Report 1Year 2 ABC Plan

Transcrição

Report 1Year 2 ABC Plan
Analysis of the Resources of
the ABC Program for the
2013/2014 crop year
(Until April)
ABC Plan Observatory - Report 1 - Year 2
2
Summary
Introduction..........................................................................................................................................4
Main conclusions of the study........................................................................................................ 6
1
2
Brief history of the ABC Program............................................................................................. 7
ABC Program Analysis for the 2013/14 crop year ............................................................ 7
2.1
ABC Program Resource Distribution for the 2013/14 crop year ...................................... 9
2.1.1 Regional distribution of contracts and contracted value .............................................................. 10
2.1.2 Distribution of resources and contracts approved according to investment purpose ..... 14
2.1.3 Distribution of resources according to transfer agent and source............................................ 15
2.1.4
Comparison to previous crop years ................................................................................................. 17
3
Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................18
3
Project
ABC Observatory
Support
Climate and Land Use Alliance (CLUA)
Organization responsible for the project
Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
Agribusiness Center (GV Agro), School of Economy of São Paulo (EESP)
GV Agro Coordinator
Robert Rodrigues
Project Coordination
Angelo Costa Gurgel
Cecília Fagan Costa
Organization responsible for the project
Centro de Estudos em Sustentabilidade da Fundação Getulio Vargas GVces)
Project Coordinator
Aron Belinky
Mario Monzoni
Project Technical Team
Annelise Vendramini
Fernanda Casagrande Rocha
Susian Christian Martins
4
Introduction
The main goal of the ABC Plan is to bring about the transition of conventional agriculture to a
production model that minimizes the GHG emissions in Brazil. For this purpose, the ABC Program has
been adopted, as it aims at providing conditions for farmers to carry through the necessary investments
for incorporating technological alternatives of low carbon emission in the productive process. In this
context, the ABC Observatory wants to engage different sectors of Brazilian society in this transition by
monitoring the ABC Plan and Program's actions and also developing technical studies to support and
facilitate discussion and dialogue with society and the government.
During the first year of activity, the ABC Observatory published three studies that were launched in the
presence of important decision-makers involved in the ABC Plan and Program. The studies were the
following:
1.
2.
3.
Study 1 - Low Carbon Emission Agriculture: The Evolution of a New Paradigm.
Study 2 - The Governance of the ABC Plan.
Study 3 - Low Carbon Emission Agriculture: Financing the Transition.
This is the first in a series of four reports comprising the activities of the second year of work of the ABC
Observatory. These reports aim to quantitatively and qualitatively analyze the ABC Program's
performance – the financing of low-carbon agriculture in Brazil. This activity also contributes to increase
transparency in the availability of information to society, sorting the data regarding the crop year, the
transfer agent, the source of financing used, the location (state, city and region) and the purpose of
investment.
In addition, during the second year of the Observatory, the information published in the reports will be
available in a system of open-access data, at www.observatorioabc.com.br. This system will allow the
user to manage – generating graphs and tables – data of disbursements of the ABC Program according
to investment purposes, state and region, source of resources, transfer agent and crop year, since the
beginning of the program (2010/11 crop year) up to the current crop year.
The process of obtaining the ABC Program data and updating the system – which, until the 2012/13 crop
year was diffuse and decentralized – began to rely on the support and partnership of the Central Bank –
Banco Central (BACEN) for the supply of such consolidated data for analysis from the 2013/14 crop year.
This partnership was possible by means of the data made available by the Proagro and Rural Credit
Operation System - Sistema de Operações do Crédito Rural e do Proagro (SICOR), which came into effect
in 2013. Thus, the source of the data in this report differs from the sources used for the development of
the study for the first year of the ABC Observatory. If, on one hand, this damages temporal comparisons,
on the other, it represents progress in terms of governance of resource monitoring of the ABC Program.
Information regarding disaggregated analysis by investment purpose (pasture recovery, biological
nitrogen fixation, waste treatment, integrated crop-livestock and crop-livestock-forestry systems, no-till
farming and afforestation) proceed only from contracted operations via Banco Nacional de
5
Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (BNDES) by means of an agreement signed with the ABC
Observatory [01] 123
In the next section, a brief summary of the path of the ABC Program line of credit and its main results in
different crop years is presented. In the following one, a detailed analysis of the disbursed sum until
April of the 2013/14 crop year is carried out. Lastly, we present closing remarks on the current results of
the ABC Program.
1 Previously, in the 2011/12 and 2012/13 crops, data for analyses of the ABC Program proceeded from various
sources: Banco do Brasil (BB), BNDES and Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Supply of Brazil (MAPA).
2
Circular letter n. 3,620 of December 21, 2012, available at:
http://www.bcb.gov.br/pre/normativos/circ/2012/pdf/circ_3620_v1_O.pdf
3 The disaggregated data for investment purposes proceed only from the BNDES, for two reasons: (a) SICOR does
not contemplate disaggregated data of the existing agricultural lines of credit, including the ABC Program; and (b)
until the publication of this report, the ABC Observatory did not have access to the disaggregated data proceeding
from contracts for the ABC Program via Banco do Brasil.
6
Main conclusions of this study
•
Despite breaking the record for available funds, with BRL 4.5 billion, the ABC Program stagnated
in 2013/14. The disbursements, that had reached 83% of the total in 2012/13 and were rapidly
increasing in the previous crop years, reached only 53% in April 30, 2014, two months from the
end of the crop year. In absolute value, BRL 2.364 billion were invested in program actions,
against BRL 2.993 billion in 2012/13. This indicates that the crop year may end with a decrease
in financing emission mitigation in agriculture.
•
The possible reasons of the low level of adhesion of producers to the ABC Program continue
being the interest rate of 5% a year – that have become less attractive than other lines of credit,
such as PRONAMP (Programa Nacional de Apoio ao Médio Produtor Rural - National Program of
Support to the Medium Scale Farmer), that had a decrease of interest rate reaching 4,5% - and
the high level of requirements for attaining credit, as the ABC demands the producer to present
a geo-referenced project of the property and soil analysis.
•
As in previous years, ABC financing continues concentrated in the Southeastern states – that
hold 40% of the contracts – and in the states of the Midwest that have fewer contracts, but with
a higher average value per contract, which makes the region the biggest destination of the ABC
money in the current crop year (almost BRL 885 million, against BRL 801 million of the
Southeast).
•
The North and Northeast regions, although being priority to the ABC actions due to the vast
extension of degraded pastures and to the relatively low efficiency of agriculture, continue
being the ones that less sign contracts and receive financings from the ABC. The two regions
jointly had only 21% of contracts and received BRL 450.1 million, in 2013/14 (until April) - little
more than half of what the Midwest region received alone.
•
As previously diagnosed in 2013 by the ABC Observatory, such low participation of the North
and Northeast in contracts and disbursements of the ABC Program are due to land issues, lack of
technical support and commitment of the producers in the North region to the lines of credit of
the Constitutional Fund of Financing of the North - Fundo Constitucional de Financiamento do
Norte (FNO) and of the Northeast producers to the National Program of Strengthening of Family
Agriculture - Programa Nacional de Fortalecimento da Agricultura Familiar (Pronaf).
•
There was also no progress in the commissioning of the Multi-Institutional Virtual Laboratory on
Climate Change and Agriculture, an institution in charge of analyzing carbon to affirm whether
or not the ABC mitigation goals are being met.
•
However, there is good news in the governance of the program: Banco Central (Central Bank)
started to closely monitor the rural credit agents by developing, in 2013, a computerized
operation control system, SICOR. In 2014, the system became available on the Internet,
increasing the transparency of agriculture credit application, which includes the ABC Program.
•
More good news is that two important states for the consecution of the ABC mitigation strategy
- Pará, which has great extension of degraded pastures, and Maranhão, which has recently been
7
through a significant expansion of agriculture - left the group of states that less receive financing
from the program and are now in the group that receive between 1% and 2% of the total.
1
Brief history of the ABC Program
The Sectoral Plan of Mitigation and Adaptation to Climate Change in order to consolidate an Economy of
Low Carbon Emissions in Agriculture (ABC Plan) integrates the commitments made by Brazil under the
National Policy on Climate Change (Law No. 12,187/2009 and Decree No. 7,390/2010) to mitigate its
emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG). The ABC Program, established by the BACEN – Banco Central
(Central Bank) Resolution nº 3,896 of August 17, 2010, is a line of credit that allows rural producers to
conform to the ABC Plan guidelines.
For the 2010/11 crop year, BRL 2 billion were provided for investments in techniques that increase
efficiency in crops, with a positive balance between sequestration and carbon emissions. And, also,
there was the guarantee of financing to farmers and cooperatives, with a financing limit of BRL 1 million
per beneficiary. The credit would be financed with an interest rate of 5.5% pa and a term of twelve years
repayment.
For the 2011/12 crop year, BRL 3.15 billion were allocated to the ABC Program with financings from
Banco do Brasil and BNDES. This showed the willingness of the Federal Government to evidence the line
of credit and place the program in the center of the national agricultural production strategy. This
motivation advanced to the following crops. The 2012/13 crop year had an increase of BRL 3.4 billion
and the 2013/14 crop year had an increase of BRL 4.5 billion. Moreover, in these periods, there was a
reduction in the interest rate of the line to 5% per year, reflecting the Government's effort to stimulate
demand - which does not yet reach the entire allocated amount.
The 2013/14 crop year will be analyzed with more details below.
2
Analysis of the ABC Program for the 2013/14 crop year
In the 2013/14 crop year, BRL 136 billion were allocated to rural credit, representing an increase of
approximately 15% compared to the previous crop year. Of this amount, BRL 97.6 billion were allocated
to the financing of costing and marketing, and the remaining BRL 38.4 billion for investments. BRL 4.5
billion were allocated to the ABC Program, with an interest rate of 5% per year, maximum payment term
of fifteen years and a grace period of six years for the 2013/14 crop year.4
Table 1 shows the efficiency of financing application when comparing the total programmed and
executed by the two most important banks in the ABC Program scenario: Banco do Brasil (BB) and
BNDES. In the 2013/14 crop year, 93.7% of the total financing for the execution of the ABC Program
came from BB and 6.3% from BNDES. Due to greater participation of the BB in disbursements in the
previous crops, it was established that this bank would have greater amount of financing.
4
Livestock Agricultural Plan 2013/14, available at:
http://www.agricultura.gov.br/arq_editor/file/acs/PAP20132014-web.pdf
8
Table 1. Effective programming and application of ABC Program funds in the 2010/11, 2011/12, 2012/13 and
2013/14 crop years until April, 2014 (in BRL millions) *
2013/14
Program
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
Programmed Applied Programmed Applied Programmed Applied Programmed Applied
4,500.00 2,364.33
ABC
2,000.00
418.50
3,150.00 1,526.10
3,400.00 2,993.10
500.00
148.08
BNDES
304.90
2,300.00
310.00
1,900.00
370.30
4,000.00
2,216.26
BB
113.60
850.00 1,216.10
1,500.00 2,622.80
* Adapted from the SPA/MAPA March report and SICOR data, until April, 2014
The causes of greater participation of BB in total financing allocated to the ABC Program have already
been detailed in 2013 in Study 3 of the ABC Observatory (Low Carbon Agriculture: Financing the
Transition). In general, this is due mainly to the use of their own resources from Poupança Rural - Rural
Savings; from a financial agent training program (in partnership with the National Confederation of
Agriculture and Livestock of Brazil), with the support booklet that guides agents on ABC Plan financing;
and further training of the main actors involved in the credit decision process (financial agents,
cooperatives etc.) in each state.
In the 2013/14 crop year, until the end of last April, the amount of financing disbursed was below
expected. This is due, mainly, to the competition between lines of credit for investment programs (table
2). The main competing line, in this crop, was the National Program of Support to Medium-scale Farmers
Programa Nacional de Apoio ao Médio Produtor Rural (PRONAMP), that had their interest rate falling
from 5.0% to 4.5% per year, therefore, less than the ABC Program`s interest rate. Moreover, the
bureaucratic complexity for the producer to get the credit via ABC is greater in comparison to
PRONAMP. In the ABC, it is necessary for the producer to present, besides the usual documentation, a
technical geo-referenced project signed by a qualified professional, as well as proof of ground analyses
and agronomic recommendation, with soil organic matter content of the property. They are also asked
for agricultural, agroforestry, or forestry management plans for financings, that include integrated croplivestock system, integrated crop-livestock-forestry system, recovery of pastures and no-till farming.
9
Table 2. Volume of resources and credit limit for investment programs in the 2013/14 crop year
(1) Limit for afforestation: BRL 3 million per beneficiary
(2) Limit for collective credit: BRL 2.4 million
(3) Limit for collective credit: BRL 4 million
Source: SPA/MAPA
10
2.1
Distribution of ABC Program resources in the 2013/14 crop year
This section provides an overview of the implementation of the ABC program in the 2013/14 crop year.
Data from the BNDES, the Secretariat for Agricultural Policy of the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and
Food Supply (SPA/MAPA) and Banco Central - Central Bank- (SICOR) were consulted and used. Banco do
Brasil did not provide the ABC program disbursement data, which was inferred, indirectly, by SICOR.
2.1.1
Regional distribution of contracts and of the contracted value
In this crop year (until April 2014), 9,625 contracts for the ABC Program were signed, with total
disbursements of BRL 2,364,339,691.52 and average value of contracts of BRL 245,645.68 (table 3).
Among the implemented projects, 3,666 are in the Southeast region, especially in the states of Minas
Gerais and São Paulo; 2,405, in the Midwest region, with 1,150 only in Goiás; 1,524, in the South region,
especially in Rio Grande do Sul and Paraná; 1,273, in the North region, with 682 only in Tocantins; and
757 in the Northeast region, with 460 contracts approved only in Bahia.
The distribution of the ABC Program contracts, in 2013/14, follows the same logic as the previous crop
years, with concentration in the Southeast of the country which represents almost 40% of all projects
approved in the 2013/14 crop year (until April 2014), while the North and Northeast regions together
account for only 21% of the total (table 3). The Midwest region, second in total number of contracts,
presented an average value per contract of BRL 367,900.00 - the highest national average - indicating a
high concentration of resources in the states of Mato Grosso do Sul, Mato Grosso and Goiás; while the
South region, third in total contracts, presented the lowest national average, with an average contract
value of BRL 149,300.00.
Table 3. Regional distribution of ABC Program disbursements in the 2013/14 crop year (until April 30, 2014)
Region
Southeast
MG
SP
ES
RJ
Midwest
GO
MS
MT
DF
South
RS
PR
SC
North
TO
PA
RO
AC
RR
Nº of contracts
Disbursements
Average contract value
3,666
BRL 801,646,772.08
BRL 218,670.70
1,953
BRL 421,895,930.98
BRL 216,024.54
1,437
BRL 337,530,816.07
BRL 234.885.75
175
BRL 30,568,802.79
BRL 174,678.87
101
BRL 11,651,222.24
BRL 115,358.64
2,405
BRL 884,945,003.48
BRL 367,960.50
1,150
BRL 348,667,938.98
BRL 303,189.51
686
BRL 325,966,274.29
BRL 475,169.50
566
BRL 209,954,658.83
BRL 370,944.63
3
BRL 356,131.38
BRL 108,710.46
1,524
BRL 227,601,086.20
BRL 149,344.54
659
BRL 105,810,374.84
BRL 160,562. 03
608
BRL 99,169,135.78
BRL 163,107.13
257
BRL 22,621,575.58
BRL 88,021.69
1,273
BRL 241,421,294.82
BRL 189,647.52
682
BRL 135,220,435.31
BRL 198,270.43
295
BRL 63,570,474.28
BRL 215,493.13
136
BRL 25,641,270.24
BRL 188,538.75
134
BRL 11,902,654.09
BRL 88,825.78
17
BRL 3,567,037.49
BRL 209,825.73
11
AM
Northeast
BA
MA
PI
PE
CE
Total
9
757
460
242
47
7
1
9,625
BRL 1,519,423.41
BRL 208,725,534.94
BRL 143,161,604.93
BRL 46,067,624.17
BRL 18,663,730.84
BRL 646,680.00
BRL 185,895.00
BRL 2,364,339,691.52
BRL 168,824.82
BRL 275,727.26
BRL 311,220.88
BRL 190,362.08
BRL 397,100.66
BRL 92,382.86
BRL 185,895.00
BRL 245,645.68
Source: SICOR
The distribution of the number of contracts approved per municipality in the 2013/14 crop year (until
April 2014) can be visualized in figure 1. It shows high concentration of approved contracts in
municipalities in the West of Goiás, Minas Gerais, Bahia and Mato Grosso, as well as in northern Mato
Grosso do Sul. The states of the North and Northeast regions present very low participation, and no
contracts in Amazonas, Alagoas, Rio Grande do Norte, Sergipe or Paraíba.
Figure 1. Space distribution of the number of contracts approved per municipality for the ABC Program in the
2013/14 crop year (until April, 2014)
12
Source: Numbers based on data from SICOR
The regional distribution of the contracted value in the 2013/14 crop year (until April, 2014) can be
visualized in figure 2. In the east of Mato Grosso do Sul, two municipalities are pointed out: Água Clara,
with BRL 40 million in contracts, and Ribas do Rio Prado, with BRL 80 million. The West of Minas Gerais,
Bahia, Goiás and Midwest of Mato Grosso presented high concentration of disbursements with a total of
contracts ranging from BRL 5 million to BRL 21 million. Once again, the low participation of the states of
the North and Northeast regions in total disbursements of the ABC Program is evident.
One of the reasons for that would be that producers from these regions are committed to other sources
of financing for agricultural practices, such as Constitutional Funds of the North and Northeast (Fundos
Constitucionais do Norte e Nordeste) and the line of credit from Pronaf.
Figure 2. Space distribution of disbursements for the ABC Program in the 2013/14 crop year (until April, 2014)
Source: Numbers based on data from SICOR
The figure of regional distribution of ABC Program disbursements also reflects the behavior observed in
previous crops, as a great amount of the money was not allocated to pasture recovery in priority areas,
13
mainly in the North and Northeast regions that present great extension of degraded pastures5. Great
part of the disbursements were allocated to municipalities of the Midwest region, with the highest
number of cattle in the country (34.4% of the total) and with considerable areas of degraded pastures in
some of the municipalities that received disbursements.
Minas Gerais, Goiás, São Paulo and Mato Grosso do Sul took the lead with 17.80%, 14.75%, 14.28% and
13.79%, respectively. The states of the North and Northeast, mainly Ceará, Pernambuco, Amazonas,
Roraima, and Distrito Federal (Federal District), had the lowest participation in this crop year until April
2014 (figure 3). The situation is similar regarding approved contracts: Minas Gerais, São Paulo, Goiás and
Mato Grosso do Sul presented more participation, in descending order; and Ceará, Pernambuco,
Amazonas, Roraima and Distrito Federal (Federal District), less participation (figure 4).
Figure 3. Percentage of each state´s participation in total ABC Program disbursements in the 2013/14 crop year
(until April 30, 2014)
Source: Numbers based on data from SICOR
Figure 4. Percentage of each state´s participation in total approved contracts for the ABC Program in the 2013/14
crop year (until April 30, 2014)
5
Pastures considered degraded contain less than 0.7 AU (animal unit). An animal unit is a standard measure equal
to one animal of 450 kg in 1 hectare.
14
Source: Numbers based on data from SICOR
The low participation of the North and Northeast regions in the national panorama of ABC contracting is
a reflection of the lack of technical support, severe land issues - mainly in the states of the North, the
commitment of great part of Northern producers to the FNO (Fundo Constitucional de Financiamento
do Norte- Constitucional Fund of Financing of the North) and of the Northeastern producers to Pronaf
(Programa Nacional de Fortalecimento da Agricultura Familiar - National Program of Strengthening of
Family Agriculture). This reinforces the need of greater participation of the main actors involved in the
ABC Plan and Program in the Northeast region, as well as a bigger approach of the Ministry of
Agriculture, by means of Embrapa and of the recently established Anater (Agência Nacional de
Assistência Técnica e Extensão Rural - National Agency for Technical Assistance and Rural Extension), in
relation to the Northeast states to improve technical qualification.
2.1.2
Distribution of the resources and contracts approved for investment purposes
For the analysis of resources and contracts approved by ABC's action in the 2013/14 crop year, only data
provided by BNDES was used, representing 6.3% of total disbursements for the program, disaggregated
by investment purposes. As previously reported, SICOR does not contemplate subprograms of
agricultural lines of credit and, therefore, disaggregated data by investment purposes are not available
in that system of BACEN. Until the publication of this report, the ABC Observatory had not received the
disaggregated data referring to ABC Program disbursements for the ongoing crop.
At BNDES, pasture recovery action (ABC Recovery) leads the list of financed agricultural practices, with
78.5% of the total amount disbursed in the 2013/14 crop year (until April, 2014), mainly in the Midsouth
(Goiás, Minas Gerais and Mato Grosso do Sul) and in the state of Tocantins (table 4). In the same period,
the no-tillage system (SPD) accounted for 14.6% of the total disbursed, mainly in Rio Grande do Sul;
15
afforestation accounted for 6.8%, concentrated, in descending order, in Minas Gerais, Paraná and Rio
Grande do Sul; and animal waste treatment for 0.3%, in Santa Catarina and Minas Gerais.
The ABC Environment, that finances practices such as the recovery of degraded areas and permanent
preservation areas (that are not part of the ABC Plan scope), represented only 0.1% of total
disbursements. Thus, it does not really affect the allocation of ABC Plan resources, which aims to help
meet the voluntary goals for reducing greenhouse gases (GHG), announced by the Brazilian government
at the Copenhagen Climate Conference, in 2009.
Despite representing the smallest part of the ABC Program sum, the disaggregated data from BNDES
reflects the overall trend of the program´s performance. Such performance is similar to the one
observed in the previous crop in relation to the regional distribution of ABC Program disbursements,
with pasture recovery up to almost 80% of the total. The low adhesion of the North and Northeast
regions to the ABC Program techniques occurs once again, as well as some of the causes: lack of
technical assistance and severe land issues in the Northern States.
Table 4. Value of disbursements for each investment purpose of the ABC Program in each state by BNDES in the
2013/14 crop year (until April, 2014)
ABC
ABC
ABC
ABC
ABC
States Environment
Forests
No-Till Farming
Recovery
Waste Treatment
Total
(BRL)
SP
132,000
363,206
450,000
2,555,870
3,501,076
ES
780,016
309,346
1,089,362
GO
267,135
1,543,634
51,389,824
53,200,593
MG
3,817,551
2,133,160
15,109,102
41,523
21,059,813
PR
2,721,254
1,155,000
3,150.00
7,026,939
RS
1,379,483
8,477,999
4,772,711
14,630,193
PI
3,600,000
3,600,000
SC
1,967,493
272,985
356,480
2,240,478
TO
1,126,174
11,879,353
13,005,527
BA
500,000
500,000
MS
10,180,235
10,180,235
MT
1,275,000
1,275,000
PA
7,679,960
7,679,960
RJ
129,685
129,685
RO
600,000
600,000
Total
132,000
9,460,645
20,453,460
109,804,756
398,003
139,850,861
Source: BNDES
2.1.3
Distribution of the resources by transfer agent and financing source.
For this analysis, data proceeding from the BACEN provided by SICOR was used. Transfer agents and
their respective ABC Program financing sources of the 2013/14 crop year, in addition to its
disbursements are detailed in table 5. Until April 2014, BRL 2,364,339,691.52 had been disbursed.
The main agent, once again, was Banco do Brasil (BB), with BRL 2,164,480,674.54 (93,7% of total
disbursements). 87,6% of this amount come from Poupança Rural – Rural Savings; 12,3%, from the
Fundo Constitucional de Financiamento do Centro-Oeste – Constitutional Funds for Financing (FCO);
0,05%, from the Instrumento Híbrido de Capital e Dívida - Equity and Debt Hybrid Instrument (IHCD);
and 0,05% from BNDES. Amongst the private banks, Bradesco stands out, with a 4,9% participation in
the total disbursements with resources from the BNDES (table 5).
16
Table 5. Transfer agent, source of financing and total disbursements for the ABC Program in the 2013/14 crop year
until (April, 2014)
Transfer agent
Source of Financing
BADESUL DESENVOLVIMENTO AF/RS
BANCOOB
BNDES
BNDES
BANCO BRADESCO S.A.
BANCO DES. DE MG S.A.
BNDES
BNDES
BANCO DO BRASIL S.A.
BANCO DO BRASIL S.A.
BNDES
FCO
BANCO DO BRASIL S.A.
BANCO DO BRASIL S.A.
Rural Savings
BANCO DO EST. DO RS S.A.
BANCO RABOBANK INTL BRASIL S.A.
BNDES
BNDES
BANCO SANTANDER (BRAZIL) S.A.
BANCO VOTORANTIM S.A.
BNDES
BNDES
BD REGIONAL DO EXTREMO SUL
BRB - BANCO DE BRASILIA S.A.
BNDES
BNDES
BRB - BANCO DE BRASILIA S.A.
ITAÚ UNIBANCO BM S.A.
FCO
BNDES
IHCD
Total (in Brazilian Reals)
18,586,744.69
13,309,765.72
115,291,060.00
895,924.60
1,264,307.03
265,587,967.38
1,125,291.73
1,896,503,108.40
6,826,964.65
10,267,135.35
9,720,509.41
2,287,900.00
15,840,407.90
5,206,604.79
780,794.01
845,205.86
Source: SICOR
Figure 5 shows the regional distribution of the ABC Program's funding sources for the 2013/14 crop year
(until April 2014). As expected, there is a clear dominance of the use of Poupança Rural (Rural Savings)
from Banco do Brasil (BB) for ABC Program contracting. However, in the Midwest, FCO6 has greater
participation as a source of funds. Although the FCO not having offered as attractive interest rates as the
ABC Program's, the process of getting credit through this source is less bureaucratic (there is no need to
present a project nor a soil organic matter analysis) and the credit limit is significantly higher than the
one offered by the ABC Program.56 7
Resource from BNDES were allocated, mainly, to the South and Southeastern regions and to the state of
Goiás.
The North and Northeast regions, once again, had very low participation. The reasons have already
been reported in previous ABC Observatory studies as well as throughout this report. A possible
alternative would be the inclusion of the ABC lines of financing in the Fundos Constitucionais de
Financiamento do Norte e Nordeste - Constitutional Funds of the North and Northeast (FNO and FNE), in
the same way as with the FCO. This way, the program would have higher dissemination.
6
The Fundo Constitucional de Financiamento do Centro-Oeste (Constitutional Fund of Financing of the Midwest
(FCO) was created by Law n º 7,827 of September 27, 1989, that regulates section 159, subsection I, clause “c”, of
the Federal Constitution, with the objective to contribute to the economic and social development of the region,
by means of the execution of financing programs for productive sectors.
7
Ceiling of BRL 20 million per borrower with fixed interest rates established between 5 %(mini-producer) - 8.5%
(large producer) pa according to the producer, cooperative or association; except for forest operations destined to
the regulation and recovery of Legal Reserve degraded areas with 4% pa. Available at:
http://www.sudeco.gov.br/documents/10157/170829/Anexo+08++Programa%C3%A7%C3%A3o+do+FCO+para+2014.pdf
8
Available at: http://www.bcb.gov.br/?sicor
17
Figure 5. Regional distribution of the ABC Program's funding source for the 2013/14 crop year (until
April, 2014).
Source: Numbers based on data from SICOR
2.1.4
Comparison to previous crop years.
While the amount of available resources increased since the launch of the program in 2010/11,
disbursements increased only until the 2012/13 crop year, when they reached 83% of the available
amount. In the current crop, they reached only 53% of the available amount until April 2014, two
18
months before the end of the crop year, that goes until the end of June (table 1). Banco do Brasil
increased its participation, going from 85% of the financing in 2012/13, to 94% in 2013/14.
In the 2011/12 and 2012/13 crop years, the main borrowers were Minas Gerais, São Paulo, Paraná, Rio
Grande Do Sul and Goiás. In the 2013/14 crop year, all the states of the Midwest became part of the
group of the five largest borrowers of ABC resources, while the states of the South no longer belong to
that group. This shows that the program has received more adhesion from the Midwest than from the
South, despite the decrease in the total of funding.
The states of the North and Northeast, Rio de Janeiro, Espirito Santo and Distrito Federal each had less
than 2% of participation. Pará, that has great area of degraded pastures, no longer belongs to the group
of states with less expression in acquisition of financings of the program from 2012/13, as well as the
state of Maranhão, that has had strong agriculture expansion in recent years.
Figure 1 Comparison between crops of selected indicators of the ABC Program
Provided Amounts
Disbursements
Disbursements/
Provided Amounts
Transfer Bank
States that most
acquired (%
acquired of total)
States that
acquired between
1% and 2% of the
total
2010/11
BRL 2.00 billion
BRL 418.50 million
20%
2011/12
BRL 3.15 billion
BRL 1.51 billion
48%
2012/13
BRL 3.40 billion
BRL 2.90 billion
83%
2013/14*
BRL 4.50 billion
BRL 2.40 billion
53%
BNDES
BB (90%)
BNDES (10%)
MG (18%)
SP (16%)
PR (14%)
RS (12%)
GO (10%)
PA
MA
RO
PI
BB (85%)
BNDES (15%)
MG (22%)
SP (17%)
PR (10%)
RS (10%)
GO (10%)
RO
ES
AC
RJ
PI
AL
AP
PE
RR
DF
BB (94%)
BNDES (6%)
MG (18%)
GO (15%)
SP (14%)
MS (14%)
TM (9%)
ES
RO
AC
RJ
States that
acquired less than
1% of the total
AL
AP
PE
CE
RR
RJ
PI
RR
AM
PE
DF
CE
* Until April 30, 2014 - Crop year ends on June 30.
Source: Numbers based on data from SICOR and SPA/MAPA
3
Conclusion
The ABC Program can positively impact Brazilian Agribusiness, making it become more competitive,
resilient to climate changes and with more sustainable production models. However, there are still
19
some essential factors for the program to be totally successful, in terms of disbursements and the
ultimate goal of reducing GHG in the atmosphere.
Regarding the ABC Program governance, a remarkable advance was the engagement of BACEN in the
process of monitoring resources provided by the line's financial transfer agents, by SICOR, that, from
April of 2014, also began providing the SICOR-Web system, in which the user can consult information
and values of contracts referring to the agricultural credit in the country, contributing to more
transparency8. SICOR gathers information from all financial operations of rural credit, including the ABC
Program, and the partnership between BACEN and the ABC Observatory is an important milestone for
society as to the availability and legitimacy of the data. BNDES also contributed to the transparency of
the ABC Program by providing the ABC Observatory its disaggregated data for investment purposes,
which are not contemplated by SICOR, allowing a broader analysis of the results.
While the monitoring of the financial resources advances, the tracking of the balance of mitigated
and/or captured carbon by productive techniques financed by the ABC Program is still pending. There
was no practical action to put the Multi-institutional Virtual Lab on Climate Change and Agriculture in
operation, and it is still necessary to create special lines of credit for the acquisition of equipment for
carbon analyses in the soil including the details required by the ABC Plan. Only with that structure can
the assessment to whether their goals and objectives are being achieved take place.
As seen in the analysis of the 2013/14 crop year throughout this report, the demand for financing is less
than expected compared to previous periods. If the interest rate is still the main attraction for producers
to access the resources and modify their production models, it needs to be more attractive than other
investment lines available, taking into account the costs of transaction involved in resource acquisition
in the ABC program.
Resource distribution is concentrated in the Midsouth, although the North and Northeast regions are
also a priority, mainly for actions of recovery of pastures, as these regions present extensive degraded
areas. To balance credit distribution, it is important to strengthen the qualification process of rural
extension workers, producers and financial analysts in order to stimulate demand and to evidence the
systemic aspects linked to the projects.
The ABC Observatory will continue following the evolution of credit and actions taken so that the
Brazilian agricultural sector can have a stronger production model aligned to public policies aimed at the
country's sustainable development. The data used for this report can be accessed at the ABC
Observatory website at: www.observatorioabc.com.br.

Documentos relacionados

Report 2 year 2 ABC Executive Summary

Report 2 year 2 ABC Executive Summary Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) Agribusiness Center (GV Agro), Escola de Economia de São Paulo – School of Economy of São Paulo (EESP) Coordinator of GV Agro Robert Rodrigues Project Coordination Ang...

Leia mais