CHUVA Project

Transcrição

CHUVA Project
A NOWCASTING SYSTEM USING SATELLITE AND
RADAR DATA: THE CHUVA PROJECT
EXPERIENCE
Luiz Augusto Machado
Chuva Science Team
CHUVA Project:
Cloud processes of tHe main precipitation
systems in Brazil:
A contribUtion to cloud resolVing modeling
and to the GPM (GlobAl Precipitation
Measurement)
6
CHUVA Project: Main Goals
WORKING GROUP–1: CHARACTERISTICS OF THE PRECIPITATING SYSTEMS AS FUNCTION OF THE
REGION AND LIFE STAGE (Luiz Machado)
WORKING GROUP–2: PRECIPITATION ESTIMATION – DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION ALGORITHM
(Daniel Vila)
WORKING GROUP–3: ELETRIFICATION PROCESS: MOVING FROM CLOUDS TO THUNDERSTORMS
(Carlos Morales)
WORKING GROUP–4: CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER FOR DIFFERENT CLOUD
PROCESSES AND PRECIPITATION REGIMES (Gilberto Fisch)
WORKING GROUP–5: MODEL IMPROVEMENTS AND VALIDATION, WITH FOCUS IN CLOUD
MICROPHYSICS AND AEROSOL INTERACTIONS, FOR SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES IN
BRAZIL (Maria SilvaDias)
• Contributes to Improve Rainfall Estimation Using Satellites and/or
Radar
• Contributes to Improve Skill of Cloud Resolving Models
• Develop a Cloud Process Climatology of the Main Precipitation
Systems in Brazil.
• Develop Tools for Nowcasting.
CHUVA Field Campaign Schedule
CHUVA Portal: http://chuvaproject.cptec.inpe.br/portal/en/
Field Campaign
and SOS
System
Fortaleza Campaign – System running in Civil Defense
Risk areas (flood,
landslide)
FORTALEZA SYSTEM
Flooding
simulation
Risk areas
FORTALEZA SYSTEM
Belem Campaign – Running in Meteorological Department at the University
Together with Weather Service and Amazonas Surveillance System
BELÉM SYSTEM
Severe Weather Monitoring System (SOS)
SOS -Chuva Project
CHUVA Project provides the SOS system, it is a pilot
project for integrating environmental information enabling
the optimization and assist planing of Defense Civil actions.
GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM):
Pre-Launch Algorithm Validation-CHUVA Campaign Report
Contribution to the
CHUVA Campaign
XPOL radar
S-Band radars
lightning
satellite
forecast
São José dos Campos System – sources of information
XPOL radar – 100km radius (ring every 25km)
XPOL and S-Band (yellow) radar 250km radius (ring every 50km)
XPOL, S-Band and S-Band (orange) radars - 250km radius (ring every 50km)
Last Three Days Rainfall - Colors represent the warming status (as defined by Civil Defence)
Rainfall data + cartography map = fast assimilation of current situation
Each point contain information about rainfall accumulated in 3 days
System can also provide a list of neighborhoods sorted by rainfall
New Features being Introduced in SOS/ForTraCC
•
Multichannel Satellite Winds – Inner Cloud Top Structures
High resolution winds computed from Brightness Temperature Difference
Convective Cloud Top Features.(submitted to IJRS - Negri, Machado, Borde)
•
Lightning Parameterization – ForTraCC
Parameterization as function of size, TB and
Area expansion been including in Fortracc
(Mattos and Machado – ICAE 2011)
• The use of Brightness Temperature Difference
To classify Cloud Reflectivity Profile
(Lima and Machado, submitted to IJRS)
Figure 5. Histogramas das diferenças a) BTD10.8-3.9n, b) BTD10.8-3.9d , c) BTD6.2-10.8, d) BTD8.7- 10.8 , e e)
BTD10.8-12 para os seis centróides Bright Band Stratiform Clouds.
New Features being Introduced in SOS/ForTraCC
•
Rain Cells Propagation
•
Radar Severity Index
VIL ( kg / m ²)
DVIL ( g / m ³)
MAXREF
( dBZ )
ALTMAXREF
+
+
+
5 × 21
5 × 1, 4
5 × 52
5 × 3 ,6
ALTWALDVOG
EL ( km )
5 × 4 ,2
ÍNDICE
•
=
( km )
+
Rain Cells Cloud Top Rate and Area Expansion – Dynamic Severity Index
Conclusions
• CHUVA nowcasting test bed is proving the
efficiency of free access of real time data
and products to the population.
• SOS-ForTraCC is being tested and
validaded showing very promise results.
• New products and different access levels
(Science, Civil Defense and Population) to
SOS Fortracc is a very important tool for
science and disaster reduction effects.
Thank You
Next CHUVA Campaign – NovemberDecember 2012 – Southern Brazil

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