The Americas Report
Transcrição
The Americas Report
The Americas Report From the Menges Hemispheric Security Project Center for Security Policy Vol. Nº 4 – Issue 33–August 14, 2008 Argentina Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador El Salvador Bolivia Brazil Canada Chile Colombia The Americas Report is the continuation of the work of Dr. Constantine C. Menges’ original Americas Report. For almost two years that report chronicled the efforts of the Castro-Chavez axis and their allies in their efforts to undermine the new spirit of democracy and freedom in Latin America, in favor of autocratic forms of regimes throughout the Western Hemisphere. The report also monitors events in the area as they effect regional and US security in this era characterized by the emergence of terrorist groups of global reach seeking international influence. The current Americas Report and the Menges Hemispheric Security Project of which it is a part will continue to support genuine democracy, free trade and the fostering of strong inter-American relationships as well as exposing growing tyrannies in the area. Nancy Menges Editor in Chief - “Americas Report” Costa Rica Nicaragua Panama Paraguay Nicole M. Ferrand Editor - “Americas Report” For any questions, comments, or those interested in receiving this report or seeking to have their email removed from our list please contact Nicole Ferrand at: [email protected] or [email protected]. Peru Guatemala New Feature – Visit our Blog at: http://themengesproject.blogspot.com/ The United States and leave us your comments! Haiti Honduras Mexico Highlighted Story- China’s Control of the Panama Canal Revisited. By Yojiro Konno with Nancy Menges. China’s increasing influence in the Western Hemisphere has been of growing interest to lawmakers on Capitol Hill. In fact, on June 11, 2008, the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere held a hearing entitled “The New Challenge: China in the Western Hemisphere.” i In the hearing, experts on Latin America pointed out that total trade between China and the Latin American and Caribbean region skyrocketed from $8.2 billion to $102 billion in less than ten years. Furthermore, those testifying mentioned that Chinese President Hu Jintao’s visit to several Latin American countries in 2004 underscored China’s increased presence in the hemisphere. During his visit, Hu stated that China would invest $100 billion in the region over the next decade. Uruguay Venezuela 1 Over the past years, several Latin American countries that had no diplomatic ties with the People’s Republic of China have now established them. For instance, in 2007, Costa Rica aborted its ties with Taiwan and established diplomatic relations with the People’s Republic of China, primarily for economic and financial reasons. ii However, the most important indicator of China’s growing influence is its control over the ports at both ends of the Panama Canal. China has been operating these ports since 2000 and their influence inside Panama has grown as indicated by a bill submitted last year to the legislature that mandates teaching Mandarin in all Panamanian public schools. iii Currently the Panama Ports Company, iv a subsidiary of Hutchison Whampoa Ltd., v has exclusive and extensive rights to control both ends of the Panama Canal. Hutchison Whampoa is a Chinese company owned by Hong Kong billionaire, Li KaShing, who has strong ties with Beijing. Considering Li’s close ties with the Chinese government, it is highly plausible that Hutchison Whampoa has the potential to act as Beijing’s political agent and that their possession of the ports at either end of the Panama Canal constitutes a serious U.S. national security issue. Li Ka-Shing: owner of Hutchison Whampoa Source: SMH. Chinese President, Hu Jintao. Source: Top News. Brief Overview of the History of Panama Canal The Panama Canal was established in 1914 under the leadership of the United States. The Hay-Bunau Varilla Treaty in 1903 granted a right to the United States to build and administer the canal and the surrounding areas indefinitely. However, because this treaty was signed without the consent of the Panamanians, it became a contentious diplomatic issue between Panama and the United States. The Panamanian dissatisfaction toward U.S. control over the Canal Zone reached a peak in January of 1964, when riots over sovereignty of the Canal Zone broke out. Responding to such protests, in 1977 President Carter signed the Neutrality Treaty and the Panama Canal Treaty. Under the Neutrality Treaty, Panama became obliged to guarantee the neutrality of the Canal Zone. In exchange, under the Panama Canal Treaty, the US promised to withdraw from the Canal Zone by the end of 1999 and guaranteed that Panama would assume full sovereignty over the area in 2000. Hutchison Whampoa’s Control over the Panama Canal and Panama Law No.5 However, in 1996, Panama decided to auction the rights to manage the canal to a private company. Despite the fact that the Chinese company’s bid came in fourth after the Japanese firm, Kawasaki/I.T.S., the U.S. firm, Bechtel, and the Panamanian American company, M.I.T, vi Panama awarded the contract to China’s 2 Hutchinson Whampoa. A published report claimed that “Panama preemptively closed the bidding, secretly changed the rules,” and “simply awarded the contract to Hutchison Whampoa.” vii According to Constantine Menges, who headed the Latin American desk at the NSC during the Reagan Administration, “China was determined to win the bidding process and used corrupt means to influence the government of Panama in its favor.” viii In fact, a 1996 cable to the U.S. Embassy in Panama reported that just before the bidding, Beijing gave $400 million to Hutchison Whampoa through a state-run investment company, China Resources Enterprise, ix a company which was identified by Senator Fred Thompson as “an agent of espionage—economic, military, and political—for China” and “has reportedly served as an intelligence-collection front for China.” x William J. Hughes, the U.S. ambassador to Panama, and Senator Trent Lott objected to the ‘unorthodox’ bidding process and called for an investigation, but in vain. (See “The Americas Report” April 10, 2008. Article by Nicole M. Ferrand.) Thus in January of 1997, through a state-contract called “Panama Law No.5,” xi Panama officially granted the right to control the canal xii to Hutchison Whampoa. Panama Law No. 5 also promised that at the end of the Panama Canal Treaty, “the areas, facilities, and installations” occupied by the Panama Canal Commission and the United States shall be turned over to Hutchison Whampoa (Clause 2.23.g). In other words, Hutchison Whampoa controls not only the ports at both ends of the canal, but also the surrounding areas the United States used to control, including the former U.S. Rodman Naval Station (Clause 2.1) and the former U.S. Albrook Air Force Base. xiii The length of the lease to Hutchinson Whampoa is 25 years with an automatic renewal for another 25 years (Clause 2.9). According to Panama Law No.5, Panama gave extensive and exclusive rights to Hutchison Whampoa. The document says, “During the life of this contract and its extension, THE COMPANY shall have the exclusive right to develop, construct, operate, administer and manage THE Ports” xiv (Emphasis added). Hutchison Whampoa’s rights include: a right to “fence in, at any time, and entirely at its discretion, the area referred to here in as the Bonded Area xv (Clause 2.1)”; a right to “subcontract all of its rights and activities granted by this concession contract, without the need for approval by THE STATE”; and a right to “carry out operations, transactions, negotiations, and activities in general, be they local or international, with any person or public, private or mixed entity.” That is, taking such extensive rights into accounts, it seems possible for Hutchison Whampoa to host and hide Chinese spying activities in the Canal Zone. Hutchison Whampoa and Owner Li Ka-Shing’s Connections with Beijing The owner of Hutchison Whampoa, Li Ka-Shing, has extensive ties with Beijing. In fact, a government document explicitly mentioned that Li “has significant economic and political ties to China.” xvi For instance, Li and a son of the former Chinese President Jiang Zemin are jointly developing real estate properties inside Tiananmen Square for the communist party. xvii In addition, in 1994, the Clinton administration provided Li’s bio, along with the bios of the top communist leaders, to the CEO of Loral Aerospace prior to the Ron Brown trade trip to Beijing; xviii Li was the only civilian included in the bios. xix Li has also helped the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) purchase satellites in the past and mediated several satellite deals between the U.S. Hughes Corporation and China Hong Kong Satellite (ChinaSat), xx a company owned by the Chinese 3 Ministry of Post and Telecommunications. xxi One U.S. government document stated that Li Ka-Shing “is willing to use his business influence to further the aims of the Chinese government.” xxii A report by the RAND Corporation in 1997 pointed out that Li Ka-Shing was negotiating for PLA wireless system contracts. xxiii Li was also a member of the board of directors of the China International Trust and Investment Corporation (CITIC), xxiv a bank of the Chinese army that provides money for Chinese weapon sales and Western technology purchases. xxv Indeed, William Triplett, co-author of Red Dragon Rising, described Li as “the Banker for the Chinese Military.” xxvi The fact that Hutchison has exclusive contracts with the state-owned China Ocean Shipping Company (COSCO) also suggests that Li Ka-Shing has a close relationship with Beijing. xxvii COSCO is known for its failed attempts to acquire the former Long Beach Naval station in California. xxviii Furthermore, according to a RAND report, a COSCO ship attempted to smuggle over 2,000 fully automatic machine guns into the United States in 1996. xxix In 1991, Li Ka-Shing also attempted to gain control over Subic Bay, a strategic port in the Philippines that had been vacated by the United States. Due to warnings from U.S. Marine Corps personnel, Philippine President Ramos vetoed Hutchinson's take over of Subic Bay and Li Ka-Shing was unable to obtain the port. xxx In 2003, Li attempted to take over the largest U.S. telecommunications company, Global Crossing Ltd. According to the New York Times, xxxi Global Crossing once agreed to make a deal with Hutchison Whampoa. However, Hutchison Whampoa decided to withdraw from the bid a few days after a review committee of foreign investment in U.S. companies announced that it had begun an investigation of the deal. Because a Chinese company with strong connections with Beijing was about to buy communication networks used by the federal government and other critical private sectors, members of congress and some governmental officials had raised national security concerns. Global Crossing provides services to the federal government, more than 35 percent of Fortune 500 companies, 700 carriers, mobile companies, and internet service providers. xxxii Global Crossing controls 20 percent of all the fiber-optic cable in the United States and is a major bidder for U.S. Defense communications contracts. xxxiii Given Li Ka-Shing’s close ties with Beijing, as well as his attempts to control important U.S. infrastructure and a strategically important port in the Philippines it should make those responsible for U.S. national security question the national security implications of Hutchison Whampoa’s control over the Panama Canal. In addition, Beijing seems to treat Li Ka-Shing in a special manner. For example, Beijing has given Li exclusive rights of first refusal over all mainland Chinese ports south of the Yangtze River. “This involves a close working relationship with the Chinese military and businesses controlled by the People’s Liberation Army,” said Al Santoli, a former national security advisor to the House of Representatives. xxxiv Further, Li’s bio provided by the Clinton Administration mentioned that Li was convicted of insider trading in 1984 but never punished. xxxv National Security Implications of Chinese Control of the Panama Canal 4 Now that Hutchison Whampoa controls both ends of the Panama Canal there are three major national security concerns that come to mind. These include; possible covert Chinese spying activities, strategic denial in the case of a serious conflict between China and the U.S., and strengthened Chinese political power that could threaten U.S. national interests. First, since Hutchison Whampoa has exclusive rights over the canal areas as Panama Law No.5 guarantees, the Chinese company could easily provide cover for Chinese espionage. This concern becomes more realistic when one considers China’s recent spying activities xxxvi and Li’s special relationships with Beijing and the PLA. Secondly, in the event of a serious military conflict with the United States, such as one over Taiwan, it would be highly possible for Beijing to use Hutchison Whampoa to effectively interrupt U.S. intervention. As former Secretary of Defense Casper Weinberger puts it, Hutchison Whampoa’s control of the canal is a national security threat because “The Company would not be able to survive if they don’t do something the Chinese government tells them to.” xxxvii Admiral Moore, a former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, claims that in case of military conflict in the Pacific, a large number of logistic ships need uninterrupted access to the canal to support deployed forces. xxxviii If the use of the canal were denied, those ships would need to travel an extra 9,000 miles around South America and would not be able to sustain combat effectiveness in the Pacific. xxxix “It is not ‘managing traffic’ under normal circumstances with which I am concerned,” said Moore, “it is the ability of a potential enemy to disrupt traffic so as to block military supply, which in times of conflict is 80 to 90 percent dependent upon sea lift capability for there to be any sustained forward effort.” xl It is also important to remember that Chinese denial of the use of the canal would significantly damage the U.S. economy; the United States is the largest user of the canal and 15-20 percent of total U.S. trade, including 40 percent of grain exports and 670,000 barrels of oil per day, come through the canal. xli Chinese Control of the Panama Canal as Part of a Larger Global Strategy Third and most importantly, Chinese control of the canal is only part of a larger Beijing strategy to strengthen its geo-strategic positioning around the globe. The Center for Security Policy reported in 2002 that China is working hard to acquire strategic “choke points” around the world, including the Caribbean’s Bahamas, Subic Bay in the Philippines, the Mediterranean’s Malt, the Persian Gulf’s Straits of Hormuz, the Panama Canal xlii , and even cyberspace, xliii outer space, and U.S. telecommunications. xliv In addition, on April 20, 2008, “The Americas Report” stated that Hong Kong-based Hutchinson Port Holdings (HPH) had expressed interest in the Manta Port in Ecuador. In October, 2006 HPH gave a 1 million dollar bond to the Manta Port Authority and in November, 2006, HPH was the only final bidder and the Manta Port Authority (MPA) gave HPH operating concessions in exchange for $486 million (added to $55 million promised by the MPA) to upgrade facilities over the next 30 years. Hutchinson Port Holdings is the port-operating subsidiary of Hong Kong’s Hutchison-Whampoa which in 2001 bought out Philippinesbased port operator ICTSI, which had various Latin American interests in Argentina, Mexico and the Bahamas. Manta is a desirable port for HPH as it is the closest port to Asia on Latin America’s west coast. Also, Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. has a significant presence at the Lazaro Cardenas seaport in Mexico, as well as other Mexican ports. China has been very effective in securing strategic locations which they clearly understand will give them the upper hand in the event of any future confrontation with the U.S. 5 Therefore, strengthened Chinese strategic positioning has U.S. national security implications, as conflicts with China are foreseeable. The Congressional Research Service has reported that China has three main long-term goals which include “asserting China’s regional military leadership while displacing U.S. regional military influence, prevailing in regional rivalries, and encouraging eventual U.S. military withdrawal from the region [Western Pacific].” xlv These goals are clearly incompatible with U.S. national security interests. xlvi The Taiwan situation and competition over natural resources could also lead to conflicts in the future. To conclude our loss of the Panama Canal was a major strategic blunder by the Carter Administration that was followed up in 1997 by the Clinton Administration’s failure to assure that the bidding process was open and fair. Since China, through Hutchison Whampoa, now has almost total sovereignty over the Canal, the Neutrality Treaty agreed to by President Carter has little significance in terms of protecting future U.S. interests. In the event of a future conflict between China and the U.S., it will be China not Panama that will be calling the shots. (Please find footnotes at the end of the Report). * Yojiro Konno is a senior sociology major at Grinnell College, IA. He is interested in public policy and is currently an intern at the Center for Security Policy. *Nancy Menges is co-founder of the Menges Hemispheric Security Project at the Center and Editor-in-Chief of the Americas Report. New Feature – From the Menges Hemispheric Security Project, we look forward to hearing from you at our blog: http://themengesproject.blogspot.com/ Regards, The Staff of “The Americas Report.” News Stories –The following are a summary of several news stories found in different media outlets. To access the information, we have provided the hyperlink below each news story. Chávez wants subcontinent to be renamed Indo-America – El Universal. Hugo Chávez said on Monday that the subcontinent must cease to be called Latin America and should be renamed Indo-America, to honor the roots of its native inhabitants. “Let us start using this term (...); such concept of Latin America was imposed on us,” Chávez said. By saying Indian America or Indo-America ‘we are including the black American and the white European because we do not exclude anyone. (...) For that reason, everyday I speak less and less of Hispanic America, or Latin America. We are from IndoAmerica, from Afro-America. That is what we are, instead of any other name,” Chávez said. 6 President Chávez closed the First Indigenous Congress. Photo: Reuters. http://english.eluniversal.com/2008/08/12/en_pol_art_president-chavez-wan_12A1902161.shtml SEE: Hugo’s Arms Spree. By Peter Brookes – New York Post. Latin America’s troublemaker-in-chief, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, has threatened the recently reactivated US Fourth Fleet with two squadrons of newly arrived Russian Su-30 fighter planes, part of a $3 billion arms package he bought in 2006. Engaging in his unique brand of saber-rattling, Chavez said: “Any gringo ship that sails into brown [i.e., coastal] waters will itself turn brown and go to the bottom, because they'll not get through.” It gets worse. Postsummit reports indicate there might be another $1 billion or so in advanced Russian Tor M-1 air defense systems, T-90 battle tanks and Kilo-class diesel submarines in the pipeline. But that’s only the tip of the arms iceberg: The Russian press is reporting that arms sales to Venezuela over the next 10 years may top another $5 billion, including heavy-lift air transport, air-air refueling tankers (for the fighters) and long-range airdefense systems. Naturally, Chavez insists the buildup is necessary to defend against the US invasion that he’s been saying is just around the corner for at least several years now. Read More: http://www.nypost.com/seven/08072008/postopinion/opedcolumnists/hugos_arms_spree_123385.htm SEE: The autocrat of Caracas – The Economist. The Chavez’s regime has published 26 decrees, many of which mimic the constitutional changes rejected in the referendum. Some of them will further tighten the state’s stranglehold on the economy. The decrees will further increase the state’s powers, hobble opponents and limit the scope of private enterprise. Because the opposition boycotted the last legislative election, Mr. Chávez’s supporters dominate the National Assembly. Nevertheless, after his re-election he obtained the power to pass laws on his own for a period of 18 months. The latest crop of decrees were issued on the day before this power was to expire, in such a rush that their full texts were not published until later. Under one decree a chavista militia will become a new branch of the armed forces. Another tightens state control over food production and distribution, threatening those accused of hoarding with up to ten years in jail. A third makes it easier for the government to take over private companies in general. Another creates powerful new regional officials. They will rival state governors, who are due to be chosen in November in an election in which the opposition hopes to dent Mr. Chávez’s near-monopoly of power. Several of these measures violate the constitution of 1999, which Chávez himself sponsored. “Here we have no constitution, no law and the president does exactly what he wants,” Luis Miquilena, a former ally who broke with the president, told the Wall Street Journal. Read More: http://www.economist.com/world/americas/displayStory.cfm?story_id=11885670 Venezuela: Chávez says that enacted laws are set to “equal” everybody – El Universal. Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez said on Tuesday that the directives recently issued by him are to “make all of us equal,” and rebutted the opposition criticism, according to which the legal package is endangering democracy. “I am called a dictator because we are making laws. We are making laws and laws should fit in changes and the world is changing. Laws are to make all of us equal,” he said during an event in a Caracas working barrio. Chávez added that the executive orders were approved under the law and are aimed at the country’s development, DPA quoted. http://english.eluniversal.com/2008/08/12/en_pol_art_president-chavez-say_12A1903365.shtml NEWS FLASH: Venezuelan intelligence allegedly gave Antonini U$1 million – El Universal. The Directorate of Intelligence and Prevention Services (Disip), a Venezuelan intelligence agency, reportedly transferred USD 1 million to Venezuelan-US businessman Guido Antonini Wilson as a bribe for him to conceal the true origin of the suitcase with USD 800,000 that Antonini tried to smuggle in Argentina on August 4, 2007, according to files in the Florida Southern District Court. Edward Shohat, the defense attorney of 7 Venezuelan defendant Franklin Durán, asked Florida Attorney General to provide some information that he deems relevant to the defendant's allegations. According to Shohat, during a telephone conversation between Antonini and his partner Wladimir Abad, Antonini mentioned a sum of money that the Venezuelan intelligence service allegedly sent to him. “They told me that the Disip sent USD 2 million, out of which USD 1 million is for me, and they can double the amount,” Antonini reportedly told Abad. Antonini Wilson said that defendants Carlos Kauffmann and Durán gave him the information. Antonini also said, “They told me -and I have some e-mails and SMS messages showing this-, more specifically Carlos (Kauffmann) told me personally “If you (Antonini) do not take responsibility for this (the unsuccessful attempt at smuggling the cash-filled suitcase in Buenos Aires last year), they (the Venezuelan government) will destroy us.” The aforementioned e-mails and SMS messages are part of the evidence Shohat requested from the prosecution. http://english.eluniversal.com/2008/08/13/en_pol_art_venezuelan-intellige_13A1905041.shtml Chavez preparing the field for Nov state and city elections – MercoPress. Columns marched through the capital Caracas to protest a package of laws that expand Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez powers while a delegation from opposition parties delivered a document at the Organization of American States stating that the latest decisions are a “coup” against the rule of law and the Constitution. Shouting chants and waving balloons reading “play fair” protestors complained that some of the laws resemble the constitutional reforms sought by President Chavez and which voters rejected at the polls last December. Chavez approved the package of 26 laws on July 31, the last day of special legislative powers granted him by the National Assembly. The Venezuelan president said the new rules, which increase government control over food production and commerce and create civilian militias, among other things, will strengthen the country’s institutions. The political parties’ document is addressed to OAS Secretary General Jose Miguel Insulza and refers to the legal system in Venezuela which will now depend from the will of the president and “is not guaranteed by an independent judicial branch.” “We are warning OAS that this is a direct attack on the rule of the law and the rights of Venezuelan citizens,” said Antonio Ledezma president of the opposition party Alianza Bravo Pueblo. http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14208&formato=HTML Venezuelan government hikes regulated prices on some commodities – El Universal. Venezuela has raised the maximum sale prices of some food staples such as beef meat, wheat bread, pasta and corn oil. In addition, it excluded tuna and oatmeal from price controls. New food prices that were published in the Venezuelan Official Gazette are below the price usually paid by consumers in some stores which circumvent government regulation amid rampant inflation affecting Venezuelan economy, Reuters reported. The Venezuelan government launched this year a massive program of food imports to fight against the problems of supply which have generated a sporadic domestic shortage of food, and increased prices of milk and rice - and put staples back to the shelves. http://english.eluniversal.com/2008/08/12/en_eco_art_venezuelan-governmen_12A1902689.shtml Argentina’s official inflation: even most faithful misbelieve – MercoPress. Enough is enough. Even the most loyal of Argentine President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner officials are rebelling against the latest consumer prices index released on Monday by the Statistics and Census Office, Indec. The official July retail inflation was 0.4%, less than a fourth of private sector estimates which range between 1.5 and 1.8%. The whip of the government’s group in the Lower House Agustin Rossi went even further and repeated words from the recently named cabinet chief, Sergio Massa, who on taking office said “We must inject credibility to Indec,” adding that “you can’t have 8 statistics which only generate mistrust in society.” “At some point the government must realize we need a real Economy minister and we must cease manipulating data. It’s time to come to earth,” said Senator Gerardo Morales head of the opposition in the Senate. “What is more baffling is that government insists in making us believe that inflation is 12% annually, as the head of the Home Trade Department Guillermo Moreno tried to convince us, when the rest of the economy is working on the assumption of 25 to 30%,” underlined Morales. From the banking sector the reaction was similar. “Indec has become a daily offense, nobody takes it seriously. It’s hilarious; it harms the image of an administration which is trying to achieve reasonable things, but with shortcomings?” said Guillermo Francos, CEO of Banco Provincia, a leading financial institution. Jose de Mendiguren, a member of UIA was also blunt about the latest July release. “Costs at my industry have been increasing at 25% annually, that is my true Indec and there's no way I can avoid it.” http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14232&formato=HTML SEE: Argentina: Exit Kirchners? – Latin Business Chronicle. It is no longer a question of “if,” it is now a question of “when” the Kirchners will be ousted. Article by Walter T. Molano. Although there were initial hopes that the president would strike a more conciliatory tune after she lost the conflict with the agro sector, her actions showed the contrary. Former President Nestor Kirchner's henchmen, Planning Minister Julio de Vido and Interior Commerce Secretary Guillermo Moreno, were never replaced. An attempt by the newly appointed Chief of Staff, Sergio Massa, to restore confidence in the INDEC and Administration were quickly sidelined. Given the intransigence of the Kirchners, it is only a matter of time until they are ousted. Unfortunately, abrupt changes of power in Argentina tend to be chaotic. This is the reason why the markets are bracing for a default, even though the country's macroeconomic indicators are sound. To continue reading: http://www.latinbusinesschronicle.com/app/article.aspx?id=2642. Venezuela charges high interest rate on Argentina’s bonds – El Universal. The two major Argentinean newspapers, Clarín and La Nación, said they were stunned by the high interest rate the Venezuelan government has charged recently to buy USD 1 billion in Argentinean sovereign debt bonds. Both newspapers explained that Argentina is paying an interest rate ranging from 14 to 15%, which is higher than the interest rate Buenos Aires paid in 2001 when the Latin American country was hit by economic turbulence following the economic measures implemented by then Finance Minister Domingo Cavallo. Argentina is to pay a 14.87 percent interest rate, whereas the interest rate Peru is paying to place sovereign bonds with the same maturity as the Argentinean titles ranges from 5 to 6 percent. http://english.eluniversal.com/2008/08/07/en_eco_art_venezuela-charges-hi_07A1890761.shtml Argentina to buy 2008/98 bonds to help calm markets – MercoPress. The Argentine government announced the purchase of 2008 and 2009 bonds, --plus interest payments in advance-- in an effort to ease markets which have shown great anxiety over the political situation and economic slowdown of Argentina, particularly last week. “This action is sustained on the opportunity offered by the market value of national debt paper registered in the last few days and which don’t correspond at all with the solidity of economic and social fundamentals of the country,” said a release over the weekend from the Economy ministry. Bonds to be purchased include issues in Argentine pesos and in US dollars. http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14209&formato=HTML Morales ratified but the political scenario stalemates – MercoPress. 9 Bolivian president Evo Morales was ratified in his post with a comfortable support in the range of 60% in Sunday’s recall vote which also included the vice president and governors of all of the country’s provinces. However the results seem to confirm the political map of confrontation between President Morales and the provinces, some of which particularly the richest are pushing for greater political and financial autonomy. Although the official announcement from the Electoral Tribunal is not expected until Monday or later, two different exit polls confirmed 60% and 56.7% for the president, with 3 to 5 percentage points margin, and were announced on television private channels. According to the rules of the recall vote, Mr. Morales and his vice president Alvaro García Linera needed at least 53.7% of votes cast, which was the result when the ticket was elected back in December 2005. The main opponents of Morales, Ruben Costa from Santa Cruz; Mario Cossío from Tarija; Ernesto Suárez, Beni and Leopoldo Fernández, Pando were also ratified with ample margins while those of La Paz and Cochabamba were expecting results. Alberto Luis Aguilar from Oruro (pro Morales) lost the recall vote. http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14207&formato=HTML Bolivian Opposition Agrees to Meet With Morales – VOA News. Five Bolivian opposition governors have agreed to meet with President Evo Morales in La Paz for a dialogue on the political crisis that threatens to divide the country. The governors made their decision Wednesday after meeting among themselves in the city of Santa Cruz. Mr. Morales invited them for talks after voters confirmed his mandate in Sunday's nationwide recall referendum. Election officials said Wednesday that with most ballots counted, Mr. Morales has won 67 percent support. http://www.voanews.com/english/2008-08-13-voa57.cfm ALBA Nations Expand Cooperation – Prensa Latina. Venezuelan ambassador to Managua Sergio Rodriguez announced that the construction of an oil refinery in Nicaragua is on schedule. According to Rodriguez, a wide cooperation program is being developed within the framework of Petrocaribe. As part of the ALBA (Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas) cooperation program, the first shipment of Nicaraguan heifers was sent to Venezuela. Another shipment is due within the next few days. Nicaragua is also selling beef to Venezuela’s local state markets known as Mercal. Milk and chicken will soon add to Nicaragua’s exports, he said. Some 1,600 patients have flown to Venezuela to undergo eye surgery and there are many other health and cooperation projects being developed. http://www.plenglish.com/article.asp?ID=%7B3B76E410-B5E3-4F82-B9F7-EF27838B222E%7D)&language=EN Mexico Confronts Violent Crime Wave – VOA News. Mexican President Felipe Calderon is pushing his congress for tougher sentences for a number of categories of crime related to kidnapping, in an effort to fight the criminal organizations that have made Mexico one of the worst countries in the world for that crime. Eleven citizens’ organizations have announced massive nationwide marches to condemn Mexico’s crime wave. Organizers say the August 30 marches will represent a demand by the citizenry for effective government action against kidnappers and other violent criminals. Speaking to reporters Sunday, Alberto BazBaz, the Attorney General for the state of Mexico, near Mexico City, announced the arrest of members of a kidnapping gang. Such successes merit media attention because they are rare. Reforma newspaper columnist Sergio Sarmiento, a former kidnapping victim, expresses 10 doubt about President Calderon’s life-sentence proposal, although he lauds the president for good intentions. Sarmiento and many crime experts argue that what Mexico really needs is effective and reliable police. http://www.voanews.com/english/2008-08-11-voa49.cfm Colombians petition for third Uribe term – Reuters. Colombian President Alvaro Uribe edged a step closer to a third consecutive term on Monday after supporters handed in five million signatures petitioning for a referendum to allow the U.S. ally’s re-election. Uribe, popular for beating back terrorism with his policies, has been evasive about whether he would seek to remain in office. But critics worry a third Uribe term will undermine Colombia’s democratic system. Flanked by security guards in Bogota, three armored trucks delivered the five million signatures to election officials to petition for the vote on a constitutional amendment that would allow a third presidential term. “We may have a lot of capable politicians, but none is more capable than Uribe,” Luis Guillermo Giraldo, a former senator who organized the petition, told Reuters. “And he has proven himself, in democratic security, in foreign investment.” Should Uribe agree to run, the proposal faces hurdles as electoral officials must verify the signatures before it can be sent to Congress and the constitutional court. If approved, a vote could be held in the second half of 2009. http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSN11390556 SEE: FARC Dissidents Assist Colombia. By Juan Forero. – The Washington Post As a military campaign by the government of President Álvaro Uribe increasingly weakened the 44-year-old rebel movement, the FARC has little leverage in negotiations for trades. The group now faces a movement of up to 1,000 jailed dissidents. Instead of remaining true to the FARC, many jailed rebels want to use their upstart movement, called Hands for Peace, to help the state weaken the rebel group further. In exchange, they are being permitted by the government to enter into special judicial proceedings that were designed to spur their mortal enemies, right-wing paramilitary groups, to disarm. Under a recent government decree, the rebels could be freed from jail or have their long prison terms reduced if they outline their involvement in unsolved crimes while making amends to their victims. Learn More: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/01/AR2008080103117.html Paraguay, “a devastated country,” says elected president – MercoPress. Paraguay’s elected president former bishop Fernando Lugo said he receives a “devastated country with no institutions,” and claimed there is a plan to destabilize his administration which takes office next August 15. Deep engrained corruption, the need to change the energy policy and the alleged conspiracy were identified by Mr. Lugo as his three main immediate challenges. Mr. Lugo supported by a wide ranging coalition managed to defeat last April the hegemony of the Partido Colorado which has ruled the landlocked, second poorest country in South America for over six decades. The incoming president also anticipated he would press for a “fair price” for energy from the two huge hydroelectric dams Paraguay shares with its powerful neighbors, Brazil and Argentina. 11 Elected President Lugo will take offices next Friday. Source: Infobae. http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14197&formato=HTML Uruguay confirms economic policy and names new minister – MercoPress. Uruguayan president Tabare Vazquez confirmed Monday that Economy minister Danilo Astori would be leaving his post next September 15th but at the same time emphasized that there would be no changes to the current macroeconomic policy to which his administration has been successfully committed. Astori announced his post would be taken over by the former head of the Development Corporation, Alvaro Garcia, an accountant, university professor and currently advisor to Uruguay’s Planning and Budget Office which depends directly from President Vazquez. There will be no modifications to the current macroeconomic policies of the country in respect to what has been done so far. http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14215&formato=HTML Mercosur concerned with growing surge of Chinese imports – MercoPress. Argentina and Brazil have established a standing consultation round to monitor the strong increase in Chinese imports which is causing concern in both countries manufacturing sectors, according to Brazilian sources. “We’re concerned because the increase in imports from China and other Asian countries could impact on specific sectors or our economies”, said Brazilian Development Minister Ivan Ramalho whose office is in permanent contact with his Argentine counterpart Industry Secretary Fernando Fraguío. The announcement was made following the regular bilateral meetings to address trade issues, exchange information and solving differences that could emerge from the almost 30 billion US dollars annual commerce between Argentina and Brazil. The purpose of the consultation round is “to identify problems that could lead to an increase of Asian imports and try to find a joint approach to the particular issue and correct it.” http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14235&formato=HTML Energy short Chile looks for potential alternative sources – MercoPress. As global temperatures and energy prices soar, scientists, policymakers and environmentalists throughout the world are scrambling for solutions. For its part, Chile could meet as much as half its electricity demands with clean energy, according to a report released Friday by energy experts from the Universidad de Chile and Universidad Tecnica Federico Santa Maria. “The reality is that Chile is growing economically, and we must determine how to support that without risking our natural heritage,” said report co-author Jorge Pontt. As much as 40% of Chile’s electricity demand could be met by environmentally friendly energy sources by 2025, according to the study, funded by the two universities and several national and international nonprofit 12 foundations and environmental groups. “The prevailing policy in Chile has always been to wait for foreigners to do the research, and then to copy it,” Pontt said on Friday. “But now, we’re seeing where that gets us. If we had seized on the opportunities to enter into the renewable energy field years ago, we wouldn’t be paying such a high price for energy today.” http://www.mercopress.com/vernoticia.do?id=14233&formato=HTML US mayors worried about political ineligibility in Venezuela – El Universal. The United States Conference of Mayors expressed on Wednesday its concern about political banning in Venezuela and deemed it “an affront to Venezuelans’ democratic principles.” Manuel Díaz, Miami Mayor and president of the organization, voiced his colleagues’ position in a letter sent on Tuesday to US President George W. Bush and released on Wednesday, Efe reported. “US mayors are worried to look at ongoing events in Venezuela. It is important to express our concern and show our support to those candidates and democratic principles in our hemisphere,” said the Miami Mayor. According to Díaz, the disqualification of 272 candidates, with the blessing of the Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ), despite the lack of formal complaints against these politicians, attests to the court’s lack of independence. http://english.eluniversal.com/2008/08/13/en_pol_art_us-mayors-worried-ab_13A1906769.shtml SEE: Don’t let Castros fool you. By Frank Calzon. – The Miami Herald. Sen. Arlen Specter, R-Pa., is known for his thoughtfulness and his interest in foreign affairs. He wants to go to Havana to talk with Raúl Castro (and perhaps Fidel as well) and then to Venezuela to talk with Hugo Chávez. The senator suffers from that all-American predisposition to talk about disputes and find a compromise. Yet things are very different here: When control of the White House switches parties, the victors don’t send army trucks to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. to pick up the losers and execute or imprison them. America's blind faith in reason and compromise doesn’t always transfer well to the realm of world affairs. Happy outcomes are not inevitable, as is attested by the history of totalitarian rule in the 20th century, today's catastrophes in Sudan and Zimbabwe and China's brutal occupation of Tibet. This will be Specter’s fourth trip to Cuba to talk to a regime that refuses to talk with Cubans about their complaints, but has no qualms about talking with foreigners. Specter’s pilgrimage isn’t likely to hurt, but what is to be accomplished? Read More: http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/other-views/story/638094.html *** Mission of the Center for Security Policy To promote world peace through American strength The Center for Security Policy has, since it’s founding in 1988, operated as a non-profit, non-partisan organization committed to the time-tested philosophy of promoting international peace through American strength. It accomplishes this goal by stimulating and informing national and international policy debates, in particular, those involving regional, defense, economic, financial and technology developments that bear upon the security of the United States. The Center specializes in the rapid preparation and real-time dissemination of information, analyses and policy recommendations via e-mail distribution; computerized fax; its exciting, redesigned Web site; published articles; and the electronic media. The principal audience for such materials is the U.S. security policy-making community (the executive and legislative branches, the armed forces and appropriate independent agencies), corresponding organizations in key foreign governments, the press (domestic and international), the global business and financial community and interested individuals in the public at large. The Center is aided immeasurably in the performance of its mission thanks to the active participation of a sizeable network of past and present, civilian and military security policy practitioners. By drawing on the 13 experience, judgment and insights of these accomplished individuals, the Center is able to maximize the quality of its inputs into the policy-making process. This structure also permits the Center to operate with an extremely small core staff and great cost-effectiveness. Contributions Welcomed The Center for Security Policy and the Menges Hemispheric Project needs your support - Your generous tax-deductible contribution may be made securely on-line or by mail to 1901 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Suite 201. Washington, D.C. 20006 (Note: The Center for Security Policy does not rent, sell, or otherwise provide donor information to any third party except as required by law. The Center does not engage in telemarketing.) Menges Hemispheric Project • Email: [email protected]. • Direct: 914-325-9504. 1901 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW. Suite 201. Washington, D.C. 20006 • (202) 835-9077 • Fax (202) 835-9066 www.CenterforSecurityPolicy.org i House Committee of Foreign Affairs. June 11, 2008. “New Challenge: China in the Western Hemisphere.” (http://www.internationalrelations.house.gov/hearing_notice.asp?id=1004) ii Edward Cody. July 9, 2007. “China's Diplomatic Gain Is Taiwan's Loss” Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/07/08/AR2007070801065_pf.html) iii BBC News. December 7, 2007. “Panama schools to teach Chinese.” BBC. (http://news.bbc.co.uk/mobile/bbc_news/world/americas/713/71312/story7131205.shtml?page_id=16) iv Panama Ports Company Official Website (http://www.ppc.com.pa/index_eng.php) v Official website of Hutchison Whampoa clearly mentions that Panama Ports Company is a subsidiary of Hutchison Whampoa (http://www.hutchison-whampoa.com/eng/ports/international/the_americas.htm) vi EagleForum.org. 1999. “Red China: Gatekeeper of the Panama Canal.” (http://www.eagleforum.org/psr/1999/nov99/psrnov99.html) vii Menges, Constantine C. 2005. China: the gathering threat. Nelson Current. Page 397. viii Menges, Constantine C. 2005. China: the gathering threat. Nelson Current. Page 397. ix Smith, Charles R. February 12, 2002. “Chinese Billionaire Wants Global Crossing.” NewsMax. (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/2/11/184102.shtml) x Smith, Charles R. August 6, 2002. “Li Ka-Shing Seeks U.S. Contract.” NewsMax. (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/8/5/181935.shtml) xi Actual Texts from American Defense Center (http://www.americandefensecenter.org/documents.aspx) and ConservativeUSA (http://www.conservativeusa.org/panamalaw5.htm) xii The document calls the two ports (Balboa and Cristobal) and surrounding areas combined as “The Existing Ports” xiii Menges, Constantine C. 2005. China: the gathering threat. Nelson Current. Page 397. xiv “The Ports” in the document includes lands, facilities, and installations of “The Existing Ports” as well as “The Future Extension.” xv “The Bonded Area”: combined areas of “The Existing Ports” and “The Future Extension” xvi SoftWar. June 24, 2008. “Li Ka-Shing.” (http://www.softwar.net/kashing.html) xvii Smith, Charles R. August 6. 2002. “Li Ka-Shing Seeks U.S. Contract.” NewsMax (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/8/5/181935.shtml) xviii SoftWar. June 24, 2008. “Li Ka-Shing.” (http://www.softwar.net/kashing.html) xix Smith, Charles R. August 6. 2002. “Li Ka-Shing Seeks U.S. Contract.” NewsMax. xx Smith, Charles R. August 6. 2002. “Li Ka-Shing Seeks U.S. Contract.” NewsMax xxi Federation of American Scientists. June 20, 1998. “Zhongxing / Chinasat.” (http://www.fas.org/spp/guide/china/comm/chinasat.htm) xxii Menges, Constantine C. 2005. China: the gathering threat. Nelson Current. Page 397. xxiii SoftWar. July 9, 2008. “Rand Corporation Report Chinese Military Commerce and U.S. National Security.” (http://www.softwar.net/rand.html) Smith, Charles R. February 12, 2002. “Chinese Billionaire Wants Global Crossing.” Newsmax. (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/2/11/184102.shtml) xxiv SoftWar. June 24, 2008. (http://www.softwar.net/kashing.html) xxv Smith, Charles R. February 27, 2003. “Global Double Crossing.” NewsMax. (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2003/2/26/182009.shtml) 14 xxvi Smith, Charles. December 8, 1999. “‘Dirty’ War in Panama.” (http://ads.wnd.com/news/printerfriendly.asp?ARTICLE_ID=17277) xxvii Smith, Charles R. March 6, 2003. “Billionaire Fails in Bid for Global Crossing.” NewMax. (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2003/3/5/162452.shtml) xxviii Smith, Charles R. March 6, 2003. “Billionaire Fails in Bid for Global Crossing” NewsMax. (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2003/3/5/162452.shtml) xxix SoftWar. July 9, 2008. “Rand Corporation Report Chinese Military Commerce and U.S. National Security.” (http://www.softwar.net/rand.html) Smith, Charles. May 25, 1999. “Chinagate's smoking gun.” WorldNetDaily. (http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/latimes/access/29879182.html?dids=29879182:29879182&FMT=ABS&FMT S=ABS:FT&date=Jun+02%2C+1998&author=PAUL+RICHTER&pub=Los+Angeles+Times&desc=Long +Beach+Deal+Put+in+Jeopardy+by+China+Fears&pqatl=google) xxx Smith, Charles. May 25, 1998. “The Panama-China connection: Port company at canal has close ties to Lippo group” The World Net Daily. (http://www.worldnetdaily.com/index.php?pageId=3251) xxxi Glater, Jonathon D. May 1, 2003. “TECHNOLOGY; Hong Kong Partner Quits Joint Bid for Global Crossing.” New York Times. (http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9B05E2DD1F3DF932A35756C0A9659C8B63 ) xxxii Global Crossing Official Website. July 8, 2008. “About us” (http://www.globalcrossing.com/company/company_landing.aspx) xxxiii Smith, Charles R. February 12, 2002. “Chinese Billionaire Wants Global Crossing.” NewsMax. (http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/2/11/184102.shtml) xxxiv Menges, Constantine C. 2005. China: the gathering threat. Nelson Current. Page 397 xxxv SoftWar. “Li Ka-Shing.” (http://www.softwar.net/kashing.html) xxxvi Demetri Sevastopulo. Feb. 11, 2008. “Four arrested in US-China spy cases.” Financial Times. (http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c0a576d0-d8cd-11dc-8b22-0000779fd2ac.html) xxxvii Menges, Constantine C. 2005. China: the gathering threat. Nelson Current. Page 397 xxxviii Ed Oliver and Joseph Farah. November 9, 1998. “The Panama Canal debate rages: Admiral, ambassador square off in Senate testimony.” WorldNetDaily. (http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=16790) xxxix Ed Oliver. October 18, 1998. “Admiral: I see big trouble in Panama.” WorldNetDaily. (http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=16751) xl Ed Oliver and Joseph Farah. November 9, 1998. “The Panama Canal debate rages: Admiral, ambassador square off in Senate testimony.” WorldNetDaily. (http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=16790) xli Menges, Constantine C. 2005. China: the gathering threat. Nelson Current. Page 396 xlii The Center for Security Policy, cited in Slate Magazine Online. July 9, 2008. (http://fray.slate.com/discuss/forums/post/1357239.aspx) xliii “China’s Cyber-Militia” May 31, 2008. National Journal (http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/print_friendly.php?ID=cs_20080531_6948) xliv Glater, Jonathon D. May 1, 2003. “TECHNOLOGY; Hong Kong Partner Quits Joint Bid for Global Crossing.” New York Times. xlv Ronald O’Rourke Page 44. “CRS Report for Congress: China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress.” Congressional Research Service. xlvi Dr. Richard Weixing Hu, a visiting scholar at the Brookings Institution, too, mentions that China wants the U.S. withdraw from East Asia at the event “Perceptions of U.S. Foreign Policy in East Asia” on June 3, 2008 (http://www.brookings.edu/events/2008/0603_cnaps.aspx) 15
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