATO GROSSO DO SUL
21,25%
39,86%
ESPIRITO SANTO
42,35%
37,25%
SÃO PAULO
16,88%
35,44%
37,31%
26,26%
40,66%
RIO DE JANEIRO
20,77%
PARANÁ
43,76%
38,94%
22,53%
43,94%
31,52%
15,91%
SANTA CATARINA
38,71%
45,77%
RIO G. DO SUL
13,99%
46,95%
40,60%
11,33%
Dilma Rousseff (PT)
José Serra (PSDB)
Marina Silva (PV)
RIO G. DO NORTE
51,76%
28,14%
19,16%
PARAÍBA
53,21%
28,43%
17,64%
PERNAMBUCO
61,74%
17,37%
20,30%
ALAGOAS
50,92%
36,46%
11,50%
SERGIPE
47,67%
38,05%
13,26%
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 9
SPECIAL EDITION
PRESIDENTIAL SUCCESSION TIME LINE
GREAT/
GOOD
JOSÉ SARNEY
SET.1989
ITAMAR FRANCO
SET.1994
FHC I
SET.1998
FHC II
SET.2002
LULA I
SET.2006
LULA II
SET.2010
5%
37%
43%
23%
47%
80%
REGULAR
24%
49%
37%
39%
34%
16%
BAD/
VERY BAD
COMMENTS
68%
The setbacks provoked by the unsuccessful inflation combat made PMDB candidate Ulysses Guimarães reach only 3.204.853
votes (4,64 %).
13%
Driven by Plano Real’s success, the government candidate, and ex-minister of Finances, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, was
elected in the first round with 34.364.961
votes (54,27%).
17%
Despite the drawbacks provoked by the
privatizations, the populations fear of a
change in command made FHC elected already in the first round with 35.936.540 votes
(53,06 %).
35%
FHC’s unpopularity in his second term
due to international financial crises that
affected the country and an energy blackout that undermined the candidacy of
José Serra, who lost to Lula in the second
round with 52,793,364 votes (61.27%).
17%
Even with the “Mensalão” scandal Lula
was re-elected in the second round driven
by the fiscal adjustment that improved
the country’s economic situation and social programs such as “Bolsa Familia” with
58,295,042 votes (60.83%).
4%
Despite the large approval of the PT
government, the governmental candidate Dilma Rousseff didn’t secure victory in
the first round. She will dispute the second
round with José Serra (PSDB).
ELECTIONS 2010
ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 11
SPECIAL EDITION
ELECTION IN THE STATES
AMAPÁ
RORAIMA
PARÁ
Neudo Campos (PP)
Lucas (PTB)
Anchieta (PSDB)
Camilo Capiberibe (PSB)
47,62%
Wilson Martins (PSB)
48,92%
46,37%
Ana Júlia (PT)
28,68%
45,62%
AMAZONAS
PIAUÍ
Simão Jatene (PSDB)
28,93%
Silvio Mendes (PSDB)
36,04%
30,08%
Omar Aziz (PMN)
63,86%
CEARÁ
MARANHÃO
Cid Gomes (PSB)
Roseana (PMDB)
61,27%
50,08%
RIO GRANDE DO NORTE
Rosalba Ciarlini (DEM)
52,46%
ACRE
Tião Viana (PT)
50,44%
PARAÍBA
Ricardo Coutinho (PSB)
49,74%
José Maranhão (PMDB)
49,30%
PERNAMBUCO
RONDÔNIA
Eduardo Campos (PSB)
Confúcio Moura (PMDB)
82,84%
44,01%
ALAGOAS
João Calula (PPS)
37,13%
Teotônio Vilela (PSDB)
39,58%
MATO GROSSO
Sinval Barbosa (PMDB)
Ronaldo Lessa (PDT)
TOCANTINS
51,21%
29,16%
Siqueira Campos (PSDB)
50,52%
SERGIPE
Marcelo Déda (PT)
52,08%
MATO GROSSO DO SUL
André Puccinelli (PMDB)
BAHIA
56%
Jaques Wagner (PT)
63,83%
PARANÁ
Beto Richa (PSDB)
MINAS GERAIS
52,44%
Antonio Anastasia (PSDB)
62,72%
SANTA CATARINA
Raimundo Colombo (DEM)
ESPIRITO SANTO
52,72%
Renato Casagrande (PSB)
82,30%
GOIÁS
Marconi Perillo (PSDB) - 46,33%
Iris Rezende (PMDB) - 36,38%
RIO GRANDE DO SUL
Tarso Genro (PT)
54,35%
SÃO PAULO
RIO DE JANEIRO
Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)
Sérgio Cabral (PMDB)
50,63%
66,08%
DISTRITO FEDERAL
Agnelo Queiroz (PT) - 48,41%
Weslian Roriz (PSC) - 31,50%
1ST ROUND
2ND ROUND
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 12
SPECIAL EDITION
Election decided in 18 States
PROJECTION
PARTY
CURRENT GOVERNORS
PMDB
PSDB
DEM
PT
PDT
PSB
PP
PMN
PPS
PTB
PSC
Total
9
6
0
4
0
4
2
1
1
0
0
27
ELECTED IN
1ST ROUND
4
4
2
4
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
18
MIN
MAX
4
4
2
4
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
-
7
9
2
6
1
6
1
1
1
1
1
-
I
n 18 states the election for governor was defined in the first round. PMDB,
PSDB and PT elected four governors each. Then there is the PSB (3), DEM (2),
and PMN (1).
The PSDB is the party that hás the most second round disputes. Five. Therefore it
can elect the most governors: 9. The PMDB is running in 3 states (Goiás, Paraíba and
Rondônia) and can reach 7. PSB is also in the run in three states (Piauí, Amapá and
PARAÍBA) and the PT in two (Para and DF).
1998
2002
2006
2010
REELECTION
19
15
19
REELECTED
12
10
13
%
63,15
66,66
72,22
20
10*
50
* Six governors Will run in the second round.
10 of 20 governors were reelected;
six are in the runoff
I
n these elections 20 governors were running for reelections, 10 were reelected and
6 are in the runoff. Three were defeated: Yeda Crusius (PSDB), in RS, Carlos Gaguim
(PMDB), in TO and Pedro Paulo (PP), in Amapá. Those that are in the second round
are Teotônio Vilela (PSDB), in Alagoas, Ana Julia Carepa (PT) in Para, João Cahulla (PPS)
in Rondônia, João Maranhão (PMDB) in Paraíba, Anchieta Junior (PSDB) in Roraima and
Wilson Martins (PSB) in Piauí.
The reelection rate was 50%, the lowest since 1998. The highest rate (72.22)
occurred in 2006. But IF the six governors in the runoff are elected, the reelection rate
Will be a Record 80%.
PSDB WINS IN
SP AND MG
Geraldo Alckmin
(PSDB)
The victories of the PSDB
in the first round in São
Payulo and Minas Gerais, the
largest electoral colleges of
the country strengthened
the party for the presidential runoff.
Geraldo Alckmin (SP) and
Antonio Anastásia (MG) may
dive into the presidential
campaign head first working
for a Serra victory in their
states.
In São Paulo, this mission
Will be easier, where Serra
already beat Dilma in the
first round (40.5% to 37.3%).
In Minas, there is an Unknown. Dilma’s advantage was
large. It Will depend on Aécio Neves’involvement. It
Will depend on whether Aécio, one of the options for
the PSDB for the 2014 presidential race, Will strive to
get Serra elected.
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 13
SPECIAL EDITION
WHO WAS ELECTED IN THE FIRST ROUND
MID
WEST
SOUTH
SOUTHEAST
NORTHEAST
NORTH
COLIGATION
PRB-PP-PDT-PT-PTB-PTN-PR-PSDC-PHS-PTC-PSB-PV-PRPPSOL-PC do B
PRB-PP-PTB-PMDB-PTN-PSC-DEM-PRTB-PHS-PMN-PTC-PRPPC do B
ELECTED/
REELECTED
AC
Tião Viana (PT)
AM
Omar Aziz (PMN)
TO
Siqueira Campos (PSDB)
MA
Roseana (PMDB)
CE
Cid Gomes (PSB)
RN
Rosalba Ciarlini (DEM)
PSL-PTN-PSC-DEM-PMN-PSDB
PE
Eduardo Campos (PSB)
PRB-PP-PDT-PT-PTB-PSL-PSC-PR-PSDC-PHS-PTC-PSB-PRPPCdoB-PTdoB
Reelected
SE
Marcelo Deda (PT)
PRB-PDT-PT-PMDB-PSL-PSC-PR-PTC-PSB-PCdoB
Reelected
BA
Jaques Wagner (PT)
PT-PP-PSB-PDT-PCdoB-PRB-PSL-PHS
Reelected
MG
Antonio Anastasia (PSDB)
ES
Renato Casagrande (PSB)
RJ
Sérgio Cabral (PMDB)
SP
Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)
PR
Beto Richa (PSDB)
SC
Raimundo Colombo (DEM)
PTB-PMDB-PSL-PSC-PPS-DEM-PTC-PRP-PSDB
Elected
RS
Tarso Genro (PT)
PT-PR-PSB-PCdoB
Elected
MS
André Puccinelli (PMDB)
PRB-PTB-PMDB-PTN-PR-PPS-DEM-PRTB-PHS-PMN-PTC-PSBPSDB-PT do B
PRB-PTB-PTN-PSC-PR-DEM-PRTB-PMN-PTC-PV-PSDB-PTdoB
PRB-PP-PT-PTB-PMDB-PSL-PTN-PSC-PR-DEM-PRTB-PMNPV-PRP-PT do B
PT-PSB-PCdoB-PDT-PMDB-PTB-PHS, PMN-PP-PRB-PRTBPSC-PSL-PTdoB-PTN
PRB-PP-PDT-PTB-PSL-PSC-PR-PPS-DEM-PSDC-PMN-PSBPSDB
PRB-PP-PDT-PT-PMDB-PTN-PSC-PR-PSDC-PHS-PTC-PSB-PVPRP-PC do B-PT do B
PP-PDT-PT-PTB-PMDB-PSL-PTN-PSC-PSDC-PRTB-PHS-PMNPTC-PSB-PRP-PCdoB
PMDB-PSC-PPS-DEM-PHS-PMN-PSDB
PRB-PP-PTB-PSL-PTN-PPS-DEM-PSDC-PHS-PMN-PTC-PSBPRP-PSDB
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 14
SPECIAL EDITION
WHERE THERE WILL BE A RUNOFF
COLIGATION
NORTH
RO
RR
PA
AP
NORTHEAST
PI
•
João Cahula (PPS)
PPS-PP
No poll available
•
Confúcio Moura (PMDB
PMDB-PDT-PCdoB
No poll available
• Neudo Campos (PP)
PP-PT-PTB-PSC-PHS-PTC-PSB
No poll available
• Anchieta Júnior (PSDB)
PMDB-PTN-PR-PPS-DEM-PSDB
No poll available
• Simão Jatene (PSDB)
PPS-DEM-PSDC-PRTB-PMN-PRP-PSDB
• Ana Júlia (PT)
PRB-PP-PDT-PT-PTB-PTN-PSC-PR-PHSPTC-PSB-PV-PCdoB-PTdoB
Simão Jatene (PSDB) 48% x 36%
Ana Júlia (PT)
*Fonte: Ibope (26 a 28.05)
• Lucas (PTB)
PTB-PCB-PSDC-PRTB-PMN-PTC-PRP
No poll available
• Camilo Capiberibe (PSB)
PT-PSB
No poll available
• Wilson Martins (PSB)
PRB-PT-PMDB-PTN-PR-PSB-PRP-PCdoB Wilson Martins (PSB) 47% x 39%
• Sílvio Mendes (PSDB)
PSC-PPS-DEM-PSDB
• Ricardo Coutinho (PSB)
PB
• José Maranhão (PMDB)
AL
MID
WEST
GO
POLL
• Ronaldo Lessa (PDT)
PDT-PTN-PPS-DEM-PTC-PSB-PV-PRPPSDB
PRB-PP-PT-PTB-PMDB-PSL-PSC-PRPHS-PMN-PCdoB-PTdoB
PDT-PT-PMDB-PR-PSDC-PRP-PC do
B-PT do B
• Teotônio Vilela Filho (PSDB)
PP-PSC-PPS-DEM-PSB-PSDB
• Marconi Perillo (PSDB)
PSDB-DEM-PHS-PMN-PPS-PRB-PRTBPSL-PTB-PTC-PTdoB
• Iris Rezende (PMDB)
PMDB-PT-PCdoB
• Agnelo Queiroz (PT)
PRB-PDT-PT-PTB-PMDB-PPS-PHS-PTCPSB-PRP-PC do B
• Weslia Roriz (PSC)
PP-PSC-PR-DEM-PSDC-PRTB-PMNPSDB-PT do B
DF
Sílvio Mendes (PSDB)
José Maranhão (PMDB) 44,9% x
38% Ricardo Coutinho (PSB)
*Fonte: Datavox (21 a 24.06)
Ronaldo Lessa (PDT) 45% x 34%
Teotônio Vilela Filho (PSDB)
*Fonte: IBRAPE 09 a 13.07.2010
Marconi Perillo (PSDB) 51,5% x
40,2% Iris Rezende (PMDB)
*Fonte: Serpes (07 a 10.09)
Angelo Queiroz (PT) 45% x 34%
Joaquim Roriz (PSC)
Angelo Queiroz (PT) 49% x 40%
Joaquim Roriz (PSC)
*Fonte: Datafolha (21 a 22.09)
ELECTIONS 2010
ELECTIONS TO SENATOR
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 16
SPECIAL EDITION
OPPOSITION SHRINKS IN THE SENATE
T
he parties that belong to President Lula’s base increased their representation in the Senate. Today they have
51 Senators. In the next legislature they Will be 60. The
opposition shrank from 30 to 21 Senators.
The PMDB Will be the largest party in the Senate. Aside
from the three senators with terms through 2015, it elected 16
more. In all there Will be 19. But it should reach 21. Rosalba
Ciarlini’s substitute is the father of Garibaldi Alves (PMDB).
Raimundo Colombo (DEM) was elected governor of SC and his
substitute is also of the PMDB.
The PT Will have the second largest number of seats, with
13 Senators. Renato Casagrande (PSB) was elected governor
of Espírito Santo and his subsitute is Ana Rita Esgario (PT). In
other words, the party may have 14 Senators.
The PMDB Will be the third largest with 10 senators. The
DEM, 6.
PMDB
18
MANDATE
THROUGH 2015
3
PT
9
2
11
13
PSB
2
1
3
4**
PDT
6
2
2
4
PTB
7
5
1
6
PSDB
14
5
5
10
DEM
14
6
2
8***
PCdoB
1
1
1
2
PSOL
1
0
2
2
PRB
2
0
1
1
PP
1
1
4
5
PSC
1
0
1
1
PV
1
0
0
0
PMN
0
0
1
1
PPS
0
0
1
1
PR
4
1
3
4
PARTY
CURRENT SEATS
ELECTED IN 2010
TOTAL SEATS
16
19*
* May reach 21 seators because Rosalba Ciarlini (governor elect of RN) and Raimundo Colombo (governor elect of SC) have PMDB deputies.
** Renato Casagrande (PSB) was elected governor of Espirito Santo. His deputy is Ana Rita Esgário (PT). The PSB’s seats go from 4 to 3 and the PT’s from 14 to 15.
*** Rosalba Ciarlini (DEM) and Raimundo Colombo (DEM) were elected governors of RN and SC. Their deputies are PMDB. The DEM seats go from 8 to 6.
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 17
SPECIAL EDITION
SENATORS ELECTED BY STATE
ACRE
Jorge Viana
(PT)
Nº of votes
204.200
37,75%
ALAGOAS
Randolfe
(PSOL)
Nº of votes
203.259
38,94%
AMAZONAS
BAHIA
CEARÁ
Gilvam Borges
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
121.015
23,19%
22,88%
Wlater Pinehiro
Lídice
(PT)
(PSB)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
3.630.944
3.385.300
31%
Renan Calheiros (PMDB) was elected for a third term
as the polls foreseen. The surprise was on the account
of Benedito de Lira (PP), which exceeded Heloisa Helena
(PSOL), who was running for second term of office.
33,42%
Eduardo Braga Vanessa Graziottin
(PMDB)
(PCdoB)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
1.235.831
672.051
42,07%
The Viana family continues to be present in the Senate with the election of Jorge Viana (PT), former governor
of the state. The other chair was stayed with Sergio Petecão (PMN), which is opposed to the PT group.
30,94%
Benedito de Lira
Renan
(PP)
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
904.345
840.809
33,94%
AMAPÁ
Petecão
(PMN)
Nº of votes
199.004
28,90%
Eunicio
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
2.688.833
Pimentel
(PT)
Nº of votes
2.397.851
36,32%
32,39%
The state has elected the only PSOL Senator in Brazil:
Randolfe. The second seet, for now, stayed with Gilvam
Borges (PMDB), who ran for reelection. However, the
position can change hands, since the candidacy of John
Capiberibe (PSB) awaits trial by the Electoral Court.
Former Governor Eduardo Braga (PMDB) won the first
round, as polls had predicted. The second seet was completed by representative Vanessa Grazziotin (PCdoB), leaving out one of the leading exponents of the opposition
in the Senate: a leader of the PSDB, Arthur Virgilho.
Governor Jaques Wagner (PT) elected two senators
from his plate. The PT member Jaques Wagner and the
socialist Walter Pinheiro Lidice da Mata left out César
Borges (PR). With the result, Jaques Wagner will have
three senators in the Senate allies.
Governor Jaques Wagner (PT) elected two senators
from his plate. The PT member Jaques Wagner and the
socialist Walter Pinheiro Lidice da Mata left out César
Borges (PR). With the result, Jaques Wagner will have
three senators in the Senate allies.
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 18
FEDERAL DISTRICT
ESPIRITO SANTO
Cristovam
Buarque (PT)
Nº of votes
833.480
Rollemberg
(PSB)
Nº of votes
738.575
37,27%
33,03%
Ricardo Ferraço
Magno Malta
(PMDB)
(PR)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
1.557.409
1.285.177
44,55%
GOIÁS
MARANHÃO
MATO GROSSO DO SUL
Lobão
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
1.707.599
MATO GROSSO
Delcídio
(PT)
Nº of votes
826.848
Moka
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
544.933
37,08%
MNAS GERAIS
João Alberto
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
1.545.866
29,74%
Blairo Maggi
(PR)
Nº of votes
1.072.995
Aécio Neves
(PSDB)
Nº of votes
7.565.377
39,40%
Former deputy governor Ricardo Ferraço (PMDB)
and Magno Malta (PR), Who ran for reelection, Will get
both seats. Both belong to the Bse of Renate Casagrande
(PSB).
The state reelected Demóstenes Torres (DEM) and
Lucia Vânia (PSDB). Both are parto f the coalition of SEnator Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Who Will run in the runoff
for governor against Iris Rezende (PMDB).
30,56%
32,73%
34,90%
No surprises. Cristovam Buarque (PDT), Who was
running for reelection, was elcted as well as the leader
of the PSB in the House, Rodrigo Rollemberg. Both are
allies of Agnelo Queiroz (PT), Who Will be in a runoff
with Weslian Roriz (PSC).
36,76%
Demostenes Torres Lúcia Vânia
(DEM)
(PSDB)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
2.158.812
1.496.559
44,09%
SPECIAL EDITION
The group tied to the Sarney family continues its hegemony in the Senate. Former minister of mines and
energy, Edison Lobão, Who ran for reelection and the
former vice governor João Alberto were elected. Both
are PMDB.
The state reelected Senator Delcídio Amaral (PT). The
other name chosen was rep. Waldemir Moka (PMDB), of
the same party as Andre Puccinelli.
23%
Pedro Taques
(PDT)
Nº of votes
708.402
Former governor Blairo Maggi (PR) took the first seat
as predicted. The surprise was the election of Pedro Taques (PDT). HE beat out former Senator Antero Paes de
Barros (PSDB) and federal rep. Carlos Abicalil (PT).
24,48%
Itamar Franco
(PPS)
Nº of votes
5.125.455
26,74%
Former governor Aécio Neves (PSDB) and former president Itamar France (PPS) won, as expected. Both beat
former mayor of Belo Horizonte Fernando Pimentel (PT).
The three state representatives Will be allies of the reelected governor, Antonio Anastásia (PT).
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 19
PARÁ
Flexa Ribeiro
(PSDB)
Nº of votes
1.815.685
67,71%
PARAÍBA
Vitalzinho
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
869.501
35,37%
PARANÁ
Gleisi
(PT)
Nº of votes
3.196.468
29,50%
PERNAMBUCO
Lindberg
(PT)
Nº of votes
4.213.749
28,65%
RIO GRANDE DO NORTE
Wilson Santiago
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
820.653
33,39%
Roberto Requião
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
2.691.557
24,84%
38,82
Wellington Dias Ciro Nogueira
(PT)
(PP)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
997.513
695.875
32,52%
RIO DE JANEIRO
27,17%
Armando Monteiro
Humberto
(PTB)
Costa (PT)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
3.142.930
3.059.818
39,87%
PIAUÍ
Marinor Brito
(PSOL)
Nº of votes
767.328
22,69%
Marcelo Crivella
(PRB)
Nº of votes
3.332.886
22,06%
Garibaldi A. Filho José Agripino
(PMDB)
(DEM)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
1.042.272
958.891
35%
32,23%
SPECIAL EDITION
Flexa Ribeiro (PSDB) won re-election by obtaining
67.73% of the votes. The second place went to Manior
Brito (PSOL) with 27.11%. However, the result can be modified because the votes of Jader Barbalho (PMDB) and
Paulo Rocha (PT) have not been counted beacuase of problems both with the Clean Record Bill.
The PMDB elected two senators: Congressmen Vitalzinho and Wilson Santiago. However, this result is not
definitive, since the candidacy of former governor Cassio
Cunha Lima (PSDB) is still pending judgment by the Electoral Court. Senator Efraim Morais (DEM), which attempted to reelection, was third.
A esposa do ministro Paulo Bernardo, Glesi Hoffman
(PT), e o ex-governador Roberto Requião (PMDB) foram
os dois senadores Electeds. O líder da Minora na Câmara,
Gustavo Fruet (PSDB), veio logo atrás seguido pelo também deputado federal Ricardo Barros (PP). A novidade
foi o fato de Glesi ter ficado à frente de Requião, que por
pouco não foi ultrapassado por Fruet.
Armando Monteiro Neto (PTB) and Humberto Costa
(PT), both allies of the Planalto Palace, were elected, respectively, with 39.8% and 38.7% of the votes. The result
was a significant defeat for Senator and former vice president, Marco Maciel (DEM), which was 11.9%.
The two senators elected were the former governor
Wellington Dias (PT) and Congressman Ciro Nogueira (PP).
The supreise was the defeat of the popular senator Mão
Santa (PSC), which attempted to reelection. Besides him,
Heráclito Fortes (DEM), also failed to reelection, taking
fourth place.
The two seets went to Lindberg Faria (PT), former
mayor of Nova Iguaçu, and Marcelo Crivella (PRB), who
won reelection. Both have left behind the Legislative Assembly President Jorge Picciani and former mayor of Rio
de Janeiro Cesar Maia (DEM).
Garibaldi Alves Filho (PMDB) and Jose Agripino Maia
(DEM) won reelection. Both are part of the coligation of
the governor elected, Rosalba Ciarlini (DEM), who also
holds the Senate seat. Noteworthy is the fact that the
former governor Vilma Faria (PSB) have been defeated.
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 20
RIO GRANDE DO SUL
RONDÔNIA
Paulo Paim
(PT)
Nº of votes
3.895.822
Ana Amélia Lemos
(PP)
Nº of votes
3.401.241
33,83%
29,54%
Valdir Raupp
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
821.284
Ivo Cassol
(PT)
Nº of votes
453.812
34,29%
RORAIMA
Romero Jucá
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
118.351
27,90%
SANTA CATARINA
SÃO PAULO
SERGIPE
Luiz Henrique
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
1.784.019
Ângela Portela
(PT)
Nº of votes
110.931
Paulo Bauer
(PSDB)
Nº of votes
1.588.403
25,32%
Aloysio Nunes
(PSDB)
Nº of votes
11.189.168
Marta Suplicy
(PT)
Nº of votes
9.313.027
30,42%
26,61%
Eduardo Amorim
Valadares
(PSC)
(PSB)
Nº of votes
Nº of votes
625.959
476.549
João Ribeiro
(PR)
Nº of votes
375.090
27,96%
After a slow start in the polls, Paulo Paim (PT) gree
in the final stretch and was reelected in first place. The
second seat went to newcomer Ana Amélia Lemos (PP).
Former governor Germano Rigotto (PMDB) was defeated.
Former governor Ivo Cassol (PP) was elected in first
place. The second seat went to Valdir Raupp (PMDB),
reelected. Senator Fátima Cleide (PT), Who was also
seeking reelection received votes below what was expected.
Romero Jucá (PMDB) was reelected for a third term.
Federal rep. Ângela Portela (PT) took the second seat.
She beat former first lady Marluce Pinto (PSDB), Who hás
already had a seat in the Senate.
26,15%
28,44%
33,65%
TOCANTINS
32,34%
SPECIAL EDITION
Former governor Luiz Henrique da Silveira (PMDB)
took the first seat. Paulo Bauer (PSDB) took the second,
beating federal rep. Claudio Vignatti (PT). Both are parto f the coalition of senator Raimundo Colombo (DEM),
Who was elected governor.
Aloysio Nunes Ferreira (PSDB), Who was in third in
the polls was able to get the top spot. Marta Suplicy (PT)
got the second seat. Netinho de Paula (PCdoB), Who was
second in the polls, lost.
Eduardo Amorim’s (PSC) first place victory was the
highlight. Anotion Carlos Valadares (PSB) Who was in
the lead, was reelected in second place. Former governor Albano Franco (PSDB) came in third.
25,62%
Marcelo Miranda
(PMDB)
Nº of votes
340.931
25,41%
João Ribeiro (PR) was reelected for a second term.
With votes below expected, former governor Marcelo
Miranda (PMDB) took the second seat. Federal rep. Vicentinho Alves (PR) came in third.
ELECTIONS 2010
ELECTIONS TO THE HOUSE
OF REPRESETATIVES
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 22
SPECIAL EDITION
EVOLUTION OF THE MAIN PARTIES
O
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
49
58
91
83
88
89
98
84
65
43
107
87
73
89
79
62
94
72
65
53
52
53
49
42
41
13
22
26
23
41
31
33
26
22
20
15
16
24
27
34
34
16
21
24
28
2
12
15
21
12
10
10
12
13
15
0
0
6
2
0
1
0
5
13
16
3
0
3
0
0
0
6
3
0
0
4
0
1
3
4
3
0
1
9
17
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0
1
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
36
0
0
0
0
f the 407 representatives vying for reelection, 284 were
successful. Renewal was 44.6% (229 new) which is below the historial average of the last five elections.
The PT was the party that elected the most federal reps: 88.
In second place is the PMDB with 79. The PSDB, DEM and PPS
– reduced their numbers. The Toucans with 59 seats, fell to 53.
The Democrats feel from 56 to 43. The leftist allied government
base (PT, PSB, PDT and PCdoB) all grew.
There was a reduction in the Center (PMDB and PTB). Parties to the right (PR, PP and PSC) remained stable.
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 23
SPECIAL EDITION
REPRESENTATIVES (2011-2015* LEGISLATURE)
ACRE
ANTONIA LUCIA (PSC)
Elected
FLAVIANO MELO (PMDB)
GLADSON CAMELI (PP)
HENRIQUE AFONSO (PV)
MARCIO BITTAR (PSDB)
PERPÉTUA ALMEIDA (PC DO B)
SIBA MACHADO (PT)
TAUMATURGO (PT)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
ALAGOAS
ARTHUR LIRA (PP)
CELIA ROCHA (PTB)
GIVALDO CARIMBÃO (PSB)
JOÃO LYRA (PTB)
JOAQUIM BELTRÃO (PMDB)
MAURÍCIO QUINTELLA (PR)
RENAN FILHO (PMDB)
ROSINHA DA ADEFAL (PT DO B)
RUI PALMEIRA (PSDB)
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
AMAPÁ
BALA ROCHA (PDT)
DAVI ALCOLUMBRE (DEM)
EVANDRO MILHOMEM (PCdoB)
FATIMA PELAES (PMDB)
PROF MARCIVANIA (PT)
PROFESSORA DALVA (PT)
ROCHA DO SUCATAO (PT)
VINICIUS (PRTB)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
AMAZONAS
ÁTILA LINS (PMDB)
CARLOS SOUZA (PP)
FRANCISCO PRACIANO (PT)
HENRIQUE OLIVEIRA (PR)
PAUDERNEY (DEM)
REBECCA GARCIA (PP)
SABINO CASTELO BRANCO (PTB)
SILAS CÂMARA (PSC)
* Ending in January 31st, 2015.
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
BAHIA
ACM NETO (DEM)
AFONSO (PT)
ALICE PORTUGAL (PCDOB)
AMAURI TEIXEIRA (PT)
ANTONIO BRITO (PTB)
ANTONIO IMBASSAHY (PSDB)
ARTHUR MAIA (PMDB)
CLAUDIO CAJADO (DEM)
DANIEL ALMEIDA (PC DO B)
EDSON PIMENTA (PCDOB)
ERIVELTON SANTANA (PSC)
FABIO SOUTO (DEM)
FELIX JR (PDT)
FERNANDO TORRES (DEM)
GERALDO SIMÕES (PT)
JÂNIO NATAL (PRP)
JOAO BACELAR (PR)
JOÃO LEÃO (PP)
JOSE CARLOS ARAUJO (PDT)
JOSÉ NUNES (DEM)
JOSE ROCHA (PR)
JOSIAS GOMES (PT)
JUTAHY MAGALHÃES JÚNIOR (PSDB)
LUCIO VIEIRA LIMA (PMDB)
LUIZ ALBERTO (PT)
LUIZ ARGÔLO (PP)
MÁRCIO MARINHO (PRB)
MARCOS MEDRADO (PDT)
MÁRIO NEGROMONTE (PP)
MAURICIO TRINDADE (PR)
NELSON PELLEGRINO (PT)
OZIEL OLIVEIRA (PDT)
PAULO MAGALHÃES (DEM)
ROBERTO BRITTO (PP)
RUI COSTA (PT)
SERGIO BRITO (PSC)
VALMIR ASSUNÇÃO (PT)
WALDENOR (PT)
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 24
ZÉZEU (PT)
Reelected
CEARÁ
ANDRE FIGUEIREDO (PDT)
ANIBAL (PMDB)
ARIOSTO HOLANDA (PSB)
ARNON BEZERRA (PTB)
ARTUR BRUNO (PT)
BALMAN (PSB)
CHICO LOPES (PCDOB)
DANILO FORTE (PMDB)
DOMINGOS NETO (PSB)
EDSON SILVA (PSB)
EUDES XAVIER (PT)
GENECIAS (PMDB)
GORETE PEREIRA (PR)
GUIMARÃES (PT)
JOAO ANANIAS (PCDOB)
JOSÉ AIRTON (PT)
MARIO FEITOZA (PMDB)
MAURO BENEVIDES (PMDB)
PADRE ZE (PP)
RAIMUNDÃO (PMDB)
RAIMUNDO MATOS (PSDB)
VICENTE ARRUDA (PR)
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
DISTRITO FEDERAL
IZALCI (PR)
JAQUELINE RORIZ (PMN)
LUIZ PITIMAN (PMDB)
MAGELA (PT)
PAULO TADEU (PT)
REGUFFE (PDT)
RONALDO FONSECA (PR)
ÉRIKA KOKAY (PT)
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
ESPÍRITO SANTO
AUDIFAX (PSB)
CESAR COLNAGO (PSDB)
DR.JORGE LOPES (PDT)
IRINY LOPES (PT)
LAURIETE (PT)
LELO COIMBRA (PMDB)
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
SPECIAL EDITION
MANATO (PDT)
PAULO FOLETTO (PSB)
ROSE DE FREITAS (PMDB)
SUELI VIDIGAL (PDT)
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
GOIÁS
ARMANDO VERGÍLIO (PMN)
CARLOS ALBERTO LEREIRA (PSDB)
DONA ÍRIS (PMDB)
FLÁVIA MORAIS (PDT)
HEULER CRUVINEL (DEM)
JOÃO CAMPOS (PSDB)
JOVAIR ARANTES (PTB)
LEANDRO VILELA (PMDB)
LEONARDO VILELA (PSDB)
PEDRO CHAVES (PMDB)
ROBERTO BALESTRA (PP)
RONALDO CAIADO (DEM)
RUBENS OTONI (PT)
SANDRO MABEL (PR)
SANDES JUNIOR (PP)
THIAGO PEIXOTO (PMDB)
VILMAR ROCHA (DEM)
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
MARANHÃO
ALBERTO FILHO (PMDB)
CARLOS BRANDÃO (PSDB)
CLEBER VERDE (PRB)
DOMINGOS DUTRA (PT)
EDIVALDO HOLANDA JÚNIOR (PTC)
GASTÃO VIEIRA (PMDB)
HÉLIO SANTOS (PSDB)
LOURIVAL MENDES (PMDB)
LUCIANO MOREIRA (PMDB)
NICE LOBÃO (DEM)
PEDRO FERNANDES (PTB)
PEDRO NOVAIS (PMDB)
PINTO ITAMARATY (PSDB)
PROFESSOR SETIMO (PMDB)
RIBAMAR ALVES (PSB)
SARNEY FILHO (PV)
WALDIR MARANHÃO (PP)
ZÉ VIEIRA (PR)
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 25
MATO GROSSO
CARLOS BEZERRA (PMDB)
ELIENE LIMA (PP)
HOMERO PEREIRA (PR)
JULIO CAMPOS (DEM)
NILSON LEITÃO (PSDB)
SAGUAS (PT)
VALTENIR PEREIRA (PSB)
WELLINGTON FAGUNDES (PR)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
MATO GROSSO DO SUL
BIFFI (PT)
FABIO TRAD (PMDB)
GERALDO RESENDE (PMDB)
GIROTO (PR)
MANDETTA (DEM)
MARÇAL FILHO (PMDB)
REINALDO AZAMBUJA (PSDB)
VANDER (PT)
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
MINAS GERAIS
ADEMIR CAMILO (PDT)
AELTON FREITAS (PR)
ALEXANDRE SILVEIRA (PPS)
ANTÔNIO ANDRADE (PMDB)
ANTÔNIO ROBERTO (PV)
ARACELY DE PAULA (PR)
BERNARDO SANTANA (PR)
BILAC PINTO (PR)
CARLAILE PEDROSA (PSDB)
CARLOS MELLES (DEM)
DIEGO ANDRADE (PR)
DIMAS FABIANO (PP)
DOMINGOS SÁVIO (PSDB)
DR. GRILO (PSL)
EDUARDO AZEREDO (PSDB)
EDUARDO BARBOSA (PSDB)
EROS BIONDINI (PTB)
FABINHO RAMALHO (PV)
GABRIEL GUIMARÃES (PT)
GEORGE HILTON (PRB)
GERALDO THADEU (PPS)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
SPECIAL EDITION
GILMAR MACHADO (PT)
JAIMINHO MARTINS (PR)
JÔ MORAES (PCDOB)
JOAO MAGALHÃES (PMDB)
JOSE HUMBERTO (PHS)
JULIO DELGADO (PSB)
LAEL VARELLA (DEM)
LEONARDO MONTEIRO (PT)
LEONARDO QUINTAO (PMDB)
LINCOLN PORTELA (PR)
LUIS TIBE (PT DO B)
LUIZ FERNANDO (PP)
MARCIO REINALDO (PP)
MARCOS MONTES (DEM)
MARCUS PESTANA (PSDB)
MARIO DE OLIVEIRA (PSC)
MAURO LOPES (PMDB)
MIGUEL CORREA (PT)
NARCIO (PSDB)
NEWTON CARDOSO (PMDB)
ODAIR CUNHA (PT)
PADRE JOAO (PT)
PAULO ABI ACKEL (PSDB)
PAULO PIAU (PMDB)
REGINALDO LOPES (PT)
RENZO BRAZ (PP)
RODRIGO DE CASTRO (PSDB)
SARAIVA FELIPE (PMDB)
TONINHO PINHEIRO (PP)
WALTER TOSTA (PMN)
WELITON PRADO (PT)
ZÉ SILVA (PDT)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
PARÁ
ARNALDO JORDY (PPS)
ASDRUBAL BENTES (PMDB)
BETO FARO (PT)
ELCIONE BARBALHO (PMDB)
GIOVANNI QUEIROZ (PDT)
JOSUE BENGTSON (PTB)
LIRA MAIA (DEM)
LÚCIO VALE (PR)
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 26
MIRIQUINHO BATISTA (PT)
NILSON PINTO (PSDB)
PRIANTE (PMDB)
PUTY (PT)
WANDENKOLK GONÇALVES (PSDB)
WLADIMIR COSTA (PMDB)
ZÉ GERALDO (PT)
ZENALDO COUTINHO (PSDB)
ZEQUINHA MARINHO (PSC)
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
PARAÍBA
AGUINALDO RIBEIRO (PP)
BEJAMIM MARANHÃO (PMDB)
DR. DAMIÃO (PDT)
EFRAIM FILHO (DEM)
HUGO MOTTA (PMDB)
LUIZ COUTO (PT)
MANOEL JUNIOR (PMDB)
NILDA GONDIM (PMDB)
ROMERO RODRIGUES (PSDB)
RUY CARNEIRO (PSDB)
WELLINGTON ROBERTO (PR)
WILSON FILHO (PMDB)
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
PARANÁ
ALEX CANZIANI (PTB)
ALFREDO KAEFER (PSDB)
ANDRÉ VARGAS (PT)
ANDRÉ ZACHAROW (PMDB)
ANGELO VANHONI (PT)
ASSIS DO COUTO (PT)
CEZAR SILVESTRI (PPS)
CIDA BORGHETTI (PP)
DELEGADO FRANCISCHINI (PSDB)
DILCEU SPERAFICO (PP)
DR ROSINHA (PT)
EDMAR ARRUDA (PSC)
EDUARDO SCIARRA (DEM)
GIACOBO (PR)
HAULY (PSDB)
HERMES PARCIANELLO
FRANGAO (PMDB)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
SPECIAL EDITION
JOÃO ARRUDA (PMDB)
LEOPOLDO MEYER (PSB)
LUPION (DEM)
MICHELETTO (PMDB)
NELSON MEURER (PP)
NELSON PADOVANI (PSC)
OSMAR SERRAGLIO (PMDB)
RATINHO JUNIOR (PSC)
REINHOLD STEPHANES (PMDB)
ROSANE FERREIRA (PV)
RUBENS BUENO (PPS)
SANDRO ALEX (PPS)
TAKAYAMA (PSC)
ZECA DIRCEU (PT)
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
PERNAMBUCO
ANA ARRAES (PSB)
ANDERSON FERREIRA (PR)
AUGUSTO COUTINHO (DEM)
BRUNO ARAUJO (PSDB)
CADOCA (PSC)
DANILO CABRAL (PSB)
EDUARDO DA FONTE (PP)
FERNANDO FERRO (PT)
FERNANDO FILHO (PSB)
GONZAGA PATRIOTA (PSB)
INOCENCIO OLIVEIRA (PR)
JOAO PAULO (PT)
JORGE CORTE REAL (PTB)
JOSE CHAVES (PTB)
LUCIANA SANTOS (PC DO B)
MAURICIO RANDS (PT)
MENDONÇA (DEM)
PASTOR EURICO (PSB)
PAULO RUBEM (PDT)
PEDRO EUGENIO (PT)
RAUL HENRY (PMDB)
ROBERTO TEIXEIRA (PP)
SERGIO GUERRA (PSDB)
SILVIO COSTA (PTB)
WOLNEY QUEIROZ (PDT)
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 27
PIAUÍ
ASSIS CARVALHO (PT)
ÁTILA LIRA (PSB)
HUGO NAPOLEÃO (DEM)
IRACEMA PORTELA (PP)
JESUS RODRIGUES (PT)
JULIO CESAR (DEM)
MARCELO CASTRO (PMDB)
MARLLOS SAMPAIO (PMDB)
OSMAR JÚNIOR (PC DO B)
PAES LANDIM (PTB)
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
RIO DE JANEIRO
ADRIAN (PMDB)
ALESSANDRO MOLON (PT)
ALEXANDRE CARDOSO (PSB)
ALEXANDRE SANTOS (PMDB)
ANDREIA ZITO (PSDB)
AROLDE DE OLIVEIRA (DEM)
AUREO (PRTB)
BENEDITA (PT)
BITTAR (PT)
CHICO ALENCAR (PSOL)
DR ADILSON SOARES (PR)
DR ALUIZIO (PV)
DR PAULO CESAR (PR)
EDSON SANTOS (PT)
EDUARDO CUNHA (PMDB)
EZEQUIEL (PMDB)
FELIPE BORNIER (PHS)
FILIPE PEREIRA (PSC)
FRANCISCO FLORIANO (PR)
GAROTINHO (PR)
GLAUBER (PSB)
HUGO LEAL (PSC)
JAIR BOLSONARO (PP)
JANDIRA FEGHALI (PC DO B)
JEAN WYLLYS (PSOL)
JULIO LOPES (PP)
LEONARDO PICCIANI (PMDB)
LILIAM SA (PR)
LUIZ SERGIO (PT)
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
SPECIAL EDITION
MARCELO MATOS (PDT)
MIRO TEIXEIRA (PDT)
NEILTON MULIM (PR)
OTAVIO LEITE (PSDB)
PAULO FEIJO (PR)
PEDRO PAULO (PMDB)
RODRIGO BETHLEM (PMDB)
RODRIGO MAIA (DEM)
ROMÁRIO (PSB)
SERGIO ZVEITER (PDT)
SIMAO SESSIM (PP)
SIRKIS (PV)
STEPAN NERCESSIAN (PPS)
VITOR PAULO (PRB)
WALNEY ROCHA (PTB)
WASHINGTON REIS (PMDB)
ZOINHO (PR)
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
RIO GRANDE DO NORTE
BETINHO ROSADO (DEM)
FÁBIO FARIA (DEM)
FÁTIMA BEZERRA (PT)
FELIPE MAIA (DEM)
HENRIQUE EDUARDO ALVES (PMDB)
JOÃO MAIA (PR)
PAULO WAGNER (PV)
SANDRA ROSADO (PSB)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
RIO GRANDE DO SUL
MANUELA D`ÁVILA (PCDOB)
BETO ALBUQUERQUE (PSB)
LUIS CARLOS HEINZE (PP)
DANRLEI DE DEUS GOLEIRO (PTB)
PAULO PIMENTA (PT)
HENRIQUE FONTANA (PT)
OSMAR TERRA (PMDB)
VILSON COVATTI (PP)
MARCO MAIA (PT)
PEPE VARGAS (PT)
DARCÍSIO PERONDI (PMDB)
GIOVANI CHERINI (PDT)
JOSÉ OTÁVIO GERMANO (PP)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 28
MENDES RIBEIRO FILHO (PMDB)
RENATO MOLLING (PP)
DIONILSO MARCON (PT)
RONALDO ZULKE (PT)
AFONSO HAMM (PP)
SÉRGIO MORAES (PTB)
NÉLSON MARCHEZAN JÚNIOR
(PSDB)
ENIO BACCI (PDT)
ELVINO BOHN GASS (PT)
FERNANDO MARRONI (PT)
BUSATO (PTB)
JERONIMO GOERGEN (PP)
ONYX (DEM)
ALCEU MOREIRA (PMDB)
VIEIRA DA CUNHA (PDT)
ASSIS MELO (PCDOB)
STEDILE (PSB)
DR.ALEXANDRE ROSO (PSB)
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
RONDÔNIA
CARLOS MAGNO (PP)
DR. MAURO NAZIF (PSB)
LINDOMAR GARÇON (PV)
MARCOS ROGÉRIO (PDT)
MARINHA RAUPP (PMDB)
MOREIRA MENDES (PPS)
NILTON CAPIXABA (PTB)
PADRE TON (PT)
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
RORAIMA
BERINHO BANTIM (PSDB)
CHICO DAS VERDURAS (PRP)
EDIO LOPES (PMDB)
JOHNATHAN DE JESUS (PRB)
LUCIANO CASTRO (PR)
PAULO CESAR QUARTIERO (DEM)
RAUL LIMA (PP)
TERESA JUCÁ (PMDB)
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
SANTA CATARINA
CELSO MALDANER (PMDB)
Reelected
SPECIAL EDITION
COLATTO (PMDB)
DÉCIO LIMA (PT)
EDINHO BEZ (PMDB)
ESPERIDIÃO AMIN (PP)
JOÃO RODRIGUES (DEM)
JORGE BOEIRA (PT)
JORGINHO MELLO (PSDB)
MARCO TEBALDI (PSDB)
MAURO MARIANI (PMDB)
ONOFRE AGOSTINI (DEM)
PAULO BORNHAUSEN (DEM)
PEDRO UCZAI (PT)
PENINHA (PMDB)
RONALDO BENEDET (PMDB)
ZONTA (PP)
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
SÃO PAULO
ABELARDO CAMARINHA (PSB)
ALDO REBELO (PCDOB)
ALEXANDRE LEITE (DEM)
ALINE CORREA (PP)
ANTONIO BULHÕES (PRB)
ARLINDO CHINAGLIA (PT)
ARNALDO FARIA DE SÁ (PTB)
ARNALDO JARDIM (PPS)
BRUNA FURLAN (PSDB)
CARLINHOS ALMEIDA (PT)
CARLOS SAMPAIO (PSDB)
DELEGADO PROTÓGENES (PCDOB)
DEVANIR RIBEIRO (PT)
DIB (PSDB)
DIMAS RAMALHO (PPS)
DR.SINVAL MALHEIROS (PV)
DUARTE NOGUEIRA (PSDB)
EDINHO ARAUJO (PMDB)
EDSON APARECIDO (PSDB)
ELI CORREA FILHO (DEM)
EMANUEL FERNANDES (PSDB)
FILIPPI (PT)
GABRIEL CHALITA (PSB-SP)
GUILHERME CAMPOS (DEM)
GUILHERME MUSSI (PV)
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Political Scenarios
Nº 154 IVAN VALENTE (PSOL)
JATENE PIETÁ (PT)
JEFFERSON CAMPOS (PSB)
JILMAR TATTO (PT)
JOÃO DADO (PDT)
JOÃO PAULO CUNHA (PT)
JONAS DONIZETTE (PSB)
JORGE TADEU (DEM)
JOSÉ ANÍBAL (PSDB)
JOSÉ MENTOR (PT)
JULIO SEMEGHINI (PSDB)
JUNJI ABE (DEM)
LUIZ FERNANDO MACHADO (PSDB)
LUIZA ERUNDINA (PSB-SP)
MARA GABRIELLI (PSDB)
MARCELO AGUIAR (PMDB)
MÁRCIO FRANÇA (PR)
MARCO FELICIANO (PSB)
MILTON MONTI (PR)
MISSIONÁRIO JOSÉ OLIMPIO (PP)
NELSON MARQUEZELLI (PTB)
NEWTON LIMA NETO (PT)
OTA (PSB)
OTONIEL LIMA (PRB)
PAULINHO DA FORÇA (PDT)
PAULO FREIRE (PR)
PAULO TEIXEIRA (PT)
PENNA (PV)
RICARDO BERZOINI (PT)
RICARDO IZAR (PV)
ROBERTO DE LUCENA (PV)
ROBERTO FREIRE (PPS)
ROBERTO SANTIAGO (PV)
RODRIGO GARCIA (DEM)
SALVADOR ZIMBALDI (PDT)
THAME (PSDB)
TIRIRICA (PR)
TRIPOLI (PSDB)
VACAREZZA (PT)
VALDEMAR COSTA NETO (PR)
VANDERLEI SIRAQUE (PT)
VAZ DE LIMA (PSDB)
29
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
SPECIAL EDITION
VICENTE CANDIDO (PT)
VICENTINHO (PT)
ZARATTINI (PT)
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
SERGIPE
ALMEIDA LIMA (PMDB)
ANDRE MOURA (PSC)
FABIO REIS (PMDB)
LAERCIO OLIVEIRA (PR)
MARCIO MACEDO (PT)
MENDONÇA PRADO (DEM)
PASTOR HELENO (PRB)
VALADARES FILHO (PSB)
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Reelected
TOCANTINS
AGNOLIN (PDT)
CÉSAR HALUM (PPS)
EDUARDO GOMES (PSDB)
IRAJÁ ABREU (DEM)
JÚNIOR COIMBRA (PMDB)
LAUREZ MOREIRA (PSB)
LÁZARO BOTELHO (PP)
PROFESSORA DORINHA (DEM)
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Elected
Elected
Reelected
Reelected
Elected

presidential election

Transcrição

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